Group 1 - Robinhood Markets experienced a significant stock increase of approximately 1,300% until October 2025, but has since declined nearly 50% from its peak [1] - The company is primarily known for its trading platform that attracts retail investors, with a focus on equities trading, options, and cryptocurrency [3] - The stock's decline is largely attributed to a 30% drop in Bitcoin over the past three months, which has negatively impacted cryptocurrency trading revenue [4] Group 2 - In the fourth quarter, Robinhood reported a 15% year-over-year increase in transaction revenue, driven by a 41% increase in options revenue and a 54% increase in equities revenue, but a 38% decline in cryptocurrency revenue [5] - The cryptocurrency revenue had previously surged by 700% in the prior year, highlighting the significant impact of its recent decline on overall revenue growth, which fell from 100% in the third quarter to 27% in the fourth quarter [4][5] - The company is diversifying into more stable financial services, including a credit card and banking services, with plans to develop a "financial superapp," which could enhance its long-term viability [8]

A new working paper from Fed economists, alongside researchers at Northwestern and Johns Hopkins, concludes that Kalshi rivals or beats professional Wall Street forecasts on key economic data, and does it in real time.What The Paper FoundOn headline CPI, Kalshi delivered a statistically significant improvement over the Bloomberg consensus forecast. On core CPI and unemployment, it ran neck-and-neck with professional forecasters surveyed by the New York Fed, but updates continuously, rather than every six we ...

Group 1 - eToro Group (ETOR) appears to be a poor investment based on numerical screening due to inflated IFRS revenues resulting from crypto accounting rules, leading to an effective EV/sales ratio of zero [1] - The article emphasizes the importance of thorough research and analysis in stock investment, highlighting the author's extensive background in finance and consulting [1] - The author advocates for a value investing approach, focusing on stocks trading below their intrinsic value while considering macro trends and sectoral themes for investment opportunities [1]

Group 1: Robinhood Markets - Robinhood operates an online trading platform targeting younger investors, holding nearly twice the number of millennial and Gen Z accounts compared to its closest competitor, Vanguard [5] - The company is gaining market share across various brokerage services, including cryptocurrency, equities, margin lending, and options, with its fastest-growing product line being prediction markets [6] - Robinhood is leveraging the AI boom with its investing assistant, Cortex, available exclusively to Gold membership users, aiming to provide advanced financial tools [7] - Despite a 50% decline in stock price due to reduced cryptocurrency transaction volume, Wall Street anticipates adjusted earnings to grow at 20% annually through 2027, making the current valuation of 36 times earnings reasonable [8] - The median target price for Robinhood among 28 analysts is $129 per share, indicating a potential upside of 72% from the current price of $75 [9] - Analysts Brian Bedell and Gautam Chhugani have set a target price of $160 per share, suggesting a 113% upside from the current share price [10] Group 2: Circle Internet Group - Circle is a fintech company known for minting stablecoins, particularly USDC, which is the largest fully compliant stablecoin in the U.S. and Europe [12] - The company generates revenue primarily from interest on reserve assets and has expanded into payments with the Circle Payments Network (CPN), which offers faster and cheaper cross-border payment solutions [13] - The stablecoin market is currently valued at approximately $315 billion, with projections suggesting it could grow to $2 trillion by 2030, indicating an annual growth rate of 45% [14] - Circle estimates that USDC circulation will increase by 40% annually, suggesting reserve income could grow faster than 30% annually, with total revenue potentially increasing more rapidly if CPN gains traction [15] - Wall Street forecasts revenue growth of 33% annually through 2027, making the current valuation of 5.8 times sales appear reasonable [16] - The median target price for Circle among 27 analysts is $107 per share, implying a 73% upside from the current share price of $62 [16]

Group 1 - The software trade, particularly in cybersecurity, is experiencing pressure, exemplified by Palo Alto Networks (PANW) shares falling by up to 6% after the company revised its full-year earnings outlook downward [1] - As of February 13, 74% of S&P 500 companies have reported their results, with blended earnings growth at 13.2%, indicating a strong performance overall [1] - If the current growth rate of 13.2% is maintained, it would mark the 10th consecutive quarter of annual earnings growth for the S&P 500 and the fifth consecutive quarter of double-digit growth [2] Group 2 - General Mills (GIS) shares declined following disappointing earnings, while eToro (ETOR) saw a stock increase of over 20% due to a strong quarterly performance [2] - Upcoming earnings reports from major companies such as Walmart (WMT), Deere & Co. (DE), Analog Devices (ADI), Booking Holdings (BKNG), DoorDash (DASH), and eBay (EBAY) will be closely monitored by investors [3]

Group 1 - The software trade, particularly in cybersecurity, is experiencing pressure, exemplified by Palo Alto Networks (PANW) shares falling by up to 6% after a cut in full-year earnings outlook [1] - As of February 13, 74% of S&P 500 companies have reported results, with blended earnings growth at 13.2%, indicating a strong performance overall [1] - If the current growth rate of 13.2% holds, it would mark the 10th consecutive quarter of annual earnings growth for the S&P 500 and the fifth consecutive quarter of double-digit growth [2] Group 2 - General Mills (GIS) shares declined following disappointing earnings, while eToro (ETOR) saw a stock increase of over 20% due to a strong quarterly performance [2] - Upcoming earnings reports from major companies such as Walmart (WMT), Deere & Co. (DE), Analog Devices (ADI), Booking Holdings (BKNG), DoorDash (DASH), and eBay (EBAY) will be closely monitored by investors [3]

Shares of eToro (ETOR) stock rallied nearly 20% today after the online trading platform posted better-than-expected Q4 earnings on a more than 9% increase in funded accounts to 3.81 million. ETOR earned $0.71 per share in the fourth quarter, handily beating the $0.69 consensus, helping the stock price soar past its 20-day moving average (MA). More News from Barchart Technical analysts often read this setup as indicating continued bullish momentum ahead. Versus its year-to-date high, eToro shares are st ...

Group 1 - The retail-trading platform anticipates that its Robinhood Ventures Fund I will go public in the upcoming weeks [1] - The public listing is expected to occur on the New York Stock Exchange under the ticker symbol RVI [1]

Core Insights - The company attributes its resilient performance to a multi-asset model that facilitated investor rotation into commodities and equities as demand for crypto softened in late 2025 [1] - The transition to an 'AI-first' operating model is underway, with AI now managing 100% of app development, allowing the firm to operate 10 times faster without increasing headcount [1] - Strategic positioning is shifting towards 'on-chain' market infrastructure, with management perceiving crypto as a foundational element for tokenized real-world assets like real estate [1] Financial Performance - Growth in the fourth quarter was driven by record net deposits and improved customer retention, despite a 72% year-over-year decline in crypto trading contribution [1] - The 'Wealth Management' pillar experienced significant acceleration in the U.K., with assets under administration increasing sevenfold year-over-year due to tax-advantaged savings products [1] Operational Focus - The operational focus has expanded to '24/5' and '24/7' trading models, responding to retail demand for constant market access, a trend pioneered by the crypto sector [1]

Core Insights - TradeZero is targeting active traders with a range of welcome bonuses designed to enhance their trading experience and reduce initial costs [2][3][4] Group 1: Welcome Bonuses - New users can select from multiple signup offers, including deposit bonuses, free platform access, reduced locate fees for short selling, and discounted options trading [2][3] - The welcome bonuses are structured to help offset early platform costs and trading expenses, particularly for day traders and momentum traders [3][4] Group 2: Bonus Packages - TradeZero offers three main welcome packages, each tailored to different types of traders [5][7] - $500 Deposit Bonus Package: Includes a 1% deposit bonus, 90 days of free platforms, and a 5% locate fee discount for 90 days [5][6] - $2,500 Deposit Bonus Package: Offers a 1% deposit bonus, 60 days of zero-commission trading, and similar discounts as the $500 package [6][7] - Options Trading Package: Designed for options-focused traders, includes 50% off options contracts for 90 days along with other benefits [9] Group 3: Platform Features - TradeZero's platform is specifically designed for active trading workflows, differentiating itself from beginner apps [8] - The platform features a short-locate system that allows traders to search for hard-to-borrow shares and locate inventory in real time [8]