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第一创业晨会纪要-20251223
First Capital Securities· 2025-12-23 03:29
Group 1: Cloud Infrastructure and AI Industry - Global cloud infrastructure service spending is projected to reach $102.6 billion in Q3 2025, representing a 25% year-on-year growth, with market momentum remaining stable and exceeding 20% growth for the fifth consecutive quarter [3] - NVIDIA's GB300 AI server cabinet shipments are expected to reach 55,000 units next year, a 129% increase year-on-year, indicating strong demand in the AI sector [3] - Semiconductor foundry SMIC has begun raising prices by approximately 10% due to increased demand from AI and electric vehicles, suggesting a sustained high demand cycle in the semiconductor industry [3] Group 2: Advanced Manufacturing and Electric Vehicles - Cumulative global sales of new energy vehicles reached 16.091 million units from January to October 2025, a 24% year-on-year increase, driving global power battery installation to approximately 867.4 GWh, up 34% year-on-year [6] - China accounted for 63.3% of global power battery installations, with the top ten companies holding six positions, indicating a strong competitive landscape [6] - The global battery chemistry landscape is characterized by a dual-track system dominated by lithium iron phosphate batteries, while high-end applications are maintained by ternary batteries [6] Group 3: Consumer Sector and Nike Performance - Nike's FY26Q2 performance exceeded expectations, with revenue of $12.43 billion, a 0.6% year-on-year increase, driven primarily by the North American market and running categories [8] - The company's net profit attributable to shareholders was $790 million, a 31.9% year-on-year decline, but still surpassed Bloomberg's consensus estimate [8] - The overall apparel wholesale sales in the U.S. turned positive in September, indicating a healthy inventory situation and providing a foundation for future replenishment and brand recovery [8]