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宏观快评:6月通胀数据点评:从实际库存角度观察PPI
Huachuang Securities· 2025-07-10 05:43
宏观研究 证 券 研 究 报 告 【宏观快评】6 月通胀数据点评 从实际库存角度观察 PPI 事 项 6 月,CPI 同比上涨 0.1%,预期持平,前值下降 0.1%;核心 CPI 同比上涨 0.7%, 前值上涨 0.6%。PPI 同比下降 3.6%,预期下降 3.2%,前值下降 3.3%。 主要观点 6 月物价数据简评:四个要点 1、预计二季度 GDP 平减指数同比约-0.9%,一季度为-0.8%。二季度 CPI 同 比-0.03%,较一季度的-0.1%略有好转;不过,PPI 同比-3.2%,较一季度的-2.3% 有所回落,商品房售价同比也较一季度有所下行。预计二季度名义 GDP 增速 约 4.4%,一季度为 4.6%。 2、本月 PPI 低于预期,也弱于 PMI 价格和高频价格的指引,可能有两个因 素:第一,高频的原材料价格向 PPI 相关行业的传导需要时间,并且若在需求 偏弱背景下,企业的实际交易价格可能低于市场报价。第二,PMI 价格中并未 包含采矿和公用事业,而"绿电增加"导致本月电热供应 PPI 环比跌 0.9%。 3、CPI 环比-0.1%,重点关注:1)毕业季租房需求有所增加,房租上涨 0.1 ...
六月居民消费价格指数同比由降转涨
Ren Min Ri Bao· 2025-07-09 22:17
PPI环比下降0.4%,降幅与上月相同。董莉娟表示,影响PPI环比下降的主要原因,一是国内部分原材料 制造业价格季节性下行,二是绿电增加带动能源价格下降,三是一些出口占比较高的行业价格承压。 受环比下降及对比基数变动影响,PPI同比降幅比上月扩大0.3个百分点,但随着各项宏观政策加力实 施,部分行业供需关系有所改善,价格呈企稳回升态势。全国统一大市场建设纵深推进,带动部分行业 价格同比降幅收窄。6月份,汽柴油车整车制造、新能源车整车制造价格环比分别上涨0.5%和0.3%,同 比降幅比上月分别收窄1.9个和0.4个百分点。提振消费相关政策加力扩围,带动部分生活资料价格同比 回升。此外,新动能积聚,带动部分高技术行业价格同比上涨。 (文章来源:人民日报) 记者从国家统计局获悉:今年6月份,扩内需、促消费政策持续显效,居民消费价格指数(CPI)同比 由上月下降转为上涨0.1%;扣除食品和能源价格的核心CPI同比继续回升,上涨0.7%。工业生产者出厂 价格指数(PPI)环比下降0.4%,同比下降3.6%。 CPI同比上涨0.1%,为连续下降4个月后转涨。国家统计局城市司首席统计师董莉娟分析,这主要受工 业消费品价格有 ...
华源晨会-20250709
Hua Yuan Zheng Quan· 2025-07-09 13:53
证券研究报告 晨会 hyzqdatemark 2025 年 07 月 09 日 投资要点: 资料来源:聚源,华源证券研究所,截至2025年07月09日 华源晨会精粹 20250709 固定收益 美降息预期回落,国内债基久期继续上升——利率周报:中观高频数据: 经济修复呈现"弱复苏中的结构性亮点"的格局。消费市场复苏动能分化;货运量 保持韧性,出口指标承压;基建相关行业扩张,化工链阶段性调整;商品房成交量 分化;大宗商品价格承压。机构行为:截至 7 月 6 日,理财公司公募理财产品破净 率约为 0.86%,较年初下降 1.11pct,当前破净率的年内百分位已低于 10%。截至 7 月 4 日,本周债基久期继续上升,我们估算利率债中长期债基久期平均数自 4 月初 以来快速走高,7 月 4 日测算约 5.2 年,信用债中长期债基久期平均数自 5 月中旬以 来持续窄幅震荡,7 月 4 日测算约 2.2 年。三季度利率债预计窄幅震荡,继续看多收 益率 2%以上的长久期城投债及资本债。7 月理财规模预计大幅增长,看多长久期下 沉的城投及资本债,看多城投点心债及美元债,力推民生、渤海、恒丰银行永续债, 关注保险次级债机会。 ...
【新华解读】6月份我国CPI同比增速“转正”怎么看?
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2025-07-09 11:53
新华财经北京7月9日电 居民消费价格指数(CPI)同比由降转涨:核心CPI同比涨幅创近14个月以来新 高……6月份,我国多项物价指标表现向好,向市场传递需求改善的积极信号。 政策对于核心CPI的拉动效果尤为明显。广开首席产业研究院首席金融研究员王运金注意到,我国核心 CPI同比连续4个月上涨,由2月的-0.1%涨至6月的0.7%。 从国家统计局公布的数据来看,6月份,我国文娱耐用消费品、家用纺织品和家用器具价格同比分别上 涨2.0%、2.0%和1.0%;汽车价格降幅逐步收窄,燃油小汽车和新能源小汽车价格本月同比分别下降 3.4%和2.5%,降幅分别为近28个月和26个月最小。这些消费品类均属于核心CPI的统计范畴。 "我国消费品以旧换新补贴、提振消费专项行动等政策稳步推进,对扩大消费起到了较好促进作用。"王 运金说。 国家统计局9日发布的数据显示,6月份,我国CPI同比上涨0.1%,结束了这一指标连续4个月的下行走 势;环比下降0.1%,降幅比上月收窄0.1个百分点;扣除食品和能源价格的核心CPI同比上涨0.7%,涨幅 较上月进一步扩大0.1个百分点,创近14个月以来新高。 CPI同比数据是衡量通货膨胀或紧缩 ...
CPI边际改善,PPI持续承压
Cai Jing Wang· 2025-07-09 06:08
Group 1: CPI Marginal Improvement - In June, the CPI showed a marginal improvement with a year-on-year increase of 0.1%, reversing a three-month trend of -0.1%, primarily driven by rising domestic fuel prices and a rebound in durable goods prices [2] - Food prices performed better than seasonal averages, with fresh vegetable prices increasing by 0.7% month-on-month, compared to a historical average decline of -3.9% [2] - Energy prices saw a month-on-month increase of 0.1% in June, recovering from a previous decline of -1.7%, influenced by rising international oil prices due to geopolitical tensions [2][3] Group 2: PPI Continued Pressure - The PPI decreased by 0.4% month-on-month in June, marking the seventh consecutive month of negative growth, with a year-on-year decline of 3.6%, the largest drop since August 2023 [4] - The decline in production material prices was a significant factor, with a month-on-month decrease of 0.6%, compared to a historical average of -0.1% [4] - Life goods prices remained sluggish, with a month-on-month decrease of 0.1%, reflecting weak seasonal performance [4] Group 3: Future Price Outlook - CPI is expected to show a mild recovery, with an annual increase projected around 0%, higher than the first half's average of -0.1% [5] - Core CPI is anticipated to rise by approximately 0.6% for the year, supported by policies aimed at improving supply-demand structures [6] - PPI is expected to remain under pressure, with an annual decline projected at around -2.3%, an improvement from the first half's -2.8% [6] Group 4: International and Domestic Commodity Trends - Internationally, commodity prices are expected to show increased divergence and reduced volatility, with oil prices likely to continue declining due to OPEC+ production increases and weakening global demand [7] - Domestically, weak internal demand persists, particularly in real estate and infrastructure investments, which are not expected to drive resource prices upward [7] - The manufacturing sector is facing challenges with low capacity utilization, indicating a phase of oversupply in certain industries [7]
宏和电子材料科技股份有限公司股票交易风险提示公告
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-07-08 18:47
证券代码: 603256 证券简称:宏和科技公告编号:2025-043 宏和电子材料科技股份有限公司 股票交易风险提示公告 本公司董事会及全体董事保证本公告内容不存在任何虚假记载、误导性陈述或者重大遗漏,并对其内容 的真实性、准确性和完整性承担个别及连带责任。 重要内容提示: ● 宏和电子材料科技股份有限公司(以下简称"公司")股票于2025年7月3日、2025年7月4日、2025年7 月7日连续三个交易日内日收盘价格涨幅偏离值累计超过20%,属于股票交易异常波动情形,公司已于 2025年7月8日披露了《宏和电子材料科技股份有限公司股票交易异常波动公告》(公告编号:2025- 042)。 登录新浪财经APP 搜索【信披】查看更多考评等级 公司主要从事中高端电子级玻璃纤维布、电子级玻璃纤维纱的研发、生产和销售。截至本公告披露日, 公司主营业务未发生重大变化,目前生产经营活动正常,不存在影响公司股票交易异常波动的重大事 项。 (二)媒体报道、市场传闻、热点概念情况 近日,公司关注到部分媒体将公司列为"PCB概念"。公司主要产品电子级玻璃纤维布是PCB的基础材料 之一,公司长期专注于主要产品的研发、生产与销售,主营 ...
ST奥维资金被关联方占用 1.84亿元逾期未还
Zhong Guo Jing Ying Bao· 2025-07-08 10:17
Core Viewpoint - ST Ovi (002231.SZ) has not repaid a significant amount of non-operating funds occupied by its shareholders and related parties, totaling 184 million yuan as of June 30, 2025 [1][4]. Group 1: Non-Operating Fund Occupation - As of the end of 2024, the balance of occupied funds was 208 million yuan, which was adjusted to 197 million yuan after accounting for repayments and other factors [3]. - In January 2025, Shanghai Donghexin and its related parties occupied an additional 43.75 million yuan through prepayment for raw material purchases [3]. - By June 30, 2025, only 60.045 million yuan had been repaid in cash, despite previous commitments to repay all occupied funds by the end of June 2025 [4]. Group 2: Legal Actions and Repayment Plans - ST Ovi has initiated civil lawsuits against related parties to recover 81.866 million yuan and is considering further legal actions, including criminal reports [4]. - The company has communicated with Shanghai Donghexin and its actual controllers to develop a feasible repayment plan [4]. Group 3: Financial Performance - ST Ovi has reported losses for three consecutive years, with net losses of 53.182 million yuan in 2022, 34.2048 million yuan in 2023, and 46.1147 million yuan in 2024 [5]. - Despite a 68.93% increase in revenue to 291 million yuan in 2024, the company experienced a 34.82% decline in net profit due to significant credit impairment losses and inventory write-downs [5]. - In the first quarter of 2025, ST Ovi's revenue dropped by 77.92% to 22.4977 million yuan, with a net loss of 6.3394 million yuan, a 57.48% decline year-on-year [6].
机构调研、股东增持与公司回购策略周报-20250707
Yuan Da Xin Xi· 2025-07-07 14:59
Group 1: Institutional Research Highlights - The top twenty companies with the most institutional research in the past 30 days include Ice Wheel Environment, Boshi Jie's, Jun Ding Da, Huichuan Technology, and Dazhu Laser[5] - In the last five days, the most researched companies include Hu Dian Co., Guilin Sanjin, Ice Wheel Environment, Mankalon, and Xingrong Environment[5] - Among the top twenty companies in the past 30 days, five had ten or more rating agencies, namely Ice Wheel Environment, Boshi Jie's, Jun Ding Da, Huichuan Technology, and Dazhu Laser[5] Group 2: Shareholder Increase and Buyback Situations - From June 30 to July 4, 2025, two companies announced significant shareholder increases, both having ten or more rating agencies: Renfu Pharmaceutical and Suzhou Bank[7] - From January 1 to July 4, 2025, 234 companies announced shareholder increases, with 64 having ten or more rating agencies[24] - In the same period, 288 companies announced buyback progress, with 78 having ten or more rating agencies, including Xiamen Xiangyu, Huafa Shares, Changhong Meiling, Pingmei Shares, and Mengbaihe[28] Group 3: Financial Metrics and Recommendations - The average expected buyback amount as a percentage of the market value on the announcement date exceeded 1% for companies like Xiamen Xiangyu (6.42%), Huafa Shares (3.21%), and Changhong Meiling (3.03%)[29] - For the year 2025, 1,573 companies announced buyback progress, with 345 having ten or more rating agencies, and 93 companies had a buyback amount exceeding 1% of their market value[30]
投资5000万!这一合成生物企业千吨级生物基产品生产线项目公示!
synbio新材料· 2025-07-07 10:17
点击上方图片,免费报名参会 声明: 因水平有限,错误不可避免,或有些信息非最及时,欢迎留言指出。本文由作者重新编写,仅作新材料相关领域介绍,本文 不构成任何投资建议!转载请注明来源! 近日,关于 肆芃生物新材料(南通)有限公司 千吨级生物基产品生产线(1,3-PDO、乳酸钙、香兰 素、唾液酸加工项目)在相关网站公示。 项目情况 项目 名 称: 千吨级生物基产品生产线(1,3-PDO(1,3-丙二醇)、乳酸钙、香兰素、唾液酸加工项目) 肆芃生物新材料(南通)有限公司为上海肆芃科技有限公司全资子公司,上海肆芃成立于2022年5月, 是一家聚焦于负碳合成生物学的新型科技公司。公司由上海交通大学科学家团队领衔创立,依托微生物 代谢国家重点实验室,核心突破包括全球唯一的二氧化碳一步法合成聚乳酸(PLA)技术,实现非粮原 料替代及70%碳减排。已与安琪酵母合作建成千吨级生产线,产品覆盖生物基多元醇、可降解塑料等, 2024年完成近亿元Pre-A轮融资。 资料来源: --公示信息 项目性质: 新建 建设单位: 肆芃生物新材料(南通)有限公司 建设地点: 如皋高新技术产业开发区如皋电子信息及泛半导体产业园(东区),皋加速科创 ...
泰鹏环保由董事长刘建三等7人控股57%,董秘兼财务负责人为大专学历
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-07-07 03:46
瑞财经 吴文婷近日,山东泰鹏环保材料股份有限公司(以下简称"泰鹏环保")北交所IPO申请获受理,保荐机构为招商证券股份有限公司,保荐代表人为崔 永锋、郑立伟,会计师事务所为容诚会计师事务所(特殊普通合伙)。 泰鹏环保主要从事各类非织造材料的研发、生产及销售,主要产品包括纺粘非织造布、针刺非织造布、高温过滤材料等。公司产品广泛用于过滤与分离、工 业用材、土工与建筑等领域。 据招股书,2022年-2024年,泰鹏环保实现营收分别为3.37亿元、3.28亿元、4.09亿元;归母净利润分别为3100.98万元、2868.39万元、5664.42万元。 | 项目 | 2024年12月6日 | 2023年12月31日 | 2022年12月31日 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | /2024年度 | /2023年度 | /2022年度 | | 资产总计(元) | 591,544,107.61 | 545,727,273.28 | 544,219,561.09 | | 股东权益合计(元) | 361,325,463.24 | 316,511,289.09 | 295,019,422.02 | | ...