此时的川酒，已然成为连接中塞两国友谊的桥梁，也让中国白酒在国际舞台上赢得更多赞誉。 在"川酒全球行"品鉴交流会上，五粮液"五谷罗尼"鸡尾酒与经典五粮液10成为全场瞩目的焦点。"五谷 罗尼"鸡尾酒以其独特创意将中西方酒品巧妙融合，展现出中西文化碰撞的无限可能；经典五粮液10则 凭借历经时光沉淀的极致品质，让现场嘉宾深刻感受到中国高端白酒的独特魅力与醇厚韵味。这两款酒 品的精彩亮相，不仅赢得现场嘉宾的一致好评，更为五粮液后续开拓热带地区消费市场提供宝贵的经验 与启示。 当地时间7月8日下午，塞舌尔萦绕着东方酒香。随着五粮液（000858）"和美全球行"走过德国慕尼黑、 法兰克福、杜塞尔多夫三城后，首度走进非洲，"香约"塞舌尔首都维多利亚——2025"川酒全球行"品牌 推广活动在此举办。作为川酒龙头企业，五粮液深度融入"川酒全球行"系列活动，旨在向世界展示川酒 独特魅力，讲述川酒故事，塑造国际化品牌形象，培育国际消费群体，并进一步助力川酒及中国白酒提 升全球影响力。 作为五粮液"和美全球行"版图上最新一站，塞舌尔站是继欧洲、大洋洲、美洲、亚洲四大洲活动后，五 粮液首次来到非洲开展文化交流。 活动现场，布置丰富多元， ...

A股酿酒行业短线走高，皇台酒业迅速涨停，金种子酒涨近4%，酒鬼酒、泸州老窖、五粮液、贵州茅 台等个股跟涨。今日25年飞天茅台散瓶批价报1870元/瓶，较前一日回升20元。 ...

暗盘资金正涌入这些股票，点击速看>>> 白酒股异动拉升，皇台酒业（000995）触及涨停，金种子酒（600199）涨超4%，老白干酒 （600559）、五粮液（000858）、水井坊（600779）跟涨。 ...

Core Viewpoint - Sichuan Langjiu Co., Ltd. has committed to maintaining price stability and avoiding price wars, but actual market conditions show significant price fluctuations, indicating a disconnect between the company's promises and market realities [1][3][6]. Group 1: Company Commitments - Chairman Wang Junlin proposed "Four Guarantees" and "Eight Persistences" to stabilize market confidence and protect brand value, emphasizing a long-term strategy over short-term price competition [1][2]. - The commitment to not engage in price wars is seen as a responsible move to protect the interests of distributors and maintain the high-end value of the brand [1][3]. Group 2: Market Reality - From January 1, 2024, to December 31, 2024, the price of Honghua Lang 15 dropped from 490 yuan to 415 yuan per bottle, and Honghua Lang 10 fell from 290 yuan to 265 yuan [2]. - Distributors report significant price volatility, with some stating that prices change daily, leading to concerns about profitability and inventory management [3][6]. Group 3: Price Decline and Challenges - The high-end product Qinghua Lang has seen a drastic price drop, with its suggested retail price of 1499 yuan per bottle falling to 710 yuan by July 9, 2025, indicating a severe decline in market value [4][5]. - The price inversion phenomenon, where retail prices are significantly lower than the official prices, has been attributed to excessive inventory and pressure from the company on distributors [6][8]. Group 4: Historical Context and IPO Aspirations - Langjiu's IPO journey has been fraught with challenges, having attempted to go public multiple times since 2007 without success, often due to market conditions and internal issues [9][10]. - The ongoing price inversion and market management issues are seen as potential obstacles to Langjiu's future IPO plans, as they may undermine investor confidence [10].

Core Viewpoint - The recent decline in the market circulation price of Feitian Moutai has sparked discussions within the liquor industry and society at large, indicating potential challenges for the high-end liquor market and the overall growth of Kweichow Moutai [1][4]. Group 1: Market Trends - Since last year, the market circulation price of Feitian Moutai has been on a downward trend, recently falling below 1800 yuan per bottle [4]. - The decline in price is influenced by various factors, including the off-peak season for liquor consumption and aggressive promotions on e-commerce platforms [4]. - The issuance of the "strictest ban on alcohol" has had a significant impact on the liquor industry, leading to immediate stock price drops and reduced consumption scenarios [4]. Group 2: Industry Challenges - The overall liquor industry has experienced a decline, with a reported 1.8% year-on-year decrease in the production of liquor by large-scale enterprises in 2024, marking a continuous decline over several years [5]. - Young consumers are showing decreasing acceptance and loyalty towards traditional liquor, opting instead for new-style beverages, which poses a challenge for the industry [5]. - The internationalization of liquor is largely limited to the overseas Chinese community, further complicating growth prospects [5]. Group 3: Opportunities and Adaptations - Despite challenges, leading brands like Kweichow Moutai and Wuliangye are capturing market share from smaller brands, indicating a shift in industry dynamics [5]. - The liquor industry is witnessing new opportunities, particularly for products with cultural, health, and personalized attributes that appeal to younger generations [5]. - Liquor companies are actively adapting by positioning themselves strategically, launching culturally relevant products, and fostering healthier channel ecosystems through collaboration with distributors [6].

Group 1 - Invesco Developing Markets Fund increased its holdings in Jiangsu Hengrui Pharmaceuticals by 100% in May, with a total market value of HKD 185,661,247 [2][3] - The fund's total size is approximately USD 14.1 billion, equivalent to about CNY 101.24 billion [2] - The fund's top five holdings include TSMC, Tencent, Huazhu Group, Kotak Mahindra Bank, and Meituan, with reductions in Tencent and Meituan by 5.31% and 24.77% respectively [3] Group 2 - Justin Leverenz, the fund manager, expressed optimism about the Chinese pharmaceutical industry, noting China's transition to a leader in drug development [4] - China has established a significant position in the global clinical and commercial landscape for blood cancer treatment, with its share of biotech licensing transactions increasing from 4% in 2019-2020 to 12% in 2023-2024 [4] Group 3 - JPMorgan Asset Management increased its stake in Jiangsu Hengrui Pharmaceuticals by 18.49% in May [5] - Allianz Investment also raised its holdings in Jiangsu Hengrui Pharmaceuticals by 8.47% [7] Group 4 - Fidelity China Focus Fund and FSSA China Growth Fund have also shown interest in various Chinese companies, with Fidelity increasing its stake in Alibaba by 12.46% and in Trip.com by 9.41% [9][10] - Temasek Holdings reported a net asset value of USD 340 billion, with a focus on long-term prospects in China, which represents 18% of its portfolio [11]

中枢继续抬升，当前市场怎么看？20250709 摘要 扩大消费方面，包括育儿补贴等措施，将利好消费类行业及育儿相关主 题。中报业绩角度来看，上半年表现较好的行业包括算力、游戏、风电、 养殖和创新药，这些板块值得重点关注。 夏季气候炎热带来阶段性主题机会，如电力需求增加以及煤炭价格低迷 带来的投资机会，还有啤酒和茶饮等因气候原因催化的主题。 致的结构性问题。因此，目前没有系统性风险，只是自然回调需求。 对后市行情的整体判断是什么？ 市场受 3D 利好共振影响，国内外宏观环境积极，中美关系缓和，投资 者情绪高涨，全市场成交额攀升至 1.5 万亿，中报业绩期验证新赛道产 业景气，如新基制药、人工智能、创新药和机器人等。 市场近期涨幅较大，存在回调需求，60 周均线上方个股占比突破 80% 预警线，美元可能阶段性反弹，关税问题博弈，但最大风险在于前期涨 幅过大导致的结构性问题，目前没有系统性风险。 对后市行情整体看好，认为目前没有很大的系统性风险，只是由于前期 涨幅过大，有自然回调调整需求，在调整到较低位置时，可以继续进行 低位布局，以把握后市机会。 7 月份市场投资机会围绕政治局会议的政策预期和中报行情展开，政策 ...

Q&A 当前家电行业的出口情况如何，关税政策对行业有何影响？ 家电行业的出口情况受到各国关税政策的显著影响。近期，美国与越南达成了 20%的关税协议，而东南亚国家如菲律宾、马来西亚、印尼等普遍在 30%以 上，日韩为 25%，巴西则高达 50%。越南目前拥有最低的关税，这使得符合 越南原产国认证的产品在美国市场具有竞争优势。因此，许多企业选择在越南 扩产，以便利用较低的关税优势。家电产业链，包括钣金、喷漆、PCB 等领域， 也随之向越南转移。 此外，美国国内铜价因特朗普政府加征 50%关税而上涨， 这进一步影响了原材料成本。整体来看，中国家电供应链在海外市场特别是美 国市场上的可替代性较弱，因此确定性对于企业至关重要。在这种背景下，拥 首席联合电话会 - 消费专场 20250710 摘要 越南关税优势吸引家电产业链转移，叠加美国对中国商品加征关税，促 使企业在越南扩产以降低成本，科沃斯、石头科技、德昌股份等已在越 南设厂，美的和兆驰股份也在扩展越南生产线。 美国需求平稳且对涨价接受度高，叠加黑五和圣诞采购周期临近，出口 链公司，尤其是龙头企业，预计将迎来明确的业绩增长，二季度或成为 业绩底部。 国内家电市场表 ...

泸州老窖 20250710 摘要 泸州老窖正经历数字化改革，从生产到销售端提升运营效率，旨在适应 未来市场发展，并发布报告以供市场参考，尤其是在禁酒令影响下。 当前泸州老窖市盈率接近历史低位，与 2013 年初白酒行业深度调整期 相似，但预测 2025 年股息率约为 5.4%，对估值形成支撑，下跌空间 有限。 三季度白酒量价指标预计平稳，二季度受扰动因素影响较大，但最差阶 段已过，环比改善迹象明显，各场景修复带来增量，年底或有积极政策 导向。 泸州老窖组织和渠道力突出，具有强市场化管理能力及战略前瞻性，同 时加大供应链数字化投入，布局低度和多规格产品，注重年轻化营销。 高度国窖提前调整，数字化渠道管理后库存合理、价格稳定，在川渝等 优势市场与竞品价格差收缩，厂商关系修复，经销商回款信心足。 短期内，泸州老窖估值有望从当前 13 倍修复至 15 倍，对标山西汾酒有 更高空间，报告详细探讨了公司折价原因、组织渠道优势及数字化增长 潜力。 公司通过导入五码合一的渠道价值链管控和实施挖井计划等改革举措， 旨在应对市场变化，实现更长远的发展和布局，符合白酒行业未来的调 整方向。 Q&A 为什么选择在当前时间点发布泸州老 ...

摘要 聚焦服务消费崛起——社服行业 2025 年度中期投资策略 20250710 Q&A 2025 年中国服务型消费的整体趋势如何？ 中国服务型消费占比低于发达经济体，生存性消费占比较高，未来文娱 类消费潜力巨大，旅游等发展型服务消费有望受益。 茶饮行业 2025 年增长态势良好，同店增速超 20%，受益于高温天气和 外卖补贴。推荐市占率高且价格低的雪王，以及有空白市场空间的股民。 餐饮行业 2025 年整体超预期增长，但内部结构分化。平价大众连锁餐 饮经营数据好转，推荐小菜园绿茶、百胜中国，后者通过回购提供约 9%股息率。 美团面临竞争，但本地生活三边交易网络和一站式生态壁垒深厚，低线 城市经营优势突出，有望在即时零售补贴大战中胜出。 教育市场供不应求，格局走向集中，高资质公司有望获取更高市场份额。 关注学大、昂立以及港股卓越和思考乐等标的。 人力资源行业需求淡，但科锐和北京人力依托华为扩张实现结构性修复。 科锐合发招聘平台通过 AI 对接猎头与企业，提升效率。 酒店行业供过于求，Revpar 同比下降但降幅收窄，暑期文旅需求良好。 关注供给端降速和龙头集团的经营改善机会，推荐首旅集团。 2025 年以来， ...