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英国二季度GDP超预期增长0.3%,进一步降息渐行渐远
Hua Er Jie Jian Wen· 2025-08-14 07:35
Core Insights - The UK economy showed unexpected resilience in Q2, with GDP growth of 0.3% quarter-on-quarter, surpassing previous forecasts of 0.1% [1][4] - The strong economic performance comes amid multiple challenges, including a £26 billion tax hike and rising regulated prices [4] - The latest GDP data has altered market expectations, reducing the likelihood of further interest rate cuts this year [4][7] Economic Performance - All major economic sectors experienced growth in Q2, with services, particularly IT and healthcare, being the main drivers [5] - Manufacturing expanded by 0.3% despite higher export barriers to the US [5] - Real GDP per capita increased by 0.2% quarter-on-quarter and 0.7% year-on-year [5] Challenges Ahead - Despite positive Q2 data, the economic outlook remains challenging due to potential tax increases and new employment legislation [8] - The government is relying on economic growth to fund spending plans, but market concerns about further tax measures are causing hesitance in investment and spending [8] Government Response - Chancellor Rachel Reeves acknowledged the positive economic data but emphasized the need for further work to benefit the workforce [9] - Reeves plans to focus on investment and reforms to address weak productivity, including infrastructure improvements and planning system changes [9][10]