中信证券研报指出，2025Q2，通信公司业绩预期分化，但总体较Q1改善。得益于北美AI需求爆发，光 模块龙头业绩预计快速增长，光器件及二线光模块业绩亦有望加速增长。国内算力需求持续改善，国内 光模块和交换机龙头预计表现良好；AIDC板块由于重资产特性，业绩预计在25H2改善；国内传统通信 设备总体承压。运营商业绩总体稳健，增速预期较Q1提升。在深海建设拉动下，光缆海缆产业有望进 入向上通道。物联网模组景气度延续，业绩有望环比增长。重点推荐光模块、AIDC、运营商、物联网 等细分龙头。 ...

IDT Corporation FY Conference Summary Company Overview - IDT Corporation is a global provider of fintech, cloud communications, and traditional communication solutions with a market cap of $1.5 billion, recently increased to approximately $1.6 billion, reflecting an 80% growth over the past year [1][4] - The company operates under four segments: national retail, BOSS money, net to phone, and traditional communications [1] Financial Performance - IDT is profitable with a solid balance sheet, holding $224 million in cash and no debt, allowing for strategic flexibility [2][5] - The company increased its dividend payout by 20% and repurchased $16 million worth of shares over the last twelve months [2] - For the third quarter of fiscal year 2025, IDT generated $120.4 million in adjusted EBITDA, with expectations to reach at least $126 million for the full fiscal year [30][31] Key Business Segments National Retail Solutions (NRS) - NRS operates the largest point of sale (POS) platform for independent retailers in the U.S., with 35,600 active terminals across approximately 31,000 stores [7][8] - The addressable market for NRS is estimated at 200,000 independent stores, indicating an 82% market opportunity remaining [9] - Recurring revenue for NRS increased 23% year-over-year to $29.4 million, with a 70% compound annual growth rate (CAGR) [11] - NRS's adjusted EBITDA for Q3 was $7.2 million, with an EBITDA margin of 23% [17] BOSS Money - BOSS Money is IDT's international money remittance business, generating over 90% of the fintech segment's revenue [18] - Digital transaction volume increased by 32% in Q3, while send volume rose by 40% [21] - Digital revenue for BOSS Money grew 31% to $24.5 million in Q3, with an annualized growth rate of 27% [21] - The fintech segment turned adjusted EBITDA positive last year, generating over $5 million in Q3 with a 13% margin [23] Net2Phone - Net2Phone provides cloud-based communication services, serving 415,000 seats across North and South America [25] - Subscription revenue increased by 7%, with adjusted EBITDA jumping 50% year-over-year to $3.2 million [26] - The company is focusing on migrating customers to premium plans and AI-powered features to drive growth [26] Traditional Communications Segment - This segment generated $867 million in revenue over the trailing twelve months, accounting for 71% of IDT's consolidated revenue [28] - Despite a revenue decrease of 5%, adjusted EBITDA increased by 30% to $19.3 million due to cost reductions and pricing execution [29] Strategic Initiatives and Future Outlook - IDT is exploring acquisition opportunities primarily in high-growth segments like NRS and BOSS Money, aiming to enhance scale and operational efficiencies [35][38] - The company is leveraging AI technology to improve customer service and operational efficiency across its segments [41][42] - Management is cautious about regulatory changes and cybersecurity risks, which could impact business operations [47] Conclusion - IDT Corporation is positioned for continued growth with a strong balance sheet, a diversified portfolio of high-margin businesses, and a strategic focus on leveraging technology and acquisitions to enhance its market position [31][35]