Market Overview - The Hang Seng Index (HSI) has short-term support at the 25,000 point level, with recent hawkish signals from the Federal Reserve indicating limited rate cut space in 2026. Economic tensions between China and the US have eased temporarily, but corporate earnings in Hong Kong are unlikely to improve significantly in the short term due to a lack of strong policy signals from mainland China [2][4][6]. Economic Focus - China's exports in November increased by 5.9% year-on-year, surpassing expectations, while imports rose by 1.9%. The trade surplus for November was reported at USD 111.68 billion. For the first eleven months of the year, exports grew by 5.4%, and imports fell by 0.6%, resulting in a cumulative trade surplus of USD 1,075.848 billion [4][8]. - The Central Committee of the Communist Party of China emphasized the need for stable economic progress in 2026, advocating for a proactive fiscal policy and moderately loose monetary policy to enhance macroeconomic governance [4][8]. - The US Treasury Secretary projected a 3% GDP growth for the year, citing strong holiday season consumer spending [4][8]. Company News - Meituan (3690) launched the LongCat-Image model for image generation, aiming to provide high-performance options for developers [9]. - Chow Tai Fook Jewelry (1929) underwent a significant equity restructuring, with the Cheng family injecting HKD 47.3 billion worth of shares into the company [9]. - Vanke (2202) is facing investor concerns regarding its bond extension plan ahead of a crucial vote [9]. - New energy vehicles in China achieved a retail penetration rate of 59.3% in November, reflecting a 7 percentage point increase year-on-year [8][9]. Stock Market Performance - The Hang Seng Index closed at 25,765, down 1.23% year-to-date, while the Hang Seng Tech Index showed a year-to-date increase of 26.73% [5][6]. - The US stock market experienced slight declines, with major indices falling between 0.1% and 0.5% [6]. Sector Outlook - The AI sector, particularly companies involved in AI glasses and smartphones, is expected to benefit from recent product launches and market trends [7]. - The biopharmaceutical sector is also poised for growth due to rising flu cases and favorable financing conditions [7].

Report Information - The report is from Fubon Securities (Asia) and focuses on bond market information, with the date of December 2, 2025 [1] Key Information of Top 20 Active Bonds Oracle Corporation - Two bonds with coupon rates of 5.2% and 6.25%, issuance dates of September 24, 2025, and November 7, 2022, respectively, and maturities in 2035 and 2032. Another bond with a 3.25% coupon was issued on November 7, 2017, and matures in 2027. Market prices range from 97.494 - 98.096, 105.539 - 106.123, and 97.641 - 98.203. YTMs are 5.45%, 5.19%, and 4.22%, respectively. Issuance volumes are 4 billion, 2.25 billion, and 2.75 billion USD [4] Raytheon Technologies Corporation - A bond with a 5.75% coupon, issued on November 6, 2023, matures on November 8, 2026. Market price is 101.196 - 101.748, YTM is 3.82%, and issuance volume is 1.25 billion USD [4] Standard Chartered Group Limited - A perpetual bond with a 7% coupon, issued on November 4, 2025, with the next call date on November 14, 2035. Market price is 101.888 - 102.821, YTM is 7.33%, and issuance volume is 1 billion USD [4] Bangkok Bank Public Company Limited/Hong Kong - Two bonds with coupon rates of 5.082% and 4.507%, issued on November 19, 2025, maturing in 2035 and 2030. Market prices are 99.79 - 100.358 and 99.915 - 100.473. YTMs are 5.04% and 4.4%, respectively. Issuance volumes are 600 million and 500 million USD [4] HSBC Holdings plc - A bond with a 5.133% coupon, issued on October 30, 2025, matures on November 6, 2036. Market price is 100.138 - 100.704, YTM is 5.1%, and issuance volume is 2.25 billion USD [4] Amazon.com, Inc. - Two bonds with coupon rates of 4.65% and 4.35%, issued on November 17, 2025, maturing in 2035 and 2033. Market prices are 100.202 - 100.768 and 100.025 - 100.581. YTMs are 4.55% and 4.26%, respectively. Issuance volumes are 3.5 billion and 1.5 billion USD [4] Meta Platforms, Inc. - Two bonds with coupon rates of 4.6% and 4.875%, issued on October 30, 2025, maturing in 2032 and 2035. Market prices are 100.832 - 101.384 and 100.384 - 100.959. YTMs are 4.37% and 4.75%, respectively. Issuance volumes are 4 billion and 6.5 billion USD [4] Alphabet Inc. - A bond with a 4.7% coupon, issued on November 3, 2025, matures on November 15, 2035. Market price is 100.904 - 101.483, YTM is 4.51%, and issuance volume is 3.5 billion USD [4] Goldman Sachs Group, Inc. - A bond with a 3.5% coupon, issued on November 10, 2016, matures on November 16, 2026. Market price is 99.243 - 99.831, YTM is 3.68%, and issuance volume is 2.75 billion USD [4] Visa Inc. - A bond with a 4.15% coupon, issued on December 9, 2015, matures on December 14, 2035. Market price is 96.842 - 97.443, YTM is 4.47%, and issuance volume is 1.5 billion USD [4] Lloyds Banking Group plc - A perpetual bond with a 6.625% coupon, issued on October 27, 2025, with the next call date on September 27, 2035. Market price is 98.952 - 99.822, YTM is 7.35%, and issuance volume is 1 billion USD [4] Sumitomo Mitsui Aviation Capital Finance - A bond with a 5.25% coupon, issued on November 19, 2025, matures on November 26, 2035. Market price is 99.741 - 100.333, YTM is 5.21%, and issuance volume is 750 million USD [4] First Abu Dhabi Bank PJSC - A perpetual bond with a 5.875% coupon, issued on November 20, 2025, with the next call date on May 28, 2031. Market price is 100.494 - 101.237, YTM is 6.67%, and issuance volume is 1 billion USD [4] Vale Overseas Limited - A bond with a 6% coupon, issued on November 18, 2025, matures in 2056. Market price is 99.329 - 99.999, YTM is 7.15%, and issuance volume is 750 million USD [4] SoftBank Group Corp. - A perpetual bond with a 6.875% coupon, issued on July 12, 2017, with the next call date on July 19, 2027. Market price is 97.411 - 98.393, YTM is 9.09%, and issuance volume is 1.75 billion USD [4]

Market Overview - The U.S. stock market showed mixed performance with major companies like General Motors, Coca-Cola, and 3M reporting better-than-expected Q3 results, leading to stock price increases of 16.2%, 4.1%, and 7.7% respectively [11] - The Dow Jones Industrial Average reached a new high, gaining 218 points to close at 46,924, while the Nasdaq Composite fell by 0.16% [11] - Gold prices experienced significant volatility, dropping over 5% in a single day, marking the largest decline in five years [13] - The U.S. 10-year Treasury yield fell to 3.945%, easing interest rate pressures and benefiting growth stocks [9] Economic Data - Japan's exports grew at an annual rate of 4.4% in September, while imports increased by 0.6% [19] - The U.S. mortgage market index data is pending for the week of October 17, 2025 [19] Company Analysis - China Railway Construction Corporation (1186) reported a significant increase in overseas contract signings, with a year-on-year growth of over 57% in H1 2025, supported by major projects under the Belt and Road Initiative [20] - Bank of China Hong Kong (2388) showed stable performance in H1 2025, with net operating income rising by 12.9% to HKD 20.09 billion and operating profit increasing by 15.6% [20] - Eagle Precision (1286) recorded a revenue of HKD 2.45 billion in H1 2025, a year-on-year growth of approximately 2%, with net profit rising by 13.7% [20] ETF and Stock Highlights - Expand Energy Corporation (EXE) reported a net income of USD 968 million for Q2, with earnings per share of USD 4.02, indicating strong financial health and increased shareholder returns [22] - Novartis AG (NVS) achieved a sales growth of 11% in Q2 2025, with core operating profit up by 21% and free cash flow reaching USD 6.3 billion [23] - Vanguard Russell 1000 Value ETF (VONV) tracks the Russell 1000 Value Index, providing exposure to large-cap U.S. companies with value characteristics [25]

Core Insights - The report highlights a positive outlook for the Hong Kong stock market, with the Hang Seng Index facing initial resistance at 23,000 points due to potential economic stimulus measures from the Chinese government and a possible reduction in tariffs by the U.S. [2][10] - The report notes that various sectors, including oil and banking, are expected to perform well in the upcoming quarters, with specific companies like CNOOC and China Construction Bank showing promising quarterly results [3][11] Market Overview - The Hang Seng Index closed at 21,972, reflecting a year-to-date increase of 9.53%, while the Hang Seng Tech Index rose by 11.66% [4] - The report indicates that Hong Kong's exports surged by 18.5% in March, exceeding market expectations, while imports increased by 16.6% [11] Company-Specific Insights - Renrui Talent (6919) is gradually recovering from the impact of a major client's reduction in service orders, with expectations for a rebound in operating profit for 2023-24 [6][9] - Sinopec (0386) reported a 25% decline in net profit for the first quarter, attributed to a challenging external environment, but is focusing on integrated operations and regional optimization [12] - Shandong Gold (1787) achieved a net profit of 1.026 billion RMB in the first quarter, marking a 46.6% increase year-on-year, driven by rising gold prices [12] Industry Trends - The report discusses the increasing importance of flexible employment services in China, with a notable shift in revenue sources for companies like Renrui Talent, which is expanding its client base beyond the internet sector [9] - The Chinese government is expected to implement policies aimed at stabilizing employment and promoting consumption, which could positively impact various sectors [10]