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大麦娱乐 - 回应投资者关于 IP 发展势头、现场票务和盈利能力的关键争论;2026 财年上半年预览;买入评级
2025-10-20 01:19
Summary of Damai Entertainment Holdings (1060.HK) Conference Call Company Overview - **Company**: Damai Entertainment Holdings (1060.HK) - **Market Cap**: HK$27.6 billion / $3.6 billion - **Enterprise Value**: HK$23.8 billion / $3.1 billion - **Current Price**: HK$0.93 - **12-Month Price Target**: HK$1.30 - **Upside Potential**: 39.8% [1][21] Key Industry Insights IP Business Growth Potential - **IP Segment Growth**: Expected to sustain high growth with a projected GMV doubling for 1HFY26, translating to a 44% CAGR from FY2025-28E [2][24] - **Drivers of Growth**: - Strong momentum from the Sanrio family [24] - Incremental contributions from Chiikawa, with enhanced IP rights [24][26] - Potential collaborations with new IPs [24] - Strengthened monetization of existing IPs [24] - **Market Position**: AliFish is the largest IP sub-licensing agent in China with a market share of over 30% expected in 2025E [2][27] Damai Ticketing Segment - **Revenue Growth**: Expected to slow to +7% YoY in FY26E due to moderated live music ticketing business and increasing competition [3][38] - **Future Outlook**: Anticipated return to double-digit growth from FY27E, supported by strong connections with venues and artists [19][38] - **Market Dynamics**: Competition has intensified, with peers offering lower take rates to gain market share [39][40] Financial Performance Revenue and Profitability Forecasts - **Total Revenue**: Projected to reach RMB 7,620.5 million in FY26E, up from RMB 6,702.3 million in FY25 [6][22] - **Adjusted EBITDA**: Expected to be RMB 981.8 million in FY26E, reflecting a growth of 29.8% [6][22] - **Net Profit**: Forecasted at RMB 468 million for 1HFY26, representing a 39% YoY increase [20] Margin Outlook - **EBITDA Margin**: Expected to improve from 11.3% in FY25 to 17.9% in FY28E [18] - **Net Income Margin**: Projected to increase from 5.4% in FY25 to 14.2% in FY28E [18] Investment Considerations - **Valuation**: The stock is currently trading at 21X CY26 PE, with a target price of HK$1.30, indicating a buy recommendation [1][21] - **Risks**: Concerns over profitability and competition in the ticketing segment may impact stock performance [1][21] Additional Insights - **Competitive Moat**: Damai's competitive advantages include strong venue connections, extensive operational experience, and significant user mindshare with a monthly active user base of 45 million [41][49] - **Future Growth Areas**: Non-concert events such as stand-up comedy and sports are expected to contribute to revenue growth [39][51] This summary encapsulates the key points from the conference call regarding Damai Entertainment Holdings, focusing on its growth potential, financial forecasts, and competitive landscape.
US Supreme Court rejects Live Nation's bid to move ticket price case to arbitration
Reuters· 2025-10-06 13:43
Core Point - The U.S. Supreme Court has declined to hear Live Nation and Ticketmaster's request to move a proposed consumer class action lawsuit regarding alleged rigged ticket prices out of federal court [1] Group 1 - The lawsuit involves claims of inflated ticket prices and potential consumer harm [1] - Live Nation and Ticketmaster are facing increasing scrutiny and legal challenges related to their pricing practices [1] - The decision by the Supreme Court may impact the ongoing litigation and the companies' reputations in the ticketing industry [1]
新大麦,做“现实娱乐”的超级App
3 6 Ke· 2025-05-27 01:57
Core Insights - Alibaba Pictures has rebranded itself as Damai Entertainment, integrating various offline entertainment ticketing services, including movies and performances, into a comprehensive platform [2][12] - The new Damai App aims to provide a seamless ticket purchasing experience across multiple entertainment categories, enhancing user engagement through AI recommendations and location-based services [7][8] Group 1: App Features and Enhancements - The updated Damai App features a simplified interface with a new navigation bar that highlights key sections such as "Cinema·Venue," "Taomai VIP," and "Discover" [3][4] - The app now includes a dedicated section for "Performance Tourism," allowing users to purchase tickets for popular attractions and local performances, facilitating a one-stop shopping experience for travel-related entertainment [5][8] - AI integration in the app helps users quickly find relevant content based on their preferences, significantly improving the decision-making process for entertainment choices [7][8] Group 2: Market Position and User Engagement - Damai has achieved a user base of 300 million, with 20 million Taomai VIP users, and has sold over 900,000 performances in the past year, doubling the previous year's figures [13][15] - The platform's focus on enhancing user experience through features like entry navigation and user-generated content aims to create a more engaging environment for ticket buyers [9][10] - The introduction of the "Discover" page allows users to access reviews and ratings, which are crucial for informed purchasing decisions [10][18] Group 3: Industry Trends and Future Outlook - The entertainment market in China is evolving, with a growing demand for integrated platforms that can connect various entertainment experiences, from concerts to travel [2][12] - Damai's strategy includes leveraging user data to support content providers in improving their offerings, thereby enhancing the overall quality of entertainment available [19][21] - The company aims to position itself as a leading player in the entertainment ticketing industry, similar to global platforms like Live Nation, with a focus on continuous growth and user engagement [23][24]