Core Insights - The real estate market in major cities like Beijing and Shanghai showed strong performance during the "Golden Week" holiday, with significant sales figures reported [2][4][5] - In contrast, Guangzhou's market experienced a slight decline in overall sales, attributed to the lack of new policies and pre-holiday sales activities [2][6][8] Group 1: Market Performance - Beijing's new home average daily sales reached 0.61 million square meters during the holiday, a 52% year-on-year increase [5] - Shanghai's new home average daily sales were 0.62 million square meters, reflecting a 3% year-on-year increase [5] - Guangzhou's new home average daily sales were 0.81 million square meters, showing a 4% year-on-year decline [2][5] Group 2: Policy Impact - New policies implemented in August in Beijing and Shanghai contributed to the improved sales figures, with Beijing lifting purchase restrictions outside the Fifth Ring and Shanghai easing limits for eligible families [5][6] - The policies led to a recovery in market activity, with developers increasing their sales efforts during the holiday [4][5] Group 3: Notable Sales - In Beijing, projects like Xiangshan Yuyue achieved sales of 1.04 billion yuan, while in Shanghai, the Poly Tianyi project sold 1.96 billion yuan [4][6] - In Guangzhou, several projects exceeded 1 billion yuan in sales, with the Yuexiu South TOD project achieving 200 million yuan in a single day [6][8] Group 4: Market Dynamics - Despite the overall decline in Guangzhou, certain "red plate" projects performed exceptionally well, indicating that there is still purchasing power in the market [8][9] - The market remains polarized, with some properties experiencing high demand while others struggle to attract buyers [3][9] Group 5: Future Outlook - Industry experts suggest that while buyers have the financial capacity, many are adopting a wait-and-see approach, impacting overall market activity [10]

Core Viewpoint - The competition among leading real estate companies in Beijing is intensifying, with a narrow margin of only 10.3 billion yuan between the top four companies in terms of equity sales in the first four months of 2025 [1][4]. Group 1: Sales Performance - The top four real estate companies in Beijing by sales amount are: China Overseas (86.4 billion yuan), China State Construction (79.33 billion yuan), China Overseas (77.81 billion yuan), and Yueben Real Estate (76.1 billion yuan) [2]. - Poly Development's equity sales ranking has dropped from 5th to 9th in the first four months of 2025 due to a lack of new projects and declining sales performance [4][5]. Group 2: Market Dynamics - The majority of high-performing projects in first-tier cities like Beijing are luxury properties, indicating that companies with a strong inventory of luxury projects can predict their future sales performance [4]. - Poly Development has shown a strong desire to acquire land in core areas of Beijing, but its sales have been declining due to a lack of appealing projects [4][10]. Group 3: Project Analysis - Poly's project "Poly Yijing Hexu" in Shunyi has a low sales rate of 45% after one year, with 335 out of 746 units sold [5]. - The "Poly Jing Mountain Hexu" project in Shijingshan has a sales rate of only 55%, with 439 out of 798 units sold [6]. - The "Poly Tianhui" project in Chaoyang has been the best-selling project for Poly, contributing nearly 25% of its total sales [8]. Group 4: Future Prospects - Poly Development's recent acquisition of the Haidian Banshan project indicates a strategic move to boost sales, but the project faces challenges due to planning restrictions and a less favorable environment [12][20]. - The company is under pressure to either continue acquiring land in Haidian or deliver strong products to prove its market position [25].