Stock Market Performance - The Hang Seng Index rose 234 points or 0.9% to close at 25,339 points, the China Enterprises Index rose 105 points or 1.2% to close at 9,079 points, and the Hang Seng Tech Index rose 149 points or 2.7% to close at 5,647 points. The total turnover of the market was HK$285.584 billion [1]. - The Shanghai Composite Index rose 54 points or 1.45% to close at 3,825 points, the Shenzhen Component Index rose 246 points or 2.07% to close at 12,166 points, and the ChiNext Index rose 87 points or 3.36% to close at 2,682 points. The total turnover of the Shanghai and Shenzhen stock markets increased to approximately RMB2.55 trillion, setting a record for the A-share market [2]. - The Dow Jones Industrial Average and the Nasdaq Composite both rose 1.9%, the Dow Jones Industrial Average reached a new high, closing 846 points higher at 45,631 points, the Nasdaq Composite rose 396 points to 21,496 points, and the S&P 500 Index closed 96 points or 1.5% higher at 6,466 points, approaching last week's high [2]. Monetary Policy - The People's Bank of China conducted a seven-day reverse repurchase operation of RMB253 billion in the open market on the 21st, with an operating interest rate remaining flat at 1.4%. There were RMB128.7 billion of reverse repurchases due, resulting in a net injection of RMB124.3 billion [2]. - The central parity rate of the RMB against the US dollar was raised by 97 points to 7.1287 [2]. Trade Policy - Canada announced on Friday the cancellation of several countervailing tariffs against the US but maintained a 25% tariff on US automobiles, steel, and aluminum. The policy adjustment will take effect on September 1st [3]. Company Announcements IPO - Aux Group (02580.HK) plans to globally issue 207.16 million shares, with 5% (approximately 10.3582 million shares) for the Hong Kong public offering and 95% (approximately 196.8 million shares) for the international placement. The offering price ranges from HK$16 to HK$17.42 per share, with a maximum fundraising of approximately HK$3.61 billion. The subscription period is from the 25th to noon on the 28th, and it is expected to be listed on September 2nd [4]. Interim Results - Sinopharm Group (01099.HK) reported a turnover of RMB286.043 billion for the six months ended June 30th, a year-on-year decrease of 2.9%. The net profit was RMB3.466 billion, a year-on-year decrease of 6.4%, and the earnings per share were RMB1.11. No dividend was declared [4]. - Zhaojin Mining Industry (01818.HK) reported an income of RMB6.972 billion for the six months ended June 30th, a year-on-year increase of 50.7%. The gross profit was RMB3.05 billion, an increase of 54.3%. The net profit was RMB1.44 billion, a growth of 160.4%, and the earnings per share were RMB0.38. No dividend was declared [4]. - Greentown China (03900.HK) reported an income of RMB53.368 billion for the six months ended June 30th, a year-on-year decrease of 23.3%, due to a 22.7% decrease in the transfer area during the period. The gross profit was RMB7.159 billion, a decrease of 21.4%. The net profit was RMB210 million, a decline of 89.7%, mainly affected by an impairment loss of RMB1.933 billion on related assets. The earnings per share were RMB0.08. No dividend was declared [5]. - Chow Tai Fook Jewellery Group (06168.HK) reported an income of RMB3.15 billion for the six months ended June 30th, a year-on-year increase of 5.2%. The gross profit was RMB827 million, an increase of 8.7%, mainly due to the contribution of the self - operated business model. The net profit was RMB415 million, a growth of 11.9%, and the earnings per share were RMB1.09. An interim dividend of HK$0.45 was declared [5]. - Nine Masts Catering Group (09922.HK) reported an income of RMB2.753 billion for the six months ended June 30th, a year-on-year decrease of 10.1%. The net profit was RMB60.69 million, a decline of 16%, and the earnings per share were RMB0.04. No dividend was declared [5]. - CMOC Group (03993.HK) reported an operating income of RMB94.773 billion for the six months ended June 30th, a year-on-year decrease of 7.8%. The operating cost was RMB74.727 billion, a decrease of 11%. The net profit attributable to shareholders was RMB8.671 billion, a growth of 60.1%, setting a new high for the same period. The earnings per share were RMB0.41. No dividend was declared [5]. - CRRC Corporation Limited (01766.HK) reported an operating income of RMB119.758 billion for the six months ended June 30th, a year-on-year increase of 33%, mainly due to the growth of railway equipment and new industry revenues. The net profit was RMB7.246 billion, a growth of 72.5%, and the earnings per share were RMB0.25. An interim dividend of RMB0.11 was declared [6]. - Dongfang Selection (01797.HK) reported a total revenue of RMB4.392 billion for the fiscal year ended May 31st, a year-on-year decrease of 37.9%. The net profit was RMB5.74 million, a decline of 99.7%, and the earnings per share were RMB0.01. No dividend was declared. The net profit from continuing operations was RMB6.2 million, compared with RMB249 million in 2024. Excluding the financial impact of the sale of Yuhui Tongxing, the net profit from continuing operations was RMB135 million, a growth of 30%. The total operating cost of continuing operations decreased by 38.2% to RMB3 billion, mainly due to the decrease in the inventory cost and logistics cost of self - operated products caused by the decrease in GMV. The gross profit from continuing operations decreased by 17% to RMB1.4 billion, and the gross profit margin increased from 25.9% to 32% [7]. - China National Tobacco Hong Kong (06055.HK) reported an income of RMB10.316 billion for the six months ended June 30th, a year-on-year increase of 18.5%. The gross profit was RMB946 million, a decrease of 1.8%. The net profit was RMB706 million, a growth of 9.8%, and the earnings per share were RMB1.02. An interim dividend of HK$0.19 was declared, compared with HK$0.15 in the same period last year [7].

Group 1 - The core viewpoint of the report highlights that Chow Tai Fook (6168 HK) is a leading jewelry brand in China's lower-tier markets, with a revenue growth forecast from RMB 3.1 billion in FY22 to RMB 5.7 billion in FY24, representing a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 36% [1] - The net profit is expected to increase from RMB 575 million to RMB 706 million during the same period, with a CAGR of 10.8% [1] - Chow Tai Fook ranks 6th in total merchandise transaction volume among all gold jewelry companies in China, with a market share of 6.2%, and ranks 10th in revenue with a market share of 1.0% [1] Group 2 - The online business has become a key growth driver, with online revenue expected to double from RMB 1.1 billion in FY22 to RMB 2.3 billion in FY24, achieving a CAGR of 46.1% [1] - By FY24, online sales are projected to account for 40% of total revenue, the highest among leading jewelry companies [1] - Chow Tai Fook has established flagship stores on major e-commerce platforms like JD.com and Tmall, while also expanding into emerging platforms such as Pinduoduo, Douyin, and Kuaishou [1] Group 3 - The company operates 4,129 stores as of the end of 2024, with nearly 98% being franchise stores, allowing for rapid expansion at low costs [2] - Chow Tai Fook's franchise model grants franchisees significant operational autonomy, including direct procurement from authorized suppliers and the ability to tailor product offerings based on local market demands [2] - The service fee from franchisees is expected to account for 14.8% of total revenue in FY24, contributing 54% to gross profit [2] Group 4 - Chow Tai Fook's supply chain is efficient and stable, with an average partnership of 8 years with its top five suppliers, and has adopted an outsourcing production model since April 2022 to further optimize supply chain efficiency [2] - All products must undergo quality testing before sale, regardless of whether they are sourced directly from authorized suppliers or through company channels [2] Group 5 - Despite facing short-term operational pressures due to high gold prices and competition from low-priced products in the Shenzhen jewelry wholesale market, Chow Tai Fook is expected to maintain steady growth due to its strong e-commerce performance, brand appeal in lower-tier markets, and franchisees' understanding of local consumer preferences [4] - The stock is currently valued at a price-to-earnings ratio of 18 times for FY24, which is considered reasonable compared to peers, given its superior growth potential [4]

Group 1: Individual Stock Recommendations - The report recommends buying shares of Lao Pu Gold (6181) at a current price of 914.00 HKD, with a short-term target price of 994.00 HKD, indicating a potential upside of 14.3%. The catalysts for this recommendation include strong same-store sales growth and the launch of a new product series expected to boost sales in the second half of 2025 [2][12] - The report also recommends buying shares of Kingsoft (3888) at a current price of 36.60 HKD, with a short-term target price of 41.30 HKD, indicating a potential upside of 15.4%. The catalysts include the upcoming launch of new games expected to drive revenue growth in the second half of 2025 [2][15] Group 2: Market Overview and Economic Indicators - The Hang Seng Index is currently facing resistance at the March high of 24,874 points, with recent financial policies from mainland China aimed at stabilizing the market. The market anticipates further policy measures to support economic growth [3][6] - The report highlights that the U.S. inflation rate is moderating, which has led to a slight increase in U.S. stock indices. The U.S. Producer Price Index (PPI) showed a mild increase of 0.1% month-on-month in May, indicating a stable inflation environment [4][16] Group 3: Industry Insights - The report notes that the traditional gold jewelry market in mainland China has experienced a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 65% from 2018 to 2023, with expectations for a CAGR of approximately 22% from 2023 to 2028 [12] - The report indicates that Kingsoft's gaming and office software revenue is expected to improve sequentially, with a projected CAGR of 13% for revenue and 22% for net profit from FY24 to FY27 [15]