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东吴证券晨会纪要-20250612
Soochow Securities· 2025-06-12 01:04
证券研究报告 东吴证券晨会纪要 东吴证券晨会纪要 2025-06-12 [Table_Tag] 宏观策略 [Table_MacroStrategy] 宏观深度报告 20250608:并购重组驶入"快车道"助力科技企业估值提 升 并购重组行情有望开启 回顾历史,2013 年至 2015 年并购潮的诞生建立 在宏观经济环境偏弱、政策较为宽松、产业趋势兴起和并购政策放松的条 件下,并购重组引发的 TMT 行情对市场上行的推动起到了关键性的作 用。随着宏观经济环境转好,资本市场回暖,传统上市公司转型升级、标 的企业价值变现、二级市场流动性增强下,并购重组市场持续火热,众多 高估值、高业绩承诺、高商誉的并购标的股价被推向顶峰。 经济转型势 在必行:当下宏观流动性和市场流动性均较为宽松,与 2013 至 2015 年 期间的宏观环境较为相似,经济转型的诉求较为强烈。并购重组作为提升 产能利用率的有效手段,一方面可以通过企业间的合并、收购或资产整 合,淘汰低效产能,优化资源配置,提升行业集中度和生产效率,缓解产 能过剩对国内价格的冲击,另一方面,并购重组有望在科技层面创造新需 求,企业迅速吸纳稀缺的技术引领行业突破,可以创 ...
博迁新材(605376):电子粉体龙头技术领先,拓展新能源第二增长极
Soochow Securities· 2025-06-11 02:17
Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, with a target price of 57.3 CNY based on a 30x PE for 2026 [7]. Core Views - The company is positioned as a leader in electronic powder materials, leveraging its advanced technology to expand into the new energy sector, which is expected to become a second growth driver [12]. - The company has a strong management team with a dual focus on technology and market development, continuously investing in R&D to enhance its competitive edge [17]. - The recovery of the MLCC (Multi-layer Ceramic Capacitor) market is anticipated in 2024, driven by the demand from AI servers and high-end consumer electronics, which will positively impact the company's revenue and profitability [38]. Summary by Sections 1. Focus on Electronic Powders and New Energy - The company has deepened its expertise in nano metal powder materials and is accelerating its entry into the new energy sector, aiming to establish a dual main business structure of high-end electronics and photovoltaics [12]. - The company has made significant advancements in nickel powder technology, which is crucial for MLCC production, and is expected to see a recovery in net profit starting in 2024 [23]. 2. AI Server Driven MLCC High-End Development - The MLCC industry is entering a new growth cycle, with a projected global market size increase of 7% in 2024, reaching 104.2 billion CNY [38]. - AI servers are expected to significantly increase the demand for MLCCs, with each server using 4000-6000 MLCCs, which is 2-3 times more than traditional servers [40]. 3. Technological Strength and Market Position - The company is recognized for its leading technology in electronic powders, particularly in the PVD (Physical Vapor Deposition) process, which creates a competitive barrier in the market [12]. - The company has established strong relationships with key clients, benefiting from the recovery of high-end consumer electronics and AI server demand [17]. 4. Financial Forecast and Investment Recommendations - The company is projected to achieve a net profit of 249.5 million CNY in 2025, with a year-on-year growth of 185.23%, and an EPS of 0.95 CNY [7]. - The report emphasizes the company's strong market position and technological capabilities, justifying the "Buy" rating and the target price based on future earnings potential [7].
博迁新材:电子粉体龙头技术领先,拓展新能源第二增长极-20250611
Soochow Securities· 2025-06-11 01:48
Investment Rating - The report assigns a "Buy" rating for the company, with a target price of 57.3 CNY based on a 30x PE for 2026 [7]. Core Insights - The company is positioned as a leader in electronic powder materials, leveraging its advanced technology in nickel powder production for MLCCs and expanding into the renewable energy sector, which is expected to drive its second growth phase [7][12]. - The company has a strong management team with a dual focus on technology and market development, which has led to significant R&D investments and a robust product pipeline [12][17]. - The recovery of the MLCC market is anticipated in 2024, with a projected revenue increase driven by the demand from AI servers and high-end consumer electronics [7][38]. Summary by Sections 1. Focus on Electronic Powders and Dual Growth Drivers - The company has deepened its expertise in nano metal powder materials and is expanding into the renewable energy sector, establishing a dual business model focused on high-end electronics and photovoltaic materials [12]. - The company has transitioned from a focus on nano metal powder technology to a broader product range, including copper paste for photovoltaic applications, which is expected to contribute significantly to future revenues [12][28]. 2. AI Server-Driven MLCC High-End Market - The MLCC industry is entering a new growth cycle, with a projected global market size increase of 7% in 2024, reaching 104.2 billion CNY, and further growth expected in 2025 [38]. - AI servers are significantly increasing the demand for MLCCs, with usage per server expected to rise dramatically, thus driving the need for high-performance, small-sized components [40][41]. 3. Technical Strength and Market Position - The company has established itself as a hidden champion in electronic powder materials, with its PVD process creating significant barriers to entry for competitors [7][12]. - The company is deeply integrated with major clients, such as Samsung Electro-Mechanics, which accounts for over 50% of its sales, positioning it well to benefit from the recovery in high-end MLCC demand [7][12]. 4. Profit Forecast and Investment Recommendations - The company is expected to achieve a net profit of 249.5 million CNY in 2025, with a growth rate of 185%, and further increases projected for 2026 and 2027 [7]. - The report emphasizes the company's strong market position and technological capabilities, justifying the "Buy" rating and the target price based on future earnings potential [7][12].