《第五人格》谷子周边

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谷子经济千亿级市场,供需两端发力打开远期成长空间
NORTHEAST SECURITIES· 2025-07-01 08:15
Investment Rating - The report maintains an "Outperform" rating for the industry [7] Core Insights - The report highlights the rapid growth of the "Guzi" economy, driven by multiple factors on both demand and supply sides, with a projected market size increase from 537 billion yuan in 2017 to 1689 billion yuan by 2024, reflecting a CAGR of 17.79% [3][21] - The demand for "Guzi" products is expected to benefit from the rise of emotional consumption and changing consumer attitudes, particularly among younger demographics [12][56] Summary by Sections 1. Emotional Consumption Rise and Market Outlook - The "Guzi" economy is positioned within the broader context of the expanding ACGN subculture, which includes animation, comics, games, and related merchandise [12] - The market for the broader "pan-second dimension" and related products is projected to grow from 221.2 billion yuan in 2017 to 597.7 billion yuan by 2024, with a CAGR of 15.26% [12][19] 2. Demand Side Analysis - The user base for "pan-second dimension" products in China is substantial, with an expected growth to 503 million users by 2024, indicating a strong willingness to purchase "Guzi" products [2][42] - Approximately 88.71% of anime/manga viewers express a willingness to buy "Guzi," with 81.78% having made purchases [45][50] - The average single purchase amount for "Guzi" products is 102 yuan, with consumers increasing their purchase frequency from 2.3 to 2.9 times per month [62][64] - The market penetration in lower-tier cities is still low, presenting opportunities for expansion due to the price advantages of "Guzi" products [68][72] 3. Supply Side Analysis - The "Guzi" economy's supply chain encompasses IP production, authorization, and product sales, with a notable rise in domestic IPs stimulating consumer interest [73][76] - The domestic IP authorization market is growing, with retail sales of authorized products expected to reach 1550.9 billion yuan by 2024, reflecting a CAGR of 11% [86][90] - The report notes that the sales of domestic IPs have surpassed those of Japanese IPs on platforms like Xianyu, indicating a shift in consumer preferences [80][81]