Core Viewpoint - Analysts project that Nucor (NUE) will report quarterly earnings of $2.62 per share, reflecting a 2.2% decline year over year, while revenues are expected to increase by 4.1% to $8.41 billion [1] Earnings Estimates - The consensus EPS estimate has been adjusted downward by 0.2% over the past 30 days, indicating a reassessment by covering analysts [1][2] Revenue Projections - 'Net sales to external customers - Steel products' are estimated at $2.53 billion, down 6.5% year over year - 'Net sales to external customers - Steel mills' are projected to reach $5.36 billion, up 10.3% from the previous year - 'Net sales to external customers - Raw materials' are expected to be $517.16 million, reflecting a slight increase of 0.2% year over year [4] Sales Volume Estimates - 'Sales Tons to outside customer (Steel) - Total Steel Mills' is expected to reach 5,255 thousand tons, compared to 4,617 thousand tons in the same quarter last year - 'Sales in Tons Outside Customers - Total steel products' is projected at 1,106 thousand tons, up from 1,074 thousand tons year over year [5] Price Projections - 'Average Steel Product Price per ton' is estimated at $2,284 per tonne, down from $2,517 per tonne year over year - 'Average sales price per ton (Steel) - Total Steel Mills' is expected to be $1,024 per tonne, compared to $1,051 per tonne in the same quarter last year [6] Segment-Specific Sales Estimates - 'Sales Tons to outside customer (Steel) - Sheet' is projected at 2,508 thousand tons, down from 2,869 thousand tons year over year - 'Sales Tons to outside customer (Steel) - Bars' is expected to reach 1,698 thousand tons, compared to 2,005 thousand tons in the previous year [7] - 'Sales Tons to outside customer (Steel) - Structural' is estimated at 487 thousand tons, down from 512 thousand tons year over year - 'Sales Tons to outside customer (Steel) - Plate' is projected at 574 thousand tons, up from 448 thousand tons in the same quarter last year [8] Cost Estimates - 'Average scrap cost per ton' is expected to be $389 per tonne, compared to $396 per tonne in the same quarter last year [9] Stock Performance - Nucor shares have returned +12.2% over the past month, outperforming the Zacks S&P 500 composite's +5.9% change, with a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold) indicating expected performance in line with the overall market [10]

Industry Overview - Steel industry is booming in Mississippi County, Arkansas [1] Challenges - A significant challenge is attracting steelworkers to relocate to its rural towns [1]

美国和日本同意维持50%的钢铁关税。（NHK） ...

NHK：日美双方同意维持目前50%的钢铁和铝材关税。 ...

Steel Dynamics Inc. NASDAQ: STLD is holding on to slim gains after it reported its second quarter 2025 earnings after the market closed on July 21. The pullback comes after a gain of nearly 3% after the earnings report. Steel Dynamics TodaySTLDSteel Dynamics$131.54 -2.99 (-2.22%) 52-Week Range$103.17▼$155.56Dividend Yield1.52%P/E Ratio17.38Price Target$149.33Add to WatchlistThe post-earnings gain was consistent with other basic materials stocks that had a strong opening to the week. This was particularly t ...

Core Viewpoint - Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. has gained renewed confidence from Wall Street after better-than-expected Q2 2025 results, leading to an upgrade by KeyBanc Capital Markets to Overweight with a price forecast of $14 [1][5]. Financial Performance - The company reported a narrower adjusted loss of $0.50 per share for Q2 2025, beating expectations, with revenue of $4.93 billion [2]. - Steel shipments reached a record 4.3 million net tons, although the average selling price declined. Cost-cutting measures reduced steel unit costs by $15 per ton [3]. - Adjusted EBITDA turned positive at $97 million, and the company lowered its 2025 capital expenditure and SG&A guidance, expecting further cost improvements in the second half [3]. Strategic Insights - CEO Lourenco Goncalves highlighted strong domestic steel demand, a healthy order book, and supportive policy from the Trump administration. The end of a loss-making slab supply deal is expected to enhance margins and accelerate free cash flow and debt reduction [4]. - The upgrade reflects increased confidence in Cleveland-Cliffs' cost-cutting efforts and operational efficiencies, particularly in the high-margin automotive segment, alongside favorable trade protections and reshoring trends [5]. Future Outlook - The analyst revised the 2025 outlook, projecting EBITDA of $419 million, more than double the previous estimate. For Q3 2025, EBITDA expectations were raised to $197 million from $123 million, aided by an additional $20 per ton in cost savings [6]. - For 2026, EPS forecast was raised to $0.42 and EBITDA to $1.86 billion, with potential for EBITDA to exceed $2 billion if U.S. and Canadian steel prices outperform expectations [7]. Valuation and Asset Management - Valuation remains attractive, with shares trading at about 7x 2026 EV/EBITDA, within historical norms. The $14 price forecast reflects a multiple toward the higher end of that range, considering potential asset sales and stronger steel pricing [8]. - The company is exploring non-core asset divestitures, engaging J.P. Morgan to lead the sales process for idle properties, which could yield "billions of dollars" and enhance financial flexibility and shareholder returns [9].

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company reported a net income of $299 million or $2.01 per diluted share for Q2 2025, with adjusted EBITDA of $533 million [13][19] - Revenue for Q2 2025 was $4.6 billion, exceeding the previous quarter due to higher realized pricing [13] - Operating income increased by 39% sequentially to $383 million, driven by steel metal spread expansion [14] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Steel operations generated operating income of $382 million in Q2, over 65% higher sequentially, despite a decline in flat rolled shipments [14][15] - Metal recycling operations reported operating income of $21 million, $4 million lower than the previous quarter due to lower ferrous pricing [15] - Steel fabrication achieved operating income of $93 million, lower than Q1 due to increased substrate costs [16] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The domestic steel industry operated at an estimated production utilization rate of 77%, while the company's mills operated at 85% [28] - Coated flat rolled steel volume and pricing compressed due to an inventory overhang related to imports [29] - The company is the largest North American metals recycler for ferrous and nonferrous metals, with ongoing growth in supplier relationships [15][27] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on sustainability, with a target to reduce greenhouse gas emissions intensity by 15% by 2030 [21][22] - The aluminum operations are expected to ramp up production, with a projected EBITDA breakeven before the end of 2025 [18][45] - The company aims to leverage its competitive position in the aluminum market, which is experiencing a domestic supply deficit [39][41] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed optimism about the steel demand and pricing dynamics, citing ongoing onshoring activities and infrastructure spending [35][47] - The company anticipates a significant increase in profitability for the aluminum operations in the second half of 2025 [18][90] - Management highlighted the importance of maintaining a strong safety culture and operational reliability [12][37] Other Important Information - The company repaid $400 million in senior notes and ended the quarter with liquidity of $1.9 billion [19] - Capital investments for the second half of 2025 are expected to be around $400 million, primarily for aluminum and biocarbon projects [19][20] - The company has a strong cash flow generation capability, with free cash flow increasing from an average of $540 million to $3 billion over the past five years [20] Q&A Session Summary Question: Insights on the aluminum business and utilization rates - Management confirmed that there is no material change in expectations for aluminum operations, with confidence in achieving EBITDA positivity in the second half of the year [54][57] Question: Sinton mill's EBITDA performance - Management did not disclose specific financial metrics for Sinton but indicated significant improvement compared to Q1, with expectations for further increases in the second half [60][62] Question: Market environment for aluminum ramp-up - Management noted a positive market environment for aluminum, with a growing supply deficit and strong customer interest [65][68] Question: Impact of tariffs on pig iron sourcing - Management clarified that their long products mills do not use pig iron, and they are monitoring the tariff situation closely [72][74] Question: Benefits of biocarbon - Biocarbon is expected to reduce carbon footprint by up to 35% and could potentially replace a significant portion of anthracite usage in steelmaking [83][84]

Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The second quarter 2025 net income was $299 million, or $2.01 per diluted share, with adjusted EBITDA of $533 million [13] - Revenue for the second quarter 2025 was $4.6 billion, exceeding first quarter results due to higher realized deal pricing [13] - Operating income for the second quarter was $383 million, a 39% increase from the first quarter, driven by steel metal spread expansion [14] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Steel operations generated operating income of $382 million in the second quarter, over 65% higher sequentially due to an increase in average realized pricing [14] - Metal recycling operations reported operating income of $21 million, $4 million lower than the first quarter due to lower realized ferrous pricing [15] - Steel fabrication achieved operating income of $93 million, lower than the first quarter due to increased steel substrate costs [16] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Domestic steel industry operated at an estimated production utilization rate of 77%, while the company's steel mills operated at a higher rate of 85% [28] - Coated flat rolled steel volume and pricing compressed during the quarter due to an inventory overhang related to imports [29] - North American automotive production estimates for 2025 were revised downward, but the company's specific automotive customer base remained stable [32] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on sustainability and has set emissions intensity targets aligned with the Paris Agreement [21] - The aluminum operations are expected to ramp up production, with a goal of achieving monthly EBITDA positive results before the end of 2025 [17] - The company aims to leverage its position as the largest North American metals recycler to enhance its competitive advantage [15][26] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in achieving increased profitability in the third quarter, driven by higher volume and value-added product mix [92] - The company anticipates a meaningful positive shift in financial performance for the Sinton facility for the remainder of the year [37] - Management remains optimistic about steel demand and pricing dynamics, supported by ongoing onshoring activities and infrastructure spending [35] Other Important Information - The company repurchased $200 million of its common stock in the second quarter, representing over 1% of outstanding shares [19] - The company has a liquidity position of $1.9 billion, including cash and short-term investments [18] - The first biocarbon production facility is expected to begin production in the coming months, potentially reducing greenhouse gas emissions by 35% [22] Q&A Session Summary Question: Insights on aluminum business and EBITDA profitability - Management confirmed that there is no material change in expectations for aluminum operations achieving EBITDA positivity in the second half of the year [55][58] Question: Sinton mill's EBITDA generation - Management did not disclose specific EBITDA figures for Sinton but indicated significant improvement compared to the first quarter [61][62] Question: Market environment for aluminum ramp-up - Management noted a positive market environment with a growing supply deficit for aluminum, which is beneficial for the company [65][66] Question: Tariff exposure and pig iron sourcing - Management clarified that their long products mills do not use pig iron and emphasized their ability to manage supply chain challenges effectively [73][75] Question: Benefits of biocarbon - Management explained that biocarbon will allow for a reduction in carbon footprint and could potentially replace a portion of anthracite usage in steelmaking [84][86]

Key Takeaways CLF reported a Q2 adjusted loss of 50 cents per share, narrower than the expected loss of 68 cents. Revenue fell 3.1% to $4.93B but topped estimates, driven by $4.8B in Steelmaking revenues. CLF's selling prices fell around 9.8% year over year while volumes rose 7.5%.Cleveland-Cliffs Inc.’s (CLF) second-quarter 2025 adjusted loss was 50 cents per share.  The figure was narrower than the Zacks Consensus Estimate of a loss of 68 cents. It had reported earnings of 11 cents in the prior-year qua ...

Financial Performance - Steel Dynamics reported a net income of $299 million[12], with diluted earnings per share (EPS) of $2.01[12] - The company's adjusted EBITDA was $533 million, representing a 12% margin[12] - Steel Dynamics generated $302 million in cash flow from operations[12] - The company repurchased 1.1% of its outstanding shares, amounting to $200 million[12] - Net sales reached $4.6 billion[12] Operational Highlights - Steel average external sales price per ton was $1,134, a 14% sequential increase[16] - Total steel shipments amounted to 3,350 thousand tons[16] - Ferrous recycling shipments reached 1,597 thousand gross tons[16] - Nonferrous recycling shipments totaled 246 million pounds[16] Strategic Investments and Growth - The company is ramping up operations at its new Sinton, Texas flat roll steel mill, a $1.9 billion greenfield investment[34] - Steel Dynamics is investing $2.7 billion in a greenfield aluminum flat roll mill with a production capacity of 650,000 tonnes[34] - The company is investing approximately $300 million in a biocarbon production facility with a planned capacity of 228,000 metric tons[34] Sustainability - Steel Dynamics aims to reduce Scope 1 steelmaking GHG emissions by as much as 35% with its biocarbon investment[34, 80] - The company increased its use of renewable electrical energy to 14% within its steel mills[52]