截至2025年12月22日，2026年1月中国大陆赴日航班取消量已达2195班次，航班取消率为40.4%。其中46条中日航线在未来两周（2025年12月23日—2026 年1月5日）内计划航班全部取消，取消率100%，涉及中日双方共38座机场。 | | | 未来两周中日航线取消率 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 航线 | 取消量 | 计划总量 | 目前取消率 | | 沈阳-大阪 | 24 | 24 | 100.0% | | 成都-大阪 | 22 | 22 | 100.0% | | 重庆-大阪 | 14 | 14 | 100.0% | | 武汉-大阪 | 14 | 14 | 100.0% | | 南京-福冈 | 14 | 14 | 100.0% | | 宁波-大阪 | 14 | 14 | 100.0% | | 西安-大阪 | 12 | 12 | 100.0% | | 福州-名古屋 | 12 | 12 | 100.0% | | 杭州-名古屋 | JT | 11 | 100.0% | | 福州-大阪 | JI | 11 | 100.0% | | 南通-大阪 | 11 | JI | 1 ...

航班管家供图。 根据航班管家DAST，2025年第51周中国大陆赴日航班量852班次，恢复率为58.1%（与2019年相比，恢 复至2019年同期的58.1%），较第41周下降38.7%。截至2025年12月22日，2026年1月中国大陆赴日航班 取消量已达2195班次，航班取消率为40.4%。 新京报贝壳财经讯（记者王真真）12月22日，新京报贝壳财经记者获悉，航班管家DAST预测，未来两 周有46条中日航线取消全部航班，涉及的航线包括沈阳-大阪、南京-福冈、武汉-大阪、福州-名古屋、 上海-冈山、成都-札幌等。 | | | 未来两周中日航线取消率 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 航线 | 取消量 | 计划总量 | 目前取消率 | | 沈阳-大阪 | 24 | 24 | 100.0% | | 成都-大阪 | 22 | 22 | 100.0% | | 重庆-大阪 | 14 | 14 | 100.0% | | 武汉-大阪 | 14 | 14 | 100.0% | | 南京-福冈 | 14 | 14 | 100.0% | | 宁波-大阪 | 14 | 14 | 100.0% | | ...

Core Viewpoint - A significant number of flights from China to Japan have been canceled, with a high cancellation rate expected in the coming weeks due to travel warnings and geopolitical tensions [1][5]. Flight Cancellations - As of November 24, 12 routes between China and Japan have canceled all flights, affecting cities like Nagoya, Fukuoka, Sapporo, and Osaka [1]. - The cancellation rate for planned flights to Japan is projected to reach 21.6% by December 27, the highest in a month [2]. - Routes with the highest cancellation rates include Tianjin Binhai to Kansai International (65.0%), Nanjing Lukou to Kansai International (59.4%), and Guangzhou Baiyun to Kansai International (31.3%) [2]. Government Warnings - Multiple Chinese government departments, including the Ministry of Foreign Affairs and the Ministry of Culture and Tourism, have issued warnings advising citizens to avoid travel to Japan [5]. - The Hong Kong government has also updated travel information, urging residents to remain vigilant if traveling to Japan [5]. Airline Adjustments - Chinese airlines are making significant adjustments to their Japan routes, with many flights being closed for booking [5]. - China International Airlines has canceled plans to increase flights from Beijing Capital to Sapporo from four to seven weekly [6]. - Other airlines, such as China Eastern Airlines and Spring Airlines, have also announced reductions in flight frequencies and cancellations across various routes to Japan [8][11][21]. Geopolitical Context - Recent controversial statements by Japan's new Prime Minister have sparked criticism and heightened tensions between China and Japan, contributing to the decline in travel [16].

Core Viewpoint - The article highlights the significant cancellation of flights between China and Japan, primarily due to geopolitical tensions and travel advisories issued by Chinese authorities, leading to a drastic reduction in flight operations and future booking cancellations [9][4]. Flight Cancellations - As of November 24, 12 routes between China and Japan have canceled all flights, affecting cities like Nagoya, Fukuoka, Sapporo, and Osaka [2]. - The cancellation rates for specific routes are notably high, with 100% cancellations reported for several routes including Hangzhou to Central Japan and Nanjing to Fukuoka [3]. Future Cancellation Rates - The cancellation rate for planned flights to Japan is expected to reach 21.6% by December 27, marking the highest level in a month [4]. - Routes with the highest cancellation rates include Tianjin to Kansai International (65.0%) and Nanjing to Kansai International (59.4%) [4]. Airline Adjustments - Chinese airlines are making significant adjustments to their Japan routes, with many flights being closed for booking. This includes reductions in frequency and cancellations of previously planned increases in service [9][11][13]. - Specific adjustments include: - Air China reducing flights from Beijing to Sapporo from 7 to 4 weekly [11]. - China Eastern Airlines closing bookings for 6 out of 14 weekly flights from Beijing to Osaka [16]. - Spring Airlines canceling certain flights from Shanghai to Okinawa starting December 20 [25]. Overall Impact - The overall impact of these cancellations and adjustments indicates a substantial decrease in travel between China and Japan, driven by both political factors and operational decisions by airlines [9][4].

每经编辑｜程鹏 潘海福 11月24日，综合第一财经、智通财经报道，航班管家DAST数据显示，截至11月24日10点，已有12条中日航线取消所有航班，涉及名古屋、福冈、札幌、 大阪等地。 | | 未来 | | 周赴日航班取消航线 | | | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | | 出发地 | 目的地 | 目前已取消 | 总计划 | 未来一周赴日航班取消率 | | 杭州萧山 | 中部国际机场 | 7 | 7 | 100.0% | | 南京禄口 | 福冈机场 | 7 | 7 | 100.0% | | 运城盐湖 | 中部国际机场 | 4 | 4 | 100.0% | | 南京禄口 | 中部国际机场 | 3 | 3 | 100.0% | | 北京大兴 | 新干岁机场 | 3 | 3 | 100.0% | | 深圳宝安 | 中部国际机场 | 3 | 3 | 100.0% | | 成都天府 | 新干岁机场 | 3 | 3 | 100.0% | | 扬州泰州 | 关西国际机场 | 3 | | 100.0% | | 福州长乐 | 那霸机场 | 2 स्ट | 2 | 100.0% | | 上海浦东 | ...

中日航线正迎来大规模调整。南都N视频记者11月24日从航班管家获悉，据监测，未来一周赴日计划航班取消率在11月27日达到21.6%，为1 个月以来最高值。从计划航班来看，由于计划航班量较低，截至今日（11月24日）10点已有12条航线取消所有航班。 11月14日，外交部领事司发布消息提醒中国公民近期避免前往日本。此后，国航、东航、南航、海航、四川航空、春秋航空等航司陆续发 布涉日航线客票特殊处理公告，符合条件可以办理免费退改。南都此前报道，据AeroRoutes网站，中国多家航空公司当周开始逐步调整对 日航班服务，部分航班关闭预订： 例如：东航"北京大兴-大阪关西"航线自2025年12月1日起，14班中有6班关闭预订。春秋航空"大连-福冈"航线自2025年11月28日起，每周1 班关闭预订（该航线冬季仅于11月25日执行1班）。国航"北京首都-札幌新千岁"航线2025年12月9日至2026年3月7日，维持每周4班，原计 划增至每周7班已取消，等等。 根据航班管家DAST发布的监测信息，中日航线上主要承运航司有23家，国内航司17家，东航承运航班量占国内航司份额超两成，国航紧随 其后，占17.32%。受民航换季 ...

Group 1 - The core point of the article highlights a significant decline in Hong Kong airline stocks, particularly China Southern Airlines, China Eastern Airlines, Cathay Pacific, and Air China, due to the cancellation of numerous flights on Japan routes [1][2] - As of November 24, 2023, 12 routes between China and Japan have canceled all flights, with a projected cancellation rate of 21.6% for planned flights to Japan by December 27, marking the highest rate in a month [1] - Key routes with high cancellation rates include Tianjin Binhai to Kansai International (65.0%), Nanjing Lukou to Kansai International (59.4%), Guangzhou Baiyun to Kansai International (31.3%), and Shanghai Pudong to Kansai International (30.1%) [1] Group 2 - The stock performance of major airlines shows declines: China Southern Airlines down 3.07% to 5.060, China Eastern Airlines down 1.94% to 4.550, Cathay Pacific down 1.54% to 11.530, and Air China down 1.40% to 6.320 [2] - The cancellation of flights on these key routes is expected to directly impact ticket sales and cargo revenue, which are crucial income sources for airlines [1]

Core Viewpoint - Chinese airlines are significantly adjusting their flight services to Japan due to recent provocative remarks from the Japanese Prime Minister, leading to the cancellation of many flight bookings [1]. Group 1: Flight Adjustments by Airlines - Air China will maintain 4 weekly flights from Beijing Capital to Sapporo New Chitose from December 9, 2025, to March 7, 2026, canceling the planned increase to 7 flights [2]. - Flights from Chongqing to Tokyo Narita will reduce from 7 to 4 weekly starting December 1, 2025, using the 737-800 aircraft [4]. - Shanghai Pudong to Fukuoka will see a reduction from 7 to 6 weekly flights from February 3 to March 24, 2026, using the A321 [4]. - Shanghai Pudong to Osaka Kansai will decrease from 21 to 16 weekly flights starting November 30, 2025, using the A321 [5]. - China Eastern Airlines will close bookings for 6 out of 14 weekly flights from Beijing Daxing to Osaka Kansai starting December 1, 2025 [7]. - Several other routes, including those from Chengdu, Nanchang, and Wuhan to Osaka Kansai, will also see reductions in flight frequency or closures of bookings [8][10][11]. Group 2: Impact on Other Airlines - Juneyao Airlines will close bookings for 1 out of 2 daily flights from Beijing Daxing to Osaka Kansai starting November 30, 2025 [14]. - Spring Airlines will close bookings for 1 weekly flight from Dalian to Fukuoka starting November 28, 2025 [20]. - Tianjin Airlines will reduce flights from Tianjin to Osaka Kansai, closing bookings for 4 out of 7 flights starting November 27, 2025 [26]. - Sichuan Airlines has canceled its planned resumption of flights from Chengdu to Sapporo New Chitose, which was set to operate 3 weekly flights starting January 2, 2026 [28]. Group 3: Overall Market Impact - The total number of flights on the Japan routes operated by Juneyao Airlines will be reduced to a maximum of 114 weekly flights (one-way), with approximately 24% of the flights currently not accepting bookings [19].

Core Viewpoint - Chinese airlines are significantly adjusting their flight services to Japan due to recent provocative remarks from the Japanese Prime Minister, leading to a reduction in available flights and closed bookings for many routes [1]. Group 1: Airline Adjustments - China International Airlines has listed flight adjustment information on its Japan website [2]. - China Eastern Airlines and Juneyao Airlines have stopped accepting bookings for approximately 24% of their flights on the Japan routes, which could amount to a maximum of 114 flights per week [3]. - Spring Airlines has canceled planned increases in flight frequency on several routes, including reducing flights from Beijing to Osaka from 21 to 16 per week and from Shanghai to Fukuoka from 7 to 6 per week [4]. Group 2: Specific Route Changes - Various routes have seen specific changes, such as: - Beijing Daxing to Osaka Kansai: 6 out of 14 flights closed for booking starting December 1, 2025 [4]. - Chengdu Tianfu to Osaka Kansai: 4 flights closed for booking starting December 1, 2025 [4]. - Shanghai Pudong to Okinawa: The second daily flight is closed for booking starting December 20, 2025 [7]. - Other routes, such as Tianjin to Osaka Kansai, have seen 4 out of 7 flights closed for booking starting November 27, 2025 [8]. Group 3: Pricing Adjustments - The minimum fare for the Shanghai Pudong to Okinawa route has been adjusted to JPY 25,800 for most dates until February 23 [5]. - Current pricing for the daily flight from Shanghai Pudong to Okinawa shows a minimum fare of JPY 42,960 until December 3, 2025, decreasing to JPY 17,210 from February 24 to March 25, 2026 [7].

Group 1: Impact on Airlines - Multiple Chinese airlines, including Air China, China Southern Airlines, and China Eastern Airlines, have announced special policies for ticket refunds and changes for flights to Japan due to safety concerns raised by the Chinese government [1][4][5] - As of November 16, 10 airlines have implemented refund and change policies for flights to Japan, reflecting a significant operational adjustment in response to the current geopolitical climate [6][2] - The weekly flight volume from mainland China to Japan has seen a substantial decline, with a recovery rate of 82.9% compared to the same period in 2019, marking a 14.5% decrease from the previous week [1][6] Group 2: Market Trends - The number of flights between mainland China and Japan has been decreasing for four consecutive weeks, indicating a potential long-term impact on the travel market [6][7] - Chinese tourists have been the largest group of foreign visitors to Japan, with a notable increase in travel numbers earlier this year, but the current situation may hinder future growth [7] Group 3: Geopolitical Context - The Chinese Ministry of Foreign Affairs has issued warnings regarding the deteriorating safety environment for Chinese citizens in Japan, citing multiple incidents of violence against Chinese nationals [2][4] - Recent provocative statements by Japanese leaders regarding Taiwan have further strained Sino-Japanese relations, potentially affecting tourism and travel between the two countries [8][9]