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区域黑马急刹车:今世缘、迎驾贡酒Q2双双大跌|酒业财报观察
2 1 Shi Ji Jing Ji Bao Dao· 2025-08-25 14:26
Core Viewpoint - The rapid growth of two emerging liquor companies, Jinshiyuan and Yingjia Gongjiu, has come to a halt in 2025, with both companies reporting significant declines in revenue and net profit compared to the previous year [2][6]. Financial Performance - Jinshiyuan reported a revenue of 6.95 billion yuan in the first half of 2025, a decrease of 4.8% year-on-year, with a net profit of 2.229 billion yuan, down approximately 9.5% [2]. - Yingjia Gongjiu's revenue for the same period was 3.16 billion yuan, reflecting a year-on-year decline of 16.89%, and a net profit of 1.13 billion yuan, down 18.19% [2][9]. Second Quarter Trends - In the second quarter, Jinshiyuan's revenue fell nearly 30% year-on-year, with a net profit decline of 37%. Yingjia Gongjiu experienced a 24% drop in revenue and a 35% decrease in net profit [3]. - Both companies saw a significant decline in cash flow from operating activities, with Jinshiyuan down 13.8% and Yingjia Gongjiu down 48.3% [3]. Cost and Expense Analysis - Jinshiyuan's sales expenses increased by 4.7% to 1.03 billion yuan, while Yingjia Gongjiu's sales expenses rose by 1.4% to 307 million yuan despite declining revenues [7][11]. - Operating cash flow for Jinshiyuan was 1.075 billion yuan, down from 1.246 billion yuan year-on-year, while Yingjia Gongjiu's operating cash flow decreased to 316 million yuan from 612 million yuan [4][11]. Market Dynamics - The decline in sales is attributed to weak consumer demand and an overall contraction in the industry, with both companies emphasizing the need to control inventory and reduce channel pressure [6]. - High-end products, particularly those priced above 300 yuan, have seen significant declines, with Jinshiyuan's revenue from these products dropping over 7% [12]. Inventory and Future Outlook - As of June 30, 2025, Jinshiyuan's dealer inventory rate was approximately 20%, equivalent to about 2.5 months of sales, indicating ongoing challenges in inventory management [13]. - The future performance of both companies remains uncertain, with contract liabilities decreasing for both, suggesting a cautious approach to future growth [13].