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汇丰:中国材料月度追踪_情绪改善但不确定性延续
汇丰· 2025-07-04 01:35
Investment Rating - The report maintains a positive stance on gold and copper, indicating potential investment opportunities in these sectors [7][10]. Core Insights - Copper is currently experiencing historical backwardation, with LME copper spot prices surpassing USD 10,000 per ton, driven by inventory depletion and redirection of shipments to the US [2]. - The Democratic Republic of Congo (DRC) has extended its cobalt export ban, which is expected to support cobalt prices in the near term [3][4]. - Aluminium output reached a new monthly high in May, supported by strong demand and improved smelter margins [5]. - Central banks are aggressively accumulating gold, with expectations for continued increases in official gold reserves over the next year [6]. Summary by Sections Copper - LME copper spot prices exceeded USD 10,000/t, with a backwardation of over USD 300/t for 3-month futures [2]. - Year-to-date inventory at LME has decreased by 180,000 tons, while COMEX inventory increased by 115,000 tons due to tariff concerns [2]. - Ivanhoe has reduced its 2025 copper production guidance by 28% [2]. Cobalt - DRC's cobalt export ban has been extended by three months, impacting supply and supporting price stability [3]. - Cobalt prices surged over 60% following the initial ban and are expected to remain strong due to continued restrictions [3]. Aluminium - Aluminium production in May rose approximately 5% year-on-year to 3.83 million tons, with a year-to-date increase of 4% [5]. - China's aluminium inventory dropped by around 400,000 tons over the past three months, indicating robust downstream demand [5]. Gold - Central banks have accumulated over 1,000 tons of gold annually, significantly higher than the average of 400-500 tons in the past decade [6]. - A survey indicates that 95% of central banks expect to continue increasing their gold reserves in the next 12 months [6]. Market Sentiment - Improved US-China trade talks have positively influenced market sentiment, particularly for base metals [10]. - Despite geopolitical uncertainties, the report suggests a preference for gold and copper investments among China materials [10].
金价盘中创近1月新低!机构目标价价差高达1000美元
2 1 Shi Ji Jing Ji Bao Dao· 2025-06-30 03:40
6月30日,国际黄金市场延续近期下行趋势,现货黄金价格盘中触及3246.55美元/盎司,创近一个月新 低。截至10时25分,黄金价格有所回升,伦敦金现报3281.257美元/盎司,COMEX黄金期货价格报 | 3291.5美元/盎司。 | | --- | 受国际金价拖累,国内品牌金饰价格全线跌破1000元/克心理关口。周大福、周生生、周六福等品牌足 金饰品报价集中在978元/克至990元/克区间,除周六福外,其余品牌日跌幅在0.9%—1.2%之间。 | | 国内现货 国际现货 黄金实物 | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 品牌 | 银行 | 回收 | | | | 品牌 | | | 价格(元/克) 日涨跌幅 | | | 周大福 | | | 989 | -0.90% | | 老凤祥 | | | 990 | -1.20% | | 周六福 | | | 978 | 0.00% | | 周生生 | | | 984 | -1.20% | | 六届休主 | | | 989 | -0.90% | | 我要望 | | | 989 | -0.90% | | 老庙 | | | 987 ...
刚刚,金饰价格跌破1000元大关
新华网财经· 2025-06-25 02:00
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses the recent fluctuations in gold prices, both in the international market and domestic jewelry prices, alongside a new government initiative aimed at enhancing the gold industry in China. Group 1: Gold Price Fluctuations - On the evening of the 24th, international precious metal futures generally fell, with spot gold dropping over 2% at one point, closing at $3322.93 per ounce, while COMEX gold futures closed down 1.66% at $3338.5 per ounce [1] - As of the morning of the 25th, both spot gold and COMEX gold futures saw slight increases, with spot gold rising 0.21% to $3329.830 per ounce and COMEX gold futures up 0.39% to $3346.8 per ounce [1] - Following these international trends, domestic gold jewelry prices also declined, with major retailers like Chow Tai Fook and Lao Miao reporting prices around 998 to 1006 RMB per gram, reflecting decreases of 14 RMB, 8 RMB, and 6 RMB respectively [3] Group 2: Government Initiative for Gold Industry - A joint implementation plan for the high-quality development of the gold industry in China has been issued by nine government departments, aiming for a 5% to 10% increase in gold resource volume and over 5% growth in gold and silver production by 2027 [10] - The plan emphasizes the strategic importance of gold as a mineral resource, highlighting its dual role as a commodity and currency, which is crucial for national industrial and financial security [10] - Key tasks outlined in the plan include enhancing domestic resource exploration, advancing critical technology and equipment, establishing green mines and factories, and promoting the recycling of gold and silver from electronic waste [10][11]
金业弹性表:金业弹性表2025年6月版
ZHESHANG SECURITIES· 2025-06-18 09:24
行业评级:看好 表:黄金行业上市公司的自产金产量预测 | | 表:黄金行业上市公司的自产金产量预测 | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 公司 | 黄金资源量 | 总市值(亿元) | | | | 全口径自产金(吨) | | | | 25E-27E | | 单吨产量市值(亿元/吨) | 单吨资源量市值(亿元) | | PE | | | (2024;吨) | 2025-06-16 | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 | 2025E | 2026E | 2027E | 产量CAGR | 2024 | 2027E | 2024A | 2025E | 2027E | | 山金国际 | 277 | 569 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 1 3 | 1 5 | 34% | 8 1 | 3 9 | 2.1 | 1 8 | 1 2 | | 招金矿业 | 1304 | 672 ...
地缘政治风险为黄金提供上涨动能
Jin Tou Wang· 2025-06-13 02:23
摘要现货黄金周四(6月12日)日K收涨,美市尾盘,现货黄金收报3385.37美元/盎司,上涨30.35美元或 0.90%,日内最高上探3398.86美元/盎司,最低触及3338.29美元/盎司。 现货黄金周四(6月12日)日K收涨,美市尾盘,现货黄金收报3385.37美元/盎司,上涨30.35美元或 0.90%,日内最高上探3398.86美元/盎司,最低触及3338.29美元/盎司。 美国商品期货交易委员会(CFTC)数据显示,截至6月12日,黄金ETF持有量为937.91吨,较上一交易日 减持3.72吨。 黄金ETF最新持仓数据: | 日期 | 净持仓量(盎司) | 净持仓量(吨) | 总价值(美元) | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 2025-06-12 | 30154864.16 | 937.91 | 102254006159.12 | | 2025-06-11 | 30035071.18 | 934.19 | 99995692490.02 | (注:黄金ETF持仓增加,表明买盘增加,市场看涨黄金的情绪升温,利多黄金;黄金ETF持仓减少, 表明卖盘增加,市场看跌黄金的情绪升温, ...
黄金概念延续强势 恒邦股份2连板
news flash· 2025-06-13 01:35
智通财经6月13日电,黄金概念延续昨日强势,恒邦股份走出2连板,西部黄金、萃华珠宝涨停,晓程科 技、曼卡龙、赤峰黄金、四川黄金等跟涨。消息面上,国际金价早盘涨逾1%,逼近3430美元/盎司。 黄金概念延续强势 恒邦股份2连板 ...
黄金概念股震荡拉升 恒邦股份、潮宏基双双涨停
news flash· 2025-06-12 05:54
智通财经6月12日电,黄金股午后震荡拉升,恒邦股份、潮宏基双双涨停,曼卡龙、晓程科技、莱绅通 灵涨超5%,四川黄金、紫金矿业、西部黄金、赤峰黄金等跟涨。消息面上,港股老铺黄金午后一度拉 升涨超6%,年初至今已升逾290%。 黄金概念股震荡拉升 恒邦股份、潮宏基双双涨停 ...
Here's Why Newmont Corporation (NEM) is a Strong Growth Stock
ZACKS· 2025-06-02 14:46
Core Insights - Zacks Premium offers tools for investors to enhance their stock market strategies and confidence [1] - The Zacks Style Scores are designed to help investors select stocks with the highest potential to outperform the market in the short term [2] Zacks Style Scores Overview - The Style Scores categorize stocks into four types: Value Score, Growth Score, Momentum Score, and VGM Score, each focusing on different investment strategies [3][4][5][6] - Value Score emphasizes identifying undervalued stocks using financial ratios [3] - Growth Score focuses on a company's future earnings and financial health [4] - Momentum Score assesses stocks based on price trends and earnings estimate changes [5] - VGM Score combines all three styles to identify stocks with the best overall potential [6] Zacks Rank and Performance - The Zacks Rank is a proprietary model that uses earnings estimate revisions to guide investment decisions [7] - Stocks rated 1 (Strong Buy) have historically delivered an average annual return of +25.41% since 1988, significantly outperforming the S&P 500 [8] - There are over 800 stocks rated 1 or 2, making it essential for investors to utilize Style Scores to narrow down choices [9] Stock Example: Newmont Corporation - Newmont Corporation is a leading gold producer with significant reserves and production capabilities [11] - The company holds a 1 (Strong Buy) Zacks Rank and has a VGM Score of A, indicating strong investment potential [11] - Newmont's Growth Style Score is B, with a projected year-over-year earnings growth of 20.1% for the current fiscal year [12] - Recent analyst revisions have increased earnings estimates, further supporting Newmont's strong performance outlook [12]
盘中突发,金价大涨!
新华网财经· 2025-06-02 07:46
6月2日,现货黄金向上触及3350美元/盎司,日内大涨2.00%。截至发稿, Wind数据显示,现货黄金报 价3357.15美元/盎司,涨幅2.09%。COMEX黄金报3376.6美元/盎司,涨1.85% 。 为感恩每一位关注与支持新华网财经的朋友,我们精心筹备了端午惊喜福利! 参与方式超简单:关注新华网财经微信公众号,并在本篇文章下方的评论区留言。我 们将选取前两位留言的幸运儿,送上极具特色的「夏午唱游 蜀韵山河」端午风物礼 盒!先到先得哦!每位朋友仅可领取一份,可别错过啦~ 如果这次与福利擦肩也别遗憾!端午假期期间,我们将在每日的推送中持续派送礼 盒。快把我们设为星标,不错过每一份好运! 「夏午唱游 蜀韵山河」端午礼盒 礼盒包括: | < W | 伦敦金现 | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | SPTAUUSDOZ.IDC | | | | | | | 3357.150 "F | | | 3288.580 | 息量 | | 0 | | +68.570 | +2.09% 升盘 | | 3298.410 | 现手 | | 0 | ...
Can B2Gold (BTG) Run Higher on Rising Earnings Estimates?
ZACKS· 2025-05-26 17:22
Core Viewpoint - B2Gold (BTG) shows a significant improvement in earnings outlook, making it an attractive investment option as analysts continue to raise earnings estimates for the company [1][2]. Earnings Estimate Revisions - The upward trend in earnings estimate revisions reflects growing optimism among analysts regarding B2Gold's earnings prospects, which is expected to positively impact its stock price [2]. - The current quarter's earnings estimate is projected at $0.09 per share, indicating a year-over-year increase of +50%. Over the last 30 days, the Zacks Consensus Estimate has risen by 45.83% due to one upward revision and no negative changes [6]. - For the full year, B2Gold is expected to earn $0.51 per share, representing a substantial change of +218.75% from the previous year. In the past month, four estimates have been revised upward with no negative revisions [7]. Zacks Rank and Performance - B2Gold has achieved a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy), indicating strong agreement among analysts in revising earnings estimates upward. This rank is based on a system that has historically shown strong performance, with Zacks 1 Ranked stocks averaging a +25% annual return since 2008 [3][8]. - Stocks with Zacks Rank 1 (Strong Buy) and 2 (Buy) have been shown to significantly outperform the S&P 500 [8]. Stock Performance - B2Gold's stock has increased by 9.1% over the past four weeks due to strong estimate revisions, suggesting that there may still be further upside potential [9].