indices all coming off their second positive week in three. The Dow and the S&P with their best week since August. Joining us with his outlook this morning, HSBC chief multiasset strategist Max Kentner.Max, good to see you again. What do you think is driving some of this short-term enthusiasm. It's I mean, without data, we don't have as many Fed conversations, but certainly earnings are beginning to heat up.Yeah, I think it's uh really the earnings side of things because when we look at earnings expectation ...

Group 1: Portfolio Performance - The portfolio did not benefit from the small-cap run due to a lack of companies with earnings, particularly in sectors like uranium and quantum computing, and was negatively impacted by the bankruptcies of First Brands and Tricolor [1][2] - The portfolio experienced a positive shift when Fed Chair Jerome Powell indicated a likely path towards lower interest rates [1] Group 2: Bankruptcy Impact - First Brands, an auto-parts company, filed for bankruptcy protection, while Tricolor opted for Chapter 7 liquidation, revealing issues with collateral that may have been fraudulently double-pledged [2] - The bankruptcies have adversely affected the banking sector, especially small regional banks, as the weak economy has led consumers to be more selective in their spending, impacting the auto sector [2] Group 3: Financial Sector Analysis - Fifth Third Bancorp had to write off 100% of a $200 million asset-backed loan to Tricolor, yet reported strong third-quarter results despite this write-off [5] - Concerns exist regarding potential systemic issues in the banking sector, with fears of fraud and lax underwriting standards being highlighted [6][18] Group 4: Credit Cycle and Economic Outlook - The current situation is not expected to lead to a financial crisis similar to 2008, as the banking system is fundamentally sound, and the issues are seen as isolated rather than systemic [10][13] - The performance of major banks has been strong, with robust investment banking and trading results, indicating a potential M&A boom [12] Group 5: Fiscal Stability and Interest Rates - Recent data suggests an improvement in U.S. government finances, with a budget surplus of $198 billion in September 2025, indicating a more sustainable financial path [19] - This fiscal improvement is expected to exert downward pressure on U.S. Treasury rates, potentially lowering the 10-year Treasury rate to around 3.5% by the end of 2026 [19]

Group 1 - Major U.S. equities indexes, including the Dow, S&P 500, and Nasdaq, experienced gains as regional bank stocks rebounded following a series of corporate earnings reports [2][5] - American Express shares rose after the company reported quarterly results that exceeded analysts' expectations and improved its outlook due to increased customer usage of its high-end credit cards [3][5] - Truist Financial also reported better-than-expected results driven by higher wealth management fees and interest income, resulting in a rise in its share price [3] Group 2 - Shares of Newmont and other gold miners declined as the price of gold, which had been reaching record highs, experienced a pullback [4] - U.S.-listed shares of Novo Nordisk and Eli Lilly fell after comments from President Trump indicated intentions to reduce prices for popular weight-loss drugs [4][5]

It's earnings season and you know what that means. We're looking at some more earnings charts again. The earnings allstars videos are back and this week we're leading off with the big banks, but a bunch of other companies are also reporting that are in the mix for the industrial side, the just regular financial side.Um, energy, we're going to find out a lot about what's going on in the economy. We already have from fast and all. They have already reported by the time I'm recording this and they were showing ...

Market Overview - The S&P experienced significant volatility with a drop of 200 points followed by a recovery of about 105 points, indicating a seasonal pullback after a long period of low volatility [1][2] - October is noted for having more 1% moves than any other month, suggesting a historical pattern of increased volatility during this time [3] Market Performance - The market had a streak of 33 trading days without a 1% move, the longest since before COVID-19, indicating a period of stability that was likely due for a correction [1][2] - Historical data shows that after a 36% rally in 6 weeks, a pullback may be expected, as indicated by the current market conditions [6][7] Sector Analysis - Certain sectors such as regional banks and housing are lagging, while high-yield credit is showing signs of weakness, raising concerns about market internals [5][6] - Despite some weaknesses, the overall sentiment remains optimistic, with expectations of continued growth in the bull market [8][9] Bull Market Insights - The current bull market is noted to be strong, having gained over 35% in the last 6 months, with historical trends suggesting that such gains typically lead to further increases one year later [8][9] - The average duration of bull markets that reach a similar point is around 8 years, indicating potential longevity for the current market [9][10] Investment Strategy - The focus remains on sectors that have driven the market, such as industrials, cyclicals, and financials, with a preference for large-cap stocks over small-cap [11][12] - A diversified portfolio is recommended, with an overweight position in equities, particularly in developed international markets [12] Earnings Outlook - Earnings growth for the current quarter is expected to be better than in previous quarters, with positive pre-estimates indicating a more optimistic outlook [13][14] - There is a general expectation that earnings will exceed expectations, reflecting a more favorable sentiment compared to earlier periods [14]

[Music] on Wall Street and now it's market domination overtime. We're giving you full coverage, all the moves. Let's get you up to speed on the action for today's trade.G finances Jared Flickery joining us here to break it all down. Jared, bunch of records to discuss, not in the Dow. We'll start with that.Really just couldn't get off the dime today. And you can see in the intraday price action slightly green on the open but pretty much in the red but not a lot most of the day. The real action was in tech wh ...

Market Performance - The Dow Jones Industrial Average reached a record high, closing up 0.5% or 238 points, while the S&P 500 is also on track for a record close [2][4] - The Russell 2000 small-cap index also achieved a record close, with utilities and healthcare sectors performing well, up 2.5% and nearly 7% respectively [3][4] - The NASDAQ experienced a slight decline, with major tech stocks like Meta and Tesla down approximately 2.25% and 1.5% respectively [4][5] Economic Indicators - Historical data suggests that government shutdowns have minimal impact on market performance, with the market typically rising during shutdown periods [9][10] - The unemployment rate is estimated to be around 4.28%, indicating stability in the labor market despite some concerns about wage growth [27][28] - Alternative data sources suggest that the overall economy is stronger than indicated by traditional payroll reports, with GDP growth estimated close to 3% [28][29] Sector Analysis - The technology sector is expected to lead earnings growth in Q3, with a projected year-on-year increase of 21%, followed by industrials and communication services [17][21] - Financials are also anticipated to report strong earnings, contributing to a general expectation of a 7% gain for the S&P 500 in Q3 [16][21] - Valuations for the S&P 500 are trading at a 42% premium compared to a 20-year history, indicating elevated market conditions [19][20] Consumer Sentiment and Spending - Consumer sentiment is expected to slightly decline in October, reflecting ongoing frustrations with high prices [52] - Upcoming earnings reports from major companies like PepsiCo and Delta Airlines will provide insights into consumer spending trends amid economic uncertainty [51][52] Government and Policy Impact - The ongoing government shutdown is delaying the release of key economic data, prompting reliance on alternative data sources for insights into the job market and inflation [23][24] - The Federal Reserve is expected to maintain a cautious approach to monetary policy, with potential interest rate cuts anticipated in response to economic conditions [14][53]

Core Points - F.N.B. Corporation plans to release its financial results for Q3 2025 on October 16, 2025, after market close [1] - A conference call to discuss the financial results will be held on October 17, 2025, at 8:30 AM ET [1] - The company operates in seven states and the District of Columbia, with total assets nearing $50 billion and approximately 350 banking offices [4][5] Company Overview - F.N.B. Corporation is a diversified financial services company headquartered in Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania [4] - The company provides a full range of commercial banking, consumer banking, and wealth management solutions [5] - F.N.B. Corporation's common stock trades on the NYSE under the symbol "FNB" and is included in the S&P MidCap 400 Index [6]

Company Overview - Regions Financial Corporation (RF) has a market cap of $24 billion and provides a range of banking and bank-related services to individual and corporate customers, including consumer and commercial banking, wealth management, and securities brokerage services [1]. Market Position - RF is classified as a "large-cap stock" due to its market cap exceeding $10 billion, highlighting its size and influence within the regional banks industry [2]. Stock Performance - RF shares are currently trading 2% below their 52-week high of $27.96, achieved on November 25, 2024. Over the past three months, RF stock has gained 24.8%, outperforming the broader Nasdaq Composite's 15% rise [3]. - Over the past 52 weeks, RF has surged 20.6%, although it underperformed compared to the Nasdaq Composite's 27.9% gains. Year-to-date, RF stock has increased 16.5%, slightly outperforming the Nasdaq Composite's 16.4% uptick in 2025 [4]. Recent Developments - On September 16, Regions Bank announced a cut to its prime lending rate from 7.50% to 7.25%, effective September 18, 2025, which resulted in a 1.4% increase in shares during the next trading session [5]. Analyst Sentiment - Wall Street analysts maintain a moderately bullish outlook on RF, with a consensus "Moderate Buy" rating from 27 analysts. The mean price target of $28.64 indicates a potential upside of 4.5% from current price levels [6].

Insider Buying Trends - Insider buying has been below normal in 13 of the past 15 months, with August showing only 26% of purchases compared to sales [3] - Historically, the highest ratio of buys to sells was 2.01 in October 2008 during the Great Recession, indicating that insider buying can signal future recovery [4] Eastman Chemical - Eastman Chemical Co. (EMN) executives, including CEO Mark Costa and CFO McLain William Thomas Jr., made significant purchases of shares on August 27, totaling approximately $502,000 and $252,000 respectively [5] - The stock has fallen 24% this year, impacted by high tariffs on imported materials, yet it has shown profitability for over 30 years [6] - Current valuation is attractive, trading at about nine times earnings and less than one times revenue, suggesting potential for recovery [6] Eli Lilly - Eight executives at Eli Lilly (LLY) bought shares in August, including CEO David Ricks and CFO Lucas Montarce, who spent over $1 million and nearly $495,000 respectively [7] - The stock price has decreased from a high of $942 to around $755, but it trades at a high valuation of 49 times recent earnings and over 12 times revenue, indicating it may be overvalued [8] United Parcel Service - United Parcel Service Inc. (UPS) shares have dropped more than 31% this year, with CEO Carol Tome purchasing over $1 million in August [9] - Despite competitive pressures, UPS maintains a strong return on equity of over 34% and trades for less than 13 times earnings, suggesting potential for future gains [10] First Citizens BancShares - At First Citizens BancShares Inc. (FCNCA), CEO Frank Holding Jr. invested over $1 million in August, alongside four other insiders [11] - The bank has shown improving profits and has consistently achieved a return on assets of 1.0% or better, with the stock trading at a reasonable valuation of 12 times recent earnings [12] Performance of Insider Buying Stocks - Stocks recommended based on insider buying have returned an average of 8.9% over 12 months, underperforming the S&P 500 Total Return Index by 1.8 percentage points [13] - Stocks to avoid despite insider buying have lagged the index by 24 percentage points, while those with ambiguous comments on insider buying have outperformed the index by 14.2 percentage points [14]