Report Industry Investment Rating - Not provided in the content Core Viewpoints of the Report - In 2025, the issuance of credit ABS showed a stable recovery trend, featuring "small but numerous" characteristics. The non-performing loan ABS had a high growth rate and became the main growth engine. The concentration of the top ten sponsoring institutions decreased, and the average issuance interest rate declined year-on-year [2][4]. - In 2026, under the policy guidance of preventing and resolving financial risks, non-performing loan ABS is expected to continue to be the core engine for the expansion of the credit ABS market, and the continuous improvement of the regulatory framework will enhance market standardization and attract diversified investors [3][33]. - In the context of the increasing penetration rate of new energy vehicles, green auto loan ABS is expected to become an important growth point in the market, but attention should be paid to potential asset quality risks [34]. - With the maturity of AI technology, its application in the risk identification and management of the credit ABS market will deepen, which is expected to improve asset pricing accuracy and management efficiency [35]. Summary by Relevant Catalogs Issuance Overview - In 2025, a total of 238 credit ABS products were issued, with a total issuance scale of RMB 291.522 billion, a year-on-year increase of 7.82%. The average issuance scale per product was RMB 1225 million, a year-on-year decrease of 13.02%. The issuance scale accounted for 12.80% of the asset securitization market, a slight year-on-year decrease [4]. - The non-performing loan ABS issued 178 products, with a scale of RMB 82.057 billion, a year-on-year increase of 61.31%. The personal auto loan ABS had the same number of issuances as in 2024, with a scale of RMB 118.543 billion, accounting for 40.66% of the total. The issuance of micro-enterprise loan ABS declined, with 10 products issued and a scale of RMB 58.645 billion. The credit card installment loan ABS issued 2 products, with a scale of RMB 939 million. The bank/internet consumer loan ABS had a slightly lower number of issuances, but the scale reached RMB 31.338 billion, a year-on-year increase of 28.84% [5]. - There were 47 sponsoring institutions in the credit ABS market in 2025, mainly including auto finance companies and commercial banks. The top ten sponsoring institutions had a combined issuance scale accounting for 57.65%, with a decreased concentration [8][9]. - The average issuance interest rate of credit ABS was 2.13% in 2025, lower than that in 2024, and the average spread with the 3-year maturity yield of ChinaBond Medium and Short - term Notes was 23 BPs, showing a certain dispersion in the overall interest rate distribution [14]. Asset Classification Personal Auto Loan ABS - In 2025, the issuance scale was RMB 118.543 billion, accounting for 40.66% of the total credit ABS issuance, ranking first. The top ten manufacturers' issuance volume accounted for 86.21%, with a high concentration. The AAAsf - rated securities' coupon rate ranged from 1.60% to 1.96%, with a weighted average of 1.75%, a year-on-year decrease of 0.24 percentage points [17][19]. Non - performing Loan ABS - The issuance scale in 2025 was RMB 82.057 billion, a year-on-year increase of 61.32%, accounting for 28.15% of the total. Twenty banks participated in the issuance, mainly state - owned large commercial banks and national joint - stock banks. The top five banks' issuance scale accounted for 58.32%. The main underlying assets were personal housing mortgage non - performing loans and micro - enterprise non - performing loans. The AAAsf - rated securities' coupon rate ranged from 1.90% to 3.20%, with a weighted average of 2.32%, a year-on-year decrease of 0.09 percentage points [20][22][23]. Micro - enterprise ABS - The issuance scale in 2025 was RMB 58.645 billion, accounting for 20.12% of the total. China Construction Bank Corporation's issuance scale accounted for 84.60% of the total credit ABS issuance. The AAAsf - rated securities' coupon rate ranged from 1.58% to 1.96%, with a weighted average of 1.63%, a year-on-year decrease of 0.41 percentage points [24][25][28]. Personal Consumer Loan and Credit Card Installment Loan ABS - The personal consumer loan ABS issuance scale in 2025 was RMB 31.338 billion, accounting for 10.75% of the total. The top five sponsoring institutions' combined issuance scale accounted for 86.15%. The AAAsf - rated securities' coupon rate ranged from 1.70% to 2.05%, with a weighted average of 1.85%, a year-on-year decrease of 0.31 percentage points. The credit card installment loan ABS issued 2 products, with a total scale of RMB 939 million, accounting for 0.32% of the total, and the coupon rate of both products was 1.85% [29][30][32]. Outlook - In 2026, non - performing loan ABS is expected to continue to drive the expansion of the credit ABS market, and the regulatory framework will be further improved to attract more diversified investors [33]. - Green auto loan ABS may become an important growth point, but attention should be paid to the potential impact on asset quality from the changes in auto finance companies' operating strategies and credit access standards [34]. - The application of AI technology in the credit ABS market will deepen, which is expected to improve asset pricing accuracy and management efficiency, but attention should be paid to "model risk" [35].

Core Viewpoint - Since 2025, the national strategy to promote consumption upgrades has led to a year-on-year recovery in the growth rate of consumer loan balances, positively impacting the issuance and quality of consumer finance ABS [1][2]. Group 1: Importance of Consumer Finance ABS - The continuous push for consumption upgrades has resulted in increased consumer loan balances, which in turn has elevated the supply of consumer finance ABS. In contrast, the issuance and net financing scale of non-financial credit bonds have decreased compared to the first quarter of 2024 [2]. - The quality of underlying assets for consumer finance ABS has significantly improved, with no reported defaults or downgrades in 2024, indicating a stable investment environment [2]. - In 2025, the priority ABS is expected to offer better value compared to interest rate bonds and high-grade credit bonds, catering to low-risk preference investors such as banks and insurance funds [2]. Group 2: Current Status of Consumer Finance ABS - As of March 20, 2025, there are 437 outstanding consumer finance ABS with a total balance of approximately 392.8 billion yuan, accounting for about 12% of the total outstanding asset-backed securities [3]. - The distribution of underlying assets includes consumer loan ABS (371 cases), auto loan ABS (65 cases), and credit card installment loan ABS (1 case), with consumer loan ABS making up over half of the total balance [3]. Group 3: Product Design of Consumer Finance ABS - Consumer finance ABS features mechanisms such as credit triggers, revolving purchase settings, and special mechanisms to enhance asset efficiency and investor protection [4][5]. - The credit trigger mechanism includes provisions for subordinate securities to absorb losses first, ensuring the repayment of principal and interest to senior investors [4]. Group 4: Credit Risk Management of Consumer Finance ABS - The credit risk management measures at both the securities and underlying asset levels are robust, with subordinate securities designed to absorb potential losses effectively [6]. - The asset pool management includes a comprehensive risk management system throughout the loan lifecycle, from pre-loan assessments to post-loan monitoring [6]. Group 5: Investment Strategy Outlook for Consumer Finance ABS - The high proportion of private placements in outstanding consumer finance ABS indicates relatively lower liquidity in the secondary market, making it suitable for strategic allocations [7]. - The average yield for senior consumer finance ABS is 2.20%, while the middle-tier average yield is 2.67%, suggesting attractive investment opportunities in these segments [7].