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Trade Tracker: Jim Lebenthal buys more Cleveland-Cliffs
CNBC Television· 2025-10-21 18:28
Company Performance & Outlook - Cleveland Cliffs' narrative is shifting from a company with a highly levered balance sheet to one with improving prospects [3] - EBITDA (Earnings Before Interest, Taxes, Depreciation, and Amortization) came in better than expected [10] - The company anticipates continued tariffs due to national security concerns [11] Demand & Contracts - Auto demand is picking up, representing one-third of Cleveland Cliffs' business [4] - The company has signed favorable contracts with major OEMs (Original Equipment Manufacturers) for the next two to three years [4] - Cleveland Cliffs has signed a memorandum of understanding with an international steel company to leverage idle assets [5] Government & Strategic Initiatives - The company received a $400 million order from the Department of War for grain-oriented electrical steel for a national strategic stockpile [11][12] Stock Analysis - Wells Fargo downgraded the stock to underweight due to "excess exuberance" [2] - The 200-day moving average is trending upwards, and the 50-day is soaring [6] - The recent stock drop is viewed as filling a gap that formed previously [7]
Trade Tracker: Jim Lebenthal buys more Cleveland-Cliffs
Youtube· 2025-10-21 18:28
Core Viewpoint - The narrative surrounding Cleveland Cliffs is shifting, with a focus on improving auto demand and strategic partnerships rather than solely on rare earths [3][4]. Company Developments - Cleveland Cliffs has signed contracts with major OEMs for favorable pricing over the next two to three years, indicating a positive outlook for auto production, which constitutes one-third of their business [4]. - The company has entered a memorandum of understanding with an international steel company to leverage idle assets, which is seen as a significant development despite differing opinions on its impact [5]. - A recent order from the Department of War for $400 million of grain-oriented electrical steel is aimed at building a national strategic stockpile, highlighting the company's role in national security [11][12]. Financial Performance - Despite the stock experiencing a downturn, the company's EBITDA came in better than expected, suggesting underlying profitability even amidst negative gross margins [10]. - The stock's technical indicators, such as the 200-day moving average, are showing positive trends, indicating potential for recovery [6][7]. Market Sentiment - The stock was downgraded to underweight by Wells Fargo, citing excess exuberance, but there is a contrasting view that the current price presents a buying opportunity [2][3][7].
Cleveland-Cliffs (CLF) Hits New All-Time High as Firm Sets Sights on Rare Earth Mining
Yahoo Finance· 2025-10-21 16:55
Core Viewpoint - Cleveland-Cliffs Inc. is experiencing significant stock performance improvements due to its strategic shift towards rare earth mining, aligning with national goals for critical material independence [1][3]. Group 1: Stock Performance - The stock reached a new 52-week high of $16.7 during intra-day trading, ultimately closing up by 21.47% at $16.18 [2]. - This performance marked the end of a three-day losing streak for the company [1]. Group 2: Business Strategy - Cleveland-Cliffs has officially initiated efforts to diversify from steelmaking into rare earth mining, exploring potential mining sites in Michigan and Minnesota [2][4]. - The CEO emphasized the importance of reducing reliance on foreign nations for essential minerals, positioning Cleveland-Cliffs as part of the solution for American manufacturing [3]. Group 3: Financial Performance - In the third quarter, the company reported a net loss attributable to shareholders of $251 million, a 2.87% increase from $244 million in the same period last year [4]. - Revenues increased by 2.8% year-on-year, reaching $4.7 billion compared to $4.57 billion [4].
STLD's Q3 Earnings Beat Estimates on Record Steel Shipments
ZACKS· 2025-10-21 16:46
Core Insights - Steel Dynamics, Inc. (STLD) reported third-quarter 2025 earnings of $2.74 per share, an increase from $2.05 in the same quarter last year, surpassing the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $2.66 [1][9] - Net sales for the quarter reached $4,828.2 million, reflecting an 11.2% year-over-year increase and exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $4,690.7 million [1][9] Financial Performance - The company achieved a sequential improvement in margins due to strong financial performance and operational milestones [2] - Steel operations net sales were $3,538.04 million, up approximately 21.3% year over year, with record steel shipments of about 3.6 million tons [3] - The average external product selling price for steel was $1,119 per ton, up from $1,059 in the previous year but down from $1,134 in the previous quarter [4] - Metal recycling operations generated net sales of $520.99 million, a 4.5% increase year over year, with ferrous shipments of around 1.59 million gross tons, up 8.8% [5] - Steel fabrication operations reported sales of approximately $377.7 million, down 15.56% year over year, with shipments of 151,563 tons, down 4.4% [6] Financial Position - At the end of the quarter, the company had cash and cash equivalents of $770.4 million, a decrease of 24.12% year over year, and long-term debt of $3,781 million, an increase of roughly 35% [7] - Cash flow from operations was $722.6 million, down about 5% year over year [7] Market Outlook - The company anticipates improving market conditions driven by greater trade stability, policy clarity, and a favorable interest rate environment, which are expected to enhance domestic demand for steel and aluminum products [8] - Management expects a reduction in unfairly traded imports, benefiting operations and market positioning [8] - The focus on low-carbon, U.S.-made steel and aluminum solutions is expected to strengthen the company's competitive advantage [9][10] Stock Performance - Shares of Steel Dynamics have increased by 12.8% over the past year, compared to an 11.8% rise in its industry [11]
Steel Dynamics(STLD) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-10-21 16:00
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - The company achieved record steel shipments of 3,600,000 tons in Q3 2025, with revenues of $4,800,000,000 and adjusted EBITDA of $664,000,000, reflecting strong operational execution despite market headwinds [7][11] - Earnings per diluted share were reported at $2.74, with operating income from steel operations increasing by 30% sequentially to $498,000,000 [11][12] - Cash flow from operations was robust at $723,000,000, with liquidity exceeding $2,200,000,000 at the end of September [15][16] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - Steel operations saw a significant increase in operating income driven by record shipments and metal spread expansion, with average scrap costs declining by $27 per ton [12][13] - The metals recycling operations reported operating income of $32,000,000, significantly higher than the previous quarter, supported by strong domestic steel demand [13][21] - Steel fabrication operations achieved operating income of $107,000,000, a 15% increase from the second quarter, with a backlog extending through 2026 [13][20] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - The domestic steel industry operated at a production utilization rate of 78%, while the company's mills operated at a higher rate of 88%, reflecting strong demand and operational efficiency [23] - Coated flat rolled steel volume and pricing compressed due to an inventory overhang from imports, but prices are expected to improve as the market stabilizes [24][26] - The company anticipates that steel prices have bottomed out and will see upward movement in 2026, supported by recent trade rulings and tariffs [24][29] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company is focused on transformational growth initiatives, including decarbonization efforts and expanding its aluminum operations, which are expected to achieve monthly EBITDA breakeven in Q4 2025 [15][18] - The strategic capital allocation prioritizes high-return growth opportunities while maintaining a strong dividend profile and share repurchase program [16][32] - The company aims to leverage its competitive advantages in metals recycling and aluminum to enhance earnings potential and market share [22][36] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed optimism regarding steel demand and pricing dynamics, citing ongoing onshoring activity and infrastructure spending as key drivers [29][44] - The company is well-positioned to benefit from favorable trade policies and a growing domestic manufacturing base, which is expected to support steel consumption [42][43] - Management highlighted the importance of safety and operational excellence as foundational to the company's success and future growth [10][45] Other Important Information - The company has repurchased $661,000,000 of its common stock in 2025, representing 3.4% of outstanding shares, while maintaining investment-grade ratings [15][16] - The aluminum operations are expected to contribute significantly to the company's earnings, with a projected through-cycle EBITDA contribution of over $1,400,000,000 from recent investments [44][107] Q&A Session Summary Question: Can you discuss the aluminum rolling mill and its impact on commercial activities? - Management noted that accelerated qualifications for can sheet products have opened doors for negotiating longer-term contracts, with expectations for a favorable product mix in 2026 [52][54] Question: What is the expected exit run rate for the aluminum operations? - Management confirmed expectations for EBITDA breakeven in Q4 2025, with ongoing certification processes impacting costs but not altering the overall positive outlook [58][59] Question: What are the capital allocation priorities for next year? - The company plans to maintain a balanced cash allocation strategy, with potential increases in dividends and continued share repurchases, while exploring organic growth opportunities [64][66] Question: How is the company positioned in the rail market? - Management indicated a commitment to the rail market, anticipating growth and improved product quality, while maintaining a stable mix in structural shipments [84][85] Question: What is the outlook for the flat rolled steel business? - Management expressed optimism for the Sinton facility, expecting improved performance as inventory overhang diminishes and market conditions stabilize [90][96]
Steel Dynamics, Inc. 2025 Q3 - Results - Earnings Call Presentation (NASDAQ:STLD) 2025-10-21
Seeking Alpha· 2025-10-21 15:31
Group 1 - The article does not provide any relevant content regarding company or industry insights [1]
Steel Dynamics(STLD) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Presentation
2025-10-21 15:00
Financial Performance - Q3 2025 - Steel Dynamics reported a net income of $404 million[15] - The company's cash flow from operations reached $723 million[15] - Adjusted EBITDA was $664 million, representing a 14% margin[15] - Diluted earnings per share (EPS) amounted to $274[15] - Revenue was strong at $48 billion[15] - The company repurchased 11% of its outstanding shares for $210 million[15] - Return on Invested Capital (ROIC) was 15%[15] Operational Highlights - Q3 2025 - Steel shipments reached a record high[7,18] - The company announced the acquisition of the remaining 55% of New Process Steel[7] - Aluminum Dynamics operations continued to ramp up[7] - The company made its first shipments of biocarbon to the Columbus steel mill[7] Strategic Growth & Investments - The company is investing $19 billion in a new state-of-the-art Sinton, Texas flat roll steel mill, which started production in Q1 2022[43] - Steel Dynamics is investing $600 million in greenfield investments for four new flat roll steel finishing lines, which started in the first half of 2024[43] - The company is investing $25 billion in the undersupplied North American aluminum flat rolled products market, with first coils shipped in June 2025[43]
X @Bloomberg
Bloomberg· 2025-10-21 13:50
Poland seeks to discuss ArcelorMittal's plans for operations in Europe amid growing concerns over the country’s ailing steel industry https://t.co/6O1zTUKr31 ...
Goldman downgraded, Coinbase initiated: Wall Street's top analyst calls
Yahoo Finance· 2025-10-21 13:32
Upgrades - BofA upgraded Eversource (ES) to Buy from Neutral with a price target of $85, up from $73, citing an "improving regulatory tone" and a projected 6% EPS growth through 2029 [2] - Leerink upgraded Exelixis (EXEL) to Outperform from Market Perform with a price target of $48, up from $38, following the Phase 3 STELLAR-303 trial results, which established important levers for long-term investment despite a 12% stock decline [3] - Citi upgraded Nextracker (NXT) to Buy from Neutral with a price target of $114, up from $66, highlighting its dominant position in tracker sales and potential revenue contributions from acquired businesses by FY30 [4] - Citi upgraded Sunrun (RUN) to Buy from Neutral with a price target of $26, up from $11, noting benefits from rising electricity rates and increased leverage over suppliers due to market shifts [5] - Raymond James upgraded Capri Holdings (CPRI) to Outperform from Market Perform with a price target of $25, indicating a favorable turnaround position supported by improving demand and conservative guidance [6] Downgrades - JPMorgan downgraded Goldman Sachs (GS) to Neutral from Overweight with a price target of $750, up from $625, citing high current valuations compared to European investment banks [7] - BNP Paribas Exane downgraded Verizon (VZ) to Neutral from Outperform with a price target of $44, raising concerns about strategic direction following a recent CEO change [7] - BNP Paribas Exane downgraded NuScale Power (SMR) to Underperform from Neutral with a price target of $25, down from $41, due to concerns over cumulative shipments and financial commitments [7] - Citi downgraded NuScale to Sell from Neutral with a price target of $37.50, down from $46, highlighting potential sales by Fluor and stretched valuations [7] - TD Cowen downgraded Tempus AI (TEM) to Hold from Buy with a price target of $88, up from $72, viewing the stock as fairly valued after a significant rally [7] - Wells Fargo downgraded Cleveland-Cliffs (CLF) to Underweight from Equal Weight with an unchanged price target of $11, describing the recent stock rally as "excess exuberance" [7]
3 Dividend Kings Already Soaring and Analysts Say the Rally Isn’t Over Yet
Yahoo Finance· 2025-10-21 11:13
Core Viewpoint - Dividend Kings represent a group of companies that have consistently increased their dividends for at least 50 consecutive years, indicating their resilience and ability to thrive through market downturns and volatility [2]. Group 1: Dividend Kings Overview - Dividend Kings are not limited to S&P 500 companies, unlike Dividend Aristocrats, showcasing a broader range of companies that have demonstrated long-term dividend growth [2]. - The article emphasizes that lasting success in the market is based on decades of discipline and resilience rather than short-term hype [3]. Group 2: Investment Insights - The analysis focuses on three Dividend Kings that exhibit exceptional performance and steady growth, providing significant value for shareholders [3]. - A stock screener was utilized to identify the highest-yielding companies, filtering for those with an annual dividend yield of at least 1% and a minimum of 12 analysts covering them [4][6]. Group 3: Nucor Corp (NUE) - Nucor Corp is highlighted as the first Dividend King, recognized as the largest steel producer in the United States with over 300 operating facilities and the largest recycler of scrap metal in North America [8]. - The company has announced earnings guidance for Q3 2025, expecting profits of $2.05 to $2.15 per share, and has returned nearly $1 billion to shareholders through buybacks and dividends year-to-date [9].