Core Viewpoint - The market is experiencing an upward trend in gold prices due to expectations of a Federal Reserve rate cut in December, with gold reaching as high as $4,190 per ounce and silver nearing $54 per ounce [1][3]. Group 1: Federal Reserve and Market Expectations - Analysts from ANZ Bank noted that dovish comments from policymakers have boosted market expectations for a 25 basis point rate cut by the Federal Reserve in December, with an 80% probability according to swap traders [3]. - The selection process for the next Federal Reserve Chair is under scrutiny, with Trump's ally, Hassett, emerging as a strong candidate, aligning with Trump's economic views, including a preference for lower interest rates [3]. - Despite expectations for a rate cut, BCA Research's chief commodity strategist expressed a neutral outlook on gold for the next three months due to uncertainties in Federal Reserve monetary policy [3]. Group 2: Gold Market Dynamics - Ibrahim from BCA Research anticipates that gold will remain in a range-bound trading pattern in the near term but expects prices to rise by 2026, citing structural support in the market [4]. - The expectation of continued rate cuts next year, alongside lower real interest rates, is seen as favorable for gold, even if the Fed pauses rate cuts in December [4]. - Concerns about the growth environment are driving expectations for Fed rate cuts, with strong demand for gold in India, which imported $14.7 billion worth of gold last month, a 200% increase from the previous year [5]. Group 3: Silver Market Outlook - While BCA Research is bullish on gold, the outlook for silver is more cautious, as silver has outperformed gold this year and is testing resistance above $53 per ounce [5]. - Economic and geopolitical uncertainties may impact silver's industrial consumption, which accounts for about half of the market [5].

监测数据显示，未来一周赴日计划航班取消率将在11月27日达到21.6%，为1个月以来最高值。取消率靠前的航线有天津滨海—关西国际（65.0%）、南京禄 口—关西国际（59.4%）、广州白云—关西国际（31.3%）、上海浦东—关西国际（30.1%）。 据航班管家DAST数据，截至11月24日10时，已有12条中日航线取消所有航班。 | | 未来 | | -周赴日航班取消航线 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 出发地 | 目的她 | 目前已取消 | 总计划 | 未来一周赴日航班取消率 | | 杭州萧山 | 中部国际机场 | 7 | 7 | 100.0% | | 南京禄口 | 福冈机场 | 7 | 7 | 100.0% | | 运城盐湖 | 中部国际机场 | 4 | 4 | 100.0% | | 南京禄口 | 中部国际机场 | 3 | 3 | 100.0% | | 北京大兴 | 新干岁机场 | 3 | 3 | 100.0% | | 深圳宝安 | 中部国际机场 | 3 | 3 | 100.0% | | 成都天府 | 新干岁机场 | 3 | 2 | 100.0% | | 扬州泰 ...