JPMorgan Chase’s $4 trillion asset-management division is launching its first tokenized money-market fund on the Ethereum blockchain, according to a Wall Street Journal report. The bank will initially seed the vehicle with $100 million of its own capital before opening it to external investors from Tuesday. JPMorgan Brings Money Markets Onchain According to the WSJ report the private fund, called the My OnChain Net Yield Fund — or “MONY” — is built on JPMorgan’s in-house tokenization platform, Kinexys ...

分组1 - Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack prefers more restrictive interest rates to combat high inflation, indicating current policy is around neutral [1] - Kansas City Fed President Jeffrey Schmid dissented against the recent FOMC decision to cut rates, citing persistent high inflation [1] - Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee anticipates more rate cuts in 2026 but dissented against a December cut, awaiting further inflation data [1] - Philadelphia Fed President Anna Paulson expresses greater concern about labor market weakness than inflation risks [1] 分组2 - Wall Street's major equity averages closed sharply lower, with Broadcom (AVGO) dropping over -11% due to disappointing AI market sales outlook [1] - Sandisk (SNDK) fell more than -14% after a downgrade from GF Securities, while Ciena Corp. (CIEN) slumped over -9% following a downgrade from Northland Securities [1] - Lululemon Athletica (LULU) surged more than +9% after reporting strong Q3 results and raising its full-year guidance [1] 分组3 - Investors are focusing on key U.S. economic data, including employment and inflation figures, as well as earnings reports from high-profile companies [2][4] - December S&P 500 E-Mini futures are up +0.48%, indicating a partial rebound from the previous selloff [2] - Notable companies reporting quarterly figures this week include Micron Technology (MU), Accenture (ACN), Nike (NKE), and FedEx (FDX) [6] 分组4 - Eurozone's October Industrial Production rose +0.8% month-over-month and +2.0% year-over-year, exceeding expectations [10] - China's November Industrial Production rose +4.8% year-over-year, but fell short of expectations [11] - Japan's Nikkei 225 Stock Index closed lower, with technology stocks leading declines, while bank stocks advanced ahead of a potential interest rate hike by the Bank of Japan [12]

Group 1 - Moderate weakness in US job numbers may increase bullish sentiment towards stocks by raising the likelihood of further Federal Reserve interest-rate cuts [1] - The labor market's strength could lower the probability of rate cuts extending into 2026, indicating a "good is bad/bad is good" regime [2] - Upcoming US economic readings, including delayed employment numbers and consumer inflation figures, are expected to provide insights into the labor market's condition [3] Group 2 - The MSCI All Country World Index reached an all-time high following the Fed's rate cut, with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq 100 benefiting from AI advancements and accommodative monetary policy [4] - Fed Chair Jerome Powell expressed optimism about the US economy, projecting a growth rate of 2.3% for next year, an increase from the previous 1.8% forecast, while inflation is expected to slow to 2.4% [5] - Citigroup strategists predict a 12% increase in the S&P 500, targeting 7,700 points by the end of 2026, driven by strong earnings and expectations of easing monetary policy [6]

Group 1: Federal Reserve Actions - The Federal Reserve is expected to lower interest rates by 0.25 percentage points, with three out of ten members voting against this decision [1] - Jerome Powell confirmed another rate cut is anticipated in 2026, after which the FED may pause, focusing on inflation as the employment situation appears stable [1] Group 2: Market Reactions and Currency Dynamics - Traders are beginning to factor in the dovish stance of the new FED president Kevin Hassett, who suggested there could be more than three rate cuts [2] - Major currencies like the Euro and Yen are influenced by hawkish narratives compared to the US dollar, with German 30-year bond yields reaching new peaks [2] Group 3: Bond Buybacks and Market Liquidity - The FED announced monthly buybacks of short-term bonds (T-bills) amounting to $40 billion, which is expected to lower real interest rates and enhance market liquidity, positively impacting stocks, metals, and cryptocurrencies [3] Group 4: Commodity and Cryptocurrency Performance - US stock indices are struggling to maintain momentum, while metals have rallied significantly, with Gold surpassing $4300 and silver reaching new historical highs [4] - Bitcoin is facing challenges in maintaining momentum, trading within a narrow range of $92,000 to $93,000, following substantial outflows from Bitcoin ETFs [4] Group 5: Capital Flows and Investment Opportunities - The primary narrative driving capital flows favors European assets over US assets, with Chinese stocks also attracting significant investment as hedge funds prepare for a potential rally [5] Group 6: European Market Outlook - The DAX index is poised for a breakout from a consolidation pattern established since June 2025, with German bond yields at new peaks and inflation steady at around 2.3% [6] - European stocks are viewed as a balanced investment choice amid pressure on the US dollar and an overheated AI sector, with the DAX expected to test the 20-day moving average before any new peaks [7]

Market Overview - The equity market is trading in negative territory, influenced by weak global market trends and ongoing foreign institutional investor (FII) outflows [1] - Sensex is at 85,239.98, down by 27.68 points or 0.03 percent, after an intraday fall of 435 points [1] - Nifty 50 dipped 11.85 points or 0.05 percent to 26,035.10, hitting an intraday low of 25,904.75 [1] Sector Performance - The midcap index declined, while the smallcap index showed resilience [2] - Sectoral indices displayed mixed performance, with media rising nearly 2 percent, while healthcare, auto, pharma, and realty sectors dipped [2] Stock Performance - IndiGo, Shriram Finance, Hindustan Unilever, Tata Consumer Products, and HCL Technologies were the top gainers in Nifty 50 [3] - Major laggards included ONGC, Eicher Motors, Mahindra & Mahindra, Bajaj Auto, and HDFC Life [3] Market Sentiment - Out of 3,140 stocks traded on the National Stock Exchange, 1,426 declined, 1,602 advanced, and 112 remained unchanged, indicating cautious sentiment [4] - Selling pressure was evident with 83 stocks hitting their 52-week lows, compared to 63 stocks at 52-week highs [4] - Volatility persisted with 65 stocks hitting upper circuits and 50 stocks locked in lower circuits [4] Notable Stocks - Ashok Leyland, Dredging Corporation, Federal Bank, Hindustan Zinc, and Vodafone Idea reached 52-week highs [5] - In the midcap segment, Dixon Tech, KEI Industries, IDFC First Bank, UPL, and IRB gained 2-3 percent, while HDFC AMC, BSE, Aditya Birla Capital, Motilal OFS, and KPIT Technologies declined by 2 percent [5] - Smallcap stocks such as NBCC, Aarti Industries, Kajaria Ceramics, JWL, BEML, and Amber gained 2-5 percent, while PNB Housing, Cholamandalam Holdings, Tejas Networks, BLS International, and Poonawalla Fincorp declined by 2-2.5 percent [6]

Group 1 - The article discusses the appeal of investing in certificates of deposit (CDs) due to their high interest rates, suggesting that a 5% return with no fees is more attractive than hiring a financial advisor who charges around 1% of assets annually [1][2] - It emphasizes that while CDs offer low-risk, guaranteed returns, relying solely on them may not align with long-term financial goals and objectives [2][4] - The article highlights the importance of a diversified investment strategy, as a financial advisor can help create an asset allocation plan that balances risk and provides liquidity throughout different life stages [4][5] Group 2 - The discussion includes the risks retirees face, such as outliving their assets, and the need for a comprehensive asset allocation that considers longevity risk and unexpected expenses [6][7] - It points out that advisory fees can be justified by the holistic financial planning and management services that advisors provide, which encompass various aspects like Social Security, taxes, and estate planning [7]

Core Viewpoint - The international gold market is currently experiencing a bullish trend, with prices around $4321.29 per ounce, influenced by upcoming central bank decisions and economic data releases [1][4]. Economic Data and Market Reactions - The U.S. government shutdown has created a data vacuum, making the upcoming employment and inflation reports crucial for understanding the economic landscape [2]. - Predictions indicate that the U.S. may add 50,000 jobs in November, while the unemployment rate has risen to 4.4%, the highest since 2021 [2]. - WisdomTree's Kevin Flanagan suggests that the importance of the employment data may be diminished due to the government shutdown, focusing instead on data available before the Federal Reserve's January policy decision [2]. Federal Reserve's Policy Outlook - There is a heated debate in the U.S. Treasury market regarding the future rate cuts by the Federal Reserve, with some analysts believing that the easing cycle is nearing its end [2][3]. - Fed Chair Jerome Powell indicated that the benchmark interest rate is within a "broad range of neutral estimates," suggesting limited room for further easing [3]. - Disagreements among officials regarding policy direction are evident, with some advocating for a wait-and-see approach until more data is available [3]. Gold Market Analysis - Last week, gold prices showed a strong upward trend, with significant fluctuations and a final closing that reflected increased market volatility [4]. - The price action indicates a battle between bulls and bears at high levels, with notable resistance encountered around the $4354 mark [4]. - Key support levels are identified between $4255 and $4265, which, if maintained, could allow for continued upward momentum in gold prices [4].

Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - The report focuses on the **China Economic** landscape, particularly regarding **exports and imports** in November, highlighting trends in various sectors and trade relationships with different regions. Key Insights on Exports - **Export Growth**: Exports grew by **5.9% year-over-year (y/y)** in November, surpassing the **4.0%** growth expected by Bloomberg consensus and improving from a **1.1% contraction** in October. Seasonally adjusted, exports expanded by **2.2%** over the month, with real export growth estimated at **9.5% y/y** compared to **3.2%** previously [1][2][3]. - **Regional Performance**: Shipments to the **US** softened, with a **29% y/y contraction**, despite tariff de-escalation. In contrast, shipments to **Africa** surged by **28% y/y**, contributing **1.5 percentage points** to overall export growth. Other developed economies like the **EU, Japan, Korea, and Canada** saw improved shipment levels [2][3]. - **Sector Performance**: Exports of **autos and parts** increased by **29% y/y**, marking one of the highest growth rates recently. Exports of **electronic integrated circuits (ICs)** also saw significant growth, while **PCs and mobile phones** remained in contraction. Consumer goods continued to experience notable declines [3][4]. Key Insights on Imports - **Import Growth**: Imports registered a **1.9% y/y growth**, below the expected **3%**. The real import contraction narrowed to **0.2% y/y** from **0.6%** previously. Major commodities saw a drop back to a **0.8% y/y contraction** [4][5]. - **Commodity Trends**: Imports of **iron ore and copper ore** showed significant y/y growth, while **soybean imports** softened to **7.8%** growth from **12%** previously. Notably, imports of **AI-related servers and machines (ADPs)** returned to y/y growth for the first time since June [4][5]. - **IT Components**: Import growth in the **IT component basket** accelerated, aligning with improvements in IT export growth, indicating a solid underlying tech cycle [4]. Additional Observations - **Trade Fluctuations**: Monthly trade growth data and survey data are expected to continue fluctuating, with overall export growth projected to fluctuate at a low single-digit annualized rate. There is a mild upside risk to the full-year growth projection of **4.5%** for 2025, with expectations for **2.5%** growth in 2026 [7]. - **External Trade Growth**: Incremental improvements in export shipment levels were noted, supported by a robust tech export cycle. The overall trade environment is showing signs of recovery after a weak October [7]. Risks and Considerations - **Macroeconomic Risks**: Potential risks include macroeconomic variables such as GDP growth rates, inflation, economic slowdown, currency weakening, global economic events, and government policy changes [28]. This summary encapsulates the essential insights from the conference call, focusing on the performance of exports and imports in the context of the Chinese economy, highlighting both opportunities and risks.

Core Insights - The revival of structured products in Asia is linked to a surge in equities driven by artificial intelligence, with a notable shift from US stocks to Chinese mega-caps like Alibaba and Tencent [1][21] - Issuance of structured products tied to Hong Kong and Singapore equities has surged 80% this year, exceeding $200 billion, marking a significant recovery in the market [21] - More than 60% of global sales of structured products in the first seven months of 2025 originated from Asia, primarily from China and Hong Kong [4][21] Structured Products Overview - Structured products generally offer lower maximum payouts than stocks but attract investors with regular fixed payments that often exceed bond yields [5][6] - Accumulators and fixed-coupon notes are particularly popular, with accumulators requiring investors to buy stocks at preset levels, which can lead to higher costs during market downturns [9][10][21] - Fixed-coupon notes linked to major Chinese companies, such as Alibaba, offer annualized coupons ranging from 10% to 20%, which is higher than those tracking indices [12][21] Market Dynamics - Alibaba shares have increased nearly 90% this year, contributing to a 26% rise in the Hang Seng Tech Index, indicating a strong recovery in the Asian market [13][21] - The proportion of equity-linked notes tracking Hong Kong-listed equities has risen to 30%-40% in 2025, up from about 20% in 2024, reflecting a shift in investor focus [13][21] - Wealthy investors are increasingly using leverage to amplify their bets, which can also magnify potential losses [16][21] Risk Management - The concentration of structured products on a limited number of stocks poses a risk, as highlighted by BNP Paribas, which is navigating this challenge amid a backdrop of market gains [17][21] - Historical events, such as the Lehman Brothers collapse and the Covid outbreak, serve as reminders of the risks associated with structured products [8][21]

Core Viewpoint - Analysts are predicting a potential bullish trend for cryptocurrencies, particularly Bitcoin, in Q1 2026, driven by several macroeconomic factors that could lead to significant price increases [1][2]. Group 1: Macroeconomic Trends - The end of the Federal Reserve's quantitative tightening (QT) is expected to remove a headwind for risk assets, historically leading to a potential Bitcoin rally of up to 40% when central banks stop contracting their balance sheets [3]. - Interest rate cuts are anticipated to resume in 2026, with forecasts suggesting rates could drop to between 3% and 3.25%, which typically enhances liquidity and increases interest in speculative assets like cryptocurrencies [4]. - Improved short-end liquidity is expected as the Fed plans to start technical buying of Treasury bills to manage market liquidity, easing funding pressures and potentially reducing short-term rates [5][6].