Core Viewpoint - Whirlpool is facing significant near-term challenges due to high interest rates and competitive pressures, despite a recent stock price increase [2][3][5] Group 1: Stock Performance - Shares in Whirlpool declined by more than 5.5% amid rising market interest rates, with the 10-year Treasury rate approaching 4.5% [1] - The stock had previously increased by 26% over the last three months, indicating a volatile trading environment ahead of the second-quarter earnings report [2] Group 2: Financial Challenges - Whirlpool has a substantial debt load of $4.8 billion, with $1.85 billion maturing in 2025, and a dividend cost of $384 million last year [3] - The company is under pressure to meet its full-year guidance for free cash flow, projected between $500 million to $600 million in 2025 [3] Group 3: Market Environment - High interest rates are negatively impacting the housing market, which in turn affects demand for higher-margin household appliances [2] - Tariff conflicts have led to increased competition from Asian manufacturers in the U.S. market [2] Group 4: Long-term Outlook - There is a possibility that Whirlpool may cut its dividend this year, which could alleviate some uncertainty regarding debt repayment [5] - Management believes that the trade conflict may ultimately benefit Whirlpool by leveling the competitive playing field [5] Group 5: Market Sentiment - The current market sentiment is focused on the near-term risks rather than the long-term opportunities presented by the trade conflict [6]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an overweight rating on China within the MSCI Emerging Markets (EM) index, highlighting resilient earnings and improving return on invested capital (ROIC) among listed manufacturers in China [8]. Core Insights - China's export volumes have surged by 20%, significantly outpacing a 6% rise in the rest of the world, marking the strongest outperformance since its WTO accession [2]. - Emerging Markets (EM) now account for over half of China's exports and trade surplus, indicating a deeper penetration into various sectors beyond just low prices [2][27]. - The report suggests that China's rising export competitiveness may negatively impact growth in the rest of EM, with manufacturing/GDP ratios near COVID lows and weakening orders [3][74]. Summary by Sections Export Dynamics - China's exports are increasingly directed towards EM, with a notable rise in its trade surplus with these regions [27][65]. - The report indicates that China's share of world exports has reached its highest level in approximately 20 years, with significant gains in various sectors [36][37]. Economic Implications - The macroeconomic data suggests that EM ex-China is experiencing challenges such as decelerating foreign direct investment (FDI) inflows and subdued credit impulses, which may be exacerbated by China's competitive exports [3][4]. - The report highlights that manufacturing margins in EM ex-China are near decadal highs, but rising competition from China could pressure these margins [10][11]. Asset Implications - The report identifies that MSCI China equities are trading at a 20% discount compared to historical averages, presenting potential upside risks due to elevated equity risk premia and high household savings [8]. - It emphasizes the need for a selective approach within MSCI EM ex-China, with Brazil and Greece appearing more insulated from the impacts of Chinese competition [10][11]. Currency and Fixed Income Outlook - The report suggests that the dollar downturn should be approached selectively in EM, as competition from China could structurally impact EM FX carry and FDI inflows [12][13]. - It expresses concerns about further curve steepening in EM local debt markets, projecting GDP growth to fall to decade lows relative to interest rates [13].

Company Performance - Whirlpool's stock closed at $91.27, reflecting a -1.91% change from the previous day's closing price, underperforming the S&P 500's daily loss of 0.84% [1] - Over the past month, Whirlpool's shares have appreciated by 12.56%, outperforming the Consumer Discretionary sector's loss of 0% and the S&P 500's gain of 1.44% [1] Upcoming Earnings - The company's earnings report is scheduled for July 28, 2025, with an anticipated EPS of $1.64, indicating a 31.38% decline compared to the same quarter last year [2] - Projected revenue for the upcoming quarter is $3.84 billion, reflecting a 3.8% decrease from the equivalent quarter last year [2] Fiscal Year Estimates - For the entire fiscal year, Zacks Consensus Estimates predict earnings of $8.68 per share and revenue of $15.5 billion, representing changes of -28.91% and -6.7% respectively from the previous year [3] - Recent changes to analyst estimates for Whirlpool may indicate shifting near-term business trends, with positive revisions seen as a favorable sign for the business outlook [3] Valuation Metrics - Whirlpool has a Forward P/E ratio of 10.72, which aligns with the industry average Forward P/E of 10.72 [6] - The Household Appliances industry, part of the Consumer Discretionary sector, holds a Zacks Industry Rank of 193, placing it in the bottom 22% of over 250 industries [6] Zacks Rank System - The Zacks Rank system, which ranges from 1 (Strong Buy) to 5 (Strong Sell), has a strong track record, with stocks rated 1 producing an average annual return of +25% since 1988 [5] - Currently, Whirlpool holds a Zacks Rank of 3 (Hold), with the consensus EPS estimate having moved 0.81% higher over the past month [5]

Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly state an investment rating for the industry Core Insights - Core CPI showed a modest improvement, with a year-on-year increase of 0.1 percentage points to 0.6% and a month-on-month improvement to 1.2% SAAR, indicating a recovery since the policy pivot in September 2024 [2] - PPI deflation pressures continue, with a month-on-month decline of 0.4% for three consecutive months, leading to a year-on-year decrease of 3.3% [3] - Weak energy prices have significantly impacted both headline CPI and PPI over the past three months, while core prices remain resilient due to targeted policies [6] Summary by Sections Consumer Price Index (CPI) - In May 2025, the CPI year-on-year was -0.1%, with food prices down by 0.4% and non-food prices stable at 0.0% [5] - Core CPI (excluding food and energy) was at 0.6%, reflecting a slight increase from previous months [5] Producer Price Index (PPI) - The PPI year-on-year was reported at -3.3%, with notable declines in producer goods (-4.0%) and mining and quarrying (-11.9%) [5] - Durable goods prices turned positive month-on-month, driven by the automotive sector, although this may not fully reflect recent price cuts [3][5] Key Drivers - The resilience in core prices is attributed to targeted policies such as the consumer goods trade-in program, while a supply-demand imbalance persists [6] - The renewed competition in the automotive sector may not have been adequately captured in the current readings, indicating potential volatility in future reports [6]

Company Performance - Whirlpool's stock closed at $81.72, reflecting a +0.43% change from the previous day, outperforming the S&P 500's gain of 0.01% [1] - Over the past month, Whirlpool's stock has increased by 6.17%, which is slightly below the Consumer Discretionary sector's gain of 6.65% and above the S&P 500's gain of 5.2% [1] Upcoming Financial Results - Analysts expect Whirlpool to report earnings of $1.73 per share, indicating a year-over-year decline of 27.62% [2] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for revenue is projected at $3.84 billion, down 3.8% from the previous year [2] Full Year Projections - For the full year, earnings are projected at $8.61 per share and revenue at $15.5 billion, reflecting declines of -29.48% and -6.7% respectively from the prior year [3] - Recent changes in analyst estimates suggest a shifting business landscape, with positive revisions indicating optimism about Whirlpool's profitability [3] Valuation Metrics - Whirlpool has a Forward P/E ratio of 9.45, which is consistent with the industry average [6] - The Household Appliances industry, part of the Consumer Discretionary sector, currently holds a Zacks Industry Rank of 224, placing it in the bottom 9% of over 250 industries [6] Zacks Rank System - Whirlpool is currently rated as Zacks Rank 4 (Sell), with the consensus EPS estimate remaining unchanged over the last 30 days [5] - The Zacks Rank system has a strong track record, with stocks rated 1 producing an average annual return of +25% since 1988 [5]

Company Performance - Whirlpool's stock closed at $78.62, reflecting a daily increase of 0.61%, outperforming the S&P 500's gain of 0.4% [1] - Over the past month, Whirlpool shares have appreciated by 2.44%, which is lower than the Consumer Discretionary sector's gain of 8.94% and the S&P 500's gain of 6.69% [1] Earnings Projections - The upcoming earnings release is projected to show earnings of $1.73 per share, indicating a year-over-year decline of 27.62% [2] - Revenue for the same quarter is estimated at $3.84 billion, reflecting a 3.8% decrease from the previous year [2] Full Year Estimates - For the full year, earnings are projected at $8.61 per share and revenue at $15.5 billion, representing declines of 29.48% and 6.7% respectively from the prior year [3] - Recent changes in analyst estimates indicate a dynamic business trend, with positive revisions suggesting optimism regarding the company's profitability [3] Zacks Rank and Valuation - Whirlpool currently holds a Zacks Rank of 4 (Sell), with the consensus EPS estimate remaining unchanged over the last 30 days [5] - The Forward P/E ratio for Whirlpool is 9.08, which aligns with the industry's average Forward P/E of 9.08 [6] Industry Context - The Household Appliances industry, part of the Consumer Discretionary sector, has a Zacks Industry Rank of 223, placing it in the bottom 10% of over 250 industries [6] - The Zacks Industry Rank indicates that the top 50% rated industries outperform the bottom half by a factor of 2 to 1 [7]

陈玉卢 家电 4 月家电社零数据点评 领先大市-A(维持) 家电行业近一年市场表现 资料来源：最闻 相关报告： 【山证家电】空调 5 月内销排产乐观， 出口端中美关税会谈落地-家电行业月度 报告 2025.5.15 执业登记编码：S0760525050001 邮箱：chenyulu@sxzq.com 赵晨希 执业登记编码：S0760521090001 邮箱：zhaochenxi@sxzq.com 政策刺激+住销回暖，家电零售加速领跑 2025 年 5 月 20 日 行业研究/行业快报 事件描述： 国家统计局公布 2025 年 4 月份社会消费品零售数据：4 月份，社会消费 品零售总额 37174 亿元，同比增长 5.1%，其中家电及音像器材类零售额单月 达 914 亿元，同比+38.8%，1-4 月累计零售额达 3,469 亿元，同比+23.9%。 事件点评： 首选股票 评级 行业景气度延续，4 月逆势领跑社零增速。25 年 4 月家用电器和音像器 材类零售额同比增长 38.8%，增速位列全品类第一，显示出超强的增长动能。 纵向对比来看，家电零售额增速延续 24 年四季度以来高速增长态势，25 年 4 月同比 ...

Core Points - SharkNinja Operating LLC voluntarily discontinued its comparative performance claim regarding its HydroDuo Wet Dry Hard Floor Cleaner against Dyson's WashG1 due to a Fast-Track SWIFT challenge initiated by Dyson [1][2][3] - The National Advertising Division (NAD) found Dyson's challenge appropriate for SWIFT as it focused on the inappropriateness of Shark's comparison since Dyson's WashG1 lacks a "dry-only" mode [2][3] - SharkNinja stated that the discontinuation of the claim was for business reasons unrelated to Dyson's challenge, and NAD will treat this as a compliance measure [3] Industry Context - The household floor cleaning appliance market is competitive, with Dyson and Shark being key players [2] - The NAD serves as an independent body for advertising truthfulness and accuracy, ensuring fair competition and consumer protection in the U.S. [6] - BBB National Programs, which oversees NAD, has been enhancing consumer trust in business for over 50 years through self-regulation and dispute resolution services [5]

文 ｜ 朱昱锟 王文聪 霍商贤 王伟达 美方加征关税，家电企业通过产能出海积极应对。近期，美国对华再加关税，引发资本市场关注，我们认为，主要家电企业已采取相应措施进行 应对：短期来说，出口型公司已提前进行海外备货，降低业绩影响；中长期维度，主要企业已积极布局东南亚、墨西哥产能，减少关税影响。需 要留意的是，中东、拉美等新兴市场也在起量，有助于降低美国订单波动对国内企业的影响。 ▍ 美国对华加征关税，对美弊大于利。 2 0 2 5年特朗普执政以来，3个月内对贸易伙伴持续加征关税，征收对象范围不断扩大、征收力度增强。目前美方对中国整体关税达到1 3 5%，其 中空调/冰箱税率在1 5 0%附近，中国企业在东南亚的生产基地也受关税波及。从全球家电产能分布（图1）、美国对中国家电依赖度来看，美国 对中国家电企业征收高额关税，弊大于利。根据美国作者萨拉·邦焦尔尼所写的《离开中国制造的一年》，美国民众若完全脱离中国制造的商 品，则生活成本与购物难度皆会增加。 | | 公布时间 | 生效时间 | 征收对象 | 加税幅度 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | | | . 中国商品加征 ...

Whirlpool shares have lost about 32.5% since the beginning of the year versus the S&P 500's decline of -10.1%. What's Next for Whirlpool? While Whirlpool has underperformed the market so far this year, the question that comes to investors' minds is: what's next for the stock? There are no easy answers to this key question, but one reliable measure that can help investors address this is the company's earnings outlook. Not only does this include current consensus earnings expectations for the coming quarter( ...