27 June 2025 | 4:44PM EDT US Weekly Kickstart Look for early impact of tariffs during 2Q 2025 earnings season David J. Kostin +1(212)902-6781 | david.kostin@gs.com Goldman Sachs & Co. LLC Ben Snider +1(212)357-1744 | ben.snider@gs.com Goldman Sachs & Co. LLC Ryan Hammond +1(212)902-5625 | ryan.hammond@gs.com Goldman Sachs & Co. LLC Jenny Ma +1(212)357-5775 | jenny.ma@gs.com Goldman Sachs & Co. LLC Daniel Chavez +1(212)357-7657 | daniel.chavez@gs.com Goldman Sachs & Co. LLC Kartik Jayachandran +1(212)855-774 ...

Summary of Lifetime Brands (LCUT) FY Conference - June 10, 2025 Company Overview - **Company Name**: Lifetime Brands - **Industry**: Consumer Durables - **Founded**: 1945 as a cutlery company - **Market Share**: Over 20% in the cutlery category, primarily through Farberware brands [3][4] - **Average Ticket Price**: $10 and under [2] Core Business Insights - **Product Offering**: Good, better, best strategy across various channels [2] - **Recent Growth**: Merged with Filament Brands in 2018, focusing on growth and profitability [4] - **Key Categories**: Tabletop tools and kitchen tools [4] Consumer Market Analysis - **Current Consumer Health**: Visibility is dim; consumer spending has slowed down due to trade wars and economic uncertainty [8][9] - **Online Shopping Trend**: Increased online purchases driven by consumer wariness [9] - **Retail Environment**: Competitive landscape shows bifurcation; smaller companies are struggling, presenting M&A opportunities [10] Competitive Landscape - **Operational Challenges**: Competitors are facing issues with manufacturing and supply chain adjustments, particularly moving out of China [10] - **Channel Performance**: Strong performance in club channels (e.g., Costco) and mass channels (e.g., Walmart) [11] Inventory and Tariff Management - **Inventory Destocking**: Retailers are adjusting inventory levels due to economic conditions and tariffs [13][15] - **Tariff Impact**: Company has shifted manufacturing out of China to mitigate tariff impacts, with plans to have most products manufactured outside China by the end of the year [19][20] Pricing Strategy - **Price Increases**: Implemented across the customer base; focus on maintaining margin dollars rather than margin percentage [21][22] - **Elasticity of Demand**: Historical data suggests that certain products remain in demand even during economic downturns [23][24] Financial Performance - **Q1 Results**: Softness in sales due to customer and product mix affecting margins; not significantly impacted by tariffs [25][26] International Business and Project Concord - **International Challenges**: UK operations were losing money; restructuring efforts are underway to achieve breakeven by 2025 [27][30] - **Project Concord**: Aimed at integrating UK operations with US business to streamline costs [30][34] Growth Initiatives - **Defensive Posture**: Current focus is on defensive strategies due to macroeconomic uncertainties, but growth initiatives are still in place [31] - **New Product Launches**: Successful launch of the Dolly product line, with plans for expansion [31][32] Distribution Center Relocation - **New Distribution Center**: Moving from New Jersey to Maryland to avoid cost increases; receiving $13 million in subsidies [36][38] Future Guidance and M&A Strategy - **Guidance for FY '25**: Will be provided once there is clarity in trade and tariff situations [39] - **M&A Criteria**: Focus on margin expansion and new product categories; looking for transformative opportunities [40][41]

Core Insights - The 137th Canton Fair has shown resilience amid global economic uncertainties, with significant increases in participation and exhibition metrics [3][4] - The total exhibition area reached 1.55 million square meters, with approximately 74,000 booths and around 31,000 participating companies, marking an increase of nearly 900 companies compared to the previous session [3] - The fair attracted a record number of overseas buyers, with 288,938 attendees from 219 countries and regions, representing a 17.3% year-on-year growth [3] Participation Metrics - The number of overseas buyers included 148,585 in the first phase and 195,851 in the second phase, with new and returning buyers increasing by 14.6% and 21.4% respectively [3][4] - Emerging markets remain the largest source of buyers, with 187,450 from Belt and Road countries, a 17.4% increase, accounting for 64.9% of total buyers [4] - BRICS countries contributed 72,417 buyers, up 24.1%, while RCEP member countries had 64,808 buyers, a 6.9% increase [4] Innovation and Product Focus - The fair emphasized "new" products, technologies, materials, and designs, shifting from merely selling products to selling technology and innovation [5][6] - A new live streaming initiative was introduced to showcase innovative products and engage with decision-makers from leading companies, focusing on product differentiation and market insights [6][7] - Notable products included AI live streaming cameras, portable espresso machines, and electric motorcycles, highlighting a blend of technology and lifestyle [7] Engagement and Outreach - The live streaming sessions attracted over a million viewers, featuring discussions on technological innovation, market trends, and sustainable growth strategies [7][8] - The event's format allowed for in-depth dialogues with industry leaders, fostering a collaborative environment for exploring future business opportunities [6][7]

Investment Rating - The report maintains an Equal-weight (EW) stance on MSCI China within the global EM/APXJ framework [9]. Core Insights - The report anticipates higher near-term market volatility due to the US imposing additional tariffs on China, raising the total tariff rate to up to 65% [2][4]. - The A-share market is viewed as better positioned for hedging and diversification compared to the offshore market, as A-share investors are less sensitive to tariff changes [3]. - The direct impact on earnings from the tariffs is expected to be smaller than the overall drag on macroeconomic growth, with the MSCI China universe generating only 13% of its total revenue from markets outside China, and less than 3% from the US [7]. Summary by Sections Market Volatility - The report highlights that the recent tariff hikes could lead to elevated market volatility as the market adjusts to the potential economic impacts [2][4]. A-Share Market Positioning - The A-share market is recommended for investors seeking stability, as it has shown lower correlation with global markets and less volatility compared to offshore markets [3]. Earnings Impact - The report suggests that the overall drag on equity market earnings will be less severe than the impact on macro growth, primarily due to the limited revenue exposure of listed Chinese companies to the US market [7]. Companies with High US Revenue Exposure - A list of 30 companies with the highest revenue exposure to the US market is provided, indicating potential negative impacts on these companies in the near term [8]. Key Indicators to Monitor - The report advises monitoring the USDCNY exchange rate, signs of US-China negotiations, and any significant policy easing measures to stabilize domestic growth [9].