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No Curveballs in the PCE Report – But Here's What's Next
Investor Place· 2025-09-27 00:31
Economic Indicators - The Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index showed a month-over-month increase of 0.3%, leading to a year-over-year inflation rate of 2.7% [1] - Core PCE, excluding food and energy, rose by 0.2% month-over-month, resulting in a 12-month core rate of 2.9% [2] - Personal consumption expenditures increased at a pace of 0.6%, indicating resilience among U.S. consumers, while the personal saving rate edged up to 4.6% [3] Federal Reserve Outlook - The Federal Reserve is likely to find the PCE report mildly soothing, but core inflation remains significantly above the 2% target, complicating rate-cut decisions [4] - The Fed is balancing the need to control inflation without causing distress in the labor market, as wage growth is cooling and job creation has softened [5] - Expectations for interest rate cuts have strengthened, with the probability of two quarter-point cuts increasing from 60.5% to 63% following the PCE data release [6] Quantum Computing Developments - HSBC has reported a 34% improvement in algorithmic corporate bond trading efficiency through the use of quantum computing tools in collaboration with IBM [12] - This advancement represents a significant step in the practical application of quantum computing, showcasing its potential to solve real-world business problems [13] Investment Strategies in Quantum Computing - Investing in quantum computing is characterized by high volatility, with companies like Rigetti experiencing significant price fluctuations [15][16] - It is advised to focus on quantum companies with strong fundamentals rather than those driven by hype, as weak fundamentals can lead to stock declines [18] Agentic AI and Investment Opportunities - The introduction of AI shopping agents, which can autonomously make purchases, is being facilitated by Google's new Agent Payments Protocol [23] - Investment opportunities in agentic AI can be categorized into three main areas: platform owners like Alphabet, payment processors such as Visa and Mastercard, and infrastructure providers like Amazon and Microsoft [26][28] Broader AI Trends - The advancements in agentic AI are part of a larger trend in AI, which includes the development of physical AI capable of sensing and acting in the real world [30]
Checkout.com’s new $12B valuation is a glass half-full situation
Yahoo Finance· 2025-09-26 19:30
Fintech Checkout.com announced on Friday that it reached a $12 billion valuation as part of an employee stock buyback program. On the one hand, very few startups ever achieve decacorn status, so $12 billion is nothing to sneeze at. It’s a valuable enough company to have landed its founder and CEO Guillaume Pousaz on Forbes’ billionaire list. On the other, there was a short period of time when Checkout.com was valued at a whopping $40 billion, as part of its $1 billion Series D round closed in 2022. By t ...
India Cracks Down on ‘Alarming’ Digital Payments Fraud With Strict New Rules
Yahoo Finance· 2025-09-25 20:32
Core Viewpoint - The Reserve Bank of India (RBI) has introduced new rules to enhance authentication standards for digital payments to combat increasing fraud in the sector [1][2]. Group 1: New Regulations - The guidelines, effective from April 1, 2026, require all payment system providers to implement dynamic authentication for digital transactions, building on existing two-factor authentication norms [2][4]. - The RBI mandates that authentication credentials, such as SMS-based one-time passwords (OTPs), biometric data, or hardware tokens, must be unique for each transaction to prevent reuse [3][5]. Group 2: Compliance and Responsibilities - Card issuers will be responsible for validating non-recurring cross-border "card-not-present" transactions starting October 1, 2026, and must implement risk-based checks for these payments [4][7]. - In cases of non-compliance leading to losses, issuers are required to fully compensate affected customers [4]. Group 3: Data Protection and Interoperability - All authentication mechanisms must comply with the Digital Personal Data Protection Act, 2023, ensuring consumer data protection [5]. - The framework promotes interoperability, requiring that tokenization and authentication services be accessible across various devices and applications [5][6]. Group 4: Risk-Based Approach - The RBI encourages a risk-based approach to authentication, assessing transactions based on behavioral and contextual parameters such as user location and historical spending patterns [6]. - High-risk transactions may require additional verification layers, with DigiLocker suggested as a platform for customer notifications [6].
Brookfield Business Partners (NYSE:BBU) 2025 Investor Day Transcript
2025-09-25 19:02
Summary of Brookfield Business Partners (NYSE: BBU) 2025 Investor Day Company Overview - Brookfield Business Partners (BBU) aims to provide public investors access to Brookfield's global private equity strategy, focusing on operational improvements and value creation initiatives [3][4] - The company has achieved a gross internal rate of return (IRR) of 26% and a net IRR of 20% over 25 years [3] Financial Performance - BBU reported record EBITDA of $2.7 billion, reflecting a 16% compounded annual growth rate over the last five years [64] - EBITDA margins have doubled from 12% to 24% [64] - Adjusted earnings from operations (EFO) per unit increased from $3.65 to $6.90 [64] - The company exceeded its target of generating $2 billion in proceeds from capital recycling initiatives within 12 months [66] - The net asset value (NAV) has doubled from $28 in 2020 to $54 today, indicating strong operational quality and value creation [72][73] Investment Strategy - BBU focuses on margin expansion and operational improvements to enhance NAV [4][5] - The company has initiated a buyback program, utilizing $250 million to repurchase shares at accretive levels [7] - BBU has invested in three market-leading businesses, including Chemelex, Antilia Scientific, and First National Financial Corporation, totaling $525 million [66][67] Market Opportunities - The company sees a $7 trillion opportunity for investment in AI infrastructure and anticipates $2 to $4 trillion in annual productivity improvements across industries due to AI [11][12] - BBU is actively creating an AI value creation office with over 30 dedicated personnel to implement AI use cases across its portfolio [13] Financial Infrastructure Sector - The financial services and technology sector is identified as needing significant capital, with a $4 trillion market opportunity [20] - BBU aims to invest in asset-light financial services and technology, focusing on software and services rather than traditional banking [23] - The company has invested over $7 billion in the financial services and technology space, targeting market leaders in need of operational change [24] Corporate Structure Simplification - BBU plans to simplify its corporate structure by combining BBULP units and BBUC exchangeable shares into one publicly traded Canadian corporation, enhancing trading liquidity and passive index participation [9][10] Key Takeaways - BBU is committed to increasing NAV and narrowing the discount to NAV in its stock price through operational improvements and strategic investments [76] - The company is leveraging AI and digitalization to transform its businesses and improve margins [76] - BBU's operational expertise positions it well to capitalize on the evolving financial infrastructure landscape, which is transitioning from analog to digital and AI-driven systems [18][32]
Klarna Card Gains 1 Million US Users in First 11 Weeks
PYMNTS.com· 2025-09-25 15:26
Core Insights - Klarna has successfully launched the Klarna Card in the U.S., with over 1 million sign-ups within 11 weeks of its July 4 launch [1] - The Klarna Card offers consumers the option to pay instantly with debit or to spread costs over time, combining the features of a debit card with the flexibility of credit [2][3] Company Performance - Klarna reported a year-over-year revenue growth of 20% in Q2, with a notable 38% growth in the U.S. market [5] - The company's growth is attributed to an expanding merchant ecosystem and increased consumer engagement [6] Product Features - The Klarna Card operates on Visa's Flexible Credential, allowing users to switch between debit and Klarna's Pay in 4 payment plans at any Visa-accepting merchant [4] - The card aims to provide simplicity, flexibility, and transparency, which are key factors in its popularity [5][3] Market Strategy - Klarna is rolling out an enhanced version of the Klarna Card in the U.S. following its success in European markets [7] - Strategic partnerships with leading payment service providers and major merchants are crucial for expanding Klarna's reach and accelerating growth [7]
Venmo Teams Up with Quarterback Drew Allar to Launch Penn State Venmo Debit Card
Prnewswire· 2025-09-25 13:00
Core Insights - Venmo has launched a new Name, Image, and Likeness (NIL) partnership with Penn State Quarterback Drew Allar, introducing a special edition Penn State Venmo Debit Mastercard aimed at students, alumni, and fans [1][2] - The Venmo Debit Card offers exclusive perks and rewards for everyday purchases, enhancing the gameday experience for users [2][4] - Venmo Hall, a new fan destination, will debut during the Penn State 'White Out' game, featuring various activities and exclusive merchandise for Venmo Debit Card users [3][4] Company Initiatives - The Venmo Debit Card is now available for several universities, including Penn State, Michigan State, and others, providing users with access to limited-time offers and rewards [2][4] - Venmo is expanding its brand presence on college campuses through a fully integrated marketing campaign that includes in-stadium promotions, social media, and streaming platforms [6][7] - The campaign aims to highlight the connection between college sports and campus life, showcasing how users can utilize their Venmo balance for various purchases [6][7] Marketing Strategy - Venmo Hall will travel to various universities, creating memorable experiences for students and fans while promoting school pride [4] - The partnership with athletes like Drew Allar and others aims to enhance brand visibility and engagement within the college sports community [2][6] - Venmo's marketing efforts are designed to resonate with the campus culture, making it easier for users to engage with the brand during gameday events [4][6]
Google Stock: Google Shakes Up Cryptocurrency, Digital Payments, AI Agents
Investors· 2025-09-25 12:10
Core Insights - Google is innovating in digital payments, cryptocurrency, and AI-based shopping applications with its new "AI agent" technology, leading to a 30% increase in its stock in 2025 [1][5] - The newly announced Agent Payments Protocol (AP2) aims to enhance secure commerce for AI agents, developed in collaboration with 60 industry partners [2][3] - Competitors like Amazon and Mastercard are also developing similar AI-driven payment technologies [4] Group 1: Google’s Innovations - Google has introduced the Agent Payments Protocol (AP2), which is an open protocol designed to facilitate transactions using various payment methods, including credit cards, stablecoins, and real-time bank transfers [2][3] - The AP2 system utilizes tamper-proof, cryptographically-signed digital contracts called Mandates, which serve as verifiable proof of user instructions for transactions [3] Group 2: Market Performance - Google stock recently fell by 1.1% to $244.40, despite achieving a valuation of over $3 trillion and a 30% gain in 2025 after a slow start [5] - The stock has an IBD Composite Rating of 98, indicating strong growth potential, and an Accumulation/Distribution Rating of A, suggesting more funds are buying than selling [7] Group 3: Competitive Landscape - Amazon is testing its "Buy For Me" feature, an AI shopping agent that searches the internet for products on behalf of customers [4] - Mastercard has developed its own Agent Pay in collaboration with Microsoft, while Visa has introduced its Intelligent Commerce tool, which uses tokenized digital credentials [4]
Cashfree Payments enables Apple Pay support for international cards
Yahoo Finance· 2025-09-25 11:47
Core Insights - Cashfree Payments has integrated Apple Pay support for international cards through its international payment gateway, enhancing global market reach for businesses [1][5] - The integration aims to reduce payment friction and facilitate borderless e-commerce, addressing the infrastructure challenges faced by Indian merchants [2][3] Group 1: Integration Details - The integration allows businesses to offer Apple Pay as a checkout option in markets such as the US, UK, Canada, UAE, and Europe [1] - Cashfree's Apple Pay integration is expected to reduce drop-offs by up to 75% for Indian exporters in high-intent markets [3] - The integration utilizes biometric authentication and tokenized card data to enhance security and reduce fraud [4] Group 2: Market Impact - The feature is particularly beneficial for sectors like travel, tourism, SaaS exporters, and global e-commerce brands, where manual entry errors can lead to costly transaction failures [3] - Existing merchants can enable Apple Pay instantly without additional integration efforts, benefiting from existing dashboards and tools [4] - Cashfree Payments processes transactions worth $80 billion annually for over 800,000 businesses, indicating significant market presence [5]
PayPal inks BNPL deal; Revolut promises to invest in UK
American Banker· 2025-09-24 18:54
PayPal and BNPL Loans - PayPal has entered into an agreement with Blue Owl Capital to sell approximately $7 billion worth of its Pay in 4 buy now/pay later (BNPL) loans originated in the U.S. over the next year, while continuing to originate and service the loans [1] - The Pay in 4 service, launched in 2020, allows customers to split purchases into four interest-free payments over six weeks, with PayPal processing over $33 billion in BNPL payment volume in 2024, marking a 21% year-over-year increase [2] - PayPal has a similar loan purchase agreement with KKR for up to 40 billion euros of its European BNPL loans, indicating a strategic move to enhance its capital allocation and support the growth of its Pay Later portfolio [4] Market Trends and Competitors - There is a growing interest among asset managers and investment firms for short-duration BNPL loans, with Klarna and Affirm also engaging in significant loan purchase agreements with various investment firms [3] - Analysts suggest that while the agreement with Blue Owl is strategically beneficial for PayPal, the immediate impact may be minimal as the actual outstanding receivables for Pay-in-4 loans in the U.S. are likely a fraction of the $7 billion agreement [5]
PayPal Sells $7 Billion in BNPL Loans to Blue Owl Capital
PYMNTS.com· 2025-09-24 16:51
Core Insights - PayPal has entered a two-year, multibillion-dollar partnership with Blue Owl Capital to enhance its "Pay in 4" buy now, pay later (BNPL) program [2][4] - The partnership involves Blue Owl purchasing approximately $7 billion in loans from PayPal's BNPL offerings, while PayPal will continue to manage customer-facing activities [2][3] Company Strategy - PayPal has been focusing on online consumer financing since 2008, launching its "Pay in 4" product in 2020, which is widely available in major markets [3] - The company processed over $33 billion in BNPL payment volume globally last year, marking a 21% increase from 2023 [3] Financial Implications - PayPal's CEO highlighted that average order values using BNPL are over 80% higher than standard transactions, which is a key selling point for attracting merchants [4] - The CFO stated that the partnership with Blue Owl aligns with PayPal's capital allocation strategy and supports the growth of its pay later portfolio [4] Industry Trends - The PYMNTS Intelligence report indicates that while BNPL adoption is growing, card networks are experiencing faster growth in installment conversions [4][5] - There is a shift in consumer behavior, with store-branded cards gaining popularity among middle-income households and Generation Z, prompting general-purpose card issuers to adapt [5]