8月11日晚间，海南橡胶发布公告称，公司第六届董事会第四十七次会议审议通过了《海南橡胶关于调 整高级管理人员的议案》等事项。此次会议以通讯表决方式召开，主要对公司高级管理人员进行调整。 资金流向方面，8月11日主力资金净流出1046.12万元，近五个交易日累计净流出2292.63万元。 风险提示：以上内容仅供参考，不构成投资建议。市场有风险，投资需谨慎。 海南橡胶8月11日收盘价为4.95元，较前一交易日上涨0.61%。当日成交量为318679手，成交金额达1.57 亿元。股价波动区间为4.91元至4.96元，振幅1.02%。 海南橡胶主要从事天然橡胶的种植、加工、研发和销售业务，是国内重要的天然橡胶生产企业。公司业 务涵盖橡胶种植、初加工、深加工、贸易、科研等完整产业链。2024年财报显示，公司97.79%的营业 收入来自农业板块。 ...

1. Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the given content 2. Core Viewpoints of the Report - This week, commodities generally rose. Due to the obstruction of rubber raw material supply and the overall undervaluation of the market, rubber prices followed the upward trend. However, the sustainability of this upward movement needs further attention, and it is advisable to be cautious when chasing high prices. The firm prices of upstream raw materials provide some support to the cost side, but this support may gradually weaken as the supply of raw materials increases. On the demand side, tire factories' short - term production operations may be maintained due to the recovery of profits, but there is still an expectation of a future decline. Overall, the market is expected to continue to fluctuate. Attention should be paid to the inventory clearance speed from July to August, policy impacts, raw material supply, and inventory changes. The RU09 contract is currently valued neutrally, with an upward - shifted oscillation range. The NR09 contract also shows similar characteristics. In terms of trading strategies, when the price of RU - NR spreads is concerned, it is expected to strengthen in the short term but with limited space, and attention should be paid to future warehouse receipts and inventory conditions. For options, a bear spread strategy can be considered to reduce the cost of premiums, but both the returns and risks are limited [9]. 3. Summary by Relevant Catalogs 3.1 Overview - **Global Production**: In May 2025, Thailand's production was 272,200 tons, with a significant increase compared to the previous period. Indonesia's production was 200,300 tons, with a slight increase. Vietnam's production was 85,500 tons, and China's production was 97,000 tons, showing a significant increase of 11.53% year - on - year. Malaysia's production was 20,000 tons. Overall, the global natural rubber production is in line with expectations, and the weather in the producing areas is better than last year, with normal tapping operations. Attention should be paid to weather conditions and raw material output [5]. - **Main - producing Countries' Exports**: From January to June 2025, the exports of Thailand, Indonesia, and Cote d'Ivoire increased significantly, mainly due to the increased import enthusiasm in China. Vietnam's exports decreased month - on - month in May, which is related to seasonal factors and increased domestic demand. Malaysia's exports decreased, mainly due to a decline in imported raw materials [5]. - **Domestic Production and Imports**: The production of whole - milk rubber in 2025 is expected to increase significantly, but recent rainfall has affected the output, and the increase may fall short of expectations. In June 2025, the total imports of natural rubber were 463,400 tons, with a month - on - month decrease. The imports of different rubber types showed different trends, such as an increase in the year - on - year imports of smoked sheets due to the duty - free policy in Myanmar, and an unexpected increase in the imports of standard rubber [6]. - **Inventory**: The overall inventory is higher than the same period last year. Currently, there is a slight reduction in inventory, mainly in the light - colored rubber, while the dark - colored rubber has started to show inventory changes. Attention should be paid to whether there will be a rapid inventory clearance from late July to August [6]. - **Demand**: In the tire industry, the production of whole - steel and semi - steel tires showed different trends in June 2025. The sales of automobiles and commercial vehicles decreased month - on - month, which is related to seasonal factors and the cancellation of some subsidies in the second half of the year. The logistics index showed a stable or increasing trend month - on - month [7]. - **Valuation and Profits**: The prices of raw materials such as Yunnan and Hainan glue are expected to remain flat or decline. The processing profits of some rubber types in China and Thailand show different trends, such as the strengthening of the processing profits of Yunnan and Hainan, and the flat or declining profits of Thai latex [7]. 3.2 Balance Sheet Analysis - **Domestic Natural Rubber Total Balance Sheet**: From 2024 to 2025, the supply, demand, and inventory of domestic natural rubber showed different trends. In 2025, the cumulative supply increased year - on - year, and the inventory and consumption ratios also changed. Attention should be paid to the import volume from July, which is expected to decline, and the inventory changes from July to August [13]. - **Domestic Light - colored Rubber Balance Sheet**: Light - colored rubber has been continuously reducing inventory. Attention should be paid to the import of 3L rubber this year, the implementation of the purchase and storage policy, the impact of latex, and the supply of domestic raw materials. The cost side has obvious support [15]. - **Dark - colored Rubber Balance Sheet**: From December 2024 to April 2025, there was obvious inventory accumulation, but the structural differences were large. From May to June, inventory clearance started but was not continuous. In July, inventory continued to accumulate, especially for mixed rubber, which exceeded market expectations. It is expected that the arrivals after July will decrease year - on - year. Attention should be paid to the demand in July and the tariff policy in August [16]. 3.3 Cost and Profit Analysis - **China's Raw Material Prices and Spreads**: The report provides seasonal charts of raw material prices and spreads in China, including the price differences between Yunnan glue and rubber blocks, and the price differences between Hainan whole - milk and latex raw materials, which can help analyze the cost structure [20][23]. - **China's Rubber Processing Profits**: Seasonal charts of processing profits for different rubber types in China are presented, such as the delivery profits of Yunnan whole - milk RU01 contracts and Hainan 01 contracts, which can help understand the profit situation of the rubber processing industry [26]. - **Thailand's Raw Material Prices and Spreads**: Seasonal charts of Thailand's raw material prices and spreads are provided, including the price differences between Thai latex and cup rubber, and the prices of raw materials such as Thai raw rubber sheets, which can help analyze the cost situation in Thailand [29]. - **Thailand's Raw Material Spreads and Rubber Processing Profits**: Seasonal charts of Thailand's raw material spreads and rubber processing profits are presented, such as the delivery profits of Indian - standard NR main contracts and the processing profits of Thai standard rubber, which can help understand the profit situation in Thailand [32]. 3.4 Industrial Chain Supply, Demand, and Inventory Data Presentation - **Main - producing Areas' Weather and Rainfall**: The report provides data on the weather and rainfall in main - producing areas, including the SOI and ONI index changes, and the cumulative precipitation in Hainan, Yunnan, and Thailand, which can help analyze the impact of weather on rubber production [36][38]. - **Main - producing Countries' Exports**: The report provides data on the exports of main - producing countries, including the cumulative exports and year - on - year changes of Vietnam, Indonesia, Malaysia, Thailand, and Cote d'Ivoire, which can help analyze the supply situation in the international market [42][44]. - **Domestic Natural Rubber Supply, Demand, and Inventory**: Data on the domestic supply, demand, and inventory of natural rubber are provided, including the cumulative supply and demand and year - on - year changes, and the total inventory, which can help analyze the domestic market situation [47]. - **China's Natural Rubber Imports**: Data on China's natural rubber imports are provided, including the cumulative imports and year - on - year changes, and the imports by rubber type, which can help analyze the import situation of different rubber types [50][53]. - **Light - colored Rubber Analysis**: Data on the supply, demand, and inventory of light - colored rubber are provided, including the cumulative consumption and supply and year - on - year changes, and the monthly supply of whole - milk and 3L rubber, which can help analyze the light - colored rubber market [56][58]. - **Dark - colored Rubber Analysis**: Data on the supply, demand, and inventory of dark - colored rubber are provided, including the cumulative consumption and import and year - on - year changes, and the inventory of different types of dark - colored rubber, which can help analyze the dark - colored rubber market [65][68]. - **Tire Industry**: Data on the tire industry are provided, including the production, inventory, and demand of whole - steel and semi - steel tires, and the sales of automobiles and commercial vehicles, which can help analyze the demand situation of the tire industry [70][79]. 3.5 Price, Spread, and Basis Analysis - **Rubber Price Charts**: Continuous price charts of different rubber types are provided, including whole - milk, smoked sheets, domestic standard rubber, Thai standard rubber, 3L rubber, Thai mixed rubber, and latex, which can help analyze the price trends of different rubber types [88]. - **Spot Price Seasonality**: Seasonal charts of spot prices for different rubber types are provided, including whole - milk, smoked sheets, domestic standard two - grade rubber, and Thai standard rubber, which can help analyze the seasonal price characteristics of different rubber types [90]. - **Price Spread Seasonality**: Seasonal charts of price spreads between different rubber types are provided, including the spreads between whole - milk and smoked sheets, 3L rubber, domestic standard rubber, Thai standard rubber, Thai mixed rubber, and latex, which can help analyze the price spread relationships between different rubber types [92][94]. - **Basis Analysis**: Basis analysis between whole - milk and RU contracts, and between Thai standard rubber, Thai mixed rubber, and NR contracts is provided, which can help analyze the basis relationships between different contracts [96][99]. - **Contract Spreads**: Spreads between different contracts are provided, including spreads between RU contracts and between RU and NR contracts, which can help analyze the spread relationships between different contracts [102][104].

Group 1 - The company expects a net profit attributable to the parent company of between -30 million and -20 million yuan for the first half of 2025 [1] - The expected net profit attributable to the parent company, excluding non-recurring gains and losses, is projected to be between -40 million and -27 million yuan for the same period [1] - The performance forecast period is from January 1, 2025, to June 30, 2025 [1] Group 2 - The company reported a total profit of -36,948.76 million yuan for the same period last year, with a net profit attributable to the parent company of -29,648.21 million yuan [2] - The net profit attributable to the parent company, excluding non-recurring gains and losses, was -28,835.74 million yuan in the previous year [2] - The earnings per share for the last year was -0.0693 yuan [2] Group 3 - The main reason for the expected loss in the current period is the low price of natural rubber, which has significantly decreased due to trade barriers and geopolitical tensions, leading to losses in the company's main business [2] - The company did realize significant non-recurring gains from government compensation for land acquisition projects during this period [2]

Group 1 - The company forecasts a net loss of approximately 200 million yuan for the current period, with a range of expected losses between 400 million yuan and 270 million yuan [1] - The previous year's total profit was a loss of 369.49 million yuan, with a net loss attributable to the parent company's owners of 296.48 million yuan [1] - The earnings per share for the previous year was reported at -0.0693 yuan [1] Group 2 - The primary reason for the expected loss is the impact of geopolitical tensions and a continued downturn in the global economic environment, leading to a significant drop in natural rubber prices [1] - The company did realize substantial non-recurring gains from government land compensation projects during the current period [1]

Core Points - The company announced a cash dividend of 0.0109 CNY per share, totaling approximately 46.65 million CNY to be distributed to shareholders [1][2] - The dividend distribution plan was approved at the annual general meeting held on May 20, 2025 [1] - The record date for the dividend is set for July 14, 2025, with the last trading day and ex-dividend date on July 15, 2025 [2] Dividend Distribution Details - The total number of shares before the dividend distribution is 4,279,427,797 [2] - The cash dividend will be distributed through both entrusted and self-distribution methods [2] - Individual shareholders holding shares for one month or less will incur a 20% tax on the dividend, while those holding for more than one month up to one year will incur a 10% tax [3] - For foreign institutional investors (QFII), a 10% withholding tax will apply, resulting in a net dividend of 0.00981 CNY per share [3][5]

Core Viewpoint - The company is currently in the execution phase of a lawsuit against Hainan Huayang Investment Group Co., Ltd. regarding overdue capital contributions and associated penalties totaling approximately 106.25 million yuan [1][2]. Group 1: Lawsuit Background - The company filed a civil lawsuit on May 19, 2020, to confirm the actual capital contribution of Hainan Huayang and to claim overdue contributions and penalties [2]. - The first-instance judgment was received on November 30, 2021, ordering Hainan Huayang to pay penalties for overdue contributions [2]. - The company won the second-instance judgment in December 2022, with the court dismissing Hainan Huayang's appeal and ordering them to bear the litigation costs [2]. Group 2: Current Progress of the Lawsuit - The company applied for compulsory execution in January 2023, leading to the court seizing 65% of the shares held by Hainan Huayang in Hainan Huaxiang Industrial Group Co., Ltd. [2][3]. - The Supreme Court rejected Hainan Huayang's request for retrial in October 2023 [2][3]. - The court has initiated compulsory liquidation of Hainan Huaxiang, with an auction scheduled for June 26-27, 2025, for the disposal of assets valued at approximately 585.88 million yuan [3]. Group 3: Impact on the Company - The company will monitor the auction results closely and continue to pursue legal avenues to protect its interests and those of its shareholders [4]. - The impact on the company's profits will depend on the execution of the judgment and the results of the audit [4].

Core Viewpoint - The company is involved in a legal dispute regarding overdue capital contributions from Hainan Huayang Investment Group Co., Ltd, with a total claim amounting to 106,252,287.81 yuan [1][2]. Group 1: Basic Situation of the Lawsuit - The company filed a civil lawsuit against Hainan Huayang on May 19, 2020, to confirm the actual capital contribution and to claim overdue contributions and penalties [1]. - The first-instance judgment was received on November 30, 2021, ordering Hainan Huayang to pay overdue contributions and penalties [1]. - The company won the second-instance judgment in December 2022, with the court dismissing Hainan Huayang's appeal and ordering them to bear the litigation costs [1]. Group 2: Progress of the Lawsuit - The court initiated compulsory liquidation of Hainan Huayang's subsidiary, Hainan Huaxiang Industrial Group Co., Ltd, as part of the enforcement process [2]. - A public auction for the assets of Hainan Huaxiang, including shares in four companies and a vehicle, is scheduled for June 26-27, 2025 [2]. Group 3: Impact of the Lawsuit on the Company - The company will monitor the auction results and continue to protect the interests of itself and its shareholders through legal means [2]. - The impact on the company's profits will depend on the execution of the judgment and the results confirmed by the auditing agency [2].

Core Insights - The natural rubber industry in Hainan has faced significant challenges due to the impact of Typhoon "Mojia" in 2024, prompting the Shanghai Futures Exchange (SHFE) to collaborate with Haiqiao Group on a "Stabilization Action" project to support rubber farmers and stabilize raw material supply [1][2] Group 1: Project Overview - The "Stabilization Action" project initiated by SHFE in 2019 has provided financial support of 59.9 million yuan to Haiqiao Group, helping 110,700 rubber farmers mitigate price volatility risks, with a total payout of 55.65 million yuan [2] - The project has successfully integrated financial tools with the real economy, creating a new path for supply assurance and development through financial innovation [2][7] Group 2: Challenges in the Industry - The global natural rubber market is facing challenges such as frequent abandonment of rubber tree management, adverse weather conditions, and low economic returns, with rubber yield per mu (approximately 0.067 hectares) only reaching 800 to 1,000 yuan compared to much higher yields from other crops [2][3] - Typhoon "Mojia" has caused significant damage to rubber trees in Hainan, leading to a reported production of 368,600 tons in 2024, a 5.3% increase year-on-year, which could have been higher without the typhoon [3][4] Group 3: Training and Engagement - In 2024, Haiqiao Group organized around 60 training sessions for rubber farmers, reaching over 4,000 participants to enhance their understanding and participation in the "Stabilization Action" project [3][4] Group 4: Technological Innovations - Haiqiao Group has developed a "Rubber Smart Purchasing Platform" to improve market management and ensure precise fund distribution to farmers, making it the only system in China covering rubber insurance and options services [4][6] - The platform utilizes information technology for data management and ensures transparency in fund distribution, with 60% to 70% of payout amounts being advanced to farmers to maintain production motivation [6] Group 5: Financial Mechanisms - The "Stabilization Action" project has established a replicable support model that connects financial markets with agricultural production, stabilizing farmers' confidence and enhancing operational resilience for enterprises [7][8] - The project employs a "leading enterprise + over-the-counter options" model to secure stable pricing for rubber farmers, effectively transferring price risk to the futures market and creating a closed-loop risk management system [8]

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the importance of the natural rubber industry in China and the initiatives taken by the Shanghai Futures Exchange to stabilize production and increase income for rubber farmers amid challenges such as low prices and adverse weather conditions [6][10]. Group 1: Industry Overview - Natural rubber is a strategic material widely used in various sectors including transportation, healthcare, defense, and industry [6]. - China has designated 18 million acres as natural rubber production protection zones, primarily in Hainan, Yunnan, and Guangdong, to ensure stable supply [6]. - The natural rubber price has been low in recent years, leading to significant abandonment of rubber plantations and a decline in labor participation among farmers [6][10]. Group 2: Initiatives and Impact - The Shanghai Futures Exchange, in collaboration with futures companies and leading rubber enterprises, launched the "Stabilization Action" project to support rubber farmers and enhance their income [6][9]. - In 2024, the project distributed 17.06 million yuan to farmers, significantly boosting their motivation to continue rubber tapping [6][9]. - The project has been ongoing since 2019, providing over 140 million yuan in support funds and helping farmers avoid price volatility risks [9][10]. Group 3: Farmer Experiences - Farmers like Lan Jianyuan have reported increased income due to the project, with his family earning approximately 140,000 yuan from rubber tapping in 2024, supplemented by over 8,000 yuan from the stabilization project [7][9]. - The project has also introduced training and automation initiatives to improve efficiency in rubber tapping [10]. Group 4: Production Statistics - In 2024, Hainan's rubber production reached 368,600 tons, a 5.3% increase from 2023, while Guangdong's production faced a decline due to adverse weather conditions [11][12]. - The average income increase for farmers in Guangdong due to the stabilization project was 2,857 yuan despite a decrease in overall production [12]. Group 5: Market Dynamics - China is the largest consumer and importer of natural rubber, with a consumption volume of 7.216 million tons in 2024, accounting for 46.7% of global consumption [13]. - The domestic production of natural rubber reached approximately 920,000 tons in 2024, still leaving a significant demand gap [13]. Group 6: Future Outlook - The Shanghai Futures Exchange's initiatives are crucial for the local rubber industry, especially in light of challenges such as labor shortages and natural disasters [10]. - The introduction of the Shanghai rubber futures contract in international markets is expected to enhance China's pricing power in global rubber trade [14][15].

Core Points - The document outlines the equity investment management system of Hainan Natural Rubber Industry Group Co., Ltd. to standardize equity investment behavior and mitigate risks while maximizing shareholder rights and investment returns [1][2][3] Group 1: General Principles - The system aims to regulate equity investments by the company and its subsidiaries, ensuring compliance with relevant laws and regulations [1] - Equity investment is defined as economic activities such as equity acquisition, joint ventures, and private fund subscriptions conducted by the company or its subsidiaries [1][2] - The management principles emphasize compliance, risk control, and transparency in decision-making processes [8][9] Group 2: Investment Process Management - The investment process includes project selection, planning, and closed-loop management to ensure standardized and professional implementation [10][11] - Annual investment plans must be developed and integrated into the overall budget management system [12] - Post-investment management includes evaluating the effectiveness of investments within one year of completion [16] Group 3: Management Structure and Decision-Making - The management structure consists of a two-tier system involving the company headquarters and secondary subsidiaries [15][16] - The headquarters is responsible for coordinating resources, developing investment policies, and overseeing subsidiary investments [16][17] - Decision-making authority is distributed among the general manager's office, board of directors, and shareholders' meetings, with the party committee providing strategic guidance [18][19] Group 4: Responsibilities and Departments - The Capital Operations Department oversees equity investment activities, including drafting and revising investment-related policies and managing project applications [20][21] - The Strategic Planning Department is responsible for post-investment management and risk control [21][22] - The Finance Department manages financial aspects of equity investments, including budget approvals and payment processes [22][23] Group 5: Integrity and Compliance - A commitment to integrity is required for all investment projects, with key personnel signing integrity commitment letters during the approval phase [18][25] - Violations of investment management responsibilities can lead to accountability under relevant laws and regulations [18][25] - The document emphasizes the importance of adhering to fair practices in procurement and investment processes to prevent conflicts of interest [18][25]