期货研究院 新能源产业链日度策略 New Energy Industry Chain daily Report 能源化工团队|有色贵金属与新能源团队 摘要 碳酸锂： 【市场逻辑】 现货方面，周二电池级碳酸锂指数价格77386元/吨，环比上一工作 日下跌870元/吨；电池级碳酸锂7.58-7.92万元/吨，均价7.75万元 /吨，环比上一工作日下跌850元/吨；工业级碳酸锂7. 45-7.59万 元/吨，均价7.52万元/吨，环比上一工作日下跌850元/吨。 碳酸 锂期货价格继续下行，今日最低价已跌破7.3万元/吨关口，下游点 价成交较为活跃。当前正值"金九银十"传统需求旺季，碳酸锂现 货价格持续走低，但下游采购意愿依旧较强，库存周期小幅延长。 供应方面，江西地区锂云母端碳酸锂产量明显收缩，但锂辉石来源 的供应能够弥补部分缺口。整体来看，9月碳酸锂市场呈现供需同 步增长，且需求增速更为显著，预计当月将出现供应偏紧局面。 据SMM，供应方面，上周碳酸锂产量19030吨，较前一周回落108 吨；其中辉石锂周度产量12249吨，环比增加70吨；云母锂周度产 量2500吨，环比回落150吨；盐湖锂周度产量2515吨，环 ...

Core Insights - Guizhou listed companies have shown strong performance in the first half of 2025, with 25 companies reporting profits and 19 companies achieving year-on-year revenue growth, leading to the highest compound growth rates in net profit and revenue nationally over the past five years [1][5] Revenue Growth - Guizhou listed companies achieved a total revenue of 172.85 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, marking a year-on-year increase of 6.03%, ranking 4th nationally and 3rd in the western region, surpassing the provincial GDP growth by 0.73 percentage points [2] - The revenue has maintained continuous positive growth from 2021 to 2025, with a compound growth rate of 11.09%, ranking 2nd nationally [2] Individual Company Performance - Among Guizhou listed companies, 18 firms reported revenues exceeding 1 billion yuan, and 6 companies surpassed 5 billion yuan, with Kweichow Moutai leading at 89.39 billion yuan [4] - 19 companies reported year-on-year revenue growth, with 8 companies achieving double-digit growth; Andar Technology led with a 126.80% increase [4] Profitability - Guizhou listed companies reported a total net profit of 50.26 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, ranking 9th nationally and 2nd in the western region, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 5.37% and a 60.45% increase compared to 2021 [5] - 25 companies reported profits, with Kweichow Moutai again leading at 45.40 billion yuan; 11 companies experienced year-on-year profit growth [6] Research and Development Investment - A total of 33 Guizhou listed companies disclosed R&D expenditures amounting to 2.52 billion yuan, a slight increase of 0.04% year-on-year, and a 70.18% increase compared to 2021 [9] - 24 companies exceeded the national average R&D intensity of 2.12%, with 8 companies surpassing 5% [10] International Expansion - 13 companies reported overseas business income totaling 18.29 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 18.66%, with both the number of participating companies and revenue scale reaching new highs [14] - Zhongwei Co. achieved 10.78 billion yuan in overseas revenue, ranking 7th among western listed companies [15] Shareholder Returns - In the first half of 2025, Guizhou listed companies showed a significant increase in mid-term dividend announcements, with 7 companies disclosing plans totaling 591 million yuan, nearly quadrupling from the previous year [17] - 8 companies engaged in share buybacks, investing a total of 7.14 billion yuan, ranking 6th nationally and 1st in the western region [18] Notable Corporate Actions - Kweichow Moutai announced plans to buy back shares worth between 3 billion and 3.3 billion yuan, demonstrating confidence in its long-term value [21] - Guizhou Tire's major shareholder committed to not reducing their stake in the company for twelve months [21]

Core Viewpoint - The successful financing closure of the nickel-based materials production line project in Morocco by China Export & Credit Insurance Corporation (Sinosure) marks the establishment of the first renewable energy materials base project in Africa backed by Sinosure [1] Group 1: Project Overview - The Morocco project will have an annual production capacity of 40,000 tons of nickel-based materials, contributing to a total capacity of 120,000 tons once fully operational [1] - The products from this project will primarily be sold to markets in North Africa, Europe, and the United States, supporting materials for nearly one million electric vehicles [1] - This project represents the first investment by a Chinese renewable energy materials company on the African continent [1] Group 2: Financing and Support - Sinosure adopted an export buyer's credit model to address the financing needs of the project, focusing on key issues such as project structure, bank selection, and project advancement [1] - The project faced challenges including a large number of business contracts and difficulties in financing coordination, which Sinosure addressed through its integrated export innovation model and industry expertise [1] - A syndicate of seven domestic and foreign banks from China, Europe, and Africa was formed to provide medium to long-term financing support, with the total insured amount reaching $285 million [1]

Core Viewpoint - Greeenmei's upcoming Hong Kong IPO is driven by a pressing need for external financing due to a significant debt gap of nearly 9 billion yuan, despite the company's expanding revenue scale and declining unit value [1][4]. Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, the company reported a revenue of 17.561 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 1.28%, with nearly 60% of this revenue coming from the new energy battery materials business, which grew only 0.56% year-on-year [1][6]. - The company's net profit attributable to shareholders reached 799 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 13.91% [6]. Capital Expenditure and Debt - The company's capital expenditure surged from 1.426 billion yuan in 2020 to 11.938 billion yuan in 2024, with 6.628 billion yuan spent in the first half of 2025 [2]. - As of mid-2025, the company had short-term debts of 14.294 billion yuan and long-term debts of 18.686 billion yuan, while its cash and cash equivalents (excluding restricted funds) totaled only 5.4 billion yuan, indicating a short-term debt gap of nearly 10 billion yuan [4]. Business Model and Operations - The company operates a dual business model focusing on "urban mining" and "new energy materials manufacturing," recovering key mineral resources and electronic waste [1]. - Despite a challenging industry environment, the company achieved a significant increase in production capacity utilization, with an average utilization rate of over 95% in its new energy business in 2024, significantly higher than the industry average [6][7]. Inventory and Financial Health - The company's inventory and prepayments rose sharply from 7.479 billion yuan in 2020 to 16.506 billion yuan by mid-2025, accounting for 94% of its revenue during the same period [7]. - The company's gross margin was reported at 15.29% in 2024, higher than its competitor, Zhongwei, which had a gross margin of 12.12% [7].

Core Insights - Guizhou listed companies have shown significant growth in both revenue and profit, with 25 companies reporting profits and 19 companies achieving year-on-year revenue growth in the first half of 2025 [1][4] - The overall revenue growth rate of Guizhou listed companies outpaced the provincial GDP growth, indicating their increasing influence on the regional economy [1][2] Revenue Performance - In the first half of 2025, Guizhou listed companies achieved a total revenue of 172.85 billion yuan, marking a year-on-year increase of 6.03% and a 52.29% increase compared to the same period in 2021 [2] - The revenue growth rate ranked 4th nationally and 3rd in the western region, exceeding the provincial GDP growth by 0.73 percentage points [2] Profitability - The total net profit for Guizhou listed companies in the first half of 2025 reached 50.26 billion yuan, ranking 9th nationally and 2nd in the western region, with a year-on-year increase of 5.37% and a 60.45% increase compared to 2021 [4] - 71.43% of the companies reported profits, with notable performers like Kweichow Moutai leading with 45.40 billion yuan in net profit [4] Innovation and R&D - Guizhou listed companies have increased their R&D investments, with a total of 2.52 billion yuan spent in the first half of 2025, a slight increase of 0.04% year-on-year and a 70.18% increase compared to 2021 [5] - 33 companies disclosed R&D expenditures, with 6 companies investing over 100 million yuan, led by Zhongwei Co. with 545 million yuan [5] International Expansion - Guizhou listed companies have made significant strides in international markets, with 13 companies reporting overseas revenue of 18.29 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 18.66% [7][8] - Zhongwei Co. reported 10.78 billion yuan in overseas revenue, ranking 7th among western listed companies [8] Shareholder Returns - In the first half of 2025, Guizhou listed companies demonstrated a strong commitment to returning value to shareholders, with 7 companies announcing interim dividend plans totaling 591 million yuan, nearly quadrupling from the previous year [9] - Additionally, 8 companies engaged in share buybacks, investing a total of 7.14 billion yuan, ranking 6th nationally [10]

Core Viewpoint - Greeenme's upcoming Hong Kong IPO is driven by a pressing need for financing due to a significant debt gap of nearly 9 billion, despite the company's expanding revenue. The company's unit value has sharply declined, raising concerns about potential hidden issues in its asset statements [1][5]. Financial Performance - In the first half of 2025, Greenme achieved a revenue of 17.56 billion, a year-on-year increase of 1.28%, with the new energy battery materials business accounting for nearly 60% of total revenue, growing at a mere 0.56% [2][3]. - The company's capital expenditures surged from 1.43 billion in 2020 to 11.94 billion in 2024, with 6.63 billion spent in the first half of 2025 [3][5]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders for the first half of 2025 was 799 million, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 13.91% [10]. Debt and Financing - As of mid-2025, Greenme's short-term debt stood at 14.29 billion and long-term debt at 18.69 billion, while available cash and trading financial assets totaled only 5.4 billion, indicating a short-term debt gap of nearly 10 billion [5]. - The company is heavily reliant on debt for expansion, with financial expenses consuming a significant portion of profits, peaking at 49% of net profit in 2024 [5]. Business Model and Operations - Greenme operates a dual business model of "urban mining and new energy materials manufacturing," focusing on recycling key mineral resources and producing battery materials [2]. - The company has established a comprehensive supply chain for nickel resources, producing high-end battery materials that are widely used in electric vehicles and energy storage [6][7]. Inventory and Production Efficiency - Despite increasing revenue, the efficiency of unit production value has declined, with fixed asset unit values dropping from 2.18 in 2022 to 1.34 in 2024 [10]. - The company reported a high average capacity utilization rate of over 95% in its new energy business, significantly exceeding industry averages, while also experiencing a substantial increase in inventory and prepayments, which rose from 7.48 billion in 2020 to 16.51 billion by mid-2025 [12][14]. Market Position and Strategic Moves - Greenme's new energy materials business saw a revenue increase of 10.24% in 2024, while the urban mining business grew by 3.87% [11]. - The company is seeking to attract strategic investors for its subsidiary in Indonesia to enhance its global competitiveness and integrate deeper into the European and American markets [6][7]. Concerns and Regulatory Issues - There are concerns regarding the high inventory levels and prepayments, which may indicate potential financial engineering practices to defer cost recognition [15]. - The company's auditing firm faced scrutiny for inadequate audit procedures, leading to a change in auditors [16].

Core Viewpoint - Company plans to implement a differentiated cash dividend distribution scheme, distributing a cash dividend of 0.20 CNY per share (including tax) to shareholders [1][2][3] Dividend Distribution Plan - The cash dividend distribution plan was approved at the company's second board meeting on August 19, 2025, and will be based on the total share capital minus shares held in the company's repurchase account [2][3] - The total share capital as of the announcement date is 504,691,083 shares, with 1,170,589 shares in the repurchase account, resulting in 503,520,494 shares eligible for distribution [3] - The total cash dividend to be distributed amounts to 100,704,098.80 CNY (including tax) [3] Dividend Calculation - The reference price for the ex-dividend date will be calculated using the formula: (previous closing price - cash dividend) / (1 + change in circulating shares ratio) [3][4] - Since there is no change in circulating shares, the change in circulating shares ratio is 0, leading to a virtual cash dividend of approximately 0.1995 CNY per share [3][4] Relevant Dates - The key dates for the dividend distribution include the record date, ex-dividend date, and cash dividend payment date [4] Distribution Implementation - Cash dividends will be distributed through the China Securities Depository and Clearing Corporation Limited Shanghai Branch to shareholders registered by the record date [5] - Shares held in the company's repurchase account will not participate in the profit distribution [5] Taxation on Dividends - Individual shareholders holding shares for over one year will be exempt from personal income tax on dividends, while those holding for one year or less will have tax withheld upon stock transfer [6][7] - Qualified Foreign Institutional Investors (QFII) will have a 10% withholding tax on dividends [6][7] - For Hong Kong investors holding shares through the "Shanghai-Hong Kong Stock Connect," a 10% withholding tax will also apply [6][7]

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the news is the performance and financial details of Daoshi Technology, which experienced a 5.04% decline in stock price, reaching 21.48 CNY per share, with a total market capitalization of 16.803 billion CNY [1] - Daoshi Technology, established on September 21, 2007, and listed on December 3, 2014, specializes in the production and sale of building ceramic glaze materials, along with providing related technical services and product design [1] - The company's revenue composition includes 47.44% from other businesses, 34.70% from lithium battery materials, 9.00% from carbon materials, and 8.85% from ceramic materials [1] Group 2 - From the perspective of major circulating shareholders, GF Fund's Guangfa CSI 1000 ETF (560010) increased its holdings by 1.0842 million shares in the second quarter, now holding 3.4301 million shares, which is 0.5% of the circulating shares [2] - The estimated floating loss for Guangfa CSI 1000 ETF today is approximately 3.9103 million CNY [2] - Guangfa CSI 1000 ETF, established on July 28, 2022, has a latest scale of 30.718 billion CNY, with a year-to-date return of 27.06% and a one-year return of 63.57% [2]

Group 1 - TCL Zhonghuan announced the resignation of its board secretary, Hu Wei, due to personal reasons, marking the second change in this position within a year [1][2] - The new board secretary, Li Lina, has a master's degree and extensive experience in capital market information disclosure, having previously served as the securities affairs representative and head of the securities affairs department at TCL Technology Group [1][2] - The frequent changes in the board secretary position raise concerns about the company's governance stability, especially as it operates in the competitive fields of new energy materials and the semiconductor industry [1][2][3] Group 2 - In the first half of 2025, TCL Zhonghuan reported a revenue of 13.398 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 17.36%, and a net loss attributable to shareholders of 4.242 billion yuan, a significant decline of 3848% [2] - The company is undergoing a critical phase of business structure optimization and capital layout, with increasing pressure on external communication and information disclosure [2] - The high turnover of the executive team, including several vice president-level positions, indicates that the company is in a stage of business adjustment and organizational optimization [2][3] Group 3 - As of September 1, the stock price closed at 8.36 yuan per share, with a year-to-date decline of 5.75%, resulting in a total market capitalization of 33.8 billion yuan [3] - The continuous changes in the board secretary position may reflect challenges in the company's internal and external coordination amid intense strategic execution and capital operations [3] - The sensitivity of the A-share market to changes in the board secretary position is increasing, with various factors being viewed as indicators of corporate governance [3]

Core Viewpoint - Tianai Technology (688116) reported a slight increase in total revenue and net profit for the first half of 2025, but showed a decline in quarterly performance, raising concerns about accounts receivable and overall financial health [1][3]. Financial Performance - Total revenue for the first half of 2025 reached 654 million yuan, a year-on-year increase of 1.08% [1]. - Net profit attributable to shareholders was 117 million yuan, up 1.07% year-on-year [1]. - In Q2 2025, total revenue was 319 million yuan, down 6.08% year-on-year, and net profit was 58.6 million yuan, down 5.06% year-on-year [1]. - Gross margin decreased to 35.04%, down 4.62% year-on-year, while net margin slightly decreased to 17.72%, down 0.33% year-on-year [1]. - The company’s accounts receivable accounted for 184.05% of net profit, indicating a significant amount of outstanding payments [1][4]. Cost and Efficiency Metrics - Total selling, administrative, and financial expenses amounted to 60.65 million yuan, representing 9.28% of revenue, an increase of 5.67% year-on-year [1]. - Earnings per share (EPS) decreased to 0.33 yuan, down 2.94% year-on-year, while operating cash flow per share dropped significantly by 50.01% to 0.08 yuan [1]. Investment and Return Metrics - The company's return on invested capital (ROIC) was 6.43%, indicating average capital returns, with a historical median ROIC of 8.97% since its listing [3]. - The company has shown a healthy cash position, but its reliance on capital expenditures for growth raises concerns about future financial flexibility [3]. Debt and Receivables - The company’s interest-bearing debt reached 1.29 billion yuan, with a debt-to-asset ratio of 22.51% [4]. - The high ratio of accounts receivable to profit suggests potential liquidity issues that need monitoring [4]. Fund Management and Holdings - The company is held by prominent fund managers, including Yan Siqian from Penghua Fund, who has recently increased holdings [5]. - The largest fund holding Tianai Technology is the Jiashi New Energy Materials Stock A fund, with a scale of 2.059 billion yuan and a recent performance increase of 71.3% over the past year [6].