朋友們大家好，大家早上中午晚上好 這裡是提阿非羅 現在是2025年8月6日華爾街午盤時間 我們來更新比特幣的行情 這個是比特幣的日線圖，從日線級別來看 我們發現比特幣之前在這邊盤整 然後往下面跌，跌到前面這一帶就止住了 因為它是之前這一帶的高點 然後就出現了一個還不錯的反彈 因為你可以看到 這樣的一根k線 其實是一根看漲吞沒的k線對不對 然後它就反彈到前面 這一帶的低點附近 好像受到了一些阻礙 給人一種感覺 這邊是盤整 然後跌破了這一帶 應該是支撐阻力互換對不對 然後來到這邊一直站不上去 我相信在這種時候 很多人會覺得 現在是背靠著阻力去做空的時機 但是我不會嘗試這樣子去做 因為這一帶如果說重新給它站回去 我會覺得這邊從小級別 因為我們現在看的是日線 可能會出現4小時 或者說一小時級別 比較大的一根陽線 那麼只要是出現了這樣的k線 那麼你可以跟進去 因為它會小小的回落 那麼你這個時候跟進去的話 它之後有可能會漲到更高的地方去 至少是把前面這三個 比較臨近的高點給它拿掉 那目前來說有沒有站上去呢 目前還是沒有站上去 所以我們來看一下小級別它到底在怎麼做 那麼這個是4小時級別 我們可以看到好像嘗試沒有站上去 然後 ...

朋友們，2025年8月的第一天 我們來更新比特幣的行情 這個是比特幣的日線圖 從日線級別來看 我們發現比特幣有那麼一點點 好像要往下面走的感覺 那麼這是不是正常的是不是和以往一樣 是不是在這個位置 實際上我們可以看到 原先從日線級別來連接一下 自然回落的低點 我們會發現它把前面的低點 這樣的一些低點出現了跌破 然後收回去有一段時間的盤整 但是沒有繼續往上走 然後又再繼續往下 那麼我們可以看一下比較臨近的這一段 我們我們看一看這是標志性的低點 對不對 然後先是有一個小小的假跌破 但是跌破不是特別多 我們來連接一下 看看這個地方有沒有一定的相似性 好像是有那麼一點相似性的 然後漲上去沒有創出沃特曼汗 然後就往下面跌了之後 又把前面這樣的一個低點出現了跌破 然後收了回來 我們可以看到在這邊 似乎也可以畫第二條線 我們可以看到它目前來說 好像是在這樣的一個位置 但是這邊是很明顯的重新又收了回去 這邊跌下來暫時還沒有收回去 而且如果說我們來看一下成交量 那麼成交量在這邊是非常的多 通常是表明著說階段性的頂部或底部 那麼你可以看到來到這邊 成交量總算是有那麼一點點超過均值了 當然了我希望它有更多最好能夠像這樣多 那麼之後 ...

朋友們 2025年7月30日華爾街午盤時間 我們來更新比特幣的行情 這個是比特幣的日線圖 從日線級別來看 我們發現比特幣仍然是在這個區間內盤整 但是因為之前是先往下面來了一下 那麼我會認為 它這一段的盤整 是在蓄力 並准備著往上面走的 我是有這樣的一個傾向性了 那麼如果說是另外的情況 比如說進入到一段盤整區間 它是先往上面來了 然後又假突破回來然後盤整盤整 我就有一個往下走的預期 但是這邊還算是比較的好 是先往下面走的 然後收了回去目前來說日線級別 好像你可以看到 就在這個下面上面 幾乎是在盤整區的比較上端和盤整區的 比較下端之間波動 那麼你可以看到 成交量好像也不是特別的多 日線級別確實是這個樣子的 我們來看一下更小的一小時級別 從一小時級別來看 我們發現你可以看到 好像就是比較的無序盤整 之前把底下測試了一下 然後有一點反彈 但現在好像又有點要跌回來的感覺 這個時候如果說 我們看一下盤口這邊的狀態 發現很顯然 目前是一個持倉 逐漸在降低的過程 表明著說市場其實是在等待方向 比如說減息什麼的 目前來說雖然說持倉量沒有上升 但是看到CVD其實是在不斷的往下走 那麼如果說這邊持倉有一點增加 然後CVD還是繼續往 ...

Market Analysis - Bitcoin's recent trading volume is notably low, suggesting a consolidation phase [1] - Bitcoin's hourly chart shows a potential bounce from the VL (Value Low) level, indicating a possible move higher within the consolidation range [1] - Ethereum is approaching the $4,100 level with strong liquidity above, suggesting a potential upward movement if Bitcoin rises [1] Trading Strategy - The analysis suggests a neutral to bullish outlook for Bitcoin within the consolidation range, favoring potential upward movements [1] - For Ethereum, the analyst is closely watching a potential pullback to a specific area for a possible "胁迫形态" (coercion pattern) and support, with a vacuum zone identified [1] - The analyst mentions using Bybit, Binance, and OKX exchanges due to their favorable fee discounts [1]

Market Analysis - Bitcoin is currently in a narrow consolidation phase with low trading volume, indicating a lack of clear directional movement [1] - The analyst suggests that a breakout to the upside would likely involve taking out previous highs with significant volume, which hasn't occurred yet [1] - The analyst notes the potential for Bitcoin to rise, driven by liquidity around previous highs where short positions' stop losses are concentrated [1] - Ethereum shows a positive trend with expectations of further upward movement, especially breaking through previous highs [1] Trading Strategy - The analyst advises against opening positions in Bitcoin within the current range due to low volatility [1] - For Bitcoin, a preferred strategy is to consider long positions after a dip below support levels followed by a recovery, or short positions after a bearish engulfing pattern at higher levels [1] - For Ethereum, the analyst suggests adding to long positions on dips and taking profits near previous highs, with a potential short opportunity if a bearish engulfing pattern appears alongside a false breakout in Bitcoin [1] Potential Risks - The analyst mentions the possibility of Bitcoin breaking below a parallel bottom before potentially breaking the triangle pattern upwards [1] - The analyst points out the potential for a false breakout in Bitcoin at previous highs, coinciding with a bearish engulfing pattern in Ethereum, which could signal a shorting opportunity [1]

Market Analysis - Bitcoin's weekly chart shows a positive trend with a longer lower shadow, indicating price testing and rebound, with relatively low trading volume suggesting consolidation rather than a major top formation [1] - The weekly MACD for Bitcoin hasn't shown a death cross, suggesting potential for further upward movement before a possible correction [1] - Bitcoin's daily chart shows indecisive movement around a triangle pattern, with the analyst favoring horizontal support levels and anticipating a potential liquidity grab above parallel highs [1] - The analyst notes Bitcoin's current low-volume consolidation, suggesting that moves may not be decisive, and anticipates a potential upward surge after a possible dip to break minor lows [1] - Ethereum shows potential, especially if Bitcoin surges, but its lack of significant volatility warrants less detailed analysis [1] Trading Strategy - The analyst is wary of shorting Bitcoin at the current level due to potential for upward movement and liquidity grabs [1] - The analyst is waiting for a clearer pattern before making trades, particularly looking for a surge to higher levels to hunt stop-loss orders [1] - The analyst advises against frequent trading with low probability setups, a practice encouraged by some exchanges, and emphasizes patient waiting for higher probability opportunities [1] - The analyst identifies a prior AMD (Accumulation, Manipulation, Distribution) pattern in Bitcoin's hourly chart, leading to a current state of disordered consolidation [1] Exchange Recommendation - Bybit is recommended as the preferred exchange for technical analysis, with Binance also mentioned for its fee reduction [1][2]

Group 1 - The article discusses the dynamics of the cryptocurrency market, emphasizing the influence of human behavior and capital flow on market trends [3][11] - It highlights the role of ETFs in the recent bull market, suggesting that capital has been positioning itself in anticipation of regulatory changes [3][11] - The performance of Dogecoin (DOGE) is analyzed, noting its reliance on cultural phenomena and the influence of figures like Elon Musk, which may not sustain its value in the long term [5][9] Group 2 - The technological limitations of DOGE are pointed out, with comparisons to other cryptocurrencies like Solana (SOL) and Bitcoin, indicating that DOGE is falling behind in innovation and transaction capacity [7][11] - The article mentions the annual issuance of DOGE, which contributes to its low price and potential devaluation over time, as well as the impact of market sentiment on its trading performance [9][11] - It concludes that DOGE may not be a suitable long-term investment, suggesting that it is more appropriate for speculative trading rather than holding [11][13]

Group 1 - The article discusses the speculation surrounding Bitcoin's growth and the implications of Trump's actions on the cryptocurrency market, suggesting that these views are largely unfounded and lack financial perspective [3] - The recent stablecoin legislation in the U.S. is highlighted as a significant development, indicating that the ability to issue stablecoins will require purchasing a substantial amount of U.S. debt, which could reshape the cryptocurrency landscape [5][9] - The potential for stablecoins to provide a non-traceable means of converting assets, including illicit ones, into U.S. debt is raised, suggesting that this could empower illegal activities and create a new avenue for money laundering [7] Group 2 - The article emphasizes the importance of major public chains like Ethereum and Solana in the stablecoin issuance process, with Ethereum currently seen as more reliable [9] - It warns that while the stablecoin legislation may boost the cryptocurrency market in the short term, it could also lead to significant risks and challenges in the long run, particularly regarding the management of these assets [11][13] - The current market is described as being driven by policy changes, with a recommendation for investors to focus on the relationship between U.S. debt yields and stablecoin issuance, as well as the technological advancements of major public chains [13]