奢侈品业

Search documents
“大而美法案”中第“899条款”,为何可能引发美国外资危机?
Di Yi Cai Jing· 2025-06-09 09:46
Core Viewpoint - The proposed Section 899 of the "Big and Beautiful Act" aims to impose higher taxes on foreign investors in the U.S., causing significant concern and opposition from multinational corporations and financial institutions [1][2][4]. Group 1: Impact on Multinational Corporations - Approximately 70 multinational corporations, including Toyota, Shell, LVMH, and SAP, are set to discuss the implications of Section 899 with U.S. lawmakers [1]. - The International Bankers Association plans to lobby against the clause, highlighting its potential negative impact on global banking giants like HSBC and BNP Paribas [1][2]. Group 2: Taxation Details - Section 899 allows the U.S. Treasury Secretary to unilaterally determine "unfair foreign taxes" and impose punitive tax rates of up to 20% on affected foreign investors [2][4]. - The tax rate will start at an increase of 5 percentage points, rising annually by 5 percentage points, capped at 20 percentage points above the statutory rate [5]. Group 3: Economic Implications - The clause is projected to raise $116 billion over the next decade, but its revenue generation is considered limited compared to the overall debt increase of $2.4 trillion expected from the entire "Big and Beautiful Act" [5]. - The clause may deter foreign direct investment, potentially leading to market volatility and threatening job opportunities in various U.S. communities [6][7]. Group 4: Opposition from Business Associations - Business associations argue that Section 899 could severely impact the long-term growth of multinational companies operating in the U.S. [6]. - The International Financial Institute warns that the measure could have unintended negative effects on U.S. businesses and employment [7]. Group 5: Future Considerations - There is a possibility that the final version of the clause may be weakened or adjusted in its implementation, as the concept of foreign entities paying taxes in the U.S. gains traction in Congress [7].
特朗普威胁对欧盟加征50%关税原因;金价会升至5000美元吗? | 国际
清华金融评论· 2025-05-25 10:33
Core Viewpoint - The article discusses President Trump's threat to impose a 50% tariff on EU goods, highlighting the potential economic impacts on both the EU and the US, as well as the broader implications for global trade dynamics [1][3][6]. Group 1: Reasons for Trump's Tariff Threat - The tariff threat serves as a negotiation pressure tactic aimed at accelerating trade talks with the EU, particularly regarding issues like digital service taxes and regulatory coordination [3]. - The US faces a significant trade deficit with the EU, amounting to $235.6 billion in 2024, with nearly 40% attributed to the automotive sector, prompting Trump to accuse the EU of unfair trade practices [3]. - Domestic political considerations are also at play, as the upcoming 2025 elections require Trump to fulfill promises related to revitalizing American manufacturing, which could resonate with voters in industrial states [3]. - The US aims to leverage tariffs to influence EU policies towards China, seeking to align EU actions with US interests in limiting Chinese supply chains [4]. Group 2: Potential Consequences of High Tariffs - The EU economy would be significantly impacted, particularly German car manufacturers like Porsche and Audi, which could face substantial losses and potential layoffs due to reduced exports to the US [7]. - The US could experience inflationary pressures as consumers bear the cost of increased prices for goods such as automobiles and alcohol, leading to higher household expenditures [7]. - A global economic ripple effect may occur, with financial markets experiencing volatility and companies shifting production to regions like Mexico and Southeast Asia, ultimately passing increased costs onto consumers [7]. - The EU may respond with concessions, such as increasing imports of US agricultural products, but is unlikely to accept unilateral US demands, potentially leading to a "lose-lose" scenario for both economies [8]. Group 3: Long-term Implications - The ongoing trade tensions could accelerate the trend of regionalizing global supply chains, resulting in higher compliance costs for multinational companies [8]. - The situation is characterized as a high-stakes negotiation, with the outcome dependent on the EU's ability to withstand US pressure and maintain its trade principles [8]. - Goldman Sachs predicts that gold prices could rise to $5,000 per ounce due to factors such as increased central bank gold purchases and a potential crisis of confidence in the US dollar [8][9].