Group 1 - The opening of the COFCO Joy City in Bao'an District attracted over 420,000 visitors on its first day, generating nearly 20 million yuan in sales, excluding Apple and automotive sales [2] - More than 50% of the nearly 400 brands in the mall are either flagship or customized stores, highlighting the trend of new retail experiences [2] - The mall features popular pop-up stores and immersive experiences, including a Disney-themed exhibition, which successfully attracted a younger demographic and fans of pop culture [2] Group 2 - Unique stores such as the latest flagship of Huanying Cinemas and the Hema 3.0 store contribute to the mall's diverse offerings, enhancing its appeal [3] - The PARTYDAYMEGA flagship store combines various entertainment options, including bowling and VR experiences, positioning itself as an immersive entertainment venue [3] - Shenzhen plans to open 21 new projects by 2025, adding a total commercial area of 1.8625 million square meters, with Bao'an leading in new commercial developments [3]

点击注册小程序 查看完整报告 特别申明： 1）产量：2025年6月SMM中国电解铜产量113.49万吨，环比-0.3%，同比+12.9%。（2）TC：截至2025年7 月11日，TC现货价为-43.23美元/吨，环比7月4日+0.1 美元/吨，仍处于2007年9月以来的低位。 本订阅号中所涉及的证券研究信息由光大证券研究所编写，仅面向光大证券专业投资者客 户，用作新媒体形势下研究信息和研究观点的沟通交流。非光大证券专业投资者客户，请勿 订阅、接收或使用本订阅号中的任何信息。本订阅号难以设置访问权限，若给您造成不便， 敬请谅解。光大证券研究所不会因关注、收到或阅读本订阅号推送内容而视相关人员为光大 证券的客户。 报告摘要 本周小结：美国或提前加征铜关税，铜价短期震荡 截至2025年7月11日，SHFE铜收盘价78430 元/吨，环比7月4日-1.63%；LME铜收盘价9663 美元/吨，环比 7月4日-1.92%。（1）宏观：特朗普7月10日宣称自8月1日起对铜加征50%关税；自2025年2月以来的全球 铜库存流向美国的套利行为或将终止。（2）供需：矿端、废铜后续仍维持紧张；需求端，线缆开工率本 周回升，7-9 ...

Core Viewpoint - Lululemon's valuation has decreased sufficiently to counterbalance the macroeconomic and geopolitical challenges it is currently facing [1] Summary by Relevant Categories - **Valuation Impact** - The decline in Lululemon's valuation is significant enough to mitigate the effects of external economic and political pressures [1]

Group 1 - The article discusses the importance of strategizing to counter external risks and price volatility in the oil and gas market when considering potential portfolio additions [1] - The author has nearly two decades of experience in the logistics sector and focuses on stock investing and macroeconomic analysis, particularly in ASEAN and NYSE/NASDAQ stocks [1] - The author emphasizes the diversification of investments across various industries and market cap sizes, including banking, telecommunications, logistics, and hotels [1] Group 2 - The author began trading in the Philippine stock market in 2014, initially investing in blue-chip companies and later expanding to different sectors [1] - The entry into the US market occurred in 2020, with the author gaining insights through a relative's trading account before opening their own [1] - The author has been utilizing analyses from Seeking Alpha to compare with their own research in the Philippine market since discovering the platform in 2018 [1]

Core Viewpoint - The dispute between Weihai Baihe Biotechnology Co., Ltd. (Baihe) and Shandong Hailaiyunshi Co., Ltd. (Hailaiyunshi) has raised concerns over potential commercial bribery, impacting Baihe's market image and future prospects [1][2][3] Group 1: Dispute Background - The conflict originated from a discarded contract signed in December 2020 for the production of oat bran and other meal replacement products [1] - Baihe completed production tasks as per orders in January and March 2021, but Hailaiyunshi ceased issuing new production instructions by the end of March 2021 [1] - In 2024, Baihe claimed that a batch of raw materials prepared for the contract had expired and demanded compensation from Hailaiyunshi, leading to a lawsuit after failed negotiations [1] Group 2: Evidence of Bribery - During the lawsuit, Hailaiyunshi's lawyer discovered a record of a payment of 0.6 yuan per box to Baihe's procurement personnel, potentially amounting to 360,000 yuan based on an annual purchase volume of 600,000 boxes [2] - Key personnel at Baihe, including the vice president and auditors, approved this arrangement, raising suspicions of commercial bribery [2][3] Group 3: Company Performance and Responsibilities - Baihe, known as the "first stock of nutritional health food OEM," reported a revenue of 801 million yuan in 2024, with 84% of this revenue coming from its OEM business [5] - The company faced a revenue decline of 8.02% year-on-year and a net profit drop of 17.60% in 2024, attributed to global economic fluctuations and domestic market adjustments [5] - Baihe is obligated to disclose information regarding the incident, internal investigations, and corrective measures to the market and investors [5]

Group 1: Lululemon Athletica - Lululemon is experiencing a significant decline in stock price, down 54% from a high of $516 to $235, despite a 19% annualized revenue growth over the last decade [5][6] - The stock is currently trading at 16 times forward earnings estimates, indicating a potential undervaluation given the brand's future growth prospects [6][9] - Lululemon's trailing-12-month revenue stands at $10.8 billion, which is considerably lower than competitors Nike and Adidas, who collectively generate $72 billion in annual sales [6][7] - The company has shown resilience with a 7% year-over-year revenue increase in the most recent quarter, contrasting with declines at Nike [7] - Increased search interest for Lululemon on Google suggests that the market may be underestimating its long-term growth potential, particularly in international markets [8] Group 2: Deckers Outdoor - Deckers Outdoor, known for brands like Hoka and Ugg, has seen its stock drop 52% from its peak earlier this year, attributed to slowing growth and market uncertainties [10][11] - The company anticipates a $150 million increase in costs due to tariffs, impacting its projected revenue of around $5 billion [12] - Despite short-term challenges, Deckers expects 9% revenue growth in the first quarter and double-digit growth for Hoka throughout the year [13] - The stock is currently trading at a price-to-earnings ratio of 16, suggesting it may be oversold and could rebound if growth resumes [14] Group 3: Roku - Roku has faced challenges post-pandemic, leading to slowing growth and losses, but maintains a dominant position in ad-supported streaming [15] - In the first quarter of 2025, Roku reported a 16% year-over-year revenue increase, primarily driven by its advertising segment, which constitutes 86% of total revenue [16] - The company has enhanced user engagement through its Roku channel, which became the second-most watched channel in the U.S., with an 84% increase in viewing hours year-over-year [17] - A partnership with Amazon aims to expand advertising reach, leveraging AI for targeted exposure, while Roku's stock is currently 82% off its all-time highs but has risen 40% over the past year [19]

Group 1 - The company GSL has shown steady operations and reported positive Q1 figures, reinforcing the investment thesis that it is a strong buy [1] - The analyst has a diverse professional background across multiple industries, which contributes to a comprehensive understanding of market dynamics [1] - The investment strategy focuses on cyclical industries, aiming for significant returns during economic recovery while balancing risk through fixed-income investments [1] Group 2 - The analyst holds a beneficial long position in GSL shares, indicating confidence in the company's future performance [2]

Core Viewpoint - Giant Mining Corp. supports the U.S. Government's commitment to fast-track permitting for critical mineral projects, emphasizing the importance of domestic copper production for national security and economic independence [1][3]. Government Initiatives - The U.S. Government has implemented several strategic initiatives to enhance domestic copper supply chains, including fast-tracked permitting, mobilization of the Defense Production Act, and prioritization of copper extraction by federal agencies [4][5][6]. - A 50% tariff on imported copper was imposed in July 2025 to reduce reliance on foreign supply chains, which has already increased domestic demand for U.S.-sourced copper [7]. Project Development - Giant Mining is advancing exploration at the Majuba Hill Copper-Silver-Gold Project, with a focus on a new drill program and a pending Mineral Resource Estimate [8]. - The project is located in a top-ranked mining jurisdiction in Nevada, covering 9,684 acres, and has a solid infrastructure foundation for large-scale operations [9][13]. Exploration and Mineralization - The Majuba Hill project has shown indications of a potentially large mineralized body, with significant expansion potential based on recent drilling activities [9]. - Approximately 89,395 feet of drilling has been conducted to date, with a historical replacement value of USD 12.1 million [9]. Quality Assurance - The company employs a robust QA/QC program for sample analysis, ensuring high standards in mineral testing and data integrity [10].

Company Performance - American Eagle Outfitters (AEO) closed at $9.90, down 2.17% from the previous trading session, underperforming the S&P 500's daily loss of 0.33% [1] - Over the past month, AEO shares appreciated by 0.5%, lagging behind the Retail-Wholesale sector's gain of 0.67% and the S&P 500's gain of 4.07% [1] Upcoming Earnings - The upcoming EPS for American Eagle Outfitters is projected at $0.2, indicating a 48.72% decline compared to the same quarter last year [2] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for revenue is $1.23 billion, reflecting a 4.49% decrease from the previous year [2] Fiscal Year Projections - For the entire fiscal year, earnings are projected at $0.83 per share, representing a 52.3% decline from the prior year [3] - Revenue for the fiscal year is estimated at $5.19 billion, down 2.57% from the previous year [3] Analyst Estimates - Recent changes to analyst estimates for American Eagle Outfitters are significant as they indicate shifts in near-term business trends [4] - Positive revisions in estimates suggest analysts' confidence in the company's performance and profit potential [4] Zacks Rank and Valuation - The Zacks Rank system currently rates American Eagle Outfitters as 5 (Strong Sell), with a 9.04% decrease in the Consensus EPS estimate over the last 30 days [6] - The company has a Forward P/E ratio of 12.19, which is a discount compared to the industry average Forward P/E of 17.97 [7] Industry Context - The Retail - Apparel and Shoes industry, part of the Retail-Wholesale sector, holds a Zacks Industry Rank of 209, placing it in the bottom 16% of over 250 industries [7] - The Zacks Industry Rank assesses the strength of industry groups based on the average Zacks Rank of individual stocks [8]

Company Performance - MINISO Group Holding Limited Unsponsored ADR (MNSO) closed at $17.74, reflecting a -1.93% change from the previous day, underperforming the S&P 500's daily loss of 0.33% [1] - Over the past month, MNSO shares have decreased by 1.47%, while the Retail-Wholesale sector gained 0.67% and the S&P 500 increased by 4.07% [1] Upcoming Earnings - The upcoming earnings disclosure is highly anticipated, with a consensus estimate forecasting revenue of $672.03 million, representing a 21.03% growth compared to the same quarter last year [2] Annual Forecast - For the entire year, Zacks Consensus Estimates predict earnings of $1.12 per share and revenue of $2.9 billion, indicating changes of -2.61% for earnings and +22.75% for revenue compared to the previous year [3] Analyst Revisions - Recent revisions to analyst forecasts for MNSO are important as they reflect near-term business trends, with positive revisions indicating optimism about the business outlook [4] Zacks Rank - The Zacks Rank system currently rates MNSO as 5 (Strong Sell), with no changes in the consensus EPS estimate over the past month [6] Valuation Metrics - MNSO is trading at a Forward P/E ratio of 16.22, which is a discount compared to its industry's Forward P/E of 17.97 [7] - The company has a PEG ratio of 1.06, while the average PEG ratio for Retail - Apparel and Shoes stocks is 2.02, indicating a more favorable valuation relative to expected earnings growth [8] Industry Context - The Retail - Apparel and Shoes industry, part of the Retail-Wholesale sector, has a Zacks Industry Rank of 209, placing it in the bottom 16% of over 250 industries [8][9]