Workflow
锂电原材料
icon
Search documents
碳酸锂日评:谨防冲高回落-20251118
Hong Yuan Qi Huo· 2025-11-18 01:50
Report Summary 1. Investment Rating The report does not mention an investment rating for the industry. 2. Core View The current supply and demand are both strong. The news of the resumption of lithium mines in Jiangxi is inconsistent. The lithium carbonate production remains high, and the high price increases the wait - and - see sentiment. The spot market has few transactions, and the power demand has shown signs of peaking. The game between long and short positions intensifies, and the trading channel is crowded. It is expected that the lithium price will fluctuate widely and may fall after a short - term rise [1]. 3. Summary by Related Content Price and Volume Data - **Futures Closing Prices**: On November 17, 2025, the closing prices of near - month, consecutive - one, consecutive - two, and consecutive - three contracts of lithium carbonate futures were 95,140 yuan/ton, 95,200 yuan/ton, 94,780 yuan/ton, and 94,780 yuan/ton respectively, with significant increases compared to previous dates [1]. - **Trading Volume and Open Interest**: The trading volume of the active lithium carbonate futures contract was 1,366,919 lots (+609,487), and the open interest was 562,954 lots (+46,176) on November 17, 2025 [1]. - **Inventory**: The registered warehouse inventory was 26,953 tons (-217), and social inventory decreased. Refineries and downstream industries reduced inventory, while other inventories increased [1]. - **Spot Prices**: The average prices of various lithium - related products such as lithium spodumene concentrate, lithium mica, and lithium carbonate increased to varying degrees [1]. Industry News PMET Resources Inc. submitted the NI 43 - 100 feasibility study technical report for the CV592 spodumene ore body in the Shaalcchurvaanaan project. The project has the largest spodumene resource in the Americas, with an indicated resource of 108 million tons (lithium oxide grade of 1.40%) and an initial inferred ore reserve of 8.3 million tons (grade of 1.26% Li₂O). It also has large resources of pollucite and tantalum [1]. Supply and Demand Analysis - **Supply**: Last week, the production of lithium carbonate was flat month - on - month. The production of lithium carbonate from spodumene and lithium mica decreased, while that from salt lakes and recycling increased [1]. - **Downstream Demand**: Last week, the production of lithium iron phosphate increased, while that of ternary materials decreased. In November, the production schedule of lithium cobalt oxide increased, and that of lithium manganate decreased. The production of power batteries decreased last week. In October, the year - on - year and month - on - month growth rates of new energy vehicle production and sales slowed down, 3C product shipments were average, and the production of energy - storage batteries increased in November [1]. Investment Strategy Production enterprises can conduct sell - hedging at high prices [1].