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西部证券晨会纪要-20251021
Western Securities· 2025-10-21 02:35
Group 1: Macro Insights - The analysis of the "slow bull" markets in the US and Japan indicates that even with a downward trend in absolute economic growth, stock markets may remain unaffected. Factors such as industrial structure upgrades, adjustments in monetary policy, and stable dividend repurchases can offset risks associated with economic and inflation declines [7][8][9]. Group 2: Zijin Mining (601899.SH) - For the first three quarters of 2025, Zijin Mining reported revenue of 254.2 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 10.3%, and a net profit attributable to shareholders of 37.86 billion yuan, up 55.4% year-on-year. In Q3 alone, revenue reached 86.49 billion yuan, with a year-on-year growth of 8.1% [13][14]. - The gold segment's profitability continues to enhance, with gold production for the first nine months of 2025 at 64.9 tons, a 19.7% increase year-on-year. The unit gross profit for gold increased by 64.8% to 451.7 yuan per gram [14][15]. Group 3: Juchen Technology (688123.SH) - Juchen Technology is expected to see revenues of 1.317 billion yuan, 1.783 billion yuan, and 2.391 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027 respectively, with net profits of 450 million yuan, 632 million yuan, and 867 million yuan. The company is given a target price of 190.33 yuan based on a 67x PE ratio for 2025, maintaining a "buy" rating [19][17]. Group 4: Hikvision (002415.SZ) - Hikvision's innovative business has become a core driver for performance growth and valuation reshaping, achieving revenue of 11.766 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, a 13.9% year-on-year increase, accounting for 28.1% of total revenue. Growth is attributed to sectors like robotics, smart home, automotive electronics, and thermal imaging [21][22]. - The company anticipates revenues of 95.036 billion yuan, 102.284 billion yuan, and 112.142 billion yuan for 2025, 2026, and 2027, with net profits of 14.04 billion yuan, 15.557 billion yuan, and 17.344 billion yuan respectively, maintaining a "buy" rating [22].