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Can Lucid Keep Its Delivery Growth Streak Alive in 2026?
ZACKS· 2026-01-08 14:27
Core Insights - Lucid Group (LCID) ended 2025 with strong operational momentum, achieving record deliveries and a production ramp that reset expectations, while profitability and cash flow remain critical factors for investors to monitor [1] Delivery Performance - Deliveries reached 15,841 vehicles in 2025, marking a 55% year-over-year increase. Fourth-quarter deliveries totaled 5,345 units, a 31% sequential rise, and surpassed the 3,099 units delivered in the same quarter last year, resulting in eight consecutive quarters of record deliveries [2] Production Highlights - Full-year production totaled 18,378 vehicles, with a significant fourth-quarter surge to 8,412 units, representing a 116% increase from the third quarter and a 148% increase compared to the fourth quarter of 2024, allowing Lucid to meet its year-end production target after a slow first half [3] Product Mix and Revenue Quality - The Gravity SUV became the majority of fourth-quarter production, reflecting a shift in order mix towards Gravity during the third quarter. This shift supported higher average selling prices as the company expanded the Gravity lineup, improving revenue quality alongside volume [4] Operational Adjustments - Management added a second shift in October to sustain the Gravity-led production cadence. The introduction of Gravity Touring is expected to broaden the addressable market, favoring higher-value configurations as 2026 progresses [5] Financial Overview - Margins were near triple-digit negative in Q3 2025, impacted by tariffs (approximately a 13-point hit to GAAP gross margin) and inventory effects related to the fourth-quarter ramp. Adjusted EBITDA losses widened year-over-year in Q3 due to persistent supply chain costs and launch expenses [6] - Free cash outflow was approximately $956 million in Q3, driven by elevated R&D, SG&A, and program investments. For 2025, management guided capital expenditures of $1-1.2 billion, indicating continued negative free cash flow in the near term despite improved volumes. Liquidity stood at $4.2 billion at the end of Q3 2025, with an undrawn delayed-draw term loan facility expanded to roughly $2 billion [7] Revenue Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for 2025 and 2026 revenues indicates a year-over-year increase of 55% and 77%, respectively, aligning with stronger unit volume and a richer model mix following Gravity's transition to majority production in Q4 [8] Competitive Landscape - While LCID recorded a year-over-year increase in 2025 deliveries, competitors like Tesla (TSLA) and Rivian (RIVN) experienced declines. Rivian delivered 42,247 vehicles in 2025, down from 51,579 in 2024, while Tesla delivered over 1,635,000 vehicles in 2025 compared to more than 1,789,000 in 2024 [9][10] Investor Considerations - Lucid enters 2026 with production momentum and a Gravity-driven mix that enhances sales potential. However, the stock currently holds a Zacks Rank 4 (Sell) and a VGM Score of F, indicating near-term challenges as the market evaluates cash burn, tariffs, and supply variability against improving execution. The investment outlook now depends on the speed of margin recovery and moderation of cash burn amid a volatile cost environment [11]
LCID Shares Fall More Than 60% in a Year: How to Play Now
ZACKS· 2026-01-08 14:20
Core Insights - Lucid Group (LCID) is currently trading at a discount compared to its peers, with mixed fundamentals following a challenging year [1] - The Gravity SUV is positively impacting the product mix, but issues with margins and cash burn remain significant concerns [1] - Management's ability to execute on deliveries, cost management, and capital allocation will be crucial for narrowing the performance gap with peers by 2026 [1] Stock Performance - LCID stock has declined over 60% in the past year, underperforming the industry and broader market, which saw increases of approximately 15% and 12% respectively [2] - The S&P 500 index rose about 20% during the same period [2] Delivery and Production - Lucid achieved record deliveries of 15,841 vehicles in 2025, marking a 55% year-over-year increase, driven primarily by the Gravity SUV [5][12] - In contrast, competitors like Rivian and Tesla experienced declines in deliveries during the same period [12] Financial Position - A larger delayed-draw term loan facility and a strategic investment have extended the company's cash runway into the first half of 2027, allowing time for the Gravity SUV and midsize program to scale [6] - LCID's valuation stands at approximately 1.57x forward twelve-month sales, significantly lower than the sub-industry average of 3.28x and the S&P 500's 5.25x [7] Profitability and Margins - Despite the increase in deliveries, Lucid continues to face deep negative margins due to supply chain costs and tariffs, which are pressuring profitability [5][14] - The company is expected to see revenue growth through 2026 as the Gravity SUV and other models expand the addressable market [13] Future Outlook - The upcoming Atlas powertrain and collaborations aimed at achieving Level 4 autonomy could enhance unit economics and product appeal if executed on schedule [13] - The focus remains on improving profitability and cash generation, with any progress in cost management or tariff relief being critical for future valuation [14] Investment Sentiment - Lucid currently holds a Zacks Rank of 4 (Sell) and a VGM Score of F, indicating potential underperformance in the near term [9] - The company is set to report Q4'25 results on February 24, 2026, with key areas of focus including the ramp-up of the Gravity SUV and commentary on delivery, production, and capital expenditures [15]
Truist Cuts Tesla (TSLA) PT to $439 as Record Energy Storage Offsets Q4 Delivery Miss
Yahoo Finance· 2026-01-08 14:13
Tesla Inc. (NASDAQ:TSLA) is one of the most buzzing stocks to invest in according to hedge funds. On January 2, Truist analyst William Stein lowered the firm’s price target on Tesla to $439 from $444 with a Hold rating on the shares. Following the company’s Q4 2025 announcement of 418,000 deliveries, Truist characterized the subsequent stock recovery as a better-than-feared reaction from investors. While vehicle deliveries lagged, energy storage deployments exceeded expectations. However, Truist maintains ...
Ford (F) Expands 2025 Market Share to 13.2% on Strong Hybrid Demand, Powertrain Diversification Strategy
Yahoo Finance· 2026-01-08 14:12
Ford Motor Company (NYSE:F) is one of the most buzzing stocks to invest in according to hedge funds. On January 6, Ford Motor Company announced its Q4 2025 earnings report. Total vehicle sales for the full year 2025 rose 6% to 2,204,124 units, driving Ford’s annual market share up to 13.2%, which was a 0.6 percentage point increase. Q4 particularly had sales growing 2.7% and market share jumping 0.9 percentage points as the company used its power of choice strategy across gas, hybrid, and electric powertra ...
Goldman Sachs Hikes Rivian (RIVN) to $18 as Focus Shifts to R2 Platform, Autonomous Driving Progress
Yahoo Finance· 2026-01-08 14:12
Rivian Automotive Inc. (NASDAQ:RIVN) is one of the most buzzing stocks to invest in according to hedge funds. On January 5, Goldman Sachs raised the firm’s price target on Rivian to $18 from $16 with a Neutral rating on the shares. The firm highlighted that Rivian’s Q4 2025 deliveries reached 9.7K, which was a slight miss compared to the firm’s estimates. This was also a 26% sequential decline and a 31% drop year-over-year. Goldman Sachs now expects investor attention to center on the R2 platform and the c ...
Can Lucid, Nuro and Uber Hit a 2026 Robotaxi Launch Target?
ZACKS· 2026-01-08 14:11
Key Takeaways Lucid unveiled a production-intent robotaxi with Nuro and Uber at CES, targeting a 2026 service launch.Autonomous testing began in December in the Bay Area under human supervision, led by Nuro.The robotaxi features NVIDIA-powered autonomy, a premium six-seat layout, and real-time ride visualization.Lucid Group (LCID) is leaning into a three-way partnership with Nuro and Uber Technologies (UBER) to take a premium autonomous ride service from stage to street.  Momentum is real, but the near-term ...
深蓝汽车邓承浩否认“没钱了所以融资”:现金流非常好
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2026-01-08 14:06
IT之家注意到,深蓝汽车董事长邓承浩今日发文对"深蓝没钱了,所以融资"这一说法进行了说明,称深蓝汽车现金流非常好。邓承浩微博原文如下: 今天深蓝汽车与渝富集团完成了新一轮增资扩股的签约。感谢各位股东的信任,这次增资,是大家用真金白银为深蓝汽车投下的信任票。 前不久看到网上有人猜测说,深蓝没钱了,所以融资。纠正一下,深蓝汽车现金流非常好。这次融资,我们主要想加大两项工作的战略性投 入:一是下一代全球领先的智能化和电动化技术;二是全球化品牌提升,成长为全球用户都喜爱的品牌。 对了,前不久我们获得了中国首款 L3 自动驾驶正式牌照,很多朋友关心什么时候能体验。今天有一条好消息分享给大家,我们即将在重庆开 启大规模 L3 自动驾驶体验,欢迎大家关注我们的官方信息。 IT之家 1 月 8 日消息,深蓝汽车官方今日与重庆渝富控股集团完成了新一轮增资扩股的签约。公开信息显示,通过本次股权投资合作,重庆渝富控股集团 为深蓝汽车投入 25 亿元发展资金。 据IT之家此前报道,在 2025 年 12 月 25 日,长安旗下深蓝汽车官宣完成 C 轮融资,本轮增资由长安汽车、重庆渝富控股集团有限公司、招银金融资产投 资有限公司共同出 ...
Nio (NYSE: NIO) Stock Price Prediction and Forecast 2026-2030 (Jan 8)
247Wallst· 2026-01-08 13:10
The tariff-driven market volatility has been rough on shares of Chinese electric vehicle (EV) maker Nio Inc. ...
Tesla 'Faces Increased Competition' In Autonomy Race With Nvidia Entering Market
Investors· 2026-01-08 13:08
Information in Investor's Business Daily is for informational and educational purposes only and should not be construed as an offer, recommendation, solicitation, or rating to buy or sell securities. The information has been obtained from sources we believe to be reliable, but we make no guarantee as to its accuracy, timeliness, or suitability, including with respect to information that appears in closed captioning. Historical investment performances are no indication or guarantee of future success or perfo ...
大行评级丨Piper Sandler:上调福特汽车目标价至16美元,评级升至“增持”
Ge Long Hui· 2026-01-08 13:04
Piper Sandler将福特汽车的目标价从11美元上调至16美元,评级从"中性"上调至"增持"。该行认为,福 特的电动汽车战略支点、与雷诺的合作关系以及对高利润卡车和SUV的重新关注将推动其利润率在2027 年之前继续增长。 ...