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Here's What Key Metrics Tell Us About Duolingo (DUOL) Q3 Earnings
ZACKS· 2025-11-06 21:31
Core Insights - Duolingo, Inc. reported a revenue of $271.71 million for Q3 2025, marking a year-over-year increase of 41.1% and exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate of $260.52 million by 4.3% [1] - The company's EPS for the same period was $0.95, up from $0.49 a year ago, representing a surprise of 31.94% compared to the consensus estimate of $0.72 [1] Financial Performance Metrics - Total bookings reached $281.9 million, surpassing the four-analyst average estimate of $272.06 million [4] - Subscription bookings were $240.3 million, exceeding the average estimate of $231.89 million from three analysts [4] - Daily active users (DAUs) were reported at 50.5 million, slightly below the average estimate of 51.21 million [4] - Monthly active users (MAUs) totaled 135.3 million, compared to the average estimate of 136.2 million [4] - Paid subscribers at the end of the period were 11.5 million, in line with the average estimate of 11.51 million [4] - Subscription revenue was $229.5 million, representing a year-over-year increase of 45.6% and exceeding the average estimate of $220.91 million [4] - Other revenue, including advertising, was reported at $31.13 million, below the average estimate of $40.11 million [4] - In-app purchases generated $11.1 million, surpassing the average estimate of $9.83 million [4] - Advertising revenue was $21.02 million, compared to the average estimate of $19.54 million [4] - Revenue from the Duolingo English Test was $9.65 million, slightly below the average estimate of $10.17 million [4] Stock Performance - Duolingo's shares have returned -25.1% over the past month, contrasting with the Zacks S&P 500 composite's +1.3% change [3] - The stock currently holds a Zacks Rank 2 (Buy), indicating potential for outperformance in the near term [3]
Options Corner: Duolingo's Post-Earnings Collapse Offers An Enticing Contrarian Gamble - Duolingo (NASDAQ:DUOL)
Benzinga· 2025-11-06 21:00
Core Viewpoint - Duolingo Inc (NASDAQ:DUOL) reported strong financial results for the third quarter, but the performance fell short of analyst expectations, leading to a significant drop in stock price, which may present a contrarian investment opportunity [1][4]. Financial Performance - Duolingo's third-quarter revenue reached $271.7 million, exceeding the consensus estimate of $260.33 million, and representing a 41% year-over-year increase [2]. - Daily active users increased by 36% to 50.2 million, while monthly active users grew by 20% to 135.3 million [2]. Analyst Expectations - Analysts had projected daily active users to be 51.2 million and monthly users to reach 137.4 million, indicating that the actual figures did not meet expectations [3]. - Concerns were raised regarding the time it may take for the financial benefits of new AI-backed features to materialize [3]. Stock Performance - Following the earnings report, DUOL stock experienced a decline of over 39%, with a year-to-date decrease of 40% [4]. - The stock is currently viewed as heavily covered due to its significant drop, leading some analysts to argue that it represents good value [6]. Technical Analysis - Technical analysts suggest that DUOL stock has reached a support line, indicating a potential buying opportunity [6]. - The stock is in a 4-6-D formation, with four weeks of gains followed by six weeks of losses, suggesting a downward trend [12]. Price Projections - Using a quantitative analysis approach, the forward 10-week median returns for DUOL stock are projected to range between $187.50 and $207.50, with price clustering expected around $198 [11]. - The analysis indicates a potential price clustering around $208, suggesting a 5.05% positive delta in density dynamics [13]. Options Strategy - A suggested options strategy is the 200/210 bull call spread expiring on December 19, which could yield a maximum payout of nearly 144% if DUOL stock rises above the $210 strike price [17]. - The breakeven price for this strategy is set at $204.10, which is considered a realistic target under current market conditions [18].
Duolingo shares tumble on soft Q4 guidance despite record users
Proactiveinvestors NA· 2025-11-06 17:49
Company Overview - Proactive is a financial news publisher that provides fast, accessible, informative, and actionable business and finance news content to a global investment audience [2] - The news team operates from key finance and investing hubs, including London, New York, Toronto, Vancouver, Sydney, and Perth [2] Expertise and Focus Areas - The company specializes in medium and small-cap markets while also covering blue-chip companies, commodities, and broader investment stories [3] - Proactive delivers news and insights across various sectors, including biotech and pharma, mining and natural resources, battery metals, oil and gas, crypto, and emerging digital and EV technologies [3] Technology Adoption - Proactive is committed to adopting technology to enhance its content creation and workflow processes [4] - The company utilizes automation and software tools, including generative AI, while ensuring that all content is edited and authored by humans [5]
Duolingo (NASDAQ:DUOL) Downgraded by KeyBanc Amidst Challenges and Stock Decline
Financial Modeling Prep· 2025-11-06 17:00
Core Viewpoint - KeyBanc downgraded Duolingo from Overweight to Sector Weight due to concerns over future bookings guidance despite strong earnings performance [1][6] Financial Performance - Duolingo's stock fell 20% after the third-quarter earnings report, even though it exceeded revenue and earnings per share expectations [2] - The stock is currently priced at $260.02, reflecting a decrease of $2.02 or approximately -0.77% [4] - Over the past year, the stock reached a high of $544.93 and a low of $256.63, with a market capitalization of approximately $11.9 billion [5] Competitive Landscape - Duolingo faces competition from other language learning platforms and emerging language learning models (LLMs), which may impact its growth and advertising revenue [1][3][6] Technical Analysis - Technical analysis indicates a potential further decline in Duolingo's stock price, suggesting it could fall to the range of $170 to $175 per share [4][6]
Why Duolingo (DUOL) Stock Is Down Today
Yahoo Finance· 2025-11-06 16:36
Core Insights - Duolingo's shares fell 27.4% following a weaker-than-expected profit forecast for Q4, overshadowing strong Q3 results [1] - Q3 revenue was reported at $271.7 million with earnings of $5.95 per share, significantly exceeding Wall Street estimates [1] - The company's Q4 revenue guidance of approximately $275 million met expectations, but the EBITDA forecast fell short, indicating potential margin pressure [1] Market Reaction - The stock has shown extreme volatility, with 39 moves greater than 5% in the past year, indicating significant market impact from recent news [3] - A previous notable drop occurred 17 days prior due to an AWS outage affecting services and a price target cut by UBS from $500 to $450, citing slowing user growth [4] Performance Metrics - Duolingo's stock is down 43.5% year-to-date, trading at $184.18, which is 65.9% below its 52-week high of $540.68 from May 2025 [5] - An investment of $1,000 at the IPO in July 2021 would now be worth $1,325, reflecting the stock's performance since then [5]
Duolingo Earnings Crush Estimates. Why the Stock Is Down 28%.
Barrons· 2025-11-06 15:48
Core Insights - Duolingo reported a significant revenue growth of over 40% and an adjusted EBITDA of $80 million for Q3, surpassing analyst expectations, yet the stock plummeted by 28% due to disappointing Q4 guidance [3][4][6] - The company’s Q4 EBITDA forecast of $75.4 million to $78.8 million fell short of the anticipated $80.4 million, reflecting a strategic shift towards enhancing user experience and long-term growth over immediate monetization [5][8] Financial Performance - Duolingo achieved a record revenue of $271.7 million in Q3, marking a 41% increase year-over-year, with adjusted EBITDA rising 68% from the previous year [4][8] - The stock experienced a dramatic decline, dropping 28% to $187.57, and has fallen 65% from its all-time high on May 14 [6] Strategic Shift - The company is focusing on user experience and long-term growth, which analysts believe may delay financial benefits, as evidenced by a slowdown in daily active user growth from 40% in Q2 to 36% in Q3 [5][7] - Analysts have mixed views on this strategy; while some see it as a potential misstep, others believe it reflects ambitious growth plans [9][10] Analyst Ratings - D.A. Davidson maintained a Neutral rating but reduced the target price from $300 to $220, citing concerns over the effectiveness of past product initiatives [7][9] - Raymond James reiterated a Market Perform rating, acknowledging the uncertainty but also recognizing ongoing growth initiatives [10]
Duolingo stock plunges 27% on light guidance as company prioritizes user growth
CNBC· 2025-11-06 14:45
Duolingo's stock cratered 27% on lighter-than-expected guidance as the language learning platform zeroed in on user growth in lieu of near-term monetization."We have made a slight shift over the last quarter in how we invest, and we're investing a lot more in long-term things because we see that as such a big opportunity ahead of us," CEO and co-founder Luis von Ahn told CNBC's Jon Fortt.For the current quarter, Duolingo expects bookings to range between $329.5 million and $335.5 million, falling short of a ...
Duolingo Earnings Crush Estimates. Why the Stock Is Down 25%.
Barrons· 2025-11-06 13:28
Core Insights - The language-learning platform achieved record revenue but provided disappointing guidance for future performance [1] Financial Performance - The company reported record revenue, indicating strong demand for its services [1] - Specific revenue figures and growth percentages were not detailed in the provided content [1] Future Outlook - Guidance for future performance fell short of market expectations, suggesting potential challenges ahead [1] - The reasons behind the disappointing guidance were not elaborated in the content [1]
This Zimmer Biomet Analyst Is No Longer Bullish; Here Are Top 5 Downgrades For Thursday - BioMarin Pharmaceutical (NASDAQ:BMRN), Duolingo (NASDAQ:DUOL)
Benzinga· 2025-11-06 12:55
Group 1 - Top Wall Street analysts have revised their outlook on several key stocks, indicating potential shifts in investment sentiment [1] - The article suggests that investors consider buying ZBH stock based on analysts' recommendations [1]
Duolingo: Don't Buy The Dip Just Yet (Earnings Review) (NASDAQ:DUOL)
Seeking Alpha· 2025-11-06 10:19
Group 1 - The article discusses the benefits of subscribing to Beyond the Wall Investing for access to high-quality equity research reports, potentially saving thousands of dollars annually [1] - The author mentions their experience with the Duolingo app and indicates that this is their first time covering Duolingo (DUOL) stock as an equity [1] - Oakoff Investments is highlighted as a personal portfolio manager and quantitative research analyst, providing insights on balancing growth and value through proprietary Wall Street information [1] Group 2 - The article does not contain any disclosures regarding stock positions or plans to initiate positions in the companies mentioned [2] - It emphasizes that past performance is not indicative of future results and that no specific investment recommendations are provided [3] - The article clarifies that the views expressed may not reflect those of Seeking Alpha as a whole, and the analysts involved may not be licensed or certified [3]