Market Analysis - Bitcoin experienced a dramatic price movement, initially rising towards previous highs before a sharp decline, ultimately closing as a bearish candlestick [1] - Liquidity heatmap analysis revealed concentrated liquidity above the recent price action, suggesting a hunt for stop-loss orders before the downward move [1] - The analyst suggests that news events, such as rumors of a potential ceasefire in the Russia-Ukraine war, may have contributed to Bitcoin's volatility [1] - Ethereum's upward movement is heavily reliant on Bitcoin's performance, facing difficulties in rallying independently to fill gaps [1] Trading Strategy - The analyst anticipates a potential deeper correction on the daily chart, suggesting a bearish outlook and favoring adding to short positions on rallies [1] - The analyst advises caution on short-term long positions due to the recent volatility and recommends waiting for rallies to higher levels to add to short positions [1] - The analyst suggests that if the market structure shifts to create a lower low, a lower high could form, presenting a potential shorting opportunity [1] - The analyst identifies potential short-term long opportunities near specific support levels but emphasizes the importance of patience and waiting for favorable shorting opportunities in line with the overall trend [1] Risk Management - The analyst emphasizes the importance of technical analysis as the primary guide for trading decisions, while acknowledging the potential influence of news events [1] - The analyst recommends using Bybit, Binance, and OKX exchanges, highlighting their discounted fee structures and offering access to a Discord community for small trading volumes [1]

Market Analysis of Bitcoin (BTC) - Bitcoin is currently consolidating between two key levels after a false breakout at a previous high and a false breakdown at a previous low [1] - The analysis suggests potential for further consolidation in the short term [1] - A potential short-term long opportunity exists if the lower support level is broken, targeting the upper parallel high [1] - A more significant short opportunity may arise if the price reaches the upper parallel high and shows signs of rejection, indicating a potential false breakout [1] Market Analysis of Ethereum (ETH) - Ethereum showed a false breakdown below a previous low, followed by a bullish recovery [1] - The analysis suggests a potential buying opportunity in the identified range, targeting the parallel highs above [1] - Despite current bearish momentum, the analyst believes a test of the parallel highs is still possible [1] Trading Strategy - The analyst emphasizes the need for accumulation of long or short positions over time, rather than expecting immediate large price movements [1] - The analyst provides clear trading plans based on potential price action at key levels, including potential entry and exit points [1]

Group 1 - The core message highlights significant developments in the cryptocurrency sector, particularly focusing on the ambitious plans of a key player, referred to as "Sun Ge," who aims to expand user engagement and transaction volumes in stablecoins [1] - User base has surpassed 335 million, with a year-end target of 350 million stablecoin users, and daily trading volume for stablecoins has reached $22 million [1] - A new platform named "Sun Wukong" (Sunperp) is set to launch in mid-October, focusing on decentralized perpetual contracts and multi-chain expansion [1] - Transaction fees are being reduced by 60%, with partnerships involving major players like Binance and Google, aiming to create a highly active blockchain ecosystem [1] - There are plans for a major announcement by year-end regarding a new version of MetaMask, which will incorporate AI-driven applications, indicating a strategic move towards becoming a key player in the settlement layer of blockchain [1] Group 2 - The market analysis indicates Bitcoin has been consolidating after reaching historical highs, with a trading range between $122,473 and $1,246,981, and a strong support level at $120,000 [3] - There is a potential for Bitcoin to test new highs, while Ethereum is struggling to maintain momentum, with a critical resistance level at $4,600 [3] - The analysis suggests that altcoins are experiencing limited rebound strength, and investors should be selective in their choices, focusing on promising projects rather than indiscriminate buying [3] - A cautious approach is recommended, with an emphasis on waiting for market dynamics to unfold, particularly after the National Day holiday, to see if capital flows back into the stock market [3]

Bitcoin Analysis - The analysis suggests a potential retracement for Bitcoin on the daily chart, viewing current pullback as healthy, possibly leading to a higher low [1] - A key area of interest for Bitcoin lies around 111,000 USDT on Bybit, coinciding with the 0.618% - 0.66% Fibonacci retracement level, where a bounce could signal a positive uptrend [1] - The analysis highlights the importance of monitoring for a potential drop to fill unfilled gaps, with a focus on observing price action around previous lows for potential long entry points [1] - Short-term long positions are favored, with expectations of profit-taking at higher levels due to potential distribution patterns and downward reversals [1] Ethereum Analysis - Ethereum appears to be retesting a previous high area on the daily chart, following a breakout and a false breakdown pattern [1] - A critical level to watch is the previous low; a break below followed by a reclaim could present a favorable long opportunity [1] - The analysis points out a clear risk-reward ratio for potential long trades based on specific price action patterns [1]

Market Analysis - Bitcoin is currently near a previous low point on the daily chart, with potential for consolidation over the weekend and a possible fakeout drop before recovering [1] - A successful fakeout drop and recovery could signal a good short-term to mid-term buying opportunity, with a potential retest of previous highs [1] - Ethereum's price action is contingent on Bitcoin's movements; a Bitcoin rally could validate a breakout in Ethereum [1] Trading Strategy - The analysis suggests a trading plan to short Bitcoin in smaller timeframes near the previous low, anticipating liquidity grabs, and then consider longing after a confirmed recovery [1] - A clear trading plan involves waiting for Bitcoin to hunt stop-losses and recover before considering long positions in Ethereum, providing a double confirmation [1] - The analyst's preferred exchanges are Bybit for contract trading due to its suitability for technical analysis, and Binance for spot trading, offering a 40% fee reduction [1] Risk Management - Traders should exercise caution if Ethereum breaks out while Bitcoin is still consolidating, as Bitcoin has not yet hunted for stop-losses [1] - The analyst is hesitant to long Bitcoin immediately after a drop and recovery, preferring to short in smaller timeframes and then long after further confirmation [1]

Group 1 - The Federal Reserve's potential for further interest rate cuts is highlighted, with a focus on the labor market's weakness being prioritized over inflation concerns [1] - Powell's recent statements suggest a dovish stance, indicating that the Fed may have more room for rate cuts if employment issues remain significant [1] - The upcoming FOMC meeting on October 28-29 is anticipated, with Powell avoiding strong signals but not dismissing the expectation of further rate cuts [1] Group 2 - The cryptocurrency market experienced a significant downturn, with Bitcoin dropping to a low of $11,020, while Ethereum fell below $4,000, reaching a low of $3,924 [3] - The market correction is attributed to capital flowing back into mainstream cryptocurrencies, with Bitcoin showing relative stability compared to altcoins [3] - Investors are advised to gradually accumulate positions in promising altcoins, as the market is expected to recover in the near future [3]

Market Analysis - The analysis suggests that Bitcoin is currently facing some challenges at the daily chart level, with potential difficulties in determining the optimal trading strategy due to market volatility [1] - The report considers the possibility of a "fake breakout" scenario, where the price might initially rise to trigger stop-loss orders before reversing downwards [1] - The analysis suggests that large capital may not allow traders to easily set their short stop-loss orders, indicating a potential for market manipulation [1] - The report suggests the possibility of Bitcoin accumulating short positions before rising to break through previous highs, potentially creating a short squeeze [1] - The analysis indicates that Ethereum (ETH) may follow Bitcoin's downward trend, potentially breaking through lower support levels [2] Trading Strategy - The analyst is inclined to wait for a higher price point, specifically around $120,000, before considering shorting Bitcoin, despite the risk of missing a potential downward move [1] - The report suggests that if one is concerned about missing a potential downward move, a small short position could be initiated with a stop-loss order placed above the recent high [1][2] - The analysis suggests that a key level to watch for Ethereum is a potential fake breakout at previous highs, which could present a shorting opportunity in conjunction with Bitcoin [2] Liquidity and Market Sentiment - The analysis suggests that liquidity plays a significant role in driving market movements, especially within smaller ranges [1] - The report notes that stop-loss orders are likely clustered around previous highs, indicating a potential target for market manipulation to liquidate these positions [1] - The analysis observes an increase in short positions being opened during price declines, but without a corresponding drop in price, suggesting a potential short trap [1]

朋友們大家好，大家早上中午晚上好 這裡是2025年9月 17日華爾街午盤時間 我們來更新比特幣的行情 這個是比特幣的日線圖 從日線級別來看比特幣昨天是一根陽線 有那麼一點點 要上來 挑戰前面這一帶的感覺 但是你可以看到好像並沒有站上去 來到這邊就有點掉頭向下的感覺 但是我個人認為這只是虛晃一槍 有可能在這邊盤整了之後還會往上面走 因為流動性就在這個上面 甚至再往前面一點 比如說這樣的上面 那麼已經來到了就這樣子調轉向下嗎 我個人是覺得這個概率並不是特別的大 那麼就目前來說 我覺得交易計劃可以分成兩種 一種如果在這邊小幅的盤整 先往上面來留意這個地方有沒有假突破 或者說盤整 然後更高的位置有沒有假突破 有的話在這邊嘗試去做空看看 然後止損就是再度再漲上來的時候 那麼那麼第二種 好像有那麼一點點 調轉向下的感覺 給人一種高點不斷的降低 然後可能會這樣子往下跌 那麼這我是覺得留下這樣的一些高點 有可能是會做出這種你可以看一下 比如說這樣子往上走 那麼這個的話就讓我覺得如果說 它繼續往下面來跌 破前面這樣一個低點我把它畫出來 也就是前面這樣一個低點跌破 然後再收回去 我覺得可能就會做這樣的一個 這樣的一個杯柄的形態 ...

朋友們 2025年9月16日華爾街午盤時間 我們來更新比特幣的行情 這個是比特幣的日線圖 從日線級別來看我們發現昨天的k線 是有那麼一點點迷惑性的 我們可以看到 它是把前面的小高點 有一個假突破 然後跌了回來收成了一根十字線 給人一種感覺 就是好像這個上面上不去了對不對 然後很多人會考慮在這個地方做空 但是你可以看到現在又拉升上來了 我們可以看一下盤口這邊非常明顯 我們可以看到昨天的日線 確實有很多人在這個下方去交易 那麼在下方交易的如果說漲上來 那麼這樣的一些空頭 都會變成行情上漲過程中的燃料 這個是日線級別告訴我們的 我個人仍然是認為 前面的高點是大概率會去的 那麼這個是一個比較切近的位置 117000左右 來到這個上面的概率 我個人是覺得至少有90%左右 那麼如果說再往前進一步 就是12萬左右了 我們原先在往下面跌的時候 提醒大家如果說這一帶不站回去 它有可能就會回抽然後繼續下跌 但是一旦站回來了 我們可以看到 12萬這一帶的概率是非常的大 那麼在我看來 如果說真要說一個數字的話 那麼70%甚至還要多一點 75%的概率是會來到這樣的一帶的 好不好 如果說你嘗試要在這個地方做空的話 你看到我的節目之後最好 ...

朋友們大家好，大家早上中午晚上好 這裡是提阿非羅 現在是2025年9月4日華爾街午盤時間 我們來更新比特幣的行情 這個是比特幣的日線圖 從日線級別來看 我們發現比特幣 就在原先的支撐 阻力互換位 好像就受到了阻礙 那麼昨天的時候我這邊畫了一個小區間 我認為這一帶有可能會受阻 那麼你可以看到好像就有點漲不上去 然後有一點回來 那麼回來的話是不是要繼續往下面跌 我的預期是什麼 實際上在周末的時候 我在這邊畫畫了一個圖 我會覺得如果說再往下面來 可能會比較的好 這是最理想的情況 而且我在這邊畫了一個小小的箭頭 什麼意思呢 我個人是覺得 如果說趕到滿月 這個時間點再往上面漲可能會比較好 我們可以看到新月滿月最近還是蠻重要的 比如說滿月開始出現上漲滿月上漲 然後新月下跌 新月下跌 那麼很快大概在附近就是滿月的時間 我當然覺得第一個位置 可能這一單會有一定的支撐 如果說這一帶守不住再往下面跌 跌到前面的低點 把這樣的一些低點都出現跌破然後收回 如果說剛好是在一個滿月的周期 而且小級別有這樣強勢的顯現 我會覺得可能是比較好做多的位置 目前來說它好像確實就是這麼走的 還沒有什麼意外 我們就耐心的看一看好不好 這個是日線級別了 ...