11 July 2025 | 10:11PM HKT China Economic Activity and Policy Tracker: July 11 (Song) Exhibit 1: 30-city daily property transaction volume in the primary market was below last year's level Source: Wind, Goldman Sachs Global Investment Research Andrew Tilton +852-2978-1802 | andrew.tilton@gs.com Goldman Sachs (Asia) L.L.C. Hui Shan +852-2978-6634 | hui.shan@gs.com Goldman Sachs (Asia) L.L.C. Lisheng Wang +852-3966-4004 | lisheng.wang@gs.com Goldman Sachs (Asia) L.L.C. Xinquan Chen In this note, we update fou ...

Asian Equity Perspectives How will equity markets respond to tariff imposition and easing rates? Tariff imposition and easing monetary policy are likely to be important macro influences on Asian equity markets in 3Q. We continue to expect a moderately positive beta environment and emphasize alpha ideas, notably where idiosyncratic aspects improve risk/reward. We expect a 9% USD 12m price return, emphasize North Asian markets (China, Japan, Korea) and raise sector economic beta. Timothy Moe, CFA +65-6889-119 ...

Group 1 - The analyst has nearly 14 years of experience in the financial industry, covering small and medium-cap companies in Europe, the United States, and South America [1] - The focus is on mature industries such as mining, oil and gas, and real estate, with a preference for M&A deals, deep value investments, and dividend investing [1] - The target internal rate of return for investments is approximately 5%-7% [1] Group 2 - The analyst holds a beneficial long position in the shares of SOIEF, indicating a personal investment interest [2] - The article expresses the analyst's own opinions and is not influenced by compensation from any company mentioned [2] - There is no business relationship with any company whose stock is discussed in the article [2]

I remember very distinctly I had just started on the job. I had gotten the job of covering all the investment banks and I went to go visit a president of an investment bank and the quote I will never forget. I always said I would make it the cover of my book and it was there's no place for women here.So, I was a little shocked. Wow. To hear it, but then I just took a breath and I asked why.And he said, "There's no place for women because the minute they get to their 30s and they're trying to have a family a ...

Group 1: Bitcoin Market Performance - Bitcoin reached a new all-time high of over $117,000 on July 11, 2025, driven by bullish momentum in risk assets and its correlation with tech stocks like NVIDIA, which recently achieved a $4 trillion valuation [1] - The iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF (IBIT) has increased by 15% this year, with a 4.3% gain in the past month, benefiting from favorable policy signals and tightening supply [2] - Bitcoin's recent performance is seen as a pressure release rather than a full-scale bull run, maintaining a tight $10,000 range over the past two months before the breakout [3] Group 2: Regulatory Environment and Institutional Adoption - Bitcoin's breakout coincides with Congress's "Crypto Week," where key regulations, including the GENIUS Act for a federal stablecoin framework, will be debated [4] - Positive outcomes from regulatory discussions may enhance institutional inflows into Bitcoin, with shares of Circle CRCL rising over 500% since their IPO [5] - Corporate adoption of Bitcoin is expanding, with companies like GameStop and Goldman Sachs increasing their Bitcoin ETF holdings, enhancing institutional credibility [8] Group 3: Bitcoin as an Inflation Hedge - Bitcoin is viewed as a hedge against inflation due to its fixed supply cap of 21 million coins, which may help it retain value amid increasing fiat issuance and potential global inflation from tariffs [7] - Bitcoin has gained 26.4% this year, outperforming the SPDR S&P 500 ETF Trust (SPY), which gained 7%, showcasing its strength amid market uncertainties [6] Group 4: Interest Rate Outlook - Potential rate cuts later this year could favor risk-on assets like Bitcoin, as lower rates reduce the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding assets [9][10] Group 5: Bitcoin Miners and AI Infrastructure - Bitcoin miners are pivoting to AI infrastructure, leveraging their data centers for more profitable ventures compared to traditional Bitcoin mining [12] - Companies like Bitfarms are well-positioned to meet the rising energy and space demands of AI computing, given their experience in building large facilities [13] Group 6: Investment Products for Risk-Averse Investors - New Bitcoin buffer ETFs have been launched to make Bitcoin more accessible to risk-averse investors, providing downside protection amid volatility [14][15]

Investment Rating - The report does not explicitly provide an investment rating for the industry Core Viewpoints - The report emphasizes that trade tensions are escalating as deadlines for agreements approach, leading to increased uncertainty that may impact business confidence, capital expenditure, and trade cycles [1][7][32] Summary by Sections Trade Negotiation Updates - The report outlines the current status of trade negotiations across various economies in the region, highlighting that only Vietnam has reached an agreement so far, while others remain uncertain [7][9] - Key issues include tariff adjustments, market access for agricultural products, and the complexities surrounding the approval of exports, particularly for critical materials like rare earths [9][48] Tariff Implications - The report indicates that the U.S. may unilaterally set tariff rates, with potential increases in tariffs on pharmaceuticals and semiconductors, reflecting ongoing trade uncertainties [7][12][21] - Current tariff rates on imports from Asia, excluding China and Vietnam, have seen a significant rise, with the weighted average tariff rate increasing [12][14] Economic Impact - High-frequency data suggests that the growth cycle may be adversely affected in the next 2-3 months due to the ongoing trade tensions, with indicators showing signs of a slowdown in economic activity [32][41] - The report notes that while some economic indicators have remained strong, there is a concern that this may be due to preemptive demand ahead of the July 9 deadline, with subsequent data expected to reflect a downturn [32][42] Regional Trade Dynamics - The report highlights that countries like India, Indonesia, and Thailand are facing significant tariff increases, which could further complicate trade relations with the U.S. [25][48] - The complexities of defining and measuring transshipment issues are also discussed, indicating that imports perceived as transshipped from China may face higher tariffs, complicating trade for other Asian economies [21][31] Future Outlook - The report concludes that trade uncertainties are likely to persist, affecting corporate confidence and capital spending, with potential tactical tariff increases expected if negotiations stall [7][22][32]

July 8, 2025 08:05 PM GMT Global Economic Briefing The Global 360 Our views around the world. M Global Foundation Morgan Stanley does and seeks to do business with companies covered in Morgan Stanley Research. As a result, investors should be aware that the firm may have a conflict of interest that could affect the objectivity of Morgan Stanley Research. Investors should consider Morgan Stanley Research as only a single factor in making their investment decision. For analyst certification and other importan ...

Investors should consider this report as only a single factor in making their investment decision. For Reg AC certification and other important disclosures, see the Disclosure Appendix, or go to www.gs.com/research/hedge.html. 9 July 2025 | 5:00AM BST This report is intended for distribution to GS institutional clients only. GOAL: Global Opportunity Asset Locator 2H Outlook: Goldilocks and the three bears Christian Mueller-Glissmann, CFA +44(20)7774-1714 | christian.mueller- glissmann@gs.com Goldman Sachs I ...

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Citadel Securities bought Morgan Stanley’s unit focused on electronic market-making for US equity options, expanding the firm’s already dominant role in the popular derivatives https://t.co/kvix72fMX0 ...