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交易员指南:读懂日本决策者各种日元“口头警告”背后的信号
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-12-23 06:44
日本央行上调基准利率后日元兑美元仍不改走弱之势,这使得市场的关注焦点转向若日元进一步贬值, 日本财务省可能采取何种应对措施。 不过,片山皋月在采访中指出,官员们可能会根据具体情况改变他们在市场中采取行动的方式。 "每种情况都不尽相同,因此指望每次都遵循相同模式是错误的,"她谈到财务省在干预方面的策略时 称。 口头警告关键措辞 财务大臣片山皋月12月22日接受采访时表示,若汇率走势偏离基本面,东京方面拥有采取大胆行动 的"自主决定权",发出她迄今最强硬的警告。 日本央行12月19日加息至30年来的最高水平后,日元兑美元汇率一度跌至157.78。2024年日元在160附 近波动时,当局曾四次出手,给干预门槛在何处提供了一个大致参考。 日本官员通常否认有干预外汇市场的红线,而是辩称只有突发性、无序或投机性的市场波动才需要采取 行动。最近,他们开始援引9月达成的美日外汇协议,该协议规定在市场过度波动时可适当进行干预。 在采取直接干预手段前,日本官员通常会向市场发出一系列经过斟酌的警告,通过措辞严谨的表述来暗 示其离采取行动还有多远。 当官员们的表态从描述外汇市场转向谈论采取行动时,这是他们进入高度戒备状态的关键信号之 ...
阿尔及利亚外汇市场波动加剧 欧元大幅上涨
Shang Wu Bu Wang Zhan· 2025-12-19 03:02
(原标题:阿尔及利亚外汇市场波动加剧 欧元大幅上涨) 此外,阿尔及利亚政府加大对外汇使用的监管力度,9名涉事人员因非法使用750欧元旅游外汇补贴被拘 留,案件反映了政府对外汇政策执行的严格性。 与欧元不同,美元在非官方市场小幅回落,报价为240.50第纳尔/美元,比前一交易日略有下降,整体 维持高位震荡。 在官方市场,阿尔及利亚央行公布的汇率走势与黑市呈现背离:欧元小幅上涨至152.10第纳尔,美元回 落至129.58第纳尔。两者之间的价差加剧了外汇市场的紧张情绪。 据Algérie360网站12月14日报道,阿尔及利亚非官方外汇市场出现波动,欧元12月14日重新上涨至280阿 尔及利亚第纳尔,继续加大市场波动性。11月底,欧元曾一度逼近300第纳尔,引发广泛担忧。虽然12 月初有所回落至279第纳尔,但在14日重新走高,确认了欧元的上涨趋势。 ...
货币战争 紧急出手!
Zhong Guo Ji Jin Bao· 2025-12-14 16:19
【导读】韩国要打一场韩元保卫战? 大家好,关注一下韩元危机的消息。 12月14日,在韩元持续贬值的情况下,韩国政府紧急召开外汇市场应对会议,连同保健福祉部、产业通 商资源部也一并参与。 近期,韩元兑美元汇率延续贬值态势,韩国政府因此在周末召集紧急会议研究对策。 韩国企划财政部表示,副总理兼企划财政部长官具允哲于12月14日下午在政府首尔办公大楼主持召开由 相关机构联合参加的"紧急经济部长座谈会",就国内外金融与外汇市场动向进行检查,并讨论应对方 向。 虽然会议结果并未对外发布单独声明,但政府在休息日的下午临时召集紧急会议,被解读为外汇市场波 动已到了不容忽视的程度。 本月,韩元兑美元平均汇率已突破1470韩元,创下金融危机以来的最高月度水平。12月12日,韩元汇率 在夜盘交易中,盘中一度跌至1美元兑1479韩元。 出席会议的包括具允哲副总理、金融委员会委员长(主席)李亿元、韩国银行行长李昌镛、金融监督院 院长李灿镇、总统室经济增长首席秘书官河俊庆,以及保健福祉部第一副部长李斯兰、产业通商资源部 产业政策室长朴东一。 此次会议参与范围超出通常的外汇主管部门,连保健福祉部与产业部也出席,外界认为这是为了更全面 地 ...
日本财务大臣:若汇率过分波动将采取适当措施
Xin Lang Cai Jing· 2025-12-08 06:39
日本财务大臣片山皋月表示,日本政府将采取适当措施应对外汇市场过度波动或无序行情,包括投机行 为引发的波动,这符合9月发布的日美联合外汇声明中概述的原则。 片山在国会回答提问时表示, 汇率和收益率由市场决定,反映多种因素; 很难将财政政策对它们的影响单独分析出来。 片山说,她对汇率近期的走势深感担忧,并称其为单边、快速波动; 汇率保持平稳波动至关重要; 日本财务大臣片山皋月表示,日本政府将采取适当措施应对外汇市场过度波动或无序行情,包括投机行 为引发的波动,这符合9月发布的日美联合外汇声明中概述的原则。 片山在国会回答提问时表示, 汇率和收益率由市场决定,反映多种因素; 很难将财政政策对它们的影响单独分析出来。 片山说,她对汇率近期的走势深感担忧,并称其为单边、快速波动; 汇率保持平稳波动至关重要; 本财年追加预算后,国债发行总量将少于去年,这表明政府已充分考虑了财政可持续性; 政府将与市场参与者保持密切沟通,努力降低债务对GDP的比重,以确保财政可持续性并维护市场信 心。 责任编辑:陈钰嘉 本财年追加预算后,国债发行总量将少于去年,这表明政府已充分考虑了财政可持续性; 政府将与市场参与者保持密切沟通,努力降低 ...
阿尔及利亚第纳尔暴跌:欧元与美元在黑市创历史新高
Shang Wu Bu Wang Zhan· 2025-11-28 16:25
Core Insights - The Euro and US Dollar have reached unprecedented highs in the Algerian black market, with the Euro surpassing 290 Dinars on November 26, marking a significant increase of 20 Dinars within a month [1] - The market anticipates that the Euro may exceed 300 Dinars by mid-December and remain above that level by year-end [1] - The surge in currency values is driven by tight supply in the black market, increased demand, and heightened speculative activities [1] Group 1 - The Euro's price has seen a rapid increase, breaking through key thresholds of 270, 280, and 290 Dinars in a short span [1] - The US Dollar has also strengthened, reaching 248 Dinars, matching its previous historical high [1] - Speculative behavior among currency holders is contributing to market volatility, as many are reluctant to sell foreign currency in anticipation of further price increases [1] Group 2 - The official exchange rates remain significantly lower, with the Euro at 150.91 Dinars and the Dollar at 130.62 Dinars, highlighting the dual-track nature of Algeria's foreign exchange system [2] - The widening gap between the black market and official rates exacerbates the challenges faced by importers, students abroad, and those seeking medical care overseas due to increased costs [2] - If the tight supply of foreign exchange persists without significant policy changes, the black market rates are likely to remain elevated or continue to rise [2]
美元兑日元逼近158关口 市场在政策观望中试探新高
Xin Hua Cai Jing· 2025-11-20 05:25
Core Viewpoint - The USD/JPY exchange rate has reached a new high of 157.48, the highest in over ten months, with expectations that it will maintain a strong trend until there is substantial intervention from Japanese authorities [1] Group 1: Market Dynamics - The market is currently characterized by a strong demand for dollar purchases by Japanese importers and ongoing participation from speculative funds, which limits the extent of any potential pullback in the exchange rate [1] - Analysts indicate that the current market trend is still in a testing phase, with a key resistance level identified around 158.88 [1] Group 2: Monetary Policy Outlook - The market anticipates that both the Bank of Japan and the Federal Reserve will maintain their current policies unchanged during the December meetings, contributing to stable U.S.-Japan bond yields and supporting the upward momentum of the USD/JPY exchange rate [1] - The Japanese government is closely monitoring the foreign exchange market for excessive and disorderly fluctuations, expressing deep concern over recent exchange rate movements [2] Group 3: Government Stance - Japanese Chief Cabinet Secretary Hirokazu Matsuno highlighted the need for stability in the foreign exchange market to reflect economic fundamentals, indicating a high level of vigilance regarding abnormal fluctuations [2] - There is speculation that the Japanese government may tolerate a moderate weakening of the yen to support the profitability of export companies and wage growth, without intentionally guiding the yen to depreciate further [2]
日元突然一边倒,日本财相担忧
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-11-18 06:12
Core Viewpoint - The Japanese Finance Minister, Katsuyuki Kitagawa, expressed concerns over the "extremely one-sided and rapidly fluctuating" foreign exchange market, highlighting the depreciation of the yen against major currencies due to worries about Japan's fiscal situation [1]. Group 1 - The Japanese government is closely monitoring excessive volatility and disorderly market movements driven by speculators, indicating a sense of urgency in addressing these issues [1]. - The yen's exchange rate against the euro fell to the 180 range during overnight trading in New York, marking the lowest level since the euro's inception in 1999 [1].
【UNFX汇评】非农“爆冷”引爆降息潮:美元指数承压,非美货币群舞
Sou Hu Cai Jing· 2025-09-13 11:54
Group 1 - The core theme of the global foreign exchange market is centered around the weakening U.S. economic data and the resulting increased expectations for Federal Reserve interest rate cuts [1] - A series of weak economic indicators, including a significantly lower-than-expected non-farm payroll increase, a four-year high in initial jobless claims, and a decline in the consumer confidence index for the second consecutive month, depict a cooling labor market and weakening overall economic momentum [1] - Despite the CPI inflation data for August being slightly above expectations, market confidence in the Federal Reserve adopting a dovish policy remains strong, with a general expectation of at least a 25 basis point rate cut in the upcoming meeting [1] Group 2 - The Euro and British Pound have benefited from the general weakness of the U.S. dollar, with the Euro rising above the 1.1700 mark and the Pound testing the 1.3600 level [2] - The Australian Dollar has emerged as a standout currency, reaching a nearly 10-month high and surpassing 0.6600, driven by strong commodity prices and domestic inflation data that reduced the likelihood of interest rate cuts by the Reserve Bank of Australia [2] - The Chinese Yuan has shown steady appreciation against the U.S. dollar, supported by the PBOC's proactive guidance on the midpoint [2] Group 3 - Market attention is focused on the upcoming meetings of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) and the Bank of Japan (BOJ), with expectations of cautious market sentiment ahead of these significant risk events [3]
美联储人事风云起,降息预期再升温?看汇率波动,选新浪财经APP!
Xin Lang Qi Huo· 2025-08-06 06:22
Core Insights - The announcement by President Trump regarding the potential new chair of the Federal Reserve, excluding current chair Powell, has heightened volatility in the global forex market [1] - The unexpected non-farm payroll data and rising interest rate cut probabilities have led to increased market fluctuations [1][4] Group 1: Key Information - The forex channel of Sina Finance aims to provide timely updates on critical market dynamics, including Trump's statements, non-farm employment data, and warnings from major financial institutions about potential rate cuts [4] - The platform emphasizes the importance of deep analysis beyond mere event reporting, assessing implications of personnel changes, labor market trends, and the potential for significant interest rate cuts [5] Group 2: Market Response - The forex channel is designed to offer real-time market data, including precise quotes for major currency pairs, and alerts for significant price movements [6] - Users can set custom price alerts for key currency pairs, ensuring they are notified of critical market changes [6] Group 3: Platform Features - The Sina Finance forex channel serves as an information hub, consolidating major news, professional analysis, and market reactions to streamline user experience [7] - The platform balances speed and depth, ensuring users receive timely updates while also providing comprehensive analyses of market events [7] Group 4: Conclusion - In the context of uncertainties surrounding the Federal Reserve and aggressive rate cut expectations, the Sina Finance forex channel is positioned as a valuable tool for understanding market dynamics and making informed decisions [8][9]
日本财务大臣加藤胜信:不会对汇率水平发表评论,重要的是外汇以反映基本面的稳定方式移动,对包括投机者推动的外汇市场波动感到担忧。
news flash· 2025-08-01 01:18
Core Viewpoint - Japan's Finance Minister Kato Katsunobu stated that he will not comment on the level of the exchange rate, emphasizing that it is important for foreign exchange to move in a way that reflects the stability of the fundamentals, expressing concern over fluctuations in the foreign exchange market driven by speculators [1] Group 1 - The Finance Minister's stance indicates a cautious approach towards currency fluctuations, prioritizing fundamental stability over speculative movements [1] - There is a clear concern regarding the impact of speculative activities on the foreign exchange market, suggesting potential volatility risks [1]