证券代码：002028.SZ 证券简称：思源电气 思源电气股份有限公司投资者关系活动记录表 编号：2025-004 | 投资者关系活 | □特定对象调研 ☐分析师会议 □媒体采访 | | --- | --- | | 动类别 | ■业绩说明会 □新闻发布会 ☐路演活动 | | | □现场参观 □其他（请文字说明其他活动内容） | | 参与单位名称 | 通过证券时报网上路演中心（http://rs.stcn.com）参与公司 2024 年度网上 | | 及人员姓名 | 业绩说明会的投资者 | | 时间 | 2025 年 4 月 30 日 15:00-17:00 | | 地点 | 证券时报网上路演中心（http://rs.stcn.com） | | 上市公司接待 | 董事长兼总经理董增平、副董事长陈邦栋、独立董事邱宇峰、独立董事叶锋、 | | 人员姓名 | 独立董事赵世君、董事秦正余、董事兼副总经理杨帜华、董事会秘书兼财务 | | | 总监杨哲嵘 | | | Q1：公司 2024 年度的经营业绩如何？？ | | | A1：您好，公司 2024 年度实现营业收入 15,458,068,522.40 元，同比增长 | ...

Group 1: Financial Performance - In 2024, the company achieved revenue of 1.76 billion CNY, a year-on-year increase of 17.86% [3] - The net profit attributable to the parent company for 2024 was 252 million CNY, up 45.66% year-on-year [3] - In Q1 2025, the company reported revenue of 339 million CNY, a growth of 33.57% compared to the same period last year [3] Group 2: R&D and Product Development - The company invested 94 million CNY in R&D in 2024, accounting for 5.34% of total revenue, marking the highest investment in history [3] - New products, including 363kV and 800kV combination electrical devices, received full type test reports by the end of the reporting period [3] - In 2025, the company plans to focus on the R&D of 1000kV combination electrical products [3] Group 3: Operational Strategy - The company aims to fully initiate three major production base construction projects in 2025 [3] - The strategy includes focusing on core business and gradually exiting loss-making segments [3] - The company plans to enhance production capacity and efficiency at its three production bases [3] Group 4: Subsidiary Performance - Subsidiary Longgao Electric achieved revenue of 880 million CNY in 2024, with a net profit of 158 million CNY, reflecting a year-on-year revenue growth of 21.46% [3] - Longgao Switch reported revenue of 460 million CNY, with a net profit of 110 million CNY, marking a 30.37% increase in revenue [3] - The engineering and design segment generated over 90 million CNY in revenue, while Huawang Electric Power reported a loss of over 25 million CNY [3][4] Group 5: Market and Competitive Landscape - The company secured approximately 50 million CNY in high-voltage orders in 2024, contributing significantly to profits [4] - The competitive landscape in the power distribution market is expected to benefit from centralized procurement strategies by the State Grid [5] - Despite price reductions in bids, the overall tender volume growth may offset the impact on profits [5]

Performance Summary - In Q1 2025, the company achieved revenue of 3.23 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 21.4% [1] - The net profit attributable to the parent company was 450 million yuan, up 22.9% year-on-year [1] - The net profit excluding non-recurring items was 440 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 28.1%, meeting expectations [1] Operational Analysis - Domestic investment in the power grid reached a record high, with the State Grid completing fixed asset investments exceeding 90 billion yuan, a nearly 30% year-on-year increase [2] - The first batch of bidding for power transmission and transformation equipment by the State Grid amounted to 15.2 billion yuan, up 23% year-on-year, marking a four-year high [2] - The company secured contracts worth 1.05 billion yuan, including an unexpected 350 million yuan for 750kV GIS, enhancing its market share [2] - Transformer exports in Q1 2025 reached 1.82 billion USD, a 39% year-on-year increase, indicating sustained high growth [2] - The company made breakthroughs in markets such as the UK, Italy, Saudi Arabia, and Kuwait, benefiting from overseas demand for power equipment [2] Order Backlog and Targets - As of Q1 2025, the company's contract liabilities reached 2.84 billion yuan, a 19.91% increase from the beginning of the year, indicating a robust order backlog [3] - The company aims to secure new orders of 26.8 billion yuan (excluding tax) in 2025, a year-on-year increase of 25% [3] - The revenue target for 2025 is set at 18.5 billion yuan, reflecting a 20% year-on-year growth expectation [3] Profitability and Cost Control - The company's overall gross margin in Q1 2025 was 30.3%, a decrease of 0.4 percentage points year-on-year, while the net profit margin was 14.4%, an increase of 0.8 percentage points [4] - The expense ratios for sales, management, and R&D were 5.0%, 2.8%, and 7.9% respectively, showing stable management of expenses [4] Profit Forecast and Valuation - The company has a clear development strategy and business plan, with expectations for continued revenue growth in various product lines [5] - Projected net profits for 2025-2027 are 2.6 billion, 3.23 billion, and 3.97 billion yuan, representing year-on-year growth rates of 27%, 24%, and 23% respectively [5] - The current stock price corresponds to a PE valuation of 22, 18, and 14 times for the years 2025, 2026, and 2027, maintaining a "buy" rating [5]

Core Viewpoint - The company reported a mixed performance in Q1 2025, with revenue growth year-on-year but significant declines in both quarter-on-quarter revenue and net profit, indicating challenges in the current market environment [1][2]. Financial Performance - In Q1 2025, the company achieved revenue of 1.34 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 2.9% but a quarter-on-quarter decline of 36.1% [1]. - The net profit attributable to shareholders was 110 million yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 13.3% but a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 37.2% [1]. - The net profit excluding non-recurring items was 98.68 million yuan, showing a year-on-year decrease of 2.6% and a quarter-on-quarter decline of 41.3% [1]. Operational Highlights - The improvement in operating cash flow was driven by an increase in high-quality orders, with net cash flow from operating activities reaching 130 million yuan, an improvement of 470 million yuan year-on-year [2]. - The company’s sales expense ratio was 4.9%, up 0.03 percentage points year-on-year, while the management expense ratio (excluding R&D) was 6.2%, up 0.4 percentage points year-on-year [2]. - Financial expense ratio decreased to 0.7%, down 0.6 percentage points year-on-year [2]. Global Expansion - The company optimized its global production capacity, with overseas revenue reaching 1.98 billion yuan in 2024, a year-on-year increase of 68.3% [2]. - New production bases have been established in regions such as Mexico, Poland, and Malaysia, with expectations for new capacity to gradually come online in 2025 [2]. - Domestic sales orders grew by 27.47% year-on-year, indicating a stable domestic business outlook [2]. Growth Drivers - The company is focusing on the data center and power distribution business, leveraging advantages such as low loss, low noise, and high reliability [3]. - In 2024, the company secured over 140 data center orders, with order value increasing by 603.68% year-on-year, supporting rapid performance growth [3]. - The company is expected to benefit from the ongoing construction of AI Data Centers (AIDC) due to its established relationships with major clients like Alibaba, Baidu, and Huawei [3]. Future Projections - Revenue projections for 2025-2027 are estimated at 9.048 billion yuan, 11.062 billion yuan, and 12.692 billion yuan, respectively, with net profits expected to be 807 million yuan, 1.056 billion yuan, and 1.278 billion yuan [3]. - Corresponding price-to-earnings ratios are projected to be 17.64, 13.47, and 11.14 times for the respective years [3].

Core Viewpoint - The company achieved a revenue of 17.089 billion in 2024, with a year-on-year growth of 0.2%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 1.117 billion, reflecting an 11.1% increase year-on-year [1] Financial Performance - In Q4 2024, the company reported a revenue of 7.503 billion, a year-on-year increase of 20.4% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 172.8% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders for Q4 2024 was 222 million, showing a year-on-year growth of 13.9% but a quarter-on-quarter decline of 16.9% [1] - For Q1 2025, the company recorded a revenue of 2.348 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 16.4% and a quarter-on-quarter decrease of 68.7% [1] Profitability Metrics - The company’s gross profit margin and net profit margin for 2024 were 20.8% and 7.6%, respectively, with year-on-year changes of 2.8 percentage points and 0.6 percentage points [2] - In Q1 2025, the gross profit margin and net profit margin improved to 23.5% and 10.1%, with year-on-year changes of 5.2 percentage points and 0.7 percentage points [2] Business Segments - The company is a leading player in the domestic ultra-high voltage converter valve market, benefiting from increased industry demand [2] - The direct current transmission system business generated revenue of 1.44 billion in 2024, a significant year-on-year increase of 101.6% [2] - The smart meter business achieved revenue of 3.87 billion in 2024, with a year-on-year growth of 11% [3] - The company’s overseas business revenue reached 310 million in 2024, reflecting a year-on-year increase of 102% [3] Future Outlook - Revenue projections for 2025, 2026, and 2027 are 19.7 billion, 22.56 billion, and 25.1 billion, respectively, with expected net profit growth rates of 28.5%, 20.9%, and 14.6% [4] - The company’s core product advantages in smart grids and ultra-high voltage sectors, along with flexible direct current and EPC business, are expected to drive future growth [4]

Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 22.28 billion yuan for 2024, representing a year-on-year increase of 5.1% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders for 2024 was 1.05 billion yuan, up 17.5% year-on-year, while the non-recurring net profit reached 1.00 billion yuan, a significant increase of 55.5% [1] - In Q4 2024, the company experienced a revenue of 7.04 billion yuan, a 2.7% increase year-on-year, but the net profit dropped by 24.9% to 270 million yuan [1] Financial Performance - The company faced a foreign exchange loss of 241 million yuan in 2024, which increased by 190 million yuan year-on-year, primarily impacting Q4 profits [2] - Transformer revenue for 2024 was 9.218 billion yuan, up 17.8% year-on-year, while switch revenue was 8.504 billion yuan, increasing by 11.0% [2] - Domestic revenue reached 19.002 billion yuan, a 5.9% increase, while international revenue was 2.825 billion yuan, up 6.5%, accounting for approximately 13% of total revenue [2] Profitability and Margins - The gross margin for transformers was 14.35%, an increase of 5.88 percentage points year-on-year, while the gross margin for switches was 26.52%, up 1.29 percentage points [3] - The overall net profit margin for 2024 was 4.73%, a 0.5 percentage point increase year-on-year, with Q1 2025 reaching 5.6%, the highest since 2019 [3] Cash Flow and Inventory - The company reported a net operating cash flow of 3.499 billion yuan for 2024, a significant increase of 176.6% year-on-year [3] - As of Q1 2025, inventory stood at 4.868 billion yuan, a 51.2% increase year-on-year, indicating a strong delivery capacity [3] Future Outlook - The company expects to achieve a net profit of approximately 1.785 billion yuan in 2025, corresponding to a PE ratio of about 18 times, driven by continued delivery of ultra-high voltage products and enhanced manufacturing capabilities [4]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating a projected investment return exceeding the market benchmark by more than 15% over the next 6-12 months [4][6][14]. Core Views - The company achieved a revenue of 97.87 billion yuan in 2024, a slight decrease of 0.35% year-on-year, with a net profit attributable to shareholders of 4.14 billion yuan, down 61.37% year-on-year. For Q1 2025, revenue was 23.38 billion yuan, a decrease of 0.77% year-on-year, but net profit improved to 1.6 billion yuan, a 19.74% decrease year-on-year, indicating a recovery from previous losses [1][4]. - The company plans to achieve revenue exceeding 100 billion yuan in 2025, with a focus on controlling operating costs within 84 billion yuan. Despite challenges in the silicon material business, other segments such as coal, power transmission, and gold are expected to support revenue and cost control targets [4][5]. Summary by Sections Financial Performance - In 2024, the company reported a revenue of 97.87 billion yuan, with a net profit of 4.14 billion yuan. The Q1 2025 results showed a revenue of 23.38 billion yuan and a net profit of 1.6 billion yuan [1][4]. - The company’s silicon material sales volume decreased by 1.82% to 199,200 tons, with an average selling price dropping approximately 60% to 38,400 yuan per ton, leading to a 33.94% decline in revenue from new energy products and engineering services [2]. - The gold business saw a significant revenue increase of 187.75% to 1.193 billion yuan, despite a decrease in gross margin [2]. Business Segments - The power transmission and transformation sector showed steady growth, with revenues of 22.36 billion yuan from electrical equipment, 15.69 billion yuan from wires and cables, and 4.93 billion yuan from complete power transmission and transformation projects, reflecting year-on-year growth of 20.98%, 15.81%, and 0.26% respectively [3]. - The company secured domestic contracts worth 49.1 billion yuan in the power transmission sector, a year-on-year increase of approximately 21%, and international project contracts exceeded 1.2 billion USD, with a growth rate of over 70% [3]. Future Outlook - The company aims for a revenue target of 105 billion yuan in 2025, with a focus on maintaining cost control despite ongoing pressures in the silicon material sector. The coal and power transmission segments are expected to contribute positively to the overall performance [4][5]. - The profit forecast for 2025-2027 anticipates net profits of 7.22 billion yuan, 8.39 billion yuan, and 9.13 billion yuan respectively, with a current price-to-earnings ratio of 8 times for 2025 [5][12].

| 名称 | 持有数量(万股) | 占总股本比例 | 增减情况 | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | | (%) | (万股) | | 黄海军 | 52.94 | 1.32 | -6.06 | | 林新 | 36.25 | 0.91 | 新进 | | 毛念安 | 30.04 | 0.75 | 新进 | | 周宝根 | 26.17 | 0.65 | 新进 | | 王杰 | 24.09 | 0.60 | 新进 | | 黄皎 | 22.00 | 0.55 | 新进 | | 山东国舜建设集团有限公司 | 21.50 | 0.54 | 新进 | | 邬凌云 | 19.03 | 0.48 | 新进 | | 龚文锋 | 16.00 | 0.40 | 新进 | | 王立民 | 13.07 | 0.33 | 新进 | | 较上个报告期退出前十大股东有 | | | | | 中金公司-建设银行-中金新锐股票型集合资产管理计划 | 309.76 | 7.74 | 退出 | | 高盛公司有限责任公司 | 64.68 | 1.62 | 退出 | | 富国基金-国新投资有限公司-富国基金-国新7号(QDII)单 ...

三变科技（002112）公告，2025年第一季度营收为2.69亿元，同比下降16.98%；净利润为1876.34万 元，同比下降26.88%。 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" and it is maintained [7] Core Views - The company reported a slight increase in revenue for 2024, with total revenue of 17.09 billion yuan, up 0.2% year-on-year. The net profit attributable to shareholders was 1.12 billion yuan, an increase of 11.1% year-on-year, while the net profit excluding non-recurring items was 1.06 billion yuan, up 22.2% year-on-year [2][4] - In Q4 2024, the company achieved a revenue of 7.50 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year increase of 17.3% and a quarter-on-quarter increase of 172.8%. However, the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 4.7% year-on-year to 220 million yuan [2][4] - For Q1 2025, the company reported a revenue of 2.35 billion yuan, down 16.4% year-on-year, and a net profit of 210 million yuan, down 12.5% year-on-year [2][4] Financial Performance - The company's revenue from various segments in 2024 included: - Smart distribution and transformation systems: 4.71 billion yuan, up 2.9% - Smart meters: 3.87 billion yuan, up 11.0% - Smart medium-voltage power supply equipment: 3.35 billion yuan, up 6.7% - New energy and system integration: 2.46 billion yuan, down 37.5% - DC transmission systems: 1.44 billion yuan, up 101.6% - Charging and swapping equipment and other manufacturing services: 1.25 billion yuan, up 4.2% [10] - The overall gross margin for 2024 was 20.77%, an increase of 2.78 percentage points year-on-year. The gross margin for Q4 2024 was 19.28%, up 2.50 percentage points year-on-year but down 5.24 percentage points quarter-on-quarter [10] - The company’s total expenses ratio for 2024 was 12.54%, an increase of 1.68 percentage points year-on-year, with the sales expense ratio at 4.22%, up 1.34 percentage points [10] Future Outlook - The company has set a financial target for 2025 to achieve a revenue of 18.3 billion yuan. The expected net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025 is projected to reach 1.45 billion yuan, corresponding to a PE ratio of approximately 15 times [10]