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收储助推猪价见底回升,宠物食品出口及国内消费高景气延续
KAIYUAN SECURITIES· 2025-08-24 08:23
Investment Rating - The industry investment rating is "Positive" (maintained) [1] Core Insights - The report indicates that the pig price is expected to gradually rise due to government storage initiatives, with the average pig price as of August 22, 2025, being 13.73 yuan/kg, showing a week-on-week increase of 0.04 yuan/kg but a year-on-year decrease of 6.51% [3][13] - The pet food export market is experiencing high growth, with July 2025 exports amounting to 130 million USD, a month-on-month increase of 13.35% [4][25] - The report highlights a positive outlook for the pig farming sector, driven by both fundamental and policy factors, with recommendations for specific companies in the sector [5][26] Weekly Observations - The report notes that the storage of frozen pork by the government is set to begin on August 25, 2025, with a total of 10,000 tons to be stored [38] - The average pig-to-grain price ratio has fallen below 6:1, prompting government intervention to stabilize the market [13][41] - The agricultural index outperformed the market by 0.23 percentage points during the week of August 18-22, 2025, with a 3.72% increase [30][33] Price Tracking - As of August 22, 2025, the average price of live pigs was 13.73 yuan/kg, with a slight decrease of 0.03 yuan/kg from the previous week [43][44] - The average price of piglets was 27.78 yuan/kg, down 1.09 yuan/kg week-on-week [43][44] - The report also tracks the prices of other agricultural products, noting fluctuations in beef, chicken, and feed prices [42][54] Recommendations - The report recommends several companies for investment, including Muyuan Foods, Wens Foodstuff Group, and others in the pig farming sector, as well as companies in the feed sector like Haida Group and New Hope [5][26][28] - In the pet food sector, companies such as Guibao Pet and Petty are highlighted as strong investment opportunities due to the rising domestic market [5][29]
巴西商业农场首次确诊高致病性禽流感 中国欧盟暂停进口巴西禽肉产品
news flash· 2025-05-20 09:15
Core Viewpoint - Brazil has reported its first case of highly pathogenic avian influenza (HPAI) in a commercial farm, leading to import bans from over 20 countries and regions including China and the EU [1] Group 1: Impact on Brazil's Poultry Industry - The Brazilian Ministry of Agriculture confirmed the outbreak of HPAI in a commercial poultry farm [1] - As a result of the outbreak, more than 20 countries and regions, including China, the EU, Japan, and Saudi Arabia, have suspended imports of poultry products from Brazil [1]