| 买入金额最大的前5名 | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 序号 | 交易营业部名称 | | | 买入金额(万) | 占总成交比例 | | 1 | 深股通专用 | 687次 47.16% | 2 | 48700.93 | 5.54% | | 2 | 机构专用 | 1594次 42.35% | A | 17298.09 | 1.97% | | 3 | 中国银河证券股份有限公司北京学院南路证券营业部 | 35次 48.57% | A | 11924.85 | 1.36% | | 4 | 机构专用 | 1594次 42.35% | A | 10258.69 | 1.17% | | 5 | 国泰海通证券股份有限公司重庆解放碑证券营业部 | 5次 80.00% | A | 6939.15 | 0.79% | | | 卖出金额最大的前5名 | | | | | | 序号 | 交易营业部名称 | | | 买入金额(万) | 占总成交比例 | | 1 | 开源证券股份有限公司西安西大街证券营业部 | 693次 49.06% | 2 | 37.72 | 0.0 ...

Core Viewpoint - The company acknowledges the differing financial performances of its production bases in Shandong and Hunan, attributing the variations to product types, initial investments, and sales conditions [1] Group 1: Company Performance - Shandong Jiuri primarily produces UV special monomers, while Hunan Jiuri focuses on photoinitiators, leading to different revenue and cost structures [1] - The company plans to unify the planning and organization of production across its bases, aiming to enhance product series and increase sales efforts to boost profit growth [1] Group 2: Project Updates - The Inner Mongolia Jiuri project, which has an annual production capacity of 9,250 tons of photoinitiators and intermediates, began gradual operations on March 15, 2022 [1] - The electrolyte additive project is currently in the trial production phase [1]

合盛硅业公告称，近日接到控股股东合盛集团及其一致行动人罗立国部分股份质押及解质押通知。合盛 集团于12月22日质押90万股，占其所持股份0.18%，融资用于生产经营；12月26日，合盛集团、罗立国 分别解质960万股、640万股，占其所持股份1.97%、60.61%。截至公告日，合盛集团及其一致行动人合 计持股占总股本73.52%，累计质押股份4.18亿股，占其持股48.11%、总股本35.37%。质押风险可控，若 预警将采取措施应对。 ...

格隆汇12月29日丨巨化股份(600160.SH)在互动平台表示，2026年，随着新能源汽车快速发展，公司预 计R134a将维持紧平衡，公司将根据全球不同品种的市场需求变化顺势而为、全面统筹、主动作为，努 力维护健康供应秩序，把握市场机遇，创造价值回报社会和股东。 ...

Group 1 - The core point of the article is that Guoguang Co., Ltd. has received a patent for a pesticide composition aimed at preserving flowers and fruits, which may enhance its product offerings in the agricultural sector [1] - As of the first half of 2025, Guoguang's revenue composition shows that 99.02% comes from the manufacturing of chemical raw materials and chemical products, while service revenue accounts for 0.98% [1] - The current market capitalization of Guoguang Co., Ltd. is 6.5 billion yuan [1] Group 2 - The article also highlights a significant event involving Moutai's distributor conference, where over 2,000 attendees gathered to discuss major changes related to Moutai's pricing and distribution strategies [1] - Chairman Chen Hua emphasized that distributors can no longer rely on passive income, indicating a shift in the business model for Moutai's distribution network [1]

Core Viewpoint - The company is actively engaging in the lithium battery materials supply chain through various products and is focused on the development of new energy materials technology [1] Group 1: Product Development and Capacity - The company has established an annual production capacity of 10,000 tons for bisulfimide lithium (LiFSI) and plans to expand total capacity to 30,000 tons [1] - The company is involved in the supply chain with products such as thionyl chloride, lithium salt precursors, and electrolyte additives [1] Group 2: Customer Engagement and Market Strategy - The company has initiated product validation and joint development with multiple industry clients, establishing a corresponding quality control system [1] - The company has recently achieved some sales and will continue to steadily advance the research and industrialization of related products while actively following up on customer cooperation and market feedback [1] Group 3: Information Disclosure - The company commits to fulfilling information disclosure obligations in accordance with relevant regulations in case of significant developments [1]

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the content 2. Core Views - In 2025, PVC prices trended downward in a volatile manner. In 2026, demand is expected to improve slowly, with real - estate data showing a slower decline year - on - year. Indian demand and exports are likely to increase. Supply expansion will slow down, and spring maintenance may reduce supply pressure. Overall, PVC prices are expected to bottom out in a volatile way, first falling and then rising. Pay attention to changes in the operating rate. When the operating rate decreases or macro - policies are released, consider going long. If macro - policies are ineffective, PVC futures prices are expected to fall back. Spot enterprises can seize opportunities when the basis is strong [3]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 PVC Futures and Spot Prices - **Futures prices**: In 2025, PVC futures prices were affected by factors such as supply, downstream demand, international policies and conflicts. They fell overall, with small rebounds in May and 6 - 7 months, and hit a record low in mid - December before rebounding [3][5]. - **Spot prices**: PVC spot prices followed the futures prices, with a high correlation coefficient of 0.981 between PVC futures and East China spot prices. In 2025, the basis and inter - month spreads were mostly negative, especially during the main contract change. The 01 contract basis rose to a neutral level in December, but the 05 contract basis dropped to a low level [12]. 3.2 PVC Upstream - **Calcium carbide**: In 2025, calcium carbide prices first decreased and then increased, with the overall price center shifting down. The profit of calcium carbide in Wuhai was mostly negative, but production increased by 13% from January to November. It is expected to be in a state of oversupply in 2026 [24]. - **Semi - coke**: Semi - coke prices also first decreased and then increased in 2025, mostly at the lowest level in recent years. The operating rate first decreased and then increased, and the profit was mostly in a loss state [24]. - **Caustic soda**: From January to November 2025, caustic soda production increased by 4.8% year - on - year to 42.326 million tons. Prices rose at the beginning of the year and then fell due to factors such as alumina production expectations and cost changes [25]. - **Profit**: In 2025, the external calcium carbide method and ethylene method were always in a loss state, but the caustic soda profit was good. The comprehensive profit of chlor - alkali was mostly profitable. However, since the fourth quarter, the comprehensive profit of chlor - alkali has been declining, and some enterprises have fallen into losses [28]. 3.3 PVC Production, Capacity and Maintenance - **Production**: In November 2025, PVC production was 2.0793 million tons, a month - on - month decrease of 2.29% and a year - on - year increase of 5.62%. From January to November, the cumulative production increased by 4.38% year - on - year to 22.3242 million tons [35]. - **Capacity**: In 2025, the actual PVC capacity increased by 2.08 million tons to 29.62 million tons, with a growth rate of 7.55%. In 2026, only the 300,000 - ton/year new capacity of Zhejiang Jiaxing Jiahua will be put into production, and the capacity expansion will slow down significantly [47]. - **Maintenance**: In 2025, there were few long - term shutdown and maintenance devices. Pay attention to whether the number of maintenance devices will increase significantly under the pressure of comprehensive chlor - alkali profit [49]. 3.4 PVC Import and Export - **Import**: In November 2025, China's PVC import volume was 15,700 tons, a year - on - year decrease of 1.70% and a month - on - month increase of 44.15%. From January to November, the cumulative import volume was 202,100 tons, a year - on - year increase of 1.46% [62]. - **Export**: In November 2025, the export volume was 275,300 tons, a year - on - year increase of 29.64% and a month - on - month decrease of 11.78%. From January to November, the cumulative export volume was 3.5091 million tons, a year - on - year increase of 47.17%. India is the largest export destination, and the abolition of BIS certification and anti - dumping tax is beneficial to exports [62][67]. 3.5 Real - Estate Data - In 2025, from January to November, real - estate development investment decreased by 15.9% year - on - year, the sales area decreased by 7.8%, the sales volume decreased by 11.1%, the new construction area decreased by 20.5%, the construction area decreased by 9%, and the completion area decreased by 18.0%. In 2026, it is expected that policies will continue to support the real - estate market, but it will take time to strongly support PVC [71][74][75]. 3.6 PVC Downstream - **Operating rate**: The overall downstream operating rate of PVC was weak in 2025, especially from April to September. As of the week of December 19, it decreased by 3.50 percentage points to 45.39%. PVC film had a relatively high operating rate of about 70%, while pipes and profiles had a lower operating rate of about 40% [81][89]. - **Exports of floor coverings**: From January to November 2025, the cumulative export of PVC floor coverings was 380,380 tons, a year - on - year decrease of 10.88%. Exports are expected to remain at a low level due to US tariffs, but the improvement of US sales needs attention [90]. 3.7 PVC Inventory - **Factory inventory**: As of the week of December 19, 2025, the factory inventory decreased by 4.59% month - on - month to 328,500 tons, an increase of 14.86% compared with the same period last year, and an increase of 22.35% compared with the beginning of the year [92]. - **Social inventory**: After seasonal inventory accumulation after the Spring Festival, the social inventory decreased from mid - March and then increased continuously from July. As of the week of December 19, it decreased by 0.25% month - on - month to 1.0566 million tons, an increase of 28.58% compared with the same period last year and an increase of 33.74% compared with the beginning of the year. High inventory will limit the rebound of PVC prices [97].

Core Viewpoint - Qihang Tengda (002408.SZ) has successfully applied its products, including acetone, anhydrous tert-butanol, isopropanol, and hydrogen peroxide, in the ordinary electronic cleaning sector and is now expanding into high-end applications such as semiconductor cleaning through further purification and impurity removal processes [1] Group 1 - The company’s products have been widely used in the ordinary electronic cleaning field [1] - The company aims to solidify its leading position in core products by enhancing product quality [1] - The company is actively developing new high-end application scenarios based on its existing product system [1]

金禾实业（002597.SZ）12月29日在投资者互动平台表示，公司氯化亚砜产品广泛应用于新能源、食品 添加剂、医药等领域，其中新能源领域需求占比正逐步提升。 每经AI快讯，有投资者在投资者互动平台提问：公司现有8万吨/年氯化亚砜产能，目前在新能源领域的 需求占比多少？ （文章来源：每日经济新闻） ...

交易咨询业务资格：证监许可【2012】1091号 纯碱早报 2025-12-29 大越期货投资咨询部 金泽彬 从业资格证号：F3048432 投资咨询证号： Z0015557 联系方式：0575-85226759 重要提示：本报告非期货交易咨询业务项下服务，其中的观点和信息仅作参考之用，不构成对任何人的投 资建议。 我司不会因为关注、收到或阅读本报告内容而视相关人员为客户；市场有风险，投资需谨慎。 每日观点 纯碱： 1、基本面：碱厂产量高位，整体供给预期充裕；下游浮法玻璃、光伏日熔量整体延续下滑趋势， 纯碱厂库处于历史同期高位；偏空 2、基差：河北沙河重质纯碱现货价1135元/吨，SA2605收盘价为1200元/吨，基差为-65元，期货升 水现货；偏空 3、库存：全国纯碱厂内库存143.85万吨，较前一周减少4.06%，库存在5年均值上方运行；偏空 4、盘面：价格在20日线上方运行，20日线向下；中性 5、主力持仓：主力持仓净空，空减；偏空 6、预期：纯碱基本面疲弱，短期预计震荡偏空运行为主。 影响因素总结 利多： 1、设备问题导致企业减量检修，纯碱供应恢复较慢。 利空： 1、23年以来，纯碱产能大幅扩张，今 ...