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中国REIT迎扩容机遇,学日本经验?
日经中文网· 2025-09-23 09:24
Core Viewpoint - The expansion of public REITs in China is gaining momentum, with the government actively promoting the development of the market to attract diverse investments and enhance market vitality [2][4][5]. Group 1: Market Overview - China's public REITs began in June 2021, with 74 REITs listed in Shanghai and Shenzhen as of September 17, 2023, and a total market capitalization exceeding 220 billion RMB [8]. - The first batch of REITs included 9 funds, and the market has since expanded to include various asset types, with industrial park REITs being the most prevalent [8]. - The upcoming listing of foreign commercial facility REITs, such as CapitaLand's, indicates strong investor interest, with an IPO subscription rate exceeding 500 times [8]. Group 2: Government Initiatives - The National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC) has issued guidelines to cultivate the REIT market, emphasizing the importance of infrastructure projects and encouraging local governments and state-owned enterprises to establish REITs [4][5]. - The NDRC aims to broaden the investment scope of REITs to include railways, ports, and renewable energy, thereby attracting more private sector participation [5]. Group 3: Investment Performance - The average distribution yield of public REITs in China is projected to reach 6.37% by the end of 2024, surpassing Japan's 5.15% [10]. - Renewable energy-related REITs are expected to achieve a distribution yield of 11.55%, highlighting the potential for stable returns in this sector [10]. Group 4: Challenges and Market Dynamics - Despite the growth of the REIT market, challenges remain, including high vacancy rates in commercial properties due to over-investment and shifts in consumer behavior towards online shopping [9]. - The REIT model in China is not a quick fix for the country's bad debt issues, as significant real estate inventory remains to be addressed [12]. - The market's ability to sustain required yields and the potential for conflicts of interest in the REIT structure are ongoing concerns [11][12].