Ethanol Production
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Benchmark Initiates The Andersons, Inc. (ANDE) With Buy, Sees Strong Ethanol Momentum
Yahoo Finance· 2026-02-09 13:30
Core Viewpoint - The Andersons, Inc. is recognized as a strong investment opportunity, particularly due to its growing ethanol business and easing challenges in its Agribusiness segment, with a positive long-term growth outlook [2][3]. Group 1: Company Overview - The Andersons, Inc. operates in diversified sectors including Agribusiness and Renewables, with activities in commodity merchandising, grain terminal operations, and the production and distribution of plant nutrient products [4]. Group 2: Analyst Coverage and Growth Projections - Benchmark analyst Benjamin Klieve initiated coverage with a Buy rating and a price target of $75, citing strong momentum in the ethanol business and high visibility into future growth [2]. - The company aims for a run-rate of $7.00 in earnings per share by the end of 2028, indicating a 36% compounded annual growth rate from $2.56 per share over the trailing twelve months ending September 30, 2025 [2]. Group 3: Strategic Investments - A significant $60 million investment is planned for the Clymers, Indiana ethanol plant, expected to add 30 million gallons of ethanol capacity by mid-2027 [3]. - The expansion of the export terminal at the Port of Houston is also underway, set for completion in 2026, which will enhance soybean meal exports and improve western grain export efficiency [3].
All You Need to Know About Alto Ingredients (ALTO) Rating Upgrade to Strong Buy
ZACKS· 2025-12-15 18:01
Core Viewpoint - Alto Ingredients (ALTO) has received an upgrade to a Zacks Rank 1 (Strong Buy), indicating a positive shift in earnings estimates which is a significant factor influencing stock prices [1][2]. Earnings Estimates and Stock Price Movement - The Zacks rating system highlights the importance of changing earnings estimates in determining short-term stock price movements, making it a valuable tool for investors [2][3]. - Institutional investors often rely on earnings estimates to assess a company's fair value, leading to stock price fluctuations based on their buying or selling activities [3]. Business Improvement Indicators - The upgrade in Zacks Rank for Alto Ingredients reflects an improvement in the company's underlying business, suggesting that investor sentiment may drive the stock price higher [4]. - Over the past three months, the Zacks Consensus Estimate for Alto Ingredients has increased by 73%, indicating a positive trend in earnings estimates [7]. Zacks Rank System Overview - The Zacks Rank system categorizes stocks into five groups based on earnings estimates, with Zacks Rank 1 stocks historically generating an average annual return of +25% since 1988 [6]. - Only the top 5% of Zacks-covered stocks receive a "Strong Buy" rating, positioning Alto Ingredients among the best candidates for potential market-beating returns [8][9].
The Andersons, Inc. Announces Growth Target for 2028
Prnewswire· 2025-12-11 12:00
Core Insights - The Andersons, Inc. aims to achieve a run-rate earnings per share of $7.00 by the end of 2028, representing a 36% compounded annual growth rate from $2.56 per share for the trailing twelve months ended September 30, 2025 [1] Growth Strategy - The company has outlined a long-term strategic framework focused on accelerating growth, optimizing margin potential, and delivering value through disciplined capital deployment [2] - The Andersons is positioned to capitalize on favorable macro trends in the agriculture and renewable fuels markets, ensuring strong shareholder value throughout the agricultural cycle [3] Investment Initiatives - A $60 million capital investment is planned for the Clymers, Indiana, ethanol plant, expected to increase ethanol capacity by 30 million gallons by mid-2027 [6] - The expansion of the export terminal at the Port of Houston is set for completion in 2026, enhancing the export of soybean meal and western grains [6] - The company aims to strengthen its geographic presence and expand merchandising capabilities through the integration of the Skyland Grain acquisition [6] Customer Engagement and Efficiency - The Andersons is focused on enhancing customer loyalty by providing customized solutions that meet evolving market needs [6] - The company is committed to operating efficient, low-carbon intensity (CI) ethanol plants while maximizing 45Z tax credits [6] Capital Management - A disciplined, long-term capital investment strategy is in place to drive growth, ensuring strong margins and cash flows [6] - The company maintains a balanced approach to returning capital to shareholders, including a track record of over 25 years of consecutive dividend payments and opportunistic share repurchases [6]
REX American Resources (NYSE:REX) Earnings Call Presentation
2025-12-04 12:00
Company Overview - REX American is a publicly traded company on the NYSE since 1984, focusing on ethanol production and carbon capture and sequestration[8] - The company has a strong balance sheet with $3355 million in cash, cash equivalents & ST investments and $3542 million in working capital, with no bank debt[9] - REX controls approximately 300 million gallons of ethanol production annually across six facilities in the Midwest[12] Financial Performance - REX reported net sales and revenue of $1756 million, gross profit of $361 million, and net income attributable to shareholders of $071 per diluted share for Q3 2025[9] - Ethanol sales totaled 784 million gallons in Q3 2025, with an average selling price of $1731 per gallon[17] - In Q3 2025, ethanol accounted for $1357 million, representing 773% of the total product revenue[34] Carbon Capture and Sequestration (CCS) - REX is developing a carbon capture and sequestration facility at its One Earth Energy ethanol plant, expected to store approximately 560000 tons of carbon per year[46] - The One Earth Energy CCS project has a potential storage capacity of 90 million tons of carbon[49] - The company anticipates potential tax credit benefits of approximately $36 million annually from the 45Q program and $150 million annually from the 45Z program after carbon sequestration[58]
REX American Resources to Report Fiscal Q3 2025 Results and Host a Conference Call and Webcast on December 4, 2025
Businesswire· 2025-11-20 12:30
Core Viewpoint - REX American Resources Corporation will report its fiscal third quarter 2025 operational and financial results on December 4, 2025, and will host a conference call and webcast to discuss these results [1]. Company Overview - REX American Resources Corporation is a leading ethanol production company with interests in six ethanol production facilities, totaling approximately 730 million gallons per year in production capacity. The company's effective ownership of annual volumes is about 300 million gallons [3].
Green Plains(GPRE) - 2025 Q3 - Earnings Call Transcript
2025-11-05 15:00
Financial Data and Key Metrics Changes - For Q3 2025, the company reported net income of $11.9 million or $0.17 per share, down from $48.2 million or $0.69 per diluted share in Q3 2024 [8] - Revenue for the quarter was $508.5 million, a decrease of 22.8% year over year, attributed to exiting ethanol marketing for Tarleton and placing the Fairmont ethanol asset on cold maintenance [9] - Adjusted EBITDA for Q3 2025 was $52.6 million, slightly down from $53.3 million in Q3 2024 [8][9] - The company strengthened its balance sheet by retiring approximately $130 million of high-cost debt and refinancing most of its 2027 convertible debt with a new $200 million facility due in 2030 [5][9] Business Line Data and Key Metrics Changes - The operational performance of the plants reached over 101% capacity utilization, the highest level reported in over a decade, driven by operational excellence programs [6][18] - The company recognized $25 million in production tax credit value during the quarter and anticipates an additional $15-$25 million benefit in Q4 2025 [7][20] Market Data and Key Metrics Changes - Ethanol prices increased by approximately $0.25-$0.30 per gallon in August and September, while corn prices remained subdued due to favorable weather supporting larger yields [19] - The overall margin structure improved significantly in the second half of Q3 and early Q4, driven by tighter ethanol supplies and lower input costs [19] Company Strategy and Development Direction - The company has restructured its business to focus on value creation and strong cash flows, with a clear capital allocation strategy prioritizing operational excellence and reducing carbon intensity [5][17] - The carbon capture strategy is operational, with all three Nebraska facilities capturing CO2 and generating credits, marking a significant step in the company's decarbonization efforts [21] Management's Comments on Operating Environment and Future Outlook - Management expressed confidence in the company's ability to deliver sustainable, profitable results and highlighted the importance of executing on carbon program opportunities [4][23] - The company anticipates a solid Q4 performance, with margins remaining attractive despite expected seasonal volatility [20] Other Important Information - The company has no significant debt maturities for the next several years, allowing it to focus on operational initiatives [16] - Capital expenditures for Q3 were $4 million, with expectations of $5-10 million for the remainder of 2025, excluding fully financed carbon capture equipment [13] Q&A Session Summary Question: Key challenges for the next 9-12 months - Management highlighted the focus on managing costs and ensuring plant assets remain competitive, while also emphasizing the need to monetize tax credits and run the plants efficiently [23] Question: Uses of cash generation in 2026 and 2027 - Management indicated that cash would be used to maintain operating assets, reduce carbon intensity, and potentially return value to shareholders [26][27] Question: Incremental unlocks beyond Advantage Nebraska strategy - Management adjusted the expected EBITDA contribution from non-Nebraska assets to around $38 million, focusing on improving efficiency and reducing carbon intensity [34] Question: Rationale behind convertible debt restructuring - The rationale was to eliminate debt overhang and allow the organization to focus on day-to-day operations [37] Question: Changes at the plants and low CapEx - Management noted that improvements in capacity utilization were driven by operational focus rather than significant new investments [41][42] Question: Contribution of 45Z credits in Q4 - Management confirmed that the range of $15 million-$25 million in credits is based on execution and capture efficiency, with ongoing efforts to improve performance [45] Question: Status of clean sugar technology and commercialization path - Management indicated that while the technology is functional, additional CapEx is required to unlock its full potential, and a reevaluation will occur mid-2026 [66][67]
Gevo North Dakota Sells Its Remaining 2025 45Z Production Tax Credits for $30 Million, Bringing the Contracted Total for the Year to $52 Million
Globenewswire· 2025-11-05 14:00
Core Insights - Gevo, Inc. has contracted sales of its remaining Section 45Z Clean Fuel Production Credits for 2025, totaling $30 million, bringing total sales for the year to $52 million [1][2] - The Section 45Z tax credits are generated based on ethanol production volumes and carbon sequestration efficiencies, supporting domestic biofuel production [2] - The sales of these credits are expected to enhance Gevo's cash flow from operations and are anticipated to be recurring [2] Company Overview - Gevo is a diversified energy company focused on producing cost-effective, renewable fuels and products that contribute to energy security and economic growth [3] - The company operates an ethanol plant with an adjacent carbon capture, utilization, and sequestration facility, and is developing the world's first large-scale alcohol-to-jet fuel facility [3] - Gevo's business model emphasizes job creation and community revitalization while providing transparency and efficiency in tracking sustainability attributes through its Verity subsidiary [3]
Google's bets on carbon capture power plants, which have a mixed record
TechCrunch· 2025-10-23 16:04
Core Insights - Google is investing in a natural gas power plant in Illinois that aims to capture approximately 90% of its carbon emissions [1][2] - The power plant will have a capacity of 400 megawatts and will be located next to an ethanol plant operated by Archer Daniels Midland (ADM) [1] - The project is being developed by Low Carbon Infrastructure, and Google plans to purchase most of the electricity generated for its data centers [1] Carbon Capture and Storage (CCS) Performance - The power plant's carbon dioxide will be injected into geological storage formations already utilized by ADM's ethanol facility, which is the site of the first long-term CO2 storage well in the U.S. [2] - A recent study of 13 CCS facilities indicates that many are not meeting their carbon capture expectations, with an ExxonMobil facility capturing 36% less than anticipated [5] - A similar Canadian power plant has only captured about 50% of the promised carbon emissions [5] Environmental Impact Considerations - While CCS can reduce emissions from natural gas power generation, it does not address methane leaks throughout the natural gas supply chain, which is a significant greenhouse gas [6] - Methane has a warming potential 84 times greater than carbon dioxide over a 20-year period, and even with carbon capture, the overall warming impact from natural gas extraction and transportation remains [6][7] - Leakage rates as low as 2% can make burning natural gas comparable to coal in terms of carbon accounting [7]
Green Plains Renewable Energy (GPRE) Expected to Beat Earnings Estimates: What to Know Ahead of Q3 Release
ZACKS· 2025-10-23 15:00
Core Viewpoint - The market anticipates a year-over-year decline in earnings for Green Plains Renewable Energy (GPRE) due to lower revenues, with a focus on how actual results compare to estimates impacting stock price [1][2]. Earnings Expectations - Green Plains is expected to report a quarterly loss of $0.09 per share, reflecting a year-over-year change of -125.7%. Revenues are projected to be $548.25 million, down 16.8% from the previous year [3]. Estimate Revisions - The consensus EPS estimate has remained unchanged over the last 30 days, indicating a stable outlook from covering analysts [4]. Earnings Surprise Prediction - The Zacks Earnings ESP model shows that the Most Accurate Estimate for Green Plains is higher than the Zacks Consensus Estimate, resulting in an Earnings ESP of +100.00%. This suggests a bullish sentiment among analysts regarding the company's earnings prospects [11]. Historical Performance - In the last reported quarter, Green Plains was expected to post a loss of $0.28 per share but actually reported a loss of -$0.41, resulting in a surprise of -46.43%. Over the last four quarters, the company has only beaten consensus EPS estimates once [12][13]. Investment Considerations - While Green Plains is seen as a potential earnings-beat candidate, investors are advised to consider other factors that may influence stock performance beyond just earnings results [14][16].
Alto Ingredients Applauds Passage of Assembly Bill 30 Expanding E15 Fuel Options in California
Globenewswire· 2025-10-06 12:30
Core Insights - Alto Ingredients, Inc. welcomes the signing of Assembly Bill 30, which authorizes the sale of E15 fuel in California, enabling the company to meet the rising demand for affordable, domestically produced ethanol blends while supporting clean energy goals [1][2][3] Company Positioning - With the approval of E15 fuel sales, ethanol consumption in California could increase by over 600 million gallons annually, positioning Alto Ingredients to leverage its production capacity of up to 350 million gallons of low carbon ethanol [2] - The CEO of Alto Ingredients commended the legislation for expanding consumer choice and promoting lower-carbon fuel options, indicating that it validates the role of American ethanol and encourages investment in infrastructure and job creation [3] Industry Impact - The legislation is expected to support California's evolving low carbon transportation fuels market, aligning with the state's ambitious climate objectives [1][2][3]