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Geopolitical Impact - The U.S. captured Maduro in Venezuela, leading to a generally positive response in the stock market, particularly in the oil and defense sectors [3][5][6] - Canadian oil stocks are negatively impacted due to competition with Venezuelan heavy crude, which could lower prices for Canadian oil sands [4] - Defense stocks are rising due to geopolitical tensions and potential contracts for infrastructure development in Venezuela [5][6] Market Trends - Memory and storage stocks have surged, with Sandisk up 36% in the past week and 71% in the past month, indicating a high demand for memory chips driven by AI developments [10][11] - Companies like Oklo and Vistra are gaining attention as they provide alternative power solutions for data centers, reflecting the growing need for energy in the tech sector [12][13] - Caterpillar's stock is also rising as demand for equipment to build data centers increases [14][15] Labor Market Insights - The unemployment rate held steady at 4.4%, with a slight increase of 50,000 jobs in December, indicating a stagnant job market [17][19] - The labor participation rate has decreased, suggesting some individuals may have exited the workforce [18] - There is a notable shift where individuals with coding skills may need to transition to construction roles to support data center development [21][26] Company-Specific Developments - Roblox's stock has declined by about 10% in the past week and 45% since its last earnings report, attributed to new age verification requirements for chat, which may hinder user participation [27][28][30] - The company faces public pushback and lawsuits regarding safety concerns on its platform, highlighting the need for self-regulation in the tech industry [29][30] Economic Indicators - The upcoming CPI report and earnings from major financial institutions like Citi and Bank of America will provide insights into economic activity and consumer spending [33][34] - The trucking firm JB Hunt's earnings report will also serve as an economic indicator, reflecting overall market conditions [35] Future Market Outlook - The year 2026 is viewed as a pivotal year for the market, with ongoing debates about whether the AI sector is in a bubble, as many stocks are trading at high valuations [37][39] - External geopolitical events, such as tensions with China and the situation in Ukraine, will likely influence market dynamics throughout the year [40][41] - The political landscape, including the upcoming midterms, may set the tone for market behavior in the latter half of the year [42][43]

Market Overview - The Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJI) and S&P 500 (SPX) reached record highs following the U.S. capture of Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro, positively impacting the defense and energy sectors [1] - The DJI retreated from its first close above 49,000 as President Trump halted dividends and stock buybacks for defense companies, while oil prices faced pressure from oversupply concerns [1] Energy & Defense Sector - The regime change in Venezuela led to significant gains in the defense and energy sectors, with Chevron (CVX) and Exxon Mobil (XOM) shares rising after President Trump indicated U.S. oil companies would be heavily involved in Venezuela's oil industry [3] - Lockheed Martin (LMT) and Huntington Ingalls Industries (HII) benefited from increased geopolitical tensions, while Northrop Grumman (NOC) and General Dynamics (GD) saw their shares rally following calls for a higher military budget from President Trump [4] Technology Sector - The Consumer Electronics Show (CES) showcased significant developments, including Intel (INTC) launching a new AI chip for laptops, which posed challenges for Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) [4] - Mobileye Global (MBLY) announced the acquisition of humanoid robot startup Mentee for $900 million, while Jefferies downgraded Adobe (ADBE) due to AI competition [4] - Cloud company CoreWeave (CRWV) received an upgrade from D.A. Davidson, and Palantir Technologies (PLTR) saw increased options activity from bullish investors [4] Upcoming Earnings Season - The first earnings season of 2026 is set to begin next week, with major banks including Bank of America (BAC), Citigroup (C), Goldman Sachs (GS), JPMorgan Chase (JPM), Morgan Stanley (MS), PNC (PNC), and Wells Fargo (WFC) expected to report [5]

President Trump’s latest housing affordability bet calls for mortgage giants Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac to buy $200 billion of mortgage bonds, a move that aims to help push mortgage rates below 6%. “I am instructing my Representatives to BUY $200 BILLION DOLLARS IN MORTGAGE BONDS. This will drive Mortgage Rates DOWN, monthly payments DOWN, and make the cost of owning a home more affordable,” Trump posted on Truth Social on Thursday. Read more: When will mortgage rates go down? The trend into 2026. The ...

On CNBC's “Halftime Report Final Trades,” on Thursday, Sarat Sethi, DCLA managing partner and portfolio manager, named Morgan Stanley (NYSE:MS), saying, “I think you got great tailwinds in the wealth management business.”According to recent reports, Morgan Stanley announced plans to launch a digital wallet in the second half of 2026, expanding its push into digital assets and blockchain-based financial infrastructure. JPMorgan analyst Kian Abouhossein maintained a Neutral rating on Morgan Stanley and raised ...

IEEPA adherence and refunds in focus Copy link to section The case centres on whether the Trump administration lawfully relied on the International Emergency Economic Powers Act of 1977 to impose wide-ranging duties on US trading partners. The court has indicated on its website that Friday is scheduled as an opinion day, when it typically releases decisions in argued cases. While there is no certainty that the tariff case will be among them, the timing marks the first opportunity for the justices to rule on ...

Group 1: Eurozone Banking Liquidity - The European Central Bank (ECB) reported no overnight borrowings, with 2495.58 billion euros deposited in its overnight deposit facility, indicating robust liquidity in the eurozone banking system [2][8]. Group 2: Rio Tinto and Glencore Merger - Rio Tinto is considering retaining coal assets if it successfully acquires Glencore, which could create a mining giant with an enterprise value exceeding $260 billion [3][4]. - This potential acquisition marks a strategic shift for Rio Tinto, which had divested its last coal mine in 2018, highlighting complexities in decarbonization strategies within the mining sector [4]. Group 3: Alphabet Inc. Price Target Adjustment - Scotiabank raised its price target for Alphabet Inc. to $336 from $310, maintaining an "Outperform" rating, reflecting continued analyst confidence in the company's performance and growth prospects [7][9]. - The upgrade follows previous positive assessments, with Scotiabank having raised Alphabet's price target to $310 from $240 in October 2025, citing a recovery in the advertising business and strong YouTube performance [10].

受 全球金融环境宽松、美元走软以及主要央行采取更宽松政策立场 推动。全球债务持续高增长引发关注。 2025年全球经济发展呈现出 鲜明的"分化与韧性并存"特征，主要国家和地区在面对地缘政治冲 突、债务高企、AI技术革命等多重挑战时，展现出不同的发展策略 与主旋律。 在此背景下，2026年全球经济将面临更加复杂的债务扩 张 挑 战 ， 各 国 将 采 取 差 异 化 应 对 策 略 ， 这 不 仅 会 影 响 全 球 经 济 格 局，也将重塑各国的政策选择与发展路径。 为此《清华金融评论》 编辑部特地展开征稿活动 。 《清华金融评论》 2026 年第2 期专题 债务水平的剧烈波动也会引发金融市场的动荡。投资者对债务可持续性的担忧，会转化为抛售行为，然而收益率上升也意 味着融资成本的增加，最后形成一个"担忧→抛售→收益率上升→债务恶化→更担忧"的恶性循环，这极可能成为引爆金融 危机的导火索。全球债务链条中，新兴市场无疑是最脆弱的一环。 为此，《清华金融评论》编辑部特地展开征稿活动，就 全球债务持续高增长 展开征稿。 探讨当债务膨胀速度系统性快于 经济产出时，各国如何在稳增长、防风险与保民生之间寻求再平衡，并分析高利 ...

Big changes for PF withdrawal soonThe EPFO is planning to offer over 30 crore beneficiaries the chance to instantly withdraw money from their Provident Fund accounts using the BHIM app. The initiative is expected to be rolled out in the next two to three months. Under the new initiative, you'll be able to claim PF advances under any permissible category, such as health, education and special circumstances. For now, this feature will only work on BHIM, but could expand to other UPI apps later.After the claim ...

炒股就看金麒麟分析师研报，权威，专业，及时，全面，助您挖掘潜力主题机会！ 天风研究 12月市场先抑后扬，年末上证收获11连阳，直至4000点关口，整体呈现持续向上格局。12月美联储如期 实施降息，且若26年美联储新任主席履职，货币政策路径或将更加清晰，全球市场流动性有望持续改 善。国内方面，12月底中央经济工作会议顺利召开，新一轮稳增长的增量政策正逐步落地，叠加26年权 益市场的春节效应及全国两会政策预期，市场风险偏好或进一步抬升，新一轮行情或已进入展开阶段。 微观流动性层面，股票型ETF大幅净流入，两融余额再度回升，机构和个人新增开户数同比均大幅增 加，交易脉冲指标也出现小幅上涨，市场正步入新一轮交易脉冲的启动窗口。 公募基金：偏股新发份额回落。12月新成立偏股型公募基金份额590.14亿份，较前月新发716.44亿份减 少126.29亿份，处于近3年来86.11%分位，12月权益新基发行量环比回落。分结构来看，主动型偏股12 月新发份额150.51亿，较上月环比下降104.49亿；被动型偏股新发份额302.49亿，较上月环比上升13.56 亿。12月存量股票型ETF净申购额为937.89亿元，较前月环比增 ...