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索辰科技(688507):专注CAE核心技术开发,完善业务版图助力军工、工业信息化建设
Great Wall Securities· 2025-07-28 03:41
Investment Rating - The report maintains a rating of "Accumulate" for the company [4] Core Viewpoints - The company has established itself as a significant player in the CAE field, focusing on core technology research and development, which is crucial for national defense and industrial informationization [13][16] - The CAE software market in China is expected to grow significantly, with a projected market size of approximately 137.09 billion yuan by 2030, indicating a favorable market environment for the company [2][54] - The company is expanding its technical layout and industry fields, leveraging strong customer resources primarily from military and research institutions, which enhances its competitive position [3][8] Financial Summary - Revenue is projected to grow from 3.79 billion yuan in 2024 to 10.78 billion yuan by 2027, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 26.72% from 2019 to 2024 [27][30] - The net profit attributable to shareholders is expected to increase from 410 million yuan in 2024 to 1.44 billion yuan by 2027, with significant growth rates in the coming years [27][30] - The company's earnings per share (EPS) is forecasted to rise from 0.47 yuan in 2024 to 1.61 yuan by 2027, reflecting strong profitability potential [27][30] Industry Analysis - The CAE industry has high technical barriers due to its complex algorithms and the need for continuous innovation, which presents a significant opportunity for domestic companies to replace imported software [2][39] - The overall industrial software and CAE segments are expected to see substantial growth, supported by government policies and funding aimed at promoting domestic technology [2][56] - The company is well-positioned to benefit from the increasing demand for domestic CAE solutions, as the market is currently dominated by foreign players, providing a clear path for growth [54][56]
研判2025!中国计算机辅助工程(CAE)系统行业产业链、行业现状及重点企业分析:行业市场规模激增,技术创新与政策扶持共筑高端制造新引擎[图]
Chan Ye Xin Xi Wang· 2025-06-07 02:10
Core Insights - The transformation and upgrading of China's manufacturing industry is the main driver for the growth of the CAE system market, with increasing digital demands for product design and production due to the advancement of smart manufacturing and Industry 4.0 [1][14] - The market size of China's CAE system industry is projected to reach 3.78 billion yuan in 2024, representing a year-on-year growth of 25.17% [1][14] - Domestic CAE software has made significant advancements in fluid simulation and multi-physics coupling, with companies like Suochen Technology breaking international monopolies through acquisitions [1][14] Industry Overview - Computer-Aided Engineering (CAE) systems utilize computer technology to assist in engineering design, analysis, and optimization, helping engineers understand engineering problems better and improve design quality and efficiency [2] - CAE systems can be categorized into general CAE and specialized CAE based on their functional scope [2] Industry Development History - The CAE industry in China has gone through four main stages: the initial stage (1970-1980), the technology accumulation stage (1980-1990), the adjustment period (1990-2005), and the domestic breakthrough period (2006-present) [4][5][6] - The initial stage saw the development of the first domestic finite element analysis software, marking the beginning of local CAE technology [4] - The adjustment period was characterized by the entry of foreign CAE giants, which dominated the market due to their technological advantages [5] Industry Chain - The upstream of the CAE system industry chain includes software solvers, basic software, and hardware devices, with software solvers being the core component [8] - The midstream involves the research and development of CAE systems, while the downstream applications span various industries such as automotive manufacturing, aerospace, electronics, and engineering machinery [8] Current Industry Status - The "14th Five-Year Plan" has identified industrial software as a key development area, providing policy incentives that stimulate market demand [12] - The market size of China's industrial software industry is expected to reach 333.2 billion yuan in 2024, with a year-on-year growth of 17.99% [12] Key Companies' Performance - The competitive landscape of the CAE system industry shows a dominance of international giants, while domestic companies like Suochen Technology and Zhongwang Software are gaining traction through technological innovation [16][19] - Suochen Technology reported a revenue of 39 million yuan in Q1 2025, reflecting a year-on-year growth of 21.73% [17] - Zhongwang Software's CAE software revenue reached 973.84 million yuan in 2024, with a year-on-year growth of 36.23% [19] Industry Development Trends - The CAE system industry is accelerating its integration with AI, cloud computing, and big data, driving the evolution of simulation technology towards intelligence and automation [21] - The demand for CAE systems is expected to deepen in sectors like new energy vehicles and aerospace, with specific needs for multi-physics coupling simulation technology [22][23] - Domestic CAE software is anticipated to break through core technological bottlenecks, reshaping the industry ecosystem and enhancing its penetration in key sectors [24]