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Oracle's Monster Rally Puts These ETFs in Focus
ZACKS· 2025-09-11 11:41
Core Insights - Oracle's stock surged approximately 36% on September 10, 2025, following the announcement of significant cloud demand numbers, marking its best day since 1992 [1] - The company reported $455 billion in remaining performance obligations (RPO), reflecting a 359% increase year-over-year [1][2] Financial Performance - Oracle's quarterly adjusted earnings were $1.47 per share, consistent with Zacks Consensus Estimate, compared to $1.39 per share a year prior [5] - The company reported revenues of $14.93 billion for the quarter, slightly missing the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 0.59%, compared to $13.31 billion in the previous year [5] Cloud Infrastructure Growth - Oracle anticipates a 77% increase in cloud infrastructure revenues for the fiscal year, projecting $18 billion, up from $10 billion last year [3] - By fiscal 2027, cloud infrastructure revenues are expected to reach $32 billion, with projections of $73 billion, $114 billion, and $144 billion in the following three years [3][4] - Overall, cloud infrastructure revenues are projected to increase by 1298% from 2025 to 2030, with most of this revenue already reflected in the reported RPO [4] AI Developments - During the quarter, Oracle announced the deployment of OpenAI GPT-5 across its database portfolio and SaaS applications [6] - The company expanded its partnership with Google Cloud to provide access to advanced AI models via OCI Generative AI service [6] Valuation Metrics - As of September 5, 2025, Oracle's stock had a forward P/E multiple of 29.88, lower than the Computer – Software industry average of 33.34 and the S&P 500's P/E of 22.1 [7] - Over the past five years, Oracle's stock has traded between a high of 35.93 and a low of 14.17, with a five-year median of 20.88 [8] - The stock has increased by 119.1% over the trailing 12-month period, including the significant gains on September 10, 2025 [8] Market Position and Future Outlook - Analysts from Bank of America noted Oracle's "exceptional backlog," positioning it as a key player in the AI infrastructure market [9] - There is an expectation of stock upgrades from analysts in the near future, despite concerns regarding profitability in the AI segment [9]
Salesforce's Agentforce Bookings Surge: Will Adoption Drive Revenues?
ZACKS· 2025-09-10 15:30
Core Insights - Salesforce, Inc. (CRM) reported strong second-quarter fiscal 2026 results with revenues increasing by 10% and non-GAAP EPS rising by 13.7% year-over-year, driven by the adoption of its AI-driven platform, Agentforce [1][10] Group 1: Agentforce Performance - Agentforce has achieved over 6,000 paid deals since its launch three quarters ago, indicating robust demand for AI tools that enhance enterprise workflows [2][10] - 40% of new Agentforce bookings in the second quarter originated from existing Salesforce customers expanding their usage, showcasing strong early adoption [2][3] - There was a 60% increase in customers scaling Agentforce use quarter over quarter, reflecting confidence in the platform's value [3] Group 2: Revenue Growth Potential - The consumption-based model, along with flexible payment options like Flex Credits, is driving demand for Agentforce, which could lead to recurring revenue growth over time [4] - Annualized recurring revenues from AI and Data Cloud have reached $1.2 billion, positioning Salesforce for significant growth if Agentforce adoption continues at the current pace [5] Group 3: Competitive Landscape - Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) and ServiceNow, Inc. (NOW) are also advancing AI automation in the enterprise market, with Microsoft integrating AI features into its Dynamics 365 platform and ServiceNow rolling out industry-specific AI tools [6][7] Group 4: Valuation and Estimates - Salesforce shares have declined by 24.6% year-to-date, contrasting with the Zacks Computer – Software industry's growth of 15.3% [8] - The forward price-to-earnings ratio for Salesforce is 20.81, significantly below the industry average of 32.22, indicating potential undervaluation [11] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for fiscal 2026 and 2027 earnings suggests year-over-year increases of approximately 11.2% and 11.7%, respectively, with recent upward revisions in estimates [14]
Is INTU Stock a Buy, Hold or Sell After Its 12.8% Plunge in 3 Months?
ZACKS· 2025-09-04 16:46
Core Insights - Intuit Inc. has reported strong fiscal fourth-quarter and full-year 2025 results, yet its shares have declined by 12.8% over the past three months, underperforming the broader market and peers [1][2]. Financial Performance - Full-year revenues for fiscal 2025 increased by 16% to $18.8 billion, with fourth-quarter revenues surging by 20% to $3.8 billion [5][9]. - GAAP operating income grew by 36% to $4.9 billion, and non-GAAP EPS advanced by 19% to $20.15 [5]. Growth Drivers - The launch of a virtual team of AI agents is expected to drive significant growth across QuickBooks, TurboTax, and the broader ecosystem, with early adoption rates exceeding expectations [6]. - Intuit is making strides in the $89 billion mid-market total addressable market (TAM) through its Intuit Enterprise Suite and QuickBooks Online Advanced, with fourth-quarter billed customers nearly doubling compared to the third quarter [7]. Segment Performance - TurboTax Live revenues increased by 47% for the full fiscal year, with customer growth of 24%, while Credit Karma revenues rose by 32% [7][10]. - The Consumer Group's performance is enhancing year-round engagement and monetization opportunities beyond the tax season [10]. Challenges - Mailchimp is a drag on performance, with expectations for it to return to double-digit growth only by the end of fiscal year 2026 [12]. - International growth has lagged, limiting diversification, and Intuit's performance is tied to small-business health and consumer spending dynamics [12]. Valuation and Market Position - Intuit currently trades at a forward Price/Sales (P/S) ratio of 8.75X, which is above the industry average of 8.33X [13]. - Compared to peers, Intuit trades at a discount to Autodesk but at a premium to Commvault Systems [13]. Strategic Outlook - Intuit is positioned well for sustained growth due to its durable moats in tax, accounting, and consumer finance, alongside solid cash flow and manageable debt [14]. - Despite the recent pullback improving entry points, the stock's valuation premium and macro risks temper near-term upside, suggesting a prudent hold strategy until more favorable conditions arise [15].
MSFT Challenges GPT-5 With New AI Models: What's Next for Investors?
ZACKS· 2025-09-01 16:31
Core Insights - Microsoft has introduced its first proprietary AI models, MAI-Voice-1 and MAI-1-preview, marking a strategic shift to reduce reliance on external AI providers like OpenAI's GPT-5 [1][11] - The launch of these models positions Microsoft as a direct competitor in the AI model space, rather than just a distributor [1] AI Model Performance - MAI-Voice-1 can generate one minute of audio content in under one second using a single GPU, which could significantly lower operational costs for AI services [2] - MAI-1-preview is a mixture-of-experts model trained on approximately 15,000 NVIDIA H100 GPUs, entering public testing on LMArena, indicating Microsoft's confidence in competing with established players [3] Capital Expenditure and Strategic Positioning - Capital Expenditure (CapEx) reached $24.2 billion in the fiscal fourth quarter and is projected to hit a record $30 billion in the first quarter of fiscal 2026, primarily for AI infrastructure [4] - This investment aims to establish Microsoft as a key player in the global AI market, which is expected to grow into trillions over the next decade [4] Competitive Landscape - The timing of the AI model releases coincides with increasing competition in the AI model market, where control over foundational technology is crucial for market positioning [5] - Microsoft's investment in training infrastructure, including operational GB200 clusters, reflects its commitment to this strategic pivot [5] Future Growth Projections - Success in developing proprietary AI models could enhance Microsoft's competitive advantage in the AI services market and improve unit economics across its AI product portfolio [6] - Zacks forecasts a 14% annual revenue growth for Microsoft in 2026 and 14.4% in 2027, highlighting the potential impact of AI-driven CapEx on future success [6] Comparison with Rivals - Meta Platforms is pursuing a similar strategy with its LLaMA family of models, investing in custom silicon and training infrastructure to reduce external dependencies [7] - Alphabet's Google is also focusing on internal AI development through its Gemini models, with a planned increase in spending to $85 billion by 2025 to support proprietary research [8] Share Price Performance - Microsoft shares have appreciated 20.2% year-to-date, outperforming the Zacks Computer – Software industry growth of 15.8% and the Zacks Computer and Technology sector's growth of 12.9% [9]
MSFT Rides on AI Strategy: Can Rising CapEx Drive Future Growth?
ZACKS· 2025-08-25 17:11
Core Insights - Microsoft's aggressive AI strategy is central to its long-term growth vision, with significant capital expenditures driving this approach [1][3] - The demand for AI-powered solutions is increasing, with tools like Azure OpenAI and Microsoft 365 Copilot becoming essential for enterprises [2] - Heavy investments in data centers and AI infrastructure are expected to position Microsoft as a leader in global AI adoption [3] Financial Performance - In Q4 of fiscal 2025, Microsoft reported Azure cloud revenues up 27% year-over-year, contributing to overall cloud sales of $46.7 billion [1][9] - Capital expenditures reached $24.2 billion in Q4 and are projected to hit $30 billion in Q1 2026, primarily for AI infrastructure [3][9] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for fiscal 2026 earnings is $15.35 per share, indicating a 12.54% year-over-year growth [12] Competitive Landscape - Meta is increasing its AI capital expenditures, projecting $66-$72 billion in 2025, focusing on advertising efficiency [5] - Alphabet plans to spend $85 billion in 2025 to enhance its cloud and data infrastructure, leveraging its strengths in search and digital ads [6] - Microsoft leads in enterprise-cloud integration, while Alphabet maintains a competitive edge in search and AI-driven monetization [6] Stock Performance - Microsoft's shares have appreciated 20.3% year-to-date, outperforming the Zacks Computer – Software industry and the broader technology sector [7]
Intuit Q4 Earnings Preview: Should You Buy the Stock Now or Wait?
ZACKS· 2025-08-20 16:46
Core Insights - Intuit Inc. is expected to report strong fourth-quarter results for fiscal 2025, with projected revenues between $3.72 billion and $3.76 billion, indicating growth of 17-18% [1][7] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for fourth-quarter revenues is $3.74 billion, reflecting a 17.6% increase year-over-year, while the earnings per share (EPS) consensus stands at $2.65, a rise of 33.2% from the previous year [2] - For the full fiscal year 2025, management anticipates revenues between $18.72 billion and $18.76 billion, suggesting approximately 15% growth, with non-GAAP EPS projected between $20.07 and $20.12, indicating growth of 18-19% [3] Revenue and Earnings Projections - The company expects Q4 revenues of $3.72 billion to $3.76 billion and EPS of $2.63 to $2.68, driven by AI integration across its platforms [7][8] - For fiscal 2025, the Global Business Solutions segment is projected to grow revenues by 16%, while Credit Karma revenues are expected to surge by 28% [11] AI Integration and User Engagement - Intuit's AI integration across its product suite has enhanced customer retention and engagement, leading to increased monetization opportunities [8] - TurboTax Live is projected to see a 24% increase in customer numbers and a 47% rise in revenues this fiscal year [9] Subscription Revenue Model - Subscription services account for 77% of total revenues, providing a stable revenue stream that supports long-term reinvestment [10] - The company's predictable revenue model underpins its growth and allows for sustained earnings growth [10] Market Performance and Valuation - Intuit shares have risen 11.5% year-to-date, compared to the Zacks Computer – Software industry's 19.1% appreciation [12] - The company is currently trading at a forward Price/Sales ratio of 9.28X, which is above the industry average of 8.66X, reflecting a premium valuation supported by its subscription-driven revenue [13][15] Growth Potential and Strategic Positioning - Intuit's evolution into an AI-powered financial operating platform positions it for durable long-term growth, serving 100 million users across various segments [16][17] - The strong performance in TurboTax, Credit Karma, and QuickBooks, along with accelerating AI adoption, makes Intuit a compelling choice for investors [17]
PTC's Q3 Earnings & Sales Top, Jump Y/Y, Raised Outlook Boosts Shares
ZACKS· 2025-07-31 14:32
Core Insights - PTC Inc. reported third-quarter fiscal 2025 non-GAAP EPS of $1.64, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 34.4% and up from 98 cents in the prior-year quarter [1][9] - Revenues reached $644 million, a 24% year-over-year increase, surpassing the consensus estimate by 10.6% [2][9] - The company is focusing on digital product innovation and transitioning to SaaS and subscription models, which is establishing a stable revenue base [2][3] Financial Performance - Recurring revenues were $613.6 million, up 27.4% year over year, while perpetual licenses increased by 10.1% to $7.8 million [6] - License revenues accounted for 39% of total revenues at $251.5 million, a 68.6% increase from the previous year, while support and cloud services revenues rose 8.9% to $370 million [7] - PLM revenues were $404 million, growing 23% year over year, and CAD revenues were $240 million, up 27% [10] Operating Metrics - Total operating expenses were $324 million, compared to $310.9 million in the prior-year quarter, with non-GAAP operating income rising to $285.2 million from $164.4 million [12] - The non-GAAP operating margin increased by 1,260 basis points year over year to 44% [12] Cash Flow and Balance Sheet - As of June 30, 2025, cash and cash equivalents were $199 million, down from $235 million as of March 31, 2025, while total debt decreased to $1.23 billion from $1.54 billion [13] - Cash provided by operating activities was $244 million, up from $214 million in the prior-year quarter, and free cash flow was $242 million compared to $212 million [13] Shareholder Returns - During the fiscal third quarter, PTC repurchased $75 million worth of its stock as part of a $300 million buyback plan for fiscal 2025 [14] Future Guidance - PTC now projects fiscal 2025 revenues in the range of $2,570 to $2,630 million, indicating a 12-14% year-over-year increase, and non-GAAP EPS is estimated to be between $6.63 and $7.03, suggesting a rise of 31-38% [15] - For the fourth quarter of fiscal 2025, revenues are estimated to be between $725 and $785 million, with non-GAAP EPS projected in the range of $2.10 to $2.50 [17]
SAP's Q2 Earnings Beat Estimates, Revenues Miss, Stock Falls
ZACKS· 2025-07-23 15:16
Core Insights - SAP SE reported a strong second-quarter 2025 performance with non-IFRS earnings per share of €1.50 ($1.70), a 37% increase year-over-year, although it fell short of the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $1.63 [1] - Total revenues on a non-IFRS basis reached €9.03 billion ($10.24 billion), marking a 9% year-over-year increase, but also below the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $10.37 billion [1] - The company's cloud revenue surged by 24% year-over-year, driven by robust growth in Cloud ERP Suite revenues [5][8] Financial Performance - Non-IFRS operating profit rose 32% to €2.57 billion, with a margin increase to 28.5%, attributed to improved operational efficiency and cost controls [13] - Non-IFRS gross profit increased 10% to €6.64 billion, with cloud gross profit rising 27% to €3.86 billion [12] - Free cash flow increased significantly by 83% to €2.36 billion during the quarter, indicating strong operational strength [14] Cloud Business Growth - The current cloud backlog surged 22% to €18.1 billion, a key indicator of market success [4] - Cloud revenues reached €5.13 billion, with a notable 30% growth in Cloud ERP Suite revenues [5] - The cloud and software segment accounted for 88.2% of total revenues, generating €7.97 billion, an 11% year-over-year increase [4] Strategic Initiatives - SAP's investment in AI and data platforms is yielding positive results, with the AI assistant Joule enhancing process efficiency and user productivity [2] - The "RISE with SAP" program continues to attract global organizations, indicating strong client adoption [7] - The company initiated a transformation program in January 2024, concluding in Q1 2025, aimed at enhancing operational scalability [16] Customer Engagement - Significant customer wins were reported, including partnerships with major organizations such as Accenture, BMW Group, and L'Oréal [10] - The cloud revenue growth was particularly strong in the APJ and EMEA regions, with standout performances in countries like Brazil, France, and India [11] Future Outlook - SAP reaffirmed its 2025 financial outlook, anticipating cloud revenues between €21.6-€21.9 billion, representing a year-over-year increase of 26-28% [17] - Cloud and software revenues are expected to be in the range of €33.1-€33.6 billion, with a projected increase of 11-13% year-over-year [18] - Free cash flow is estimated to reach around €8 billion, a significant rise from €4.22 billion in 2024 [19]
Adobe Trades 38% Below 52-Week High: Right Time Buy the ADBE Stock?
ZACKS· 2025-07-21 17:46
Core Insights - Adobe shares closed at $365.79, approximately 38% below its 52-week high of $587.75, with a year-to-date appreciation of 17.7%, underperforming the Zacks Computer and Technology sector and the Zacks Computer – Software industry [1][2] Financial Performance - Since the second-quarter fiscal 2025 report on June 12, Adobe shares have dropped 11.5%, reflecting modest revenue growth prospects amid stiff competition in the AI space [2][9] - Fiscal 2025 revenues are projected between $23.5 billion and $23.6 billion, with non-GAAP earnings expected between $20.50 and $20.70 per share [15][16] - Digital Media Annual Recurring Revenue is expected to grow 11% year over year, with segment revenues anticipated between $17.45 billion and $17.50 billion [16] Competitive Landscape - Adobe's AI business is small compared to competitors like Microsoft and Alphabet, which are leveraging AI for significant revenue growth [3] - Adobe faces competition from DocuSign in the document services and e-signature domain [3] AI Portfolio Development - Adobe is expanding its AI portfolio with products like GenStudio and Firefly Services, tracking ahead of its $250 million Annual Recurring Revenue target for fiscal 2025 [4][9] - The company reported a Digital Media ARR of $18.09 billion, up 12% year over year [4] User Engagement and Product Innovation - Adobe's tools, such as Acrobat AI Assistant and Adobe Express, are gaining traction among business professionals and creators, with over 700 million monthly active users [12] - The Firefly App enhances Creative Cloud applications and supports third-party models, which is expected to boost its popularity [13] Strategic Guidance - Adobe's strategy includes leveraging the Adobe Experience Platform to deliver personalized customer experiences, enhancing advertising effectiveness [14] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for third-quarter fiscal 2025 earnings is pegged at $5.16 per share, indicating a 10.97% growth from the previous year [17] Investment Outlook - Despite a premium valuation and competition, Adobe's focus on monetizing its AI tools presents a positive outlook for investors, supported by a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy) and a Growth Score of B [18]
Steady Transition to Windows 11 Aids MSFT: What's the Path Forward?
ZACKS· 2025-07-18 17:11
Core Insights - Microsoft continues to lead the desktop operating system market with Windows, driven by the transition to Windows 11 and increased enterprise adoption, resulting in a 6.5% year-over-year increase in global PC shipments to 68.4 million in Q2 2025 [1][10] Group 1: Market Dynamics - PC vendors increased shipments to the U.S. in anticipation of higher tariffs, with Lenovo holding a 24.8% market share, followed by HP at 20.7% and Dell at 14.3%, all offering Windows-powered devices [2] - Windows 11 commercial deployments surged by 75% year-over-year in Q3 2025 as enterprises prepare for the end-of-support for Windows 10 in 2025, indicating strong enterprise-led upgrades [2][10] Group 2: Product Innovations - Microsoft launched Copilot+ PCs, featuring AI-optimized capabilities and exclusive features like Recall and Click to Do, enhancing user experience through collaborations with Adobe, Canva, and Zoom [3][10] Group 3: Financial Performance - For Q4 2025, Microsoft expects revenues from its More Personal Computing segment to be between $12.35 billion and $12.85 billion, with an estimated $12 billion indicating a 1% year-over-year growth [3][4] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Microsoft's fiscal 2025 earnings is $13.34 per share, reflecting a 13.05% year-over-year growth [14] Group 4: Competitive Landscape - Microsoft faces competition from Alphabet's ChromeOS, which has evolved into a secure, AI-focused operating system, and Apple's growing market share due to strong demand for its latest Mac devices powered by the M4 family of chips [5][6][7] Group 5: Stock Performance - Microsoft shares have appreciated by 21.3% year-to-date, outperforming the Zacks Computer – Software industry growth of 19.6% and the Zacks Computer and Technology sector's growth of 9.6% [8] - The stock is currently trading at a forward 12-month Price/Sales ratio of 12.04X, compared to the industry's 8.97X, indicating a Value Score of D [12]