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工业企业利润高增探究
SINOLINK SECURITIES· 2025-09-30 06:58
敬请参阅最后一页特别声明 1 扫码获取更多服务 宏观经济报告 8 月利润同比高增是低基数、反内卷带动上游行业毛利率上行、投资收益非常规节点确认等因素共同作用的结果,随 着基数走高、投资收益对利润的支持减弱,9 月利润同比增速或开始回落。更值得关注的是反内卷带来的上游企业毛 利率上行是否可持续,从大宗商品价格上看,9 月前三周商务部生产资料价格指数持续下滑,均值环比 9 月下滑了 0.5%,需关注后续反内卷对大宗商品价格和企业利润的影响。 风险提示 中美贸易摩擦、关税上调和全球供应链调整,或致出口波动及企业利润下滑等风险加大 国内政策、海外地缘政治等可能持续影响大宗商品价格及相关行业利润表现 关注后续国内基本面变化,跟踪后续景气度波动以及对企业营业收入和利润的影响 8 月规模以上工业企业利润同比大幅回升 21 个百分点至 19.8%,低基数、反内卷下上游行业毛利率改善、个别行业投 资收益确认是推动本月当月利润同比大幅走高的三个主要原因。 按照估算,低基数贡献了 6.7 个百分点1的利润增速回升,位居第三。除基数外,8 月企业利润环比表现并不弱,8 月 企业利润环比增长 15.2%,显著高于过去 3 年-2.5% ...
2025年1-8月全国酒、饮料和精制茶制造业出口货值为154.9亿元,累计下滑0.1%
Chan Ye Xin Xi Wang· 2025-09-26 03:47
2019年-2025年1-8月全国酒、饮料和精制茶制造业出口货值统计图 数据来源:国家统计局,智研咨询整理 上市公司:承德露露(000848),阳光乳业(001318),皇氏集团(002329),贝因美(002570),西 部牧业(300106),品渥食品(300892),熊猫乳品(300898),三元股份(600429),光明乳业 (600597),妙可蓝多(600882),伊利股份(600887),李子园(605337) 相关报告:智研咨询发布的《2025-2031年中国饮料行业市场运营格局及未来前景分析报告》 根据国家统计局数据可知:2025年8月全国酒、饮料和精制茶制造业出口货值为16.5亿元,同比下降 15.6%;2025年1-8月全国酒、饮料和精制茶制造业累计出口货值为154.9亿元,累计同比下降0.1%。 知前沿,问智研。智研咨询是中国一流产业咨询机构,十数年持续深耕产业研究领域,提供深度产业研 究报告、商业计划书、可行性研究报告及定制服务等一站式产业咨询服务。专业的角度、品质化的服 务、敏锐的市场洞察力,专注于提供完善的产业解决方案,为您的投资决策赋能。 ...
前8月贵州酒饮茶制造业增长1.7%
Bei Jing Shang Bao· 2025-09-25 05:10
北京商报讯(记者 刘一博 冯若男)9月25日,北京商报记者从贵州省工商联公众号获悉,贵州省统计局 发布数据,1-8月份,贵州省规模以上工业增加值同比增长8%。其中酒、饮料和精制茶制造业增长 1.7%。 ...
8月经济观察:“反内卷”影响显现,政策加码窗口临近
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-09-16 07:13
Economic Growth Overview - In August, China's economic growth momentum slowed down, with both supply and demand sides experiencing a decline in growth rates. Analysts suggest that due to high base effects and tariff uncertainties, along with the waning effects of the "trade-in" policy, downward pressure on the domestic economy is expected to increase in the fourth quarter, necessitating new policies to stabilize investment and promote consumption to achieve the annual growth target of around 5% [1][11]. Production Sector Analysis - In August, the industrial added value for large-scale enterprises grew by 5.2% year-on-year, a decrease of 0.5 percentage points from the previous month. The service production index growth rate was 5.6%, down 0.2 percentage points from the previous month [1]. - The "anti-involution" policy is identified as a primary reason for the cooling of industrial production. The industrial production intensity has declined for two consecutive months, influenced by extreme weather and the effects of the "anti-involution" policy [2]. - The added value of upstream production sectors showed strong performance, with non-ferrous metal smelting and rolling industries growing by 9.1% year-on-year, while coal mining and washing industries grew by 5.1% [2]. Demand Side Insights - In August, the total retail sales of consumer goods and exports in USD grew by 3.4% and 4.4% year-on-year, respectively, both showing declines from the previous month [3]. - The retail sales growth rate has been declining for three consecutive months, primarily due to the diminishing effects of the "trade-in" policy. The largest month-on-month declines were seen in home appliances and communication equipment, with decreases of 14.4% and 7.6% respectively [3][5]. Investment Trends - Investment growth has slowed for five consecutive months, with real estate, infrastructure, and manufacturing investments all experiencing varying degrees of decline [6]. - Infrastructure investment growth fell to 2.0% year-on-year for the first eight months, a decrease of 1.2 percentage points from the previous month. Manufacturing investment growth dropped to 5.1%, the lowest level since early 2021 [9]. - Analysts indicate that the decline in manufacturing investment is influenced by extreme weather and rising global trade uncertainties, which suppress the willingness of downstream enterprises to expand production [7]. Policy Recommendations - Analysts suggest that maintaining stable economic growth is becoming increasingly challenging, and timely policy adjustments are necessary. The potential for new incremental policies is anticipated, possibly by the end of September, including new policy financial tools and early allocation of local government debt quotas to improve infrastructure investment [12].
2025年1-7月酒、饮料和精制茶制造业企业有5878个,同比下降0.84%
Chan Ye Xin Xi Wang· 2025-09-15 03:01
Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the article highlights the current state and future prospects of the beverage industry in China, particularly focusing on the number of manufacturing enterprises and market dynamics from 2025 to 2031 [1] - As of January to July 2025, the number of enterprises in the liquor, beverage, and refined tea manufacturing sector is reported to be 5,878, which represents a decrease of 50 enterprises compared to the same period last year, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 0.84% [1] - The proportion of these enterprises within the total industrial enterprises stands at 1.13%, indicating a relatively stable but slightly contracting sector [1] Group 2 - The data presented is sourced from the National Bureau of Statistics and compiled by Zhiyan Consulting, a leading industry consulting firm in China, known for its in-depth industry research and market insights [1] - The report emphasizes the importance of understanding market trends and dynamics for investment decisions, providing a comprehensive analysis of the beverage industry's operational landscape and future outlook [1]
2025年1-4月全国酒、饮料和精制茶制造业出口货值为79.3亿元,累计增长6.3%
Chan Ye Xin Xi Wang· 2025-09-12 01:10
Core Insights - The article discusses the performance and trends in China's beverage industry, particularly focusing on the export value of alcoholic beverages, drinks, and refined tea manufacturing [1] Industry Overview - In April 2025, the export value of China's alcoholic beverages, drinks, and refined tea manufacturing was 2.24 billion, showing a year-on-year decrease of 0.4% [1] - From January to April 2025, the cumulative export value for the same sector reached 7.93 billion, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 6.3% [1] Company Insights - The article lists several companies in the beverage sector, including: - Chengde Lulule (000848) - Sunshine Dairy (001318) - Huangshi Group (002329) - Beingmate (002570) - Western Pastoral (300106) - Pinwa Foods (300892) - Panda Dairy (300898) - Sanyuan Foods (600429) - Bright Dairy (600597) - Miaokelando (600882) - Yili Group (600887) - Liziyuan (605337) [1]
娃哈哈旗下多家公司近期更名为宏胜
第一财经· 2025-09-10 10:23
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the recent name change of Shanxi Wahaha Changsheng Beverage Co., Ltd. to Shanxi Hongsheng Beverage Co., Ltd., along with other corporate changes and the implications for the company and its stakeholders [2][3][4]. Group 1: Company Changes - Shanxi Wahaha Changsheng Beverage Co., Ltd. was renamed to Shanxi Hongsheng Beverage Co., Ltd. on September 5, 2025 [3]. - The company type changed from a Sino-foreign joint venture limited liability company to a foreign-invested, non-independent limited liability company on the same date [3]. - The legal representative changed from Xu Hongshuai to Zhu Lidan on February 20, 2025 [3]. Group 2: Company Background - Shanxi Hongsheng Beverage Co., Ltd. was established in October 2007 with a registered capital of 16 million USD [4]. - The company is co-owned by Zhejiang Wahaha Changsheng Beverage Group Co., Ltd. and Honour Bright Investments Limited [2][4]. - The company is currently in operation and registered with the Shanxi Provincial Market Supervision Administration [4]. Group 3: Related Corporate Changes - Other companies under the Wahaha brand, such as Hulin Wahaha Beverage Co., Ltd. and Nanyang Wahaha Changsheng Beverage Co., Ltd., have also undergone name changes to Hulin Hongsheng Beverage Co., Ltd. and Nanyang Hongsheng Hengfeng Beverage Co., Ltd., respectively [2][4].
贵州迎宾酒(集团)有限责任公司因虚假宣传被罚3万余元
Qi Lu Wan Bao· 2025-09-04 08:10
Core Viewpoint - Guizhou Yingbin Wine (Group) Co., Ltd. was fined 30,240 yuan for misleading advertising related to its product "Guizhou Yingbin Wine (Yanxin)" which falsely implied a connection to the Belt and Road Initiative [1][2] Company Information - Guizhou Yingbin Wine (Group) Co., Ltd. was established on August 24, 2022, with a registered capital of 10 million yuan and is located in Zunyi City, Guizhou Province [3][4] - The legal representative of the company is Zhu Deying, and it operates in the liquor, beverage, and refined tea manufacturing industry [3][4] Regulatory Actions - The company was found to have violated the Advertising Law of the People's Republic of China by providing false information regarding the performance, function, and other attributes of its products [2][4] - The administrative penalty was officially announced on September 1, 2025, and the public notice period will last until December 1, 2025 [2][4] - The misleading advertising included the use of the phrase "Belt and Road 10th Anniversary. National Gift Brand," which misled consumers into believing the product was endorsed by the state [1][2]
劳特巴赫(菏泽)啤酒股份有限公司成被执行人,执行标的63万元
Qi Lu Wan Bao· 2025-09-04 03:49
Core Viewpoint - Lauterbach (Heze) Beer Co., Ltd. has been listed as a defendant by the Shandong Province Qingdao Intermediate People's Court, with a case filed on September 3, 2025, involving an execution amount of 630,000 yuan [1] Company Summary - Lauterbach (Heze) Beer Co., Ltd. was established on March 3, 2016, with a registered capital of 66,422.8601 million yuan [1] - The legal representative of the company is Liu Hengyi, and it is registered in the Heze City, Shandong Province [1] - The company operates in the manufacturing industry of alcoholic beverages, beverages, and refined tea, and is affiliated with the Water Development Group [1]
宗馥莉旗下两公司或将注销,商业版图再调整?
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-03 19:02
Core Viewpoint - Wahaha Group's subsidiaries, Zhejiang Wahaha Health Management Co., Ltd. and Jiangshan Wahaha Hongzhen Drinking Water Co., Ltd., have announced their simplified cancellation, indicating a potential strategic adjustment within the company [1][3]. Group 1: Company Actions - The cancellation period for the subsidiaries is from August 28 to September 16, raising significant attention in the industry [1]. - Zhejiang Wahaha Health Management Co., Ltd. was established in December 2021 with a registered capital of 10 million RMB, while Jiangshan Wahaha Hongzhen Drinking Water Co., Ltd. was founded in January 2015 with a registered capital of 25 million RMB [1]. - Both companies are wholly owned by Wahaha Commercial Co., Ltd., and the successor of Wahaha Group, Zong Fuli, serves as a director in these companies [1]. Group 2: Strategic Implications - The recent cancellations are part of a broader trend, as Wahaha Group has previously applied for the cancellation of other subsidiaries, suggesting a strategic realignment [1]. - Analysts believe that the cancellations may be aimed at optimizing resource allocation and focusing on core business areas amid increasing market competition [1][2]. - There are perspectives that the cancellations do not necessarily indicate a decline in business but may reflect a strategy for transformation and upgrading, allowing for higher quality development in the future [2]. Group 3: Future Outlook - Wahaha Group has not yet issued an official statement regarding the specific reasons for the cancellations or their subsequent impacts [3]. - The development of new business areas, including health foods and technological innovation, will be crucial for observing Wahaha Group's strategic adjustments moving forward [2].