Workflow
创新药/处方药
icon
Search documents
交银国际:医药稳中向好趋势不改 选股偏好回归基本面
智通财经网· 2025-12-05 07:05
Group 1 - The pharmaceutical industry is expected to experience a critical turning point in 2025, with a stable and positive trend continuing into 2026, influenced by factors such as policy, fundamentals, overseas investment environment, and liquidity [1] - The sector is currently undervalued, and catalysts are anticipated to drive upward momentum, with the realization of value from innovative research further pushing the overall valuation upward [1] - Stock selection will likely return to fundamentals and valuations, focusing on stocks with expected fundamental discrepancies that are still undervalued [1] Group 2 - In the innovative drug/prescription drug segment, short-term focus should be on overseas transactions and performance, with long-term value driven by innovation and iteration [2] - Key short-term catalysts include progress in overseas clinical data, inclusion in medical insurance, and reaching breakeven points, with leading Hong Kong stocks expected to maintain double-digit revenue and net profit growth [2] - Recommended stocks include: 1) 3SBio, Deking Pharmaceutical, and BeiGene, which have rich catalysts and limited impact from procurement; 2) Xiansheng Pharmaceutical, Hutchison China MediTech, and Legend Biotech, which are significantly undervalued with clear long-term growth logic [2] Group 3 - The CXO sector is expected to maintain rapid performance growth, but long-term trends indicate tightening regulations in the U.S. and increasing difficulty in new drug development, suggesting that industry consolidation may just be beginning [3] - Leading players in high-growth segments are expected to have higher long-term certainty [3] Group 4 - High-quality private hospitals are recommended as the pressure on cost control eases and outdated capacity is eliminated, allowing private medical institutions to return to a faster growth trajectory [4] - Recommended stocks include: Guoshengtang and Haijia Medical, which are expected to have short-term performance rebounds and clear long-term expansion paths [4]
交银国际每日晨报-20251204
BOCOM International· 2025-12-04 07:49
Group 1: Pharmaceutical Industry - The pharmaceutical sector is expected to maintain a stable upward trend in 2026, driven by undervaluation and catalysts that could further enhance overall valuations [3][4] - Key recommendations include companies like 3SBio, Eucure Biopharma, and BeiGene, which have rich catalysts and limited impact from centralized procurement [4] - The focus will shift back to fundamentals and valuations, particularly for stocks that are currently undervalued with expected positive fundamental differences [3][4] Group 2: Real Estate Industry - The real estate sector in mainland China is projected to explore new development models under strong policy support, with expected sales area between 900-950 million square meters and sales value around 10-11 trillion RMB in 2026 [5] - In Hong Kong, key factors for market recovery include improved macro uncertainty, significant policy easing, and the return of fundamental demand drivers, with residential rental levels expected to grow by approximately 3% annually [5] - Investment preferences are ranked as state-owned enterprises with low valuations, private sector leaders with land reserves in first and second-tier cities, followed by other private developers [5] Group 3: Retail and Office Market - The retail rental market in Hong Kong is expected to see moderate growth, with community mall rents increasing by about 3-5%, while office vacancy rates have peaked, setting the stage for a rebound in 2026 [7] - The intrinsic value of the Hong Kong physical market is anticipated to gradually release, with New World Development recommended as a high-quality proxy for residential recovery [7]