在中航证券首席经济学家董忠云看来，当前多国央行宣布暂停降息，应理解为全球宽松进程的节奏放 缓，而非流动性的全面收紧。即使海外市场流动性进一步宽松的速度暂时放缓，但当前全球整体流动性 环境仍处于相对宽松状态，特别是市场对美联储等在2026年启动降息的预期依然存在，这将对流动性形 成支撑。 截至北京时间1月29日中国证券报·中证金牛座记者发稿时，1月以来已有美联储、瑞典央行、挪威央 行、加拿大央行等多个重要经济体央行选择暂停降息。2024年以来新一轮宽松周期有放缓脚步的迹象， 这对大类资产配置会带来怎样的影响值得关注。 大类资产配置该如何调整？权益市场方面，董忠云建议，一方面，聚焦高景气成长赛道，特别是人工智 能产业链（包括算力基础设施、半导体、端侧硬件）及高端制造（机器人、新能源）；另一方面，可配 置高股息红利资产（如银行、公用事业、能源央企等）作为防御底仓。 对于黄金和债市，王开认为，黄金等贵金属短期走高后不排除震荡调整风险，但黄金长期配置逻辑并未 改变。对于债券市场，建议以票息策略为主，不宜过度通过加杠杆博取资本利得。 外围流动性宽松节奏放缓对中国资产影响几何？国信证券首席策略分析师王开认为，实质性影响有限 ...

Core Insights - The headquarters of major Chinese energy companies, including China Huaneng and China Sinochem, are relocating to Xiong'an New Area, indicating a significant shift in the energy sector's operational landscape [1] - The construction of headquarters for China Datang and China Huadian is accelerating, showcasing the rapid development of energy enterprises in the region [1] - More than ten energy-related central enterprises, such as China National Nuclear Corporation and China National Petroleum Corporation, are establishing subsidiaries or innovative business units in Xiong'an, highlighting the area's growing importance [1] Group 1 - Xiong'an New Area is facilitating the relocation of energy central enterprises, demonstrating a "speeding up" in the process of economic restructuring [1] - The concentration of headquarters in Xiong'an is leading to a noticeable agglomeration effect in the headquarters economy, which is beneficial for the overall energy sector [1] - A collaborative development pattern is emerging, characterized by "central enterprise headquarters + research and development bases + supporting enterprises" in the green energy industry [1]