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LinkedIn Growth Boosts Momentum: Can MSFT Stock Rally Higher?
ZACKS· 2026-01-21 15:36
Core Insights - Microsoft (MSFT) is leveraging LinkedIn's evolution from a job-matching network to an AI-enabled professional intelligence platform, enhancing its strategic value for enterprises [1] - LinkedIn's extensive professional network of over 1.2 billion members provides Microsoft with unique data on careers and skills, creating a competitive advantage that is difficult for rivals to replicate [2] - LinkedIn's revenue growth of 10% year-over-year in Q1 of fiscal 2026 is driven by Marketing Solutions, while Talent Solutions faces challenges due to weaker hiring activity [3] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate projects LinkedIn revenues for fiscal 2026 at $19.57 billion, reflecting a 9.9% year-over-year increase, supporting a positive long-term outlook for MSFT stock [4] Competitive Landscape - LinkedIn differentiates itself from competitors like Meta Platforms (META) and Oracle (ORCL) by offering verified professional identities and dynamic workforce intelligence [5] - Meta Platforms focuses on consumer engagement but lacks the professional identity and business intent signals that LinkedIn captures [6] - Oracle relies on static employee data, while LinkedIn combines real-time professional activity with productivity workflows, resulting in higher switching costs and richer insights [7] Financial Performance - MSFT shares have decreased by 10% over the past six months, outperforming the Zacks Computer – Software industry's decline of 12.5% but underperforming the broader Computer and Technology sector's return of 16.8% [8] - The forward 12-month Price/Sales ratio for MSFT is 9.61X, compared to the industry's 8.65X, indicating a premium valuation [12] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for MSFT's fiscal 2026 earnings is $15.61 per share, reflecting a 14.44% year-over-year growth [15]
MSFT's Office 365 Subscription Growth Picks Up: Sign of More Upside?
ZACKS· 2026-01-09 16:05
Core Insights - Microsoft (MSFT) shares are gaining momentum due to strong Office 365 subscription metrics indicating increased demand in both commercial and consumer segments [1] - The company's fiscal first-quarter 2026 results show a 17% increase in Microsoft 365 Commercial cloud revenues and a 6% growth in seat count, primarily driven by small and medium-sized businesses [1][7] - Consumer cloud revenues surged by 26%, with subscriptions exceeding 90 million, reflecting strong traction in personal productivity [2] Commercial Segment Performance - Microsoft 365 Commercial cloud revenues increased by 17%, with seat growth of 6%, indicating successful monetization of the installed base through higher-tier offerings [1] - The growth in revenue per user is largely attributed to the adoption of Microsoft 365 E5 and the Copilot AI assistant, which has reached 150 million monthly active users [2] - Remaining performance obligations in the commercial segment reached $392 billion, suggesting strong future revenue visibility [3] Consumer Segment Performance - Microsoft 365 Consumer cloud revenues rose by 26%, with subscriptions climbing 7% to surpass 90 million [2] - The rapid adoption of AI-enhanced productivity tools, particularly Copilot Chat, which saw a 50% quarter-over-quarter increase in usage, indicates strong enterprise acceptance [2] Pricing Strategy and Market Position - Microsoft announced price increases effective July 2026, with monthly fees rising by up to three dollars across subscription tiers, while extending promotional offers through June 2026 to encourage Copilot adoption [3] - The company's pricing strategy contrasts with Apple and Google, which have also raised prices to enhance subscription margins, but Microsoft maintains a stronger position in dedicated enterprise productivity platforms [4] Valuation and Market Performance - MSFT shares have declined by 4.7% over the past six months, outperforming the Zacks Computer – Software industry's decline of 7.8% but underperforming the broader Computer and Technology sector's return of 18.1% [5] - The stock is currently trading at a forward Price/Sales ratio of 10.5X, compared to the industry's 9.08X, with a Zacks Consensus Estimate for fiscal 2026 earnings at $15.59 per share, indicating a 14.3% year-over-year growth [8]
Salesforce Plunges 20% in a Year: Is CRM Stock Still a Hold?
ZACKS· 2026-01-09 14:05
Core Insights - Salesforce, Inc. (CRM) shares have declined 17.9% over the past year, underperforming the Zacks Computer – Software industry's 10.7% gain, with competitors like Microsoft and Oracle showing positive growth [1][5][20] Financial Performance - Revenue growth for Salesforce has slowed to 8.7% year over year in the first nine months of fiscal 2026, a significant decrease from previous double-digit growth rates [5][6] - Earnings per share (EPS) is projected to grow at a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 15% over the next five years, down from 27.8% in the previous five years [7] Market Dynamics - The slowdown in growth is attributed to cautious enterprise spending amid economic uncertainty and geopolitical pressures, with no significant improvement expected in revenue projections for fiscal 2026 and 2027 [6][10] - Businesses are shifting from large digital transformation projects to smaller, lower-risk investments, impacting Salesforce's growth strategy [10] AI Integration and Innovations - Salesforce is focusing on enhancing its enterprise software portfolio and integrating artificial intelligence (AI) across its product lines, which could help regain growth momentum [10][12] - The introduction of AI tools, particularly Agentforce, has generated $1.4 billion in recurring revenues in Q3 FY26, with a 114% year-over-year increase [13] IT Spending Trends - Worldwide IT spending is projected to increase by 9.8% year over year to $6.08 trillion in 2026, with software expected to grow even faster at 15.2% to $1.43 trillion [14] Valuation Metrics - Salesforce is currently trading at a forward P/E ratio of 20.16, significantly lower than the industry average of 28.47, making it an attractive investment from a valuation perspective [15][19] Strategic Positioning - Salesforce's strategic acquisitions and focus on AI and enterprise software position it well for long-term growth, despite current challenges [11][20]
CRM's Agentforce ARR Jumps 330% Y/Y: Is It the Next Growth Engine?
ZACKS· 2025-12-31 15:15
Core Insights - Salesforce's Agentforce is experiencing significant growth, with an annual recurring revenue (ARR) of $540 million in Q3 FY26, representing a 330% year-over-year increase [1][9]. Group 1: Agentforce Performance - Since its launch, Salesforce has closed over 18,500 Agentforce deals, with 9,500 being paid transactions, indicating strong market adoption [2]. - More than 50% of new Agentforce bookings are from existing customers, showcasing customer retention and expansion [2]. - Agentforce has processed 3.2 trillion tokens since launch, with 540 billion tokens processed in October alone, reflecting a 25% sequential increase [2]. - The platform has achieved 1.2 billion LLM calls to date, with over 200 million calls processed in Q3 FY26, indicating robust early adoption [3]. Group 2: Business Model and Revenue Growth - The consumption-based model, supported by flexible payment options like Flex Credits, is driving demand for Agentforce, which may enhance recurring revenue growth over time [4]. Group 3: Competitive Landscape - Microsoft and ServiceNow are also advancing AI automation in the enterprise market, with Microsoft integrating AI features into Dynamics 365 and ServiceNow automating IT service management and customer support [5][6]. Group 4: Financial Performance and Valuation - Salesforce shares have declined by 2.5% year-to-date, compared to a 4.9% decline in the Zacks Computer – Software industry [7]. - The company trades at a forward price-to-sales ratio of 5.47, which is below the industry average of 7.55, indicating potential undervaluation [10]. - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for Salesforce's fiscal 2026 and 2027 earnings suggests year-over-year increases of approximately 15.10% and 10.53%, respectively, with recent upward revisions [13].
Can Agentforce Momentum Help Salesforce Reignite Revenue Growth?
ZACKS· 2025-12-11 15:01
Core Insights - Salesforce, Inc. is relying on its Agentforce platform to rejuvenate growth as revenue expansion has slowed to single digits, with year-over-year revenue increases of 7.6%, 9.8%, and 8.6% in the first three quarters of fiscal 2026 [1][5] Group 1: Agentforce and Revenue Growth - The company is developing a broader ecosystem centered on artificial intelligence (AI), data, and collaboration to address the slowing revenue growth trend, with Agentforce being a key component [2] - Agentforce, combined with Data Cloud, generated $1.4 billion in recurring revenues in Q3 of fiscal 2026, marking a 114% year-over-year increase, while Agentforce alone contributed $540 million, up 330% year over year [3][10] - The current remaining performance obligation (CRPO) reached $29.4 billion, an 11% increase year over year, driven by larger deals and early renewals, with over 50% of Agentforce deals coming from existing clients [4][10] Group 2: Market Position and Competitors - Salesforce's stock has decreased by 21.3% year to date, contrasting with the Zacks Computer – Software industry's growth of 12.1% [8] - Competitors like Microsoft and ServiceNow are also advancing AI automation in the enterprise market, with Microsoft integrating AI features into Dynamics 365 and ServiceNow rolling out industry-specific AI tools [6][7] Group 3: Valuation and Earnings Estimates - Salesforce trades at a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 21.23, significantly lower than the industry average of 29.68 [11] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for fiscal 2026 and 2027 indicates earnings growth of approximately 14.2% and 10.5% year over year, respectively, with recent upward revisions in estimates [14]
Salesforce Shares Gain 2% on Q3 Earnings Beat and FY26 Guidance Raise
ZACKS· 2025-12-04 14:26
Core Insights - Salesforce, Inc. (CRM) shares increased by 2.1% after reporting better-than-expected earnings for Q3 fiscal 2026 and raising its full-year guidance [1][9] Financial Performance - Salesforce reported non-GAAP earnings of $3.25 per share, exceeding the Zacks Consensus Estimate by 14.04% and reflecting a year-over-year improvement of 34.9% [1][2] - Q3 fiscal 2026 revenues reached $10.3 billion, matching the Zacks Consensus Estimate and showing a 10% year-over-year increase [2][10] - Non-GAAP operating income was $3.64 billion, up 16.5% from the previous year, with an operating margin expansion of 240 basis points to 35.5% [6][12] Revenue Breakdown - Subscription and Support revenues, accounting for 95% of total revenues, increased by 9.5% year over year to $9.73 billion [3] - Professional Services and Other revenues declined by 5.7% to $533 million [3] - Revenues from the Americas grew by 8% to $6.7 billion, EMEA revenues increased by 7% to $2.5 billion, and Asia Pacific revenues rose by 11% to $1.1 billion [6] Segment Performance - Agentforce Sales revenues grew by 8.4% to $2.3 billion, while Agentforce Service revenues increased by 9% to $2.5 billion [5] - Agentforce 360 Platform, Slack and Other revenues rose by 19.5% to $2.18 billion, and Agentforce Integration and Analytics recorded a 6.1% increase to $1.39 billion [5] Guidance Update - Salesforce raised its revenue guidance for fiscal 2026 to a range of $41.45-$41.55 billion, reflecting a 9-10% year-over-year growth [9][10] - The company now expects non-GAAP earnings per share to be in the range of $11.75-$11.77, up from the previous forecast of $11.33-$11.37 [11] - For Q4 fiscal 2026, total sales are projected between $11.13 billion and $11.23 billion, indicating 11-12% growth from the previous year [13] Cash Flow and Shareholder Returns - Salesforce ended Q3 with cash, cash equivalents, and marketable securities totaling $11.32 billion, down from $15.37 billion in the previous quarter [7] - The company generated an operating cash flow of $2.3 billion and a free cash flow of $2.2 billion [7] - Salesforce returned $4.2 billion to shareholders, including $3.8 billion in share repurchases and $395 million in dividends [8]
How Should You Play Salesforce Stock Ahead of Q3 Earnings Release?
ZACKS· 2025-11-27 14:15
Core Insights - Salesforce (CRM) is set to release its third-quarter fiscal 2026 results on December 3, with expected revenues between $10.24 billion and $10.29 billion, indicating an 8.7% increase year-over-year [1][9] - The company anticipates non-GAAP earnings per share (EPS) in the range of $2.84 to $2.86, reflecting an 18.3% increase from the previous year [2][9] Revenue and Earnings Estimates - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for third-quarter revenues is $10.26 billion, aligning closely with Salesforce's expectations [1][9] - The consensus estimate for non-GAAP EPS has remained stable at $2.85 over the past 60 days [2] Performance History - Salesforce has beaten the Zacks Consensus Estimate in three of the last four quarters, with an average surprise of 3.2% [3] Factors Influencing Q3 Results - The company is well-positioned for strong results due to its focus on digital transformation and cloud solutions, which align with global business needs [6] - Demand for generative AI-enabled cloud solutions has been a significant growth driver, enhancing customer engagement and competitive positioning [7] - Salesforce's expansion in key geographic markets and the public sector has unlocked new growth opportunities [8] Strategic Acquisitions - Recent acquisitions, including Waii, Convergence.ai, and Zoomin, have enhanced Salesforce's capabilities and diversified its revenue base, likely boosting subscription revenues [10] - Key cloud service revenue estimates for Q3 include $2.3 billion from Sales, $2.49 billion from Service, and $2.07 billion from Platform & Other [11] Cost Restructuring Initiatives - Ongoing cost restructuring is expected to improve profitability, with a non-GAAP operating margin of 34.3% in Q2, up 60 basis points [12] Stock Performance and Valuation - Year-to-date, Salesforce shares have declined by 31.7%, underperforming the Zacks Computer – Software industry, which has risen by 6.6% [13] - The stock is currently trading at a forward 12-month price-to-sales (P/S) ratio of 4.92, compared to the industry average of 7.39 [15] Competitive Position - Salesforce maintains its leadership in the customer relationship management industry, consistently outperforming competitors like Microsoft, Oracle, and SAP [18] - Strategic acquisitions, such as the $27.7 billion acquisition of Slack, have significantly enhanced its market position [19] AI Initiatives - The introduction of Einstein GPT and the expansion of AI functionalities across its ecosystem have solidified Salesforce's competitive edge in the market [20] Conclusion - Despite potential near-term challenges from softening IT spending, Salesforce's leadership in CRM and aggressive AI expansion provide a solid foundation for sustained growth [22]
Adobe Drops 36% in a Year: Can AI Push Help the Stock Recover?
ZACKS· 2025-11-20 17:05
Core Insights - Adobe's shares have declined 36.3% over the past year, underperforming the Zacks Computer and Technology sector's return of 23.9% and the Zacks Computer – Software industry's appreciation of 9.5% [1][8] - The underperformance is attributed to modest growth prospects due to intense competition in the AI and generative AI sectors from companies like Microsoft, Alphabet, Salesforce, and others [1][15] Financial Performance - Adobe's annual recurring revenues (ARR) influenced by AI surpassed $5 billion, with new AI-first products generating over $250 million in ARR [6][8] - The company raised its fiscal 2025 revenue guidance to between $23.65 billion and $23.7 billion, up from the previous range of $23.5-$23.6 billion [11] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for fiscal 2025 revenues is pegged at $23.67 billion, indicating a 10.1% growth from 2024 [12] AI Business Growth - Strong demand for AI-powered products like Creative Cloud Pro and Acrobat is driving growth, with monthly active users of Acrobat and Express growing approximately 25% year over year [7][8] - The Creative Professionals segment is benefiting from increased usage of AI in applications like Photoshop and Premiere Pro [8][9] - The integrated GenStudio solution and other AI services now exceed $1 billion in ARR, growing more than 25% year over year [10] Competitive Landscape - Adobe's AI business remains small compared to competitors like Microsoft and Alphabet, which are seeing significant growth in their AI services [15] - Microsoft and Alphabet have reported returns of 17.3% and 68.3%, respectively, while Salesforce has seen a decline of 30% [2][15] Valuation Concerns - Adobe's Value Score is C, indicating a stretched valuation, trading at 11.31X price/book compared to the sector's 10.13X and competitors like Microsoft and Alphabet [16] - The stock is currently trading below the 50-day and 200-day moving averages, suggesting a bearish trend [21]
Salesforce Bets on Data Cloud: Will This Offset Slowing Growth Trends?
ZACKS· 2025-11-20 13:56
Core Insights - Salesforce, Inc. (CRM) is experiencing a slowdown in revenue growth, transitioning from double-digit increases to single-digit growth over the past year, prompting a focus on enhancing AI capabilities and the Data Cloud business to regain momentum [1][11] Data Cloud Strategy - The Data Cloud is central to Salesforce's strategy, enabling customer data integration across its products, with a reported 140% year-over-year increase in customer adoption in Q2 of fiscal 2026 [2][11] - Over half of the Fortune 500 companies are utilizing the Data Cloud platform, indicating strong demand from large enterprises for unified data and effective AI usage [2][11] - Salesforce is integrating the Data Cloud with tools like Agentforce, Tableau, and Slack, which is expected to facilitate data analysis and drive higher-value contracts, contributing to top-line growth [3][11] Revenue Generation Potential - Salesforce's data-related business is estimated to generate approximately $7 billion annually, with significant revenue growth potential due to a consumption-based pricing model for the Data Cloud platform [4][11] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for fiscal 2026 and 2027 indicates year-over-year revenue growth in the high single-digit range, with the impact of Data Cloud adoption on overall revenue expected to be observed in the coming quarters [5][11] Competitive Landscape - Salesforce faces increased competition in the Data Cloud service space from Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) and Snowflake Inc. (SNOW) [6][11] - Microsoft integrates its Azure Data platform with productivity tools like Power Platform and Dynamics 365, leveraging its existing cloud user base to attract new clients [7] - Snowflake focuses solely on data services, offering robust cloud-based data warehousing and analytics tools, which differentiates it from Salesforce [8] Stock Performance and Valuation - Salesforce shares have declined by 31.8% year-to-date, contrasting with a 10.6% growth in the Zacks Computer – Software industry [9][11] - The company trades at a forward price-to-earnings ratio of 18.4, significantly below the industry average of 29.52, indicating potential undervaluation [13] - The Zacks Consensus Estimate for fiscal 2026 and 2027 earnings suggests year-over-year increases of approximately 11.4% and 11.2%, respectively, with recent revisions showing upward adjustments for fiscal 2026 and downward adjustments for fiscal 2027 [16]
Is the Options Market Predicting a Spike in Pegasystems Stock?
ZACKS· 2025-10-29 20:41
Core Viewpoint - Investors in Pegasystems Inc. (PEGA) should closely monitor the stock due to significant movements in the options market, particularly the high implied volatility of the Dec. 19, 2025 $22.50 Put option [1] Group 1: Implied Volatility - Implied volatility indicates the market's expectation of future stock movement, with high levels suggesting anticipation of a significant price change or an upcoming event that could trigger a rally or sell-off [2] - The current high implied volatility for Pegasystems options may signal a developing trading opportunity, as options traders often seek to sell premium on such options to capture decay [4] Group 2: Analyst Sentiment - Pegasystems holds a Zacks Rank 3 (Hold) in the Computer – Software industry, which is in the top 37% of the Zacks Industry Rank [3] - Over the past 60 days, there has been mixed analyst sentiment, with one analyst increasing earnings estimates for the current quarter while two have decreased theirs, resulting in a slight increase in the Zacks Consensus Estimate from 73 cents to 74 cents per share [3]