2 0 2 6 - 0 2 - 0 7 纯碱玻璃产业链周度报告 研究员：于小栋 从业资格号：F3081787 交易咨询从业证书号：Z0019360 目 录 C O N T E N T S 01 纯碱市场综述 02 月度供需 03 基差价差 04 纯碱市场价格 05 纯碱供应 06 纯碱需求 07 纯碱库存 08 仓单数量 /有效预报 09 地产相关数据 01 玻璃市场综述 02 月度供需 03 基差价差 04 玻璃市场价格 05 玻璃供应 06 玻璃需求 07 玻璃库存 纯碱 玻璃 01 纯碱市场综述 目录 目 录 市场综述 | | | | | | 纯 碱 | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | | 项 目 | 备 注 | 当 期 | 环 比 | 下期(E) | 下下期(E) | 思 路 | | | 总产量（万吨） | | 77.43 | -0.88 | 77.43 | 77.75 | | | 供 应 | 重质产量（万吨） | | 41.4 | -0.71 | 41.40 | 41.57 | 周产量整体高位运行，新产能尚有增量潜力；后 ...

黑色供应周报-铁合金 中泰期货研究所 黑色分析师:董雪珊 2026年2月6日 全国硅铁周度产量:万吨 14 l 13 12 11 0 0 0 0 下载 365 8 下午餐 早餐早餐店 早餐早餐店加盟 早餐早餐加盟 早餐早餐加盟 早餐早餐店 累计同比(右轴) 2023 2024 -2022 2025 2026 累计同比(右轴) 2025 -2022 2023 2024 2026 内蒙古-硅锰日均产量:万吨 内蒙古-硅铁日均产量:万吨 1.60 0.60 1.50 0.55 1.40 0.50 1.30 1.20 0.45 1.10 0.40 1.00 0.35 0.90 0.80 0.30 一篇： 2017年 12月 12:58 来源： 2017 11:58 11:58 11 12 12 11:58 11 12 11 11 = 2 2023 2024 2025 2026 2022 2023 2024 2025 ·2026 宁夏-硅锰日均产量:万吨 宁夏-硅铁日均产量:万吨 1.00 0.50 0.45 0.90 0.40 0.80 0.35 0.30 0.70 0.25 0.60 0.20 0.50 0.15 ...

交易咨询资格号： 证监许可[2012]112 晨会纪要 2026 年 2 月 6 日 | 联系人：王竣冬 | | | --- | --- | | 期货从业资格：F3024685 | | | 交易咨询从业证书号：Z0013759 | | | 研究咨询电话： | | | 0531-81678626 | | | 客服电话： | | | 400-618-6767 | | | 公司网址： | | | www.ztqh.com | | | [Table_QuotePic] | 中泰微投研小程序 | | [Table_Report] | 中泰期货公众号 | 请务必阅读正文之后的免责声明部分 | 偏空 | 農荡 | 偏多 | | --- | --- | --- | | 锰硅 | — | 螺纹钢 | | 豆粕 | 焦煤 | 铁矿石 | | PVC | 玉米 | 热轧卷板 | | 棕櫚油 | 焦炭 | 菜粕 | | 塑料 | 玉米淀粉 | 郑棉 | | 沥青 | 沪铜 | 玻璃 | | 橡胶 | 护锡 | 沪铅 | | | 鸡蛋 | | | | PTA | | | | 白糖 | | | | 聚丙烯 | | | | 护银 | | ...

交易咨询资格号： 证监许可[2012]112 晨会纪要 2026 年 2 月 5 日 联系人：王竣冬 期货从业资格：F3024685 交易咨询从业证书号：Z0013759 研究咨询电话： 0531-81678626 客服电话： 400-618-6767 公司网址： www.ztqh.com [Table_QuotePic] 中泰微投研小程序 [Table_Report] 中泰期货公众号 | ن ان استرند | | 生」 生 イ | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 趋势空头 | 農荡偏空 | 農药 | 農筋偏多 | 趋势多头 | | | 烧碱 | 橡胶 | 燃油 | | | | 三十债 | 白糖 | 沪深300股指期货 | | | | 合成橡胶 | 二债 | 沥青 | | | | 生猪 | 棉花 | 中证1000指数期货 | | | | 鸡蛋 | 棉纱 | 上证50股指期货 | | | | 红枣 | 十债 | 中证500股指期货 | | | | 铁矿石 | 五债 | 焦炭 | | | | | 尿素 | 焦煤 | | | | | 原油 | PVC | | | | ...

交易咨询资格号： 证监许可[2012]112 晨会纪要 2026 年 2 月 4 日 联系人：王竣冬 期货从业资格：F3024685 交易咨询从业证书号：Z0013759 研究咨询电话： 0531-81678626 客服电话： 400-618-6767 公司网址： www.ztqh.com 请务必阅读正文之后的免责声明部分 [Table_QuotePic] 中泰微投研小程序 | 4 / 7 / 7 / 4 | | 卒」卒4日听刊 | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 趋势空头 | 農荡偏空 | 農药 | 農荡偏多 | 趋势多头 | | | に | 橡胶 | 中证1000指数期货 | | | | 红枣 | 自糖 | 燃油 | | | | 铁矿石 | 多晶硅 | 三十债 | | | | 甲醇 | 棉纱 | 十债 | | | | РУС | 尿素 | 上证50股指期货 | | | | 塑料 | 棉花 | 二债 | | | | 生猪 | 胶版印刷纸 | 沪深300股指期货 | | | | 原油 | 玉米 | 五债 | | | | 液化石油气 | 乙二醇 | 沥青 | | | ...

交易咨询资格号： 证监许可[2012]112 [Table_QuotePic] 中泰微投研小程序 [Table_Report] 中泰期货公众号 | 2026/2/3 | | 基于基本面研判 | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 趋势空头 | 農荡偏空 | 農药 | 農荡偏多 | 趋势多头 | | | 原油 | 棉纱 | 沥青 | | | | 液化石油气 | 棉花 | 合成橡胶 | | | | 尿素 | 十债 | 硅铁 | | | | 红枣 | 五债 | 苹果 | | | | 生猪 | 三十债 | 上证50股指期货 | | | | PVC | 燃油 | | | | | 铁矿石 | 二债 | | | | | 甲醇 | 白糖 | | | | | 塑料 | 多晶硅 | | | | | 中证500股指期货 | 工业硅 | | | | | 中证1000指数期货 | 烧碱 | | | | | | 橡胶 | | | | | | 碳酸锂 | | | | | | 锰硅 | | | | | | 鸡蛋 | | | | | | 纸浆 | | | | | | 纸浆 | | | | | | 焦煤 ...

交易咨询资格号： 证监许可[2012]112 晨会纪要 2026 年 2 月 2 日 联系人：王竣冬 期货从业资格：F3024685 交易咨询从业证书号：Z0013759 研究咨询电话： 0531-81678626 客服电话： 400-618-6767 公司网址： www.ztqh.com [Table_QuotePic] 中泰微投研小程序 | 2026/2/2 | | 基于基本面研判 | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 趋势空头 | 農荡偏空 | 農筋 | 農荡偏多 | 趋势多头 | | | 原油 | 多晶硅 | 沥青 | 合成橡胶 | | | 尿素 | 橡胶 | 燃油 | | | | 鸡蛋 | 工业硅 | 烧碱 | | | | 红枣 | 纸浆 | 二债 | | | | 中证1000指数期货 | 原木 | 十债 | | | | 生猪 | 胶版印刷纸 | 三十债 | | | | 中证500股指期货 | 沪深300股指期货 | 五债 | | | | 甲醇 | 上证50股指期货 | 苹果 | | | | 塑料 | 白糖 | 硅铁 | | | | 液化石油气 | 焦炭 | ...

交易咨询资格号： 证监许可[2012]112 晨会纪要 2026 年 1 月 30 日 | | [Table_Finance] | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 联系人：王竣冬 | 2026/1/30 | | 基于基本面研判 | | | | 期货从业资格：F3024685 | 趋势空头 | 震荡偏空 | 震 荡 | 震荡偏多 | 趋势多头 | | 交易咨询从业证书号：Z0013759 | | 烧碱 | 白糖 | 尿素 | 合成橡胶 | | 研究咨询电话： | | 鸡蛋 | 棉花 | 燃油 | | | | | 红枣 | 多晶硅 | 乙二醇 | | | 0531-81678626 | | 生猪 | 棉纱 | 短纤 | | | | | PVC | 工业硅 | PTA | | | 客服电话： | | | | | | | 400-618-6767 | | 中证500股指期货 | 纸浆 | 橡胶 | | | | | 中证1000指数期货 | 碳酸锂 | 对二甲苯 | | | 公司网址： | | | 热轧卷板 | 瓶片 | | | | | | 螺纹钢 | 硅 ...

交易咨询资格号： 证监许可[2012]112 晨会纪要 基于量化指标研判 | 偏空 | 震荡 | 偏多 | | --- | --- | --- | | PTA | 螺纹钢 | 锰硅 | | 豆二 | 焦煤 | 热轧卷板 | | 棕榈油 | 郑棉 | 橡胶 | | 沥青 | 玉米 | 沪铅 | | 沪锌 | 菜粕 | 沪铜 | | 菜油 | 沪锡 | 甲醇 | | 豆油 | 铁矿石 | 焦炭 | | | 豆一 | | | | 玉米淀粉 | | | | 白糖 | | | | 玻璃 | | | | PVC | | | | 鸡蛋 | | | | 塑料 | | | | 沪铝 | | | | 豆粕 | | | | 沪银 | | | | 聚丙烯 | | | | 沪金 | | 备注： 1.趋势判断观点主要基于各品种的量价等技术指标因素。 请务必阅读正文之后的免责声明部分 - 2 - 2026 年 1 月 29 日 | [Table_Finance] | | | | | | | | | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 联系人：王 ...

1. Industry Investment Rating No relevant content provided. 2. Core Views Fundamental Analysis - Based on fundamental factors, the trend of some commodities is judged. For example, the trend of red dates and eggs is bearish, while the trend of synthetic rubber is bullish [4]. Quantitative Analysis - Based on quantitative indicators, the trends of some commodities such as soybeans and zinc are judged to be bearish, while the trends of methanol and rubber are judged to be bullish [9]. 3. Summary by Directory Macro News - UK Prime Minister Starmer will visit China from January 28 - 31, and high - level meetings will be held to discuss bilateral relations [11]. - Trump's remarks on the US dollar caused the US dollar index to fall by more than 1%, reaching a new low in nearly four years [11]. - A new round of price hikes in the global chip industry, with significant price increases from companies like Samsung and SK Hynix, and domestic companies also raising prices [12]. - The AI assistant Clawdbot has become popular overseas, and domestic AI models are also booming [12]. - In 2025, the total profit of large - scale industrial enterprises in China reached 7.4 trillion yuan, with a year - on - year increase of 0.6%, reversing a three - year decline [13]. - The impact of the Indian Nipah virus on China is relatively small, and no cases have been found in China [13]. - China's first interstellar navigation college was officially established [13]. - In 2025, the bank wealth - management market increased by more than 3.3 trillion yuan, while small and medium - sized banks' self - operated wealth management faced scale reduction or elimination [13]. - US population growth slowed down in 2025 due to a significant slowdown in immigration [14]. - Trump decided to raise tariffs on South Korean products from 15% to 25% [14]. - The EU and India reached a free - trade agreement [14]. - The US consumer confidence index in January dropped to a new low since 2014 [14]. - Some customers in futures trading were restricted for suspected irregularities [15]. - Citigroup and Deutsche Bank believe that gold may reach $6000 per ounce [15]. Macro - Finance Stock Index Futures - The upward trend of IC/IM may continue, and trend - following strategies are recommended. The A - share market showed an oscillating upward trend, with small - and medium - cap stocks outperforming large - cap stocks [18]. Treasury Bond Futures - It is recommended to wait and see. The capital market has loosened, but the cost of funds is still relatively high, and the central bank's monetary policy is turning loose [19]. Black Commodities Steel and Iron Ore - The black market will remain in an oscillating trend. Steel will be in an oscillating and consolidating state in the short term, and iron ore is relatively weak and should be short - sold on rallies [21]. Coking Coal and Coke - The price of coking coal and coke may oscillate and consolidate in the short term. Pay attention to the production changes in coal mines and the procurement progress of downstream enterprises [23]. Ferroalloys - Silicon iron is recommended to be bought on dips in the medium term, and for manganese silicon, it is recommended to hold short positions established at high levels and wait and see [24]. Soda Ash and Glass - It is recommended to wait and see. Pay attention to the production changes of the supply side of soda ash and glass [25]. Non - ferrous Metals and New Materials Zinc - It is recommended to wait and see or re - enter short positions. The domestic zinc inventory has decreased, but the upward movement of precious metals may be restricted, which may drive the non - ferrous metal sector down [27]. Lead - It is recommended to wait and see and continue to hold short positions. The social inventory of lead has reached a new high in nearly two months [28]. Lithium Carbonate - The price of lithium carbonate may move up after a short - term correction, with wide - range oscillations [30]. Industrial Silicon and Polysilicon - Industrial silicon will operate in an oscillating manner, and opportunities to sell out - of - the - money call options after a rebound should be awaited. Polysilicon will continue to operate in an oscillating manner, and the anti - monopoly and anti - over - competition rectification plan should be awaited [31]. Agricultural Products Cotton - It is recommended to conduct short - term trading. The short - term supply of cotton is loose, but the long - term supply may decrease, and there are contradictions between pre - festival replenishment and declining downstream production [33]. Sugar - It is recommended to conduct short - term trading in the low - price range. Domestic sugar is under pressure from supply and weak demand during the peak season [36]. Eggs - A bearish view is recommended for the current position. The pre - festival egg inventory may peak and weaken, and the futures price has limited upward space [39]. Apples - The futures price may run strongly. The apple market is in a game between supply support and demand constraints, and the price will oscillate in a range [40]. Corn - It is recommended to conduct short - term trading and pay attention to the port collection situation. The corn price is stable in the short term, and the possibility of a sharp decline before the Spring Festival is low [41]. Red Dates - The red date market will oscillate and consolidate in the short term. Pay attention to the sales situation in the peak consumption season [43]. Pigs - Pay attention to the impact of weight reduction before the Spring Festival on the spot price, and look for opportunities to short the near - month contracts on rallies [44]. Energy and Chemicals Crude Oil - There is a risk of short - term market fluctuations. The supply of crude oil is in surplus, but geopolitical factors have increased the risk premium [46]. Fuel Oil - The price of fuel oil will fluctuate with the price of crude oil. The supply - demand situation has improved marginally, and the current focus is on geopolitical factors [48]. Plastics - Polyolefins have large supply pressure and are weak in terms of supply - demand. Although the upstream is in a state of large losses, the rebound space is limited due to the expected new - capacity release [48]. Rubber - It is recommended to sell out - of - the - money put options on dips. The fundamentals are stable, and pay attention to the inventory changes and downstream procurement [48]. Synthetic Rubber - It is recommended to buy on dips. The supply of butadiene is expected to be tight in the first half of the year, and the price of synthetic rubber may remain strong [48]. Methanol - It is recommended to take a bearish view on the short - term correction. The supply - demand situation of methanol has improved, but there is a risk of inventory accumulation at the end of the month [48]. Caustic Soda - A bearish view is recommended for the near - month contracts, and a bullish view for the far - month contracts. The caustic soda market has high inventory and low profit, but there may be a turnaround in the far - month [50]. Asphalt - The price of asphalt will fluctuate with the price of crude oil and is expected to be oscillating and strong in the short term. Pay attention to geopolitical factors and raw - material price changes [51]. Polyester Industry Chain - It is recommended to consider rolling long - buying at low prices or positive spreads between May and September contracts. The near - term fundamentals of the polyester industry chain are weak, but the cost side provides strong support [52]. Liquefied Petroleum Gas (LPG) - LPG will remain strong in the short term, but pay attention to the negative feedback from the demand side. It is recommended to wait and see in the short term and try short - selling on rallies in the long term [53]. Pulp - The pulp market will have large intraday fluctuations. The spot market has weakened, but there is support from the long - term external price. It may oscillate and strengthen if the commodity sentiment improves [54]. Logs - The fundamentals of logs are oscillating and strong, and the spot price has stabilized. The futures price is expected to be oscillating and strong with the improvement of commodity sentiment [55]. Urea - Urea futures are expected to be oscillating and strong. The spot market is stable, and pay attention to the improvement of future liquidity [55].