来源：新浪证券-红岸工作室 11月6日，华利集团涨0.98%，成交额9217.53万元，换手率0.13%，总市值686.43亿元。 异动分析 体育产业+三胎概念+人民币贬值受益 1、华利股份从事运动鞋履的开发设计、生产与销售，是全球领先的运动鞋专业制造商，主要为Nike、 Converse、Vans、Puma、UGG、Columbia、Under Armour、HOKA ONE ONE等全球知名运动品牌提供 开发设计与制造服务。 主力持仓 主力没有控盘，筹码分布非常分散，主力成交额5482.78万，占总成交额的5.12%。 技术面：筹码平均交易成本为56.78元 该股筹码平均交易成本为56.78元，近期该股获筹码青睐，且集中度渐增；目前股价在压力位61.58和支 撑位56.40之间，可以做区间波段。 公司简介 2、公司从事运动鞋履的开发设计、生产与销售，是全球领先的运动鞋专业制造商，公司服务的品牌， 很多都有儿童系列，包括幼童系列。公司开发、制造面向幼童的运动鞋。 3、根据2024年年报，公司海外营收占比为99.80%，受益于人民币贬值。 (免责声明：分析内容来源于互联网，不构成投资建议，请投资者根据不同行情 ...

Investment Rating - The investment rating for the company is "Buy" (maintained) [2] Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 18.68 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 6.67%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders was 2.435 billion yuan, a decrease of 14.34% year-on-year [3] - The company is optimizing its order structure, which has led to an increase in average selling price (ASP) despite a slight decline in sales volume due to demand pressures [4] - The gross margin for Q3 2025 improved sequentially to approximately 22.2%, although it decreased by 4.8 percentage points year-on-year, indicating a recovery trend as production efficiency improves [5] - The company is making steady progress in expanding its production capacity, with three out of four new factories achieving profitability during the reporting period [6] - The forecast for net profit attributable to shareholders for 2025-2027 has been adjusted to 3.457 billion, 3.982 billion, and 4.735 billion yuan respectively, reflecting a stable growth outlook [6] Financial Performance Summary - For Q3 2025, the company achieved a revenue of 6.019 billion yuan, a year-on-year decrease of 0.34%, and a net profit of 765 million yuan, down 20.73% year-on-year [3] - The company sold 16.8 million pairs of sports shoes in the first three quarters of 2025, a year-on-year increase of 3.04% [4] - The management and sales expense ratios for Q3 2025 decreased to 2.7% and 0.13% respectively, indicating improved cost management [5] - The inventory balance at the end of Q3 2025 was 3.159 billion yuan, remaining stable compared to the beginning of the year, with a healthy inventory turnover period of approximately 58 days [6] Earnings Forecast and Investment Recommendations - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 3.457 billion yuan in 2025, with a corresponding price-to-earnings ratio (PE) of 19 times [6] - The company maintains strong ties with high-quality international brand clients such as Nike and Adidas, which supports its growth trajectory [6]

Core Viewpoint - 华利集团 is a leading global manufacturer of sports shoes, with strong design capabilities and a rich customer base, achieving top rankings in revenue and net profit within the industry [1][2]. Group 1: Business Performance - In Q3 2025, 华利集团 reported revenue of 18.68 billion, ranking first in the industry, with a net profit of 2.437 billion, also ranking first [2]. - The revenue breakdown includes 11.336 billion from sports leisure shoes (89.53%), 1.052 billion from sports sandals/slippers (8.31%), and 0.262 billion from outdoor boots (2.07%) [2]. Group 2: Financial Ratios - As of Q3 2025, the asset-liability ratio was 33.76%, up from 24.78% year-on-year, aligning with the industry average [3]. - The gross profit margin was 21.96%, down from 27.81% year-on-year, also in line with the industry average [3]. Group 3: Executive Compensation - Chairman Zhang Congyuan's compensation for 2024 was 8.7617 million, a decrease of 1.0283 million from 2023 [4]. - General Manager Liu Shujuan's compensation for 2024 was 6.2393 million, down by 0.5543 million from 2023 [4]. Group 4: Shareholder Information - As of September 30, 2025, the number of A-share shareholders increased by 3.03% to 12,900 [5]. - The average number of circulating A-shares held per shareholder decreased by 2.94% to 90,600 [5]. Group 5: Market Outlook - 华利集团's revenue showed double-digit growth in the first half of 2025, although net profit declined due to a significant drop in gross margin [5]. - The company is expected to maintain stable performance in sports leisure shoes, with rapid revenue growth in Europe [6].

Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 18.68 billion yuan for the first three quarters of 2025, representing a year-on-year increase of 6.67% [1] - The net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 14.34% year-on-year to 2.435 billion yuan, while the net profit excluding non-recurring items fell by 10.83% to 2.500 billion yuan [1][2] - Basic earnings per share stood at 2.09 yuan [1][2] Financial Performance - The gross profit margin for the first three quarters was 21.96%, down by 5.85 percentage points year-on-year, and the net profit margin was 13.05%, a decrease of 3.19 percentage points compared to the same period last year [2] - In Q3 2025, the gross profit margin was 22.19%, showing a year-on-year decline of 4.82% but a quarter-on-quarter increase of 1.11% [2] - The net profit margin for Q3 was 12.73%, down 3.26% year-on-year but up 0.30 percentage points from the previous quarter [2] Expense Analysis - Total operating expenses for the period were 842 million yuan, a decrease of 320 million yuan year-on-year, with an expense ratio of 4.51%, down 2.13 percentage points from the same period last year [2] - Sales expenses decreased by 17.19%, while management expenses saw a significant reduction of 44.51%. Conversely, R&D expenses increased by 33.53%, and financial expenses rose by 35.95% [2] Shareholder Information - As of the end of Q3 2025, the total number of shareholders was 12,900, an increase of 652 from the end of the previous half-year, marking a growth of 5.33% [2] - The average market value per shareholder decreased from 5.0175 million yuan at the end of the previous half-year to 4.8043 million yuan, a decline of 4.25% [2] Company Overview - Zhongshan Huali Industrial Group Co., Ltd. is located in Zhongshan, Guangdong Province, and was established on September 2, 2004. It was listed on April 26, 2021 [3] - The company's main business involves the development, design, production, and sales of sports footwear, with revenue composition as follows: 89.53% from sports casual shoes, 8.31% from sports sandals/slippers and others, 2.07% from outdoor boots, and 0.09% from other categories [3] - The company belongs to the textile and apparel industry, specifically in textile manufacturing and footwear manufacturing, and is associated with concepts such as overseas expansion, sports industry, high dividends, margin financing, and heavy fund holdings [3]

Core Viewpoint - 华利集团 is a leading global manufacturer of sports footwear, benefiting from the depreciation of the RMB and the growing demand in the sports industry and the three-child policy concept [2][3]. Company Overview - 华利集团 specializes in the development, design, production, and sales of sports footwear, serving well-known global brands such as Nike, Converse, Vans, Puma, UGG, Columbia, Under Armour, and HOKA ONE ONE [2]. - The company has a significant focus on children's footwear, including products for toddlers [2]. - As of October 10, 2023, 华利集团 has a total market capitalization of 61.734 billion yuan and a trading volume of 1.20 billion yuan with a turnover rate of 0.20% [1]. Financial Performance - For the first half of 2025, 华利集团 reported a revenue of 12.661 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 10.36%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 11.06% to 1.671 billion yuan [7]. - The company’s overseas revenue accounts for 99.80%, benefiting from the depreciation of the RMB [3]. Shareholder and Dividend Information - 华利集团 has distributed a total of 9.103 billion yuan in dividends since its A-share listing, with 6.652 billion yuan distributed over the past three years [8]. - As of June 30, 2025, the top ten circulating shareholders include Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited and E Fund's various funds, with some holdings decreasing [8][9]. Technical Analysis - The average trading cost of the stock is 56.88 yuan, with recent chip reduction slowing down; the current stock price is near a support level of 52.70 yuan [6].

Core Viewpoint - The company, Huayi Group, is a leading global manufacturer of sports footwear, primarily serving well-known brands and benefiting from the depreciation of the RMB, with a significant portion of its revenue coming from overseas sales [2][3]. Company Overview - Huayi Group specializes in the development, design, production, and sales of sports footwear, serving major global brands such as Nike, Converse, and Puma [2]. - The company was established on September 2, 2004, and went public on April 26, 2021, with its main business revenue composition being 89.53% from sports casual shoes, 8.31% from sports sandals/slippers, and 2.07% from outdoor boots [7]. Financial Performance - For the first half of 2025, Huayi Group achieved a revenue of 12.661 billion yuan, representing a year-on-year growth of 10.36%, while the net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 11.06% to 1.671 billion yuan [7]. - The company has distributed a total of 9.103 billion yuan in dividends since its A-share listing, with 6.652 billion yuan distributed over the past three years [8]. Shareholder Structure - As of June 30, 2025, the top ten circulating shareholders included Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited and E Fund's various funds, with notable changes in their holdings [8][9]. - The number of shareholders decreased by 11.35% to 12,500, while the average circulating shares per person increased by 12.80% to 93,359 shares [7]. Market Activity - On September 26, the stock price of Huayi Group fell by 1.54%, with a trading volume of 859.524 million yuan and a market capitalization of 62.633 billion yuan [1]. - The stock has shown no clear trend in major net inflows, with a net inflow of 1.5671 million yuan on the day, ranking 10th in its industry [4][5].

Core Viewpoint - 华利集团's stock has experienced fluctuations, with a notable decline of 28.63% year-to-date, while showing some recovery in the last 20 and 60 days [1][2] Financial Performance - For the first half of 2025, 华利集团 reported revenue of 12.661 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 10.36%, while net profit attributable to shareholders decreased by 11.06% to 1.671 billion yuan [2] - Cumulative cash dividends since the A-share listing amount to 9.103 billion yuan, with 6.652 billion yuan distributed over the past three years [3] Shareholder Information - As of September 10, 2025, the number of shareholders for 华利集团 is 14,100, a decrease of 2.76% from the previous period, with an average of 82,765 circulating shares per shareholder, an increase of 2.84% [2] - The top ten circulating shareholders include significant institutional investors, with notable changes in holdings, such as a decrease in shares held by Hong Kong Central Clearing Limited and E Fund's Growth Mixed Fund [3] Stock Performance - As of September 17, 华利集团's stock price was 53.78 yuan per share, with a market capitalization of 62.761 billion yuan [1] - The stock has seen a trading volume of 87.839 million yuan on the same day, with a turnover rate of 0.14% [1]

Investment Rating - The report maintains a "Buy" rating for the company, indicating an expected relative price increase of over 20% against the market benchmark within the next six months [19]. Core Insights - The company reported a revenue of 24.01 billion yuan for the year, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 19.35%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 3.84 billion yuan, up 20% [2]. - The company experienced a robust sales growth of 17.5% year-on-year, reaching 220 million pairs sold, with an average selling price (ASP) increase of 1.6% to 107 yuan [3]. - The company’s gross margin for the year was 26.8%, an increase of 1.3 percentage points year-on-year, although the fourth quarter gross margin was impacted by new factory ramp-up [4]. - The company’s production capacity utilization rate improved significantly to 96.72%, up 10.06 percentage points year-on-year, due to order recovery and new customer collaborations [4]. - The company is expected to achieve net profits of 4.39 billion yuan in 2025, 5.07 billion yuan in 2026, and 5.89 billion yuan in 2027, with respective growth rates of 14%, 15%, and 16% [5]. Financial Summary - The company’s total revenue is projected to grow from 24.01 billion yuan in 2024 to 36.82 billion yuan in 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 16% [6]. - The net profit is expected to increase from 3.84 billion yuan in 2024 to 5.89 billion yuan in 2027, maintaining a steady growth trajectory [6]. - The earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to rise from 3.29 yuan in 2024 to 5.05 yuan in 2027, reflecting the company's strong profitability outlook [6].