Core Viewpoint - The decline of a product or industry may not solely be due to a lack of consumer need, but rather a deeper issue related to the core capabilities of the company [2][3]. Group 1: Market Analysis - The kimono retail market in Japan has seen a drastic decline from 20 trillion yen in 1975 to approximately 2 trillion yen in 2023, a drop of 90% [10]. - The sales of Kyoto Monfu, a company specializing in kimono, plummeted by 90% as well, reflecting the broader market trend [12]. Group 2: Strategic Decision-Making - In response to the declining kimono market, Kyoto Monfu's fourth-generation heir, Akira Arakawa, recognized the need for a strategic pivot rather than merely calling for a return to traditional culture [15]. - The critical question posed was not about what else could be sold, but rather what core capabilities remained if the kimono industry disappeared [16]. Group 3: Core Competency Identification - Kyoto Monfu identified its unique "deep black" dyeing technique as its core competency, which could be leveraged in new markets [18][23]. - The dyeing process involves three steps: basic dyeing, using a unique agent that allows the fabric to "absorb" light, and a patient drying process that enhances the quality [19][20][21]. Group 4: Market Adaptation - The company recognized a shift in consumer behavior towards second-hand clothing, driven by environmental concerns and a desire for sustainable fashion [26]. - In 2013, Kyoto Monfu launched the "PANDA BLACK" project in collaboration with WWF Japan, focusing on revitalizing old garments through their dyeing expertise [28][29]. Group 5: Business Model Innovation - Kyoto Monfu opted to partner with established retailers like BEAMS and Isetan to reach consumers, rather than attempting a direct-to-consumer model, which was outside their expertise [31][33]. - This collaboration created a win-win situation where consumers could address their old clothing issues, retailers gained new revenue streams, and Kyoto Monfu maintained its core capabilities [35][37].

Core Viewpoint - The decline of a product or industry may not solely be due to a lack of consumer need, but rather a deeper issue related to the ability and adaptability of the company or industry [2][3]. Group 1: Market Analysis - The kimono retail market in Japan has seen a drastic decline from 20 trillion yen in 1975 to approximately 2 trillion yen in 2023, a drop of 90% [9]. - The sales of Kyoto Monfu, a kimono company, plummeted by 90% as well, reflecting the broader market trend [11]. Group 2: Strategic Adaptation - Kyoto Monfu's fourth-generation successor, Akira Arakawa, recognized the futility of trying to revive the kimono market and instead decided to pivot the company's focus [14]. - The first step in this strategic shift involved assessing the company's core competencies, leading to the realization that their unique "deep black" dyeing technique was their true asset [18][23]. Group 3: Market Opportunities - As consumer preferences shifted towards second-hand clothing and sustainability, Kyoto Monfu launched the "PANDA BLACK" project in collaboration with WWF Japan, which involved dyeing old clothes to give them a new life [30][31]. - This initiative resonated with consumers' growing interest in eco-friendly fashion, allowing the company to tap into a new market segment [31]. Group 4: Business Model Innovation - Instead of directly selling to consumers, Kyoto Monfu chose to partner with established retailers like BEAMS and Isetan to leverage their customer base, effectively creating a win-win situation for all parties involved [33][36]. - This approach allowed Kyoto Monfu to maintain its core competencies while expanding its market reach through established retail channels [36][39].

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the necessity for businesses and individuals to undergo "migration" in response to the systemic "drought" in ecological niches, which is characterized by the end of growth opportunities and increased competition. This migration involves abandoning old advantages and moving towards new demands, capabilities, markets, organizations, and technological orders [4][5][6]. Group 1: Overall Framework - The speech is structured into eight major parts, focusing on six critical migrations that determine whether a business can survive and grow: category migration, value migration, model migration, overseas migration, intelligent migration, and demographic migration [4][6]. - The overarching theme is that in an environment of "ecological drought," businesses must strategically migrate to survive and rebuild growth [4][5]. Group 2: Major Migrations 1. Category Migration - Category rigidity arises from excessive optimization of old demands and slow responses to new demands. Innovation requires redefining problems rather than merely improving existing solutions [6][8]. - A methodology for category migration includes stopping current practices, redefining the problem, and addressing new demands [6][8]. 2. Value Migration - The consumption landscape is shifting towards a "value reordering" era, where consumers exhibit frugality in some categories while being generous in others, indicating a shift from pure price sensitivity to emotional and meaningful consumption [8][9]. 3. Model Migration - As product life cycles end, core capabilities can still migrate and create new value. The key to successful migration lies in capability assessment, market scanning, and model validation [10][11]. 4. Overseas Migration - In increasingly crowded domestic markets, "going overseas" serves as a systematic migration strategy, offering new market opportunities and validating capabilities on a global stage [15][16]. 5. Intelligent Migration - AI and smart technologies are not merely tools but cognitive extensions that redefine human-machine collaboration, altering efficiency and business models [16][17]. 6. Demographic Migration - Changes in population dynamics, such as declining birth rates and aging populations, serve as long-term demand reshapers, impacting various industries [18][19]. Group 3: Practical Recommendations - Companies should conduct capability assessments, identify three unique capabilities, and explore new applications for these capabilities in adjacent industries [19][20]. - Businesses are encouraged to view overseas expansion as a means to amplify capabilities rather than a short-term revenue fix [20][21]. - The article suggests designing emotional touchpoints and small satisfactions to enhance customer loyalty and word-of-mouth [21][22]. Group 4: Conclusion and Action Items - The conclusion stresses that when ecological conditions are harsh, migration is preferable to mere competition. The six core migrations are essential for businesses to survive and grow [22][23]. - Immediate actionable items for companies include conducting a "river crossing meeting" to reassess priorities, performing capability inventories, and experimenting with both functional and emotional product lines [25][26].

Core Viewpoint - The article emphasizes the need for businesses to adapt and evolve in response to changing market conditions, advocating for a "great migration" away from traditional competition towards innovative solutions that meet new consumer demands [5][59]. Group 1: Challenges Faced by Industries - The restaurant industry has seen a 24.2% decrease in business banquets and team-building events, with average customer spending dropping by 7.7%, leading to a reduction in restaurant lifespan from over 2 years to just 15 months [21][22]. - The maternal and infant industry is experiencing a significant decline, with newborns in China dropping from 18.83 million in 2016 to 9.02 million in 2023, impacting various related sectors [25][26]. - Many businesses are facing systemic "ecological drought," where traditional revenue streams are drying up, leading to increased competition and reduced profitability [18][28]. Group 2: The Concept of "Great Migration" - The "great migration" is illustrated through the example of wildebeests in Africa, which must migrate to survive, paralleling the need for businesses to seek new opportunities rather than engage in destructive competition [31][56]. - Companies must make a choice between risking everything for new opportunities or remaining stagnant in a competitive environment, which is likened to the "Mara River dilemma" faced by wildebeests [49][50]. Group 3: Case Studies of Successful Adaptation - A restaurant called "烤匠" has successfully attracted customers by focusing on emotional value and creating a unique dining experience, demonstrating a shift from basic offerings to enhancing customer experience [62][64]. - AirBuggy, a premium baby stroller brand, pivoted to producing pet strollers in response to declining birth rates in Japan, successfully leveraging their core competencies to meet new market demands [72][75]. Group 4: Avoiding Category Rigidity - The article discusses "category rigidity," where businesses become too focused on existing products and fail to adapt to new consumer needs, exemplified by the case of a fish farmer who innovated by creating a premium product through a unique feeding process [84][95]. - Companies must recognize and respond to evolving consumer demands rather than clinging to outdated business models, as illustrated by the transformation of traditional products like beds and tables to meet modern needs [99][102]. Group 5: Value Reordering - The concept of "value reordering" is introduced, where consumers are becoming more selective about their spending, often choosing to save on essentials to splurge on experiences or luxury items that provide immediate satisfaction [188][210]. - This shift in consumer behavior reflects a broader trend of psychological adjustment to economic pressures, leading to a dual approach of frugality in some areas while indulging in others [205][206].