Benchmark Sensex tumbled 533.50 points and the broader Nifty declined to the 25,860 level on Tuesday as persistent foreign fund outflows, a weak rupee and sluggish global market trends dented investor sentiment.Illustration: Dominic Xavier/RediffThe 30-share BSE Sensex tanked 533.50 points or 0.63 per cent to settle at 84,679.86.During the day, it dived 592.75 points or 0.69 per cent to 84,620.61.The 50-share NSE Nifty dropped 167.20 points or 0.64 per cent to 25,860.10. Among Sensex firms, Axis Bank tanked ...

Core Insights - The credit growth of banks in India is expected to rebound as companies increase their working capital utilization for day-to-day operations, following a temporary dip linked to IPO fundraising [1][2][5][7] Group 1: Credit Growth Trends - Recent credit offtake slowdown is seen as temporary, primarily due to the surge in IPO fundraising across various sectors [1][3] - Historical data indicates a modest negative correlation between IPO mobilization and overall bank credit growth, suggesting that higher IPO funds can lead to reduced immediate borrowing needs from banks [2][3] Group 2: Sectoral Analysis - Industries such as finance, automobiles, pharmaceuticals, telecom, consumer durables, and infrastructure have shown lower credit growth in years with higher IPO fundraising [3][4] - Companies typically utilize IPO funds for expansion, capital expenditure, or debt repayment, which reduces their immediate need for bank loans [4] Group 3: Economic Context - As business activity remains strong and production levels rise, firms are expected to seek more financing for operational expenses, leading to increased demand for bank loans [5] - The overall economic momentum in India, supported by strong GDP numbers, is anticipated to drive higher funding needs among companies [5] Group 4: Role of the Reserve Bank of India - The Reserve Bank of India is expected to play a crucial role in maintaining proactive liquidity management to support the anticipated rise in credit demand [6] - Adequate liquidity in the banking system is essential for stable borrowing conditions and recovery in loan growth [6] Group 5: Future Outlook - With rising working capital requirements, fading IPO-related effects, and robust economic activity, India's credit growth is projected to rebound in the coming quarters [7]

Summary of Key Points from the Conference Call Industry Overview - The conference call discusses the performance of various sectors in the Chinese consumer market, particularly focusing on e-commerce platforms like Tmall, Taobao, and JD. The overall growth across most sectors is described as muted, with specific categories showing significant declines in year-over-year (YoY) growth rates [1][12]. Category Performance - **Supplements/Infant Milk Formula/Dairy**: - Supplements grew by 9% YoY, Infant Milk Formula (IMF) by 2%, and Dairy by 1% [1][12]. - **Declining Categories**: - Beer saw a decline of 19%, Beauty products declined by 9%, Small kitchen appliances by 7%, Sportswear by 6%, and Sports shoes by 4% YoY [1][12]. - **Flat Performance**: - Pet foods and Women's clothing remained flat YoY [1][12]. Brand Performance - **Domestic vs. MNC Brands in Cosmetics**: - Multinational Corporations (MNCs) outperformed local brands in October, attributed to easier bases and favorable platform support. Estee Lauder and Kose led with 33% and 32% YoY growth, respectively [2][29]. - Local brands like Mao Geping and Botanee grew by 33% and 11% YoY, while Proya and Giant saw declines of 24% and 25% YoY [2][28][29]. Sportswear Insights - Niche MNC brands continued to outperform larger brands, with product cycles playing a significant role in performance disparities. For instance, Adidas showed solid momentum, while Nike did not perform as well [3]. - Weather-sensitive brands like Bosideng and Uniqlo experienced growth due to colder weather in Northern China [3]. Sales Recognition Practices - The growth rates for October may be distorted due to sales recognition practices related to pre-sales and returns during the Double-11 shopping festival. A combined analysis of October and November data is recommended for a clearer picture [7]. Notable Brand Performers - **Outperforming Brands**: Lululemon, Adidas, Roborock, Pop Mart, and Maogeping [8]. - **Underperforming Brands**: QuadHA, Nutrilon, Fancl, Carlsberg, and Comfy [8]. Additional Insights - The report highlights the importance of omni-channel strategies being executed by brands, indicating that online sales may not fully reflect overall performance due to offline sales channels [3]. - The performance of various categories is further detailed in the exhibits, showing YoY trends and market share changes for key brands in the infant milk formula and supplements sectors [19][20][22][25]. Conclusion - The overall consumer market in China is experiencing stagnant growth with significant variances across categories and brands. MNCs are generally outperforming local brands, particularly in cosmetics, while certain sectors like sportswear are seeing a bifurcation in performance based on brand strategies and external factors like weather.

Core Perspective - The article discusses the perceived lack of global consumer brands from India, attributing this to a lack of ambition among Indian entrepreneurs and systemic issues within the business environment [2][4]. Group 1: Entrepreneurial Attitudes - Indian entrepreneurs are criticized for being risk-averse and lacking ambition, which has hindered the creation of globally recognized brands [2][3]. - Corporate leaders like Uday Kotak and Harsh Goenka highlight the tendency of Indian entrepreneurs to rely on the domestic market and avoid investing in R&D and branding [3][4]. Group 2: Market Competition - The absence of Indian brands in global consumer goods is partly due to the dominance of established international brands like Unilever and P&G, which have extensive resources and market presence [7]. - Historical Indian brands like Onida and BPL struggled to compete against larger global companies that had already established significant market reach [8]. Group 3: Trust and Quality - Global brands have built consumer trust through consistent product quality, which is a critical factor for success in international markets [9]. - The article suggests that the cultural environment and governance models play a role in fostering these intangible attributes [9]. Group 4: Systemic Challenges - Eric Schmidt's insights indicate that India's potential to innovate is limited by regulatory and systemic issues rather than a lack of talent among entrepreneurs [10][11]. - The article emphasizes the need for a strategic political vision to support entrepreneurial growth, similar to the development seen in South Korea and China [13]. Group 5: Collaborative Efforts - A successful entrepreneurial ecosystem requires collaboration between ambitious entrepreneurs and supportive government policies to address issues like labor laws and bureaucratic hurdles [14]. - The article concludes that a meaningful engagement among all stakeholders is essential for improving Brand India on the global stage [14][15].

Core Viewpoint - Equity benchmark indices Sensex and Nifty experienced significant declines due to ongoing foreign fund outflows and weak trends in Asian and European markets [1] Market Performance - The 30-share BSE Sensex fell by 519.34 points, or 0.62 percent, closing at 83,459.15, with an intraday low of 83,412.77, down 565.72 points or 0.67 percent [3] - The 50-share NSE Nifty decreased by 165.70 points, or 0.64 percent, ending at 25,597.65 [4] Sector Performance - Major laggards from Sensex firms included Power Grid, Eternal, Tata Motors, Tata Steel, Maruti, and Bharat Electronics [4] - Gainers in the market included Titan, Bharti Airtel, Bajaj Finance, Mahindra & Mahindra, and State Bank of India [4] Institutional Activity - Foreign Institutional Investors (FIIs) sold equities worth Rs 1,883.78 crore on Monday, while Domestic Institutional Investors (DIIs) purchased stocks worth Rs 3,516.36 crore in the previous trade [6] Global Market Influence - Asian markets showed a downward trend, with South Korea's Kospi, Japan's Nikkei 225, Shanghai's SSE Composite, and Hong Kong's Hang Seng indices all closing lower [6] - The global oil benchmark Brent crude price decreased by 1.34 percent to $64.02 per barrel [6]

Core Insights - The Indian stock markets are expected to be influenced by quarterly earnings, macroeconomic data announcements, and global trends during a holiday-shortened week [1][3] Macroeconomic Data - Key macroeconomic indicators to be released include the final readings of the HSBC manufacturing PMI, as well as the HSBC services and composite PMI data, which will provide insights into domestic growth momentum [3][5] Corporate Earnings - Major companies set to announce their quarterly results include Bharti Airtel, Titan Company, Adani Enterprises, Adani Ports, InterGlobe Aviation, Mahindra & Mahindra, State Bank of India, Lupin, Bajaj Auto, and Hindalco [4][7] - The ongoing corporate earnings season has shown mixed results so far, which will be closely monitored by the market [7] Foreign Investment Activity - Foreign investors have turned net buyers with a net infusion of ₹14,610 crore in October after three months of withdrawals, indicating a potential shift in market sentiment [5][6] Market Trends - The BSE benchmark dropped by 273.17 points (0.32%) and the NSE Nifty dipped by 73.05 points (0.28%) last week, reflecting profit-booking by investors after a sustained rally [6][7] - Movements in the Indian rupee against the dollar will also significantly impact investor sentiment and sectoral trends [6]

Market Overview - U.S. equities are experiencing record highs, with the Dow Jones Industrial Average up over 300 points (0.7%), the S&P 500 up more than 80 points (1.3%), and the Nasdaq composite and Nasdaq 100 each up approximately 1.8% to 1.9% [6][7][9] - The VIX index is at just under 16, indicating a sense of complacency in the market [6] Earnings Reports - Avis Budget reported third-quarter revenue of $3.5 billion, slightly above the street estimate of $3.45 billion, with adjusted EBITA of $559 million, up 11% year-over-year [8][17] - Whirlpool's net sales came in at $4.3 billion, exceeding expectations of $3.93 billion, with EPS of $2.09, higher than the street estimate of $0.40 [22][23] - Qualcomm was the top gainer in the S&P 500, with shares up as much as 22% intraday, finishing with an 11% gain, driven by the unveiling of new chips for the data center market [12] Sector Performance - Strong breadth was observed in the market, with nine sectors in the green, particularly in big tech and consumer discretionary [10][11] - Consumer staples and materials were among the sectors in the red, indicating a risk-on appetite among investors [11] Company-Specific Developments - Amazon announced layoffs of 30,000 corporate workers, citing over-hiring, which reflects a return to previous narratives about big tech layoffs [4] - Keurig Dr. Pepper raised $7 billion from Apollo and KKR to finance its acquisition of JD Peet's N.V., planning to separate its beverage and coffee businesses by the end of 2026 [19] - Newmont shares fell 5.7% amid a decline in gold prices and news of a potential deal to gain control of Barrick Mining's Nevada gold assets [21]

Market Performance - India's frontline indices Nifty and BSE Sensex ended positively, with Nifty closing at 24,894.25, up 57.95 points or 0.23%, and Sensex at 81,207.17, rising 223.86 points or 0.28% [1][12] - The Nifty breadth was slightly bearish, with 26 stocks in the green and 24 in the red [2][12] - Among the top gainers were Tata Steel, Axis Bank, and Larsen & Toubro, while the top losers included Max Healthcare Institute, Tech Mahindra, and Maruti Suzuki [12] Sector Performance - Out of 17 Nifty sectoral indices, 14 finished in the green, with Nifty Metal, Nifty PSU Bank, and Nifty Consumer Durables closing up by 1.8%, 1.12%, and 1.09% respectively [5][12] - Nifty Auto fell marginally by 0.06%, while Nifty Realty and Nifty Healthcare were down by 0.12% and 0.22% respectively [2][12] Technical Analysis - Technical Analyst Vatsal Bhuva noted that the Nifty index showed strength after closing above its short-term resistance, with crucial support near the 100-day EMA at 24,750 [6][12] - Heavy put writing at 24,800 indicates a support base, while the highest open interest concentration at 25,000 highlights a strong resistance zone, suggesting a mildly bullish trading range of 24,750–25,100 [6][12] Global Market Influence - Asian markets were largely positive, with Japan's Nikkei 225 gaining 1.8%, while China's Shanghai Composite and FTSE Straits Times Index rose by 0.5% and 0.4% respectively [7][12] - European markets also showed positive action, with Germany's DAX, Spain's IBEX, and French CAC 40 rallying between 0.8% and 0.1% [7][12] Currency and Commodities - The Indian rupee closed slightly weaker at 88.7725 against the U.S. dollar, remaining close to its all-time low of 88.80 [8][9][12] - Crude oil prices increased after four consecutive declines, with US WTI oil contracts trading at $60.88, up by $0.40 or 0.66%, and Brent oil futures at $64.51, higher by $0.40 or 0.62% [10][12]

Core Viewpoint - The S&P 500 and NASDAQ are reaching new highs despite the ongoing government shutdown, indicating a resilient market environment. The overall strategy remains unchanged, but adjustments have been made for Q4, particularly in the communication services sector [1][2]. Market Strategy Adjustments - The company has lowered its position in communication services from overweight to market weight for the first time since 2023, reflecting a cautious approach as earnings season approaches [3]. - There is a significant expectation built into media stocks, suggesting that merely meeting or beating earnings expectations may not be sufficient to support stock prices in the near term [4]. Sector Insights - The technology sector, especially semiconductors and software, remains a positive focus, driven by the ongoing AI trend [5]. - The consumer discretionary sector has also been adjusted to market weight, indicating a strategic shift towards areas that may benefit from lower interest rates in the future [6][7]. Small and Mid-Cap Stocks - The company is increasingly optimistic about small and mid-cap stocks, which are traditionally more sensitive to economic cycles. The ideal time to invest in small caps is typically post-recession, and the current environment suggests a potential soft landing combined with lower Fed rates [9]. - Small and mid-cap stocks have experienced an earnings recession over the past two years, but recent Q2 results show the first positive inflection in earnings growth, indicating a potential turnaround [10].

Market Overview - Equity markets experienced a significant rally, with Nifty 50 surpassing the 25,300 mark and Sensex gaining over 360 points, driven by strong investor confidence following US-India trade talks [1] - The Nifty PSU Bank index led sectoral gains, while healthcare, metal, consumer durables, and pharma stocks saw declines [3] Index Performance - Sensex traded 310.09 points or 0.38% higher at 82,690.78, and Nifty traded 89.50 points or 0.35% positive at 25,328.60 [2] - The smallcap index outperformed the midcap index, gaining 0.74%, while the midcap index rose 0.17% [2] Sector Performance - Gains were primarily observed in financials, auto, IT, and oil & gas sectors, while the defence index rose over 2% [1][3] - Among the top gainers in the Sensex firms were Tata Consumer Products, Bharat Electronics, and Kotak Mahindra Bank, while Titan and Tata Steel were among the major laggards [4] Stock Movements - A total of 3,024 stocks were traded on the National Stock Exchange, with 1,827 advancing and 1,107 declining [4] - Seventy-two stocks, including JSW Steel and Dalmia Bharat, hit their 52-week highs, while 19 stocks recorded 52-week lows [5] Midcap and Smallcap Highlights - In the midcap segment, Aditya Birla Fashion and Kalyan Jewellers saw gains of 3-5%, while Vodafone Idea and NHPC declined slightly [6] - Smallcap index gainers included GRSE and MCX, with upticks of 4-7%, while Godfrey Phillips and IndiaMart dropped 1-2% [6] BSE Performance - On the BSE, KNR Constructions and PC Jeweller surged 6-8%, while Moschip and Home First depreciated by 2-3% [7]